Prediction comparison

Junior Men

06.09.2025 Bled - Rowing center, Mala Zaka SLO

Race information and calculation basis

2025 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Bled

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 06.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used

Modell v15 Default values

Prediction quality 49/100 niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 58.8 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 86.8 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error12.6

Mean swim error20.2 s

Mean bike-speed error3.45 km/h

Correct bike groups15/62

No history6

Within the 80% range45.6 %

						Details
1 / 10	Ben Hill GBR	+18 s +0 s	G2 / G1	7:16 8:18	21:15	Show details Prediction details: Ben Hill Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 2–6 Top-10 probability: 99 % Result: 10 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +18 s Time: 4:51 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 18.2 s H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -1.07 %, Sicherheit 41 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 24 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 3.6 s Gap behind: 0.6 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 38.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.37 km/h Running and total Run: 7:16 (2:54 / km) Historical basis: 2:51 / km Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 2.13 %, Sicherheit 41 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:18 (3:19 / km) Error: −1:02 / −0:25 / km Overall prediction: 21:15 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 4:51 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 7:16 (2:54 / km) Total: 21:15 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 7	Noe Treille FRA	+15 s +23 s	G1 / G1 correct	7:41 8:06	21:15	Show details Prediction details: Noe Treille Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 3–10 Top-10 probability: 95 % Result: 7 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +15 s Time: 4:48 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +23 s Fehler: -8.4 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 1.31 %, Sicherheit 17 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 53 % Speed: 41.9 km/h Gap ahead: 1.4 s Gap behind: 3.6 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 39.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.73 km/h Running and total Run: 7:41 (3:04 / km) Historical basis: 3:02 / km Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.97 %, Sicherheit 17 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:06 (3:14 / km) Error: −0:25 / −0:10 / km Overall prediction: 21:15 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 4:48 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:19 (41.9 km/h) Run: 7:41 (3:04 / km) Total: 21:15
3 / 9	Sebestyén Pál Kendeh-Kirchknopf HUN	+7 s +2 s	G1 / G1 correct	7:47 8:08	21:21	Show details Prediction details: Sebestyén Pál Kendeh-Kirchknopf Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 2–11 Top-10 probability: 89 % Result: 9 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +7 s Time: 4:40 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +2 s Fehler: 5.4 s H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur 1.47 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 78 % Speed: 41.9 km/h Gap ahead: 1.4 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 38.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.71 km/h Running and total Run: 7:47 (3:07 / km) Historical basis: 3:09 / km Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 140 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:08 (3:15 / km) Error: −0:21 / −0:08 / km Overall prediction: 21:21 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:40 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:19 (41.9 km/h) Run: 7:47 (3:07 / km) Total: 21:21
4 / 14	Lehel Hóbor HUN	+2 s +6 s	G1 / G1 correct	7:51 8:30	21:25	Show details Prediction details: Lehel Hóbor Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 5–9 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 14 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +2 s Time: 4:35 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +6 s Fehler: -3.7 s H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 180 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 94 % Speed: 41.9 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 3.7 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 38.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.50 km/h Running and total Run: 7:51 (3:09 / km) Historical basis: 3:06 / km Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 181 Duelle, Korrektur 1.18 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:30 (3:24 / km) Error: −0:39 / −0:15 / km Overall prediction: 21:25 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:35 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:19 (41.9 km/h) Run: 7:51 (3:09 / km) Total: 21:25
5 / 2	Zsombor Holba HUN	+19 s +24 s	G2 / G1	7:29 7:40	21:28	Show details Prediction details: Zsombor Holba Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 2–9 Top-10 probability: 93 % Result: 2 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +19 s Time: 4:52 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +24 s Fehler: -5.2 s H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.78 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 35 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.6 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 39.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.48 km/h Running and total Run: 7:29 (2:59 / km) Historical basis: 2:58 / km Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.88 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 7:40 (3:04 / km) Error: −0:11 / −0:05 / km Overall prediction: 21:28 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:52 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 7:29 (2:59 / km) Total: 21:28 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 2.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 11	Zalán Trungel-Nagy HUN	+21 s +27 s	G2 / G2 correct	7:33 8:11	21:32	Show details Prediction details: Zalán Trungel-Nagy Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 4–9 Top-10 probability: 94 % Result: 11 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +21 s Time: 4:54 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +27 s Fehler: -6.3 s H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 158 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 21 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 1.5 s Gap behind: 1.8 s Result: Group 2 (10 people) Speed: 38.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.02 km/h Running and total Run: 7:33 (3:01 / km) Historical basis: 3:00 / km Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 159 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:11 (3:16 / km) Error: −0:38 / −0:15 / km Overall prediction: 21:32 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:54 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 7:33 (3:01 / km) Total: 21:32 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 4.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 5	Dominik Ivančík SVK	+26 s +26 s	G2 / G1	7:36 8:02	21:35	Show details Prediction details: Dominik Ivančík Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 4–13 Top-10 probability: 75 % Result: 5 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +26 s Time: 4:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +26 s Fehler: 0.1 s H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 8 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 39.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.26 km/h Running and total Run: 7:36 (3:02 / km) Historical basis: 3:01 / km Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 91 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:02 (3:13 / km) Error: −0:26 / −0:10 / km Overall prediction: 21:35 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:59 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 7:36 (3:02 / km) Total: 21:35 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 9.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 67	Tommaso Sana ITA	+12 s +16 s	G1 / G2	8:02 15:20	21:36	Show details Prediction details: Tommaso Sana Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 7–14 Top-10 probability: 51 % Result: 67 Deviation: -59 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +12 s Time: 4:45 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +16 s Fehler: -3.6 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 17 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 63 % Speed: 41.9 km/h Gap ahead: 2.4 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 2 (10 people) Speed: 38.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.89 km/h Running and total Run: 8:02 (3:13 / km) Historical basis: 3:12 / km Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 9 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:20 (6:08 / km) Error: −7:18 / −2:55 / km Overall prediction: 21:36 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:45 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:19 (41.9 km/h) Run: 8:02 (3:13 / km) Total: 21:36
9 / 13	Roy Baron ISR	+8 s +3 s	G1 / G1 correct	8:04 8:30	21:38	Show details Prediction details: Roy Baron Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 3–15 Top-10 probability: 60 % Result: 13 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +8 s Time: 4:41 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +3 s Fehler: 5.0 s H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 1.19 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 79 % Speed: 41.9 km/h Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 2.0 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 38.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.76 km/h Running and total Run: 8:04 (3:14 / km) Historical basis: 3:13 / km Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 11 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 95 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:30 (3:24 / km) Error: −0:26 / −0:10 / km Overall prediction: 21:38 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:41 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:19 (41.9 km/h) Run: 8:04 (3:14 / km) Total: 21:38
10 / 15	Jakub Marik CZE	+43 s +50 s	G3 / G2	7:17 8:09	21:44	Show details Prediction details: Jakub Marik Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 2–27 Top-10 probability: 51 % Result: 15 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +43 s Time: 5:16 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +50 s Fehler: -6.7 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 2 (10 people) Speed: 39.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.31 km/h Running and total Run: 7:17 (2:55 / km) Historical basis: 2:53 / km Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.93 %, Sicherheit 77 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:09 (3:16 / km) Error: −0:52 / −0:21 / km Overall prediction: 21:44 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:16 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 7:17 (2:55 / km) Total: 21:44 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 27.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 19	Roy Margalioth ISR	+6 s +11 s	G1 / G2	8:15 8:28	21:49	Show details Prediction details: Roy Margalioth Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 10–14 Top-10 probability: 15 % Result: 19 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +6 s Time: 4:39 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +11 s Fehler: -5.0 s H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 83 % Speed: 41.9 km/h Gap ahead: 3.7 s Gap behind: 1.4 s Result: Group 2 (10 people) Speed: 37.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.10 km/h Running and total Run: 8:15 (3:18 / km) Historical basis: 3:17 / km Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:28 (3:23 / km) Error: −0:13 / −0:05 / km Overall prediction: 21:49 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:39 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:19 (41.9 km/h) Run: 8:15 (3:18 / km) Total: 21:49
12 / 12	Jaron Kollmeier GER	+44 s +11 s	G3 / G2	7:23 8:10	21:50	Show details Prediction details: Jaron Kollmeier Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 9–18 Top-10 probability: 26 % Result: 12 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +44 s Time: 5:17 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +11 s Fehler: 33.3 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 10 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 2 (10 people) Speed: 37.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.05 km/h Running and total Run: 7:23 (2:57 / km) Historical basis: 2:55 / km Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.40 %, Sicherheit 10 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:10 (3:16 / km) Error: −0:47 / −0:19 / km Overall prediction: 21:50 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 5:17 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 7:23 (2:57 / km) Total: 21:50 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 28.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 6	Diego Lampe ITA	+26 s +30 s	G2 / G1	7:51 7:58	21:50	Show details Prediction details: Diego Lampe Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 7–18 Top-10 probability: 31 % Result: 6 Deviation: 7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +26 s Time: 4:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +30 s Fehler: -3.7 s H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 18 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 1.4 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 39.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.12 km/h Running and total Run: 7:51 (3:08 / km) Historical basis: 3:12 / km Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km Trend: −0:03 / km Comparable races: 7 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 7:58 (3:11 / km) Error: −0:07 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 21:50 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:59 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 7:51 (3:08 / km) Total: 21:50 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 10.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 27	Davide Faldini ITA	+32 s +35 s	G2 / G3	8:16 8:41	22:15	Show details Prediction details: Davide Faldini Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 15–27 Top-10 probability: 1 % Result: 27 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +32 s Time: 5:05 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +35 s Fehler: -3.1 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 21 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 1.3 s Gap behind: 3.2 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.20 km/h Running and total Run: 8:16 (3:18 / km) Historical basis: 3:18 / km Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 21 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:41 (3:28 / km) Error: −0:25 / −0:10 / km Overall prediction: 22:15 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 5:05 (1:21 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 8:16 (3:18 / km) Total: 22:15 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 15.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 1	Cis Huyghe BEL	+36 s +21 s	G3 / G1	7:56 7:43	22:23	Show details Prediction details: Cis Huyghe Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 12–23 Top-10 probability: 1 % Result: 1 Deviation: 14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +36 s Time: 5:09 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +21 s Fehler: 15.3 s H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur -0.82 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 39.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.77 km/h Running and total Run: 7:56 (3:11 / km) Historical basis: 3:10 / km Best comparable pace: 2:42 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 9 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 7:43 (3:05 / km) Error: +0:13 / +0:05 / km Overall prediction: 22:23 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:09 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 7:56 (3:11 / km) Total: 22:23 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 20.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 48	Tobias Leirer AUT	+13 s +24 s	G1 / G4	8:50 9:02	22:24	Show details Prediction details: Tobias Leirer Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 17–28 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 48 Deviation: -32 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +13 s Time: 4:46 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +24 s Fehler: -10.8 s H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 1.20 %, Sicherheit 82 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 60 % Speed: 41.9 km/h Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 1.4 s Result: Group 4 (11 people) Speed: 36.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.54 km/h Running and total Run: 8:50 (3:32 / km) Historical basis: 3:32 / km Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 80 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:02 (3:37 / km) Error: −0:12 / −0:05 / km Overall prediction: 22:24 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:46 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:19 (41.9 km/h) Run: 8:50 (3:32 / km) Total: 22:24
17 / 38	Jakob Schwarhofer AUT	+23 s +36 s	G2 / G3	8:28 9:17	22:27	Show details Prediction details: Jakob Schwarhofer Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 14–26 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 38 Deviation: -21 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +23 s Time: 4:56 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +36 s Fehler: -12.9 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 1.41 %, Sicherheit 89 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.98 km/h Running and total Run: 8:28 (3:23 / km) Historical basis: 3:26 / km Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.78 %, Sicherheit 81 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:17 (3:43 / km) Error: −0:49 / −0:19 / km Overall prediction: 22:27 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 4:56 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 8:28 (3:23 / km) Total: 22:27 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 6.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 4	Adel Rassineux FRA	+38 s +25 s	G3 / G1	8:04 7:57	22:31	Show details Prediction details: Adel Rassineux Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 15–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 4 Deviation: 14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +38 s Time: 5:11 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +25 s Fehler: 13.2 s H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -1.60 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 39.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.63 km/h Running and total Run: 8:04 (3:14 / km) Historical basis: 3:14 / km Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 7:57 (3:11 / km) Error: +0:07 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 22:31 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 5:11 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:04 (3:14 / km) Total: 22:31 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 22 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 51	Francesco Salazar SVK	+28 s +28 s	G2 / G4	8:32 9:18	22:31	Show details Prediction details: Francesco Salazar Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 17–32 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 51 Deviation: -32 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +28 s Time: 5:01 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +28 s Fehler: -0.2 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -1.17 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.6 s Result: Group 4 (11 people) Speed: 36.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.07 km/h Running and total Run: 8:32 (3:25 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km Trend: −0:03 / km Comparable races: 10 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:18 (3:43 / km) Error: −0:46 / −0:18 / km Overall prediction: 22:31 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:01 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 8:32 (3:25 / km) Total: 22:31 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 11.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 26	Žiga Korošec SLO	+44 s +38 s	G3 / G3 correct	8:11 8:31	22:38	Show details Prediction details: Žiga Korošec Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 21–34 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +44 s Time: 5:17 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +38 s Fehler: 6.1 s H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 1.12 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.49 km/h Running and total Run: 8:11 (3:17 / km) Historical basis: 3:13 / km Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 1.64 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:31 (3:24 / km) Error: −0:20 / −0:08 / km Overall prediction: 22:38 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:17 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:11 (3:17 / km) Total: 22:38 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 27.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 31	Jan Peterka SLO	+8 s +9 s	G1 / G3	9:05 8:58	22:39	Show details Prediction details: Jan Peterka Placement Prediction: 21 80% range: 21–31 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 31 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +8 s Time: 4:41 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +9 s Fehler: -1.2 s H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 184 Duelle, Korrektur 1.80 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 66 % Speed: 41.9 km/h Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 36.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.02 km/h Running and total Run: 9:05 (3:38 / km) Historical basis: 3:39 / km Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 189 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:58 (3:35 / km) Error: +0:07 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 22:39 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:41 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:19 (41.9 km/h) Run: 9:05 (3:38 / km) Total: 22:39
22 / 21	Robin Randoja EST	+37 s +36 s	G3 / G2	8:19 8:35	22:46	Show details Prediction details: Robin Randoja Placement Prediction: 22 80% range: 16–37 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 21 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +37 s Time: 5:10 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +36 s Fehler: 1.4 s H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur 1.89 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 2 (10 people) Speed: 38.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.91 km/h Running and total Run: 8:19 (3:20 / km) Historical basis: 3:18 / km Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 49 Gegner:innen, 125 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:35 (3:26 / km) Error: −0:16 / −0:06 / km Overall prediction: 22:46 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:10 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:19 (3:20 / km) Total: 22:46 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 21.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 25	Matej Kubias CZE	+23 s +32 s	G2 / G3	8:48 8:36	22:47	Show details Prediction details: Matej Kubias Placement Prediction: 23 80% range: 17–37 Top-10 probability: 4 % Result: 25 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +23 s Time: 4:56 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +32 s Fehler: -8.7 s H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 23 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.02 km/h Running and total Run: 8:48 (3:31 / km) Historical basis: 3:31 / km Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:36 (3:26 / km) Error: +0:12 / +0:05 / km Overall prediction: 22:47 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:56 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 8:48 (3:31 / km) Total: 22:47 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 7.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 41	Tomer Guy ISR	+28 s +32 s	G2 / G5	8:50 8:26	22:49	Show details Prediction details: Tomer Guy Placement Prediction: 24 80% range: 21–41 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 41 Deviation: -17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +28 s Time: 5:01 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +32 s Fehler: -3.6 s H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.6 s Gap behind: 2.2 s Result: Group 5 (7 people) Speed: 35.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.62 km/h Running and total Run: 8:50 (3:32 / km) Historical basis: 3:34 / km Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km Trend: −0:01 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:26 (3:22 / km) Error: +0:24 / +0:10 / km Overall prediction: 22:49 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:01 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 8:50 (3:32 / km) Total: 22:49 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 12.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 42	Tom Philippe BEL	+36 s +37 s	G3 / G4	8:23 8:41	22:50	Show details Prediction details: Tom Philippe Placement Prediction: 25 80% range: 14–45 Top-10 probability: 4 % Result: 42 Deviation: -17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +36 s Time: 5:09 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +37 s Fehler: -1.4 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 14 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 10 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 4 (11 people) Speed: 36.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.96 km/h Running and total Run: 8:23 (3:21 / km) Historical basis: 3:21 / km Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 14 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:41 (3:28 / km) Error: −0:18 / −0:07 / km Overall prediction: 22:50 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 5:09 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:23 (3:21 / km) Total: 22:50 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 19.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 17	Maro Schober AUT	+19 s +6 s	G2 / G1	8:51 8:38	22:50	Show details Prediction details: Maro Schober Placement Prediction: 26 80% range: 18–32 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 17 Deviation: 9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +19 s Time: 4:52 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +6 s Fehler: 13.2 s H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 180 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 36 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 1.5 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 38.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.37 km/h Running and total Run: 8:51 (3:32 / km) Historical basis: 3:35 / km Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 181 Duelle, Korrektur -1.13 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:38 (3:27 / km) Error: +0:13 / +0:05 / km Overall prediction: 22:50 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:52 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 8:51 (3:32 / km) Total: 22:50 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 16	Nik Vučko SLO	+35 s +35 s	G3 / G3 correct	8:24 8:09	22:51	Show details Prediction details: Nik Vučko Placement Prediction: 27 80% range: 15–45 Top-10 probability: 3 % Result: 16 Deviation: 11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +35 s Time: 5:08 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +35 s Fehler: 0.1 s H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -1.28 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 3.2 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.31 km/h Running and total Run: 8:24 (3:22 / km) Historical basis: 3:25 / km Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 8 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:09 (3:16 / km) Error: +0:15 / +0:06 / km Overall prediction: 22:51 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:08 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:24 (3:22 / km) Total: 22:51 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 18.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 43	Matěj Homola CZE	+38 s +45 s	G3 / G5	8:27 8:26	22:54	Show details Prediction details: Matěj Homola Placement Prediction: 28 80% range: 15–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 43 Deviation: -15 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +38 s Time: 5:11 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +45 s Fehler: -6.9 s H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 5 (7 people) Speed: 36.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.45 km/h Running and total Run: 8:27 (3:23 / km) Historical basis: 3:23 / km Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:26 (3:22 / km) Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km Overall prediction: 22:54 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:11 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:27 (3:23 / km) Total: 22:54 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 21.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 23	Ronan Salmu EST	+45 s +42 s	G3 / G2	8:27 8:30	22:54	Show details Prediction details: Ronan Salmu Placement Prediction: 29 80% range: 23–49 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 23 Deviation: 6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +45 s Time: 5:18 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +42 s Fehler: 3.0 s H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.90 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 2 (10 people) Speed: 38.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.00 km/h Running and total Run: 8:27 (3:23 / km) Historical basis: 3:23 / km Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:30 (3:24 / km) Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km Overall prediction: 22:54 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:18 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:27 (3:23 / km) Total: 22:54 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 28.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 50	Maks Mori SLO	+39 s +51 s	G3 / G6	8:29 8:36	22:56	Show details Prediction details: Maks Mori Placement Prediction: 30 80% range: 19–46 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 50 Deviation: -20 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +39 s Time: 5:12 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +51 s Fehler: -11.6 s H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -1.17 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.9 s Gap behind: 1.4 s Result: Group 6 (10 people) Speed: 35.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.18 km/h Running and total Run: 8:29 (3:24 / km) Historical basis: 3:24 / km Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:36 (3:26 / km) Error: −0:07 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 22:56 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 5:12 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:29 (3:24 / km) Total: 22:56 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 23.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 20	Raphael Schweiger AUT	+24 s +21 s	G2 / G3	8:57 8:21	22:56	Show details Prediction details: Raphael Schweiger Placement Prediction: 31 80% range: 14–44 Top-10 probability: 4 % Result: 20 Deviation: 11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +24 s Time: 4:57 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +21 s Fehler: 3.1 s H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 145 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 8 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 1.4 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 37.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.80 km/h Running and total Run: 8:57 (3:35 / km) Historical basis: 3:35 / km Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 144 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:21 (3:20 / km) Error: +0:36 / +0:14 / km Overall prediction: 22:56 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:57 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 8:57 (3:35 / km) Total: 22:56 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 7.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 37	Filip Zatloukal CZE	+41 s +20 s	G3 / G4	8:31 8:42	22:58	Show details Prediction details: Filip Zatloukal Placement Prediction: 32 80% range: 25–41 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 37 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +41 s Time: 5:14 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +20 s Fehler: 21.2 s H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 4 (11 people) Speed: 36.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.64 km/h Running and total Run: 8:31 (3:24 / km) Historical basis: 3:24 / km Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 96 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:42 (3:29 / km) Error: −0:11 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 22:58 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:14 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:31 (3:24 / km) Total: 22:58 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 25 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 61	Benett Kovács HUN	+47 s +51 s	G3 / G7	8:36 9:24	23:03	Show details Prediction details: Benett Kovács Placement Prediction: 33 80% range: 31–45 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 61 Deviation: -28 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +47 s Time: 5:20 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +51 s Fehler: -4.1 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 59 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 7 (1 people) Speed: 35.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.52 km/h Running and total Run: 8:36 (3:26 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 59 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:24 (3:46 / km) Error: −0:48 / −0:19 / km Overall prediction: 23:03 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 5:20 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:36 (3:26 / km) Total: 23:03 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 30.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 24	Wannes Ares BEL	+39 s +35 s	G3 / G2	8:39 8:27	23:06	Show details Prediction details: Wannes Ares Placement Prediction: 34 80% range: 20–49 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 24 Deviation: 10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +39 s Time: 5:12 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +35 s Fehler: 3.5 s H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 6 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 0.9 s Result: Group 2 (10 people) Speed: 39.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.82 km/h Running and total Run: 8:39 (3:27 / km) Historical basis: 3:30 / km Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -1.07 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:27 (3:23 / km) Error: +0:12 / +0:05 / km Overall prediction: 23:06 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:12 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:39 (3:27 / km) Total: 23:06 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 22.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 46	Alex Sundstedt FIN	+42 s +49 s	G3 / G3 correct	8:41 9:27	23:08	Show details Prediction details: Alex Sundstedt Placement Prediction: 35 80% range: 30–50 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 46 Deviation: -11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +42 s Time: 5:15 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +49 s Fehler: -6.7 s H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -1.48 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.6 s Gap behind: 0.6 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.09 km/h Running and total Run: 8:41 (3:29 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:27 (3:47 / km) Error: −0:46 / −0:18 / km Overall prediction: 23:08 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:15 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:41 (3:29 / km) Total: 23:08 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 26.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 35	Kalmer Kiiver EST	+23 s +50 s	G2 / G4	9:11 8:40	23:10	Show details Prediction details: Kalmer Kiiver Placement Prediction: 36 80% range: 26–41 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 35 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +23 s Time: 4:56 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +50 s Fehler: -27.5 s H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 18 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 16 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 1.8 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 4 (11 people) Speed: 37.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.01 km/h Running and total Run: 9:11 (3:41 / km) Historical basis: 3:41 / km Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 18 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:40 (3:28 / km) Error: +0:31 / +0:13 / km Overall prediction: 23:10 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 4:56 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 9:11 (3:41 / km) Total: 23:10 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 6.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 49	Daniel Janitsch AUT	+41 s +30 s	G3 / G4	8:44 9:10	23:11	Show details Prediction details: Daniel Janitsch Placement Prediction: 37 80% range: 31–44 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 49 Deviation: -12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +41 s Time: 5:14 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +30 s Fehler: 10.8 s H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 1.4 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 4 (11 people) Speed: 36.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.17 km/h Running and total Run: 8:44 (3:30 / km) Historical basis: 3:32 / km Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -1.15 %, Sicherheit 78 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:10 (3:40 / km) Error: −0:26 / −0:10 / km Overall prediction: 23:11 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:14 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:44 (3:30 / km) Total: 23:11 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 24.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 63	Erik Hudovornik SLO	+46 s +8 s	G3 / G6	8:48 9:43	23:15	Show details Prediction details: Erik Hudovornik Placement Prediction: 38 80% range: 38–50 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 63 Deviation: -25 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +46 s Time: 5:19 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +8 s Fehler: 38.0 s H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -1.70 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 6 (10 people) Speed: 34.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.53 km/h Running and total Run: 8:48 (3:31 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 1.68 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:43 (3:53 / km) Error: −0:55 / −0:22 / km Overall prediction: 23:15 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 5:19 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:48 (3:31 / km) Total: 23:15 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 29.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 29	Marek Krátký CZE	+48 s +37 s	G3 / G3 correct	8:48 8:55	23:15	Show details Prediction details: Marek Krátký Placement Prediction: 39 80% range: 36–50 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 29 Deviation: 10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +48 s Time: 5:21 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +37 s Fehler: 10.6 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.02 %, Sicherheit 2 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 1.6 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.31 km/h Running and total Run: 8:48 (3:31 / km) Historical basis: 3:32 / km Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 2 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:55 (3:34 / km) Error: −0:07 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 23:15 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 5:21 (1:26 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:48 (3:31 / km) Total: 23:15 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 31.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 32	Stepan Volf CZE	+47 s +36 s	G3 / G3 correct	8:49 8:58	23:16	Show details Prediction details: Stepan Volf Placement Prediction: 40 80% range: 16–57 Top-10 probability: 3 % Result: 32 Deviation: 8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +47 s Time: 5:20 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +36 s Fehler: 10.8 s H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 1.21 %, Sicherheit 48 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 8 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.53 km/h Running and total Run: 8:49 (3:32 / km) Historical basis: 3:35 / km Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 42 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:58 (3:35 / km) Error: −0:09 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 23:16 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:20 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 8:49 (3:32 / km) Total: 23:16 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 30.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 55	Ignacy Bartłomiejczyk POL	+26 s +40 s	G2 / G5	9:17 9:27	23:16	Show details Prediction details: Ignacy Bartłomiejczyk Placement Prediction: 41 80% range: 33–46 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 55 Deviation: -14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +26 s Time: 4:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +40 s Fehler: -14.3 s H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 5 (7 people) Speed: 36.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.23 km/h Running and total Run: 9:17 (3:43 / km) Historical basis: 3:42 / km Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 84 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:27 (3:47 / km) Error: −0:10 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 23:16 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:59 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 9:17 (3:43 / km) Total: 23:16 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 9.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 30	Tenzin Vanwijnsberghe BEL	+50 s +44 s	G4 / G3	8:24 8:43	23:25	Show details Prediction details: Tenzin Vanwijnsberghe Placement Prediction: 42 80% range: 18–54 Top-10 probability: 3 % Result: 30 Deviation: 12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +50 s Time: 5:23 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +44 s Fehler: 6.1 s H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 40 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 39.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.9 s Gap behind: 3.9 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.00 km/h Running and total Run: 8:24 (3:22 / km) Historical basis: 3:21 / km Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 40 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:43 (3:29 / km) Error: −0:19 / −0:08 / km Overall prediction: 23:25 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 5:23 (1:26 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 14:07 (39.5 km/h) Run: 8:24 (3:22 / km) Total: 23:25 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 33.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 34	Alexander Urschitz AUT	+28 s +14 s	G2 / G2 correct	9:27 9:24	23:26	Show details Prediction details: Alexander Urschitz Placement Prediction: 43 80% range: 34–52 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 34 Deviation: 9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +28 s Time: 5:01 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +14 s Fehler: 13.7 s H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 163 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 18 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 1.4 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 2 (10 people) Speed: 37.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.59 km/h Running and total Run: 9:27 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:51 / km Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 164 Duelle, Korrektur -1.95 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:24 (3:46 / km) Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km Overall prediction: 23:26 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:01 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 9:27 (3:47 / km) Total: 23:26 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 11.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 60	Tamás Szegvári HUN	+37 s +46 s	G3 / G6	9:01 9:28	23:28	Show details Prediction details: Tamás Szegvári Placement Prediction: 44 80% range: 32–46 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 60 Deviation: -16 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +37 s Time: 5:10 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +46 s Fehler: -9.3 s H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 1.04 %, Sicherheit 49 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 6 (10 people) Speed: 35.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.26 km/h Running and total Run: 9:01 (3:36 / km) Historical basis: 3:35 / km Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 51 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:28 (3:47 / km) Error: −0:27 / −0:11 / km Overall prediction: 23:28 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:10 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 9:01 (3:36 / km) Total: 23:28 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 20.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 40	Marcel Pavlin SLO	+23 s +24 s	G2 / G4	9:33 8:37	23:32	Show details Prediction details: Marcel Pavlin Placement Prediction: 45 80% range: 37–48 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 40 Deviation: 5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +23 s Time: 4:56 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +24 s Fehler: -1.4 s H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur 1.46 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 15 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 4 (11 people) Speed: 36.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.19 km/h Running and total Run: 9:33 (3:49 / km) Historical basis: 3:52 / km Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 124 Duelle, Korrektur -0.99 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:37 (3:27 / km) Error: +0:56 / +0:23 / km Overall prediction: 23:32 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:56 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 9:33 (3:49 / km) Total: 23:32 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 6.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 33	Thibault Debecker BEL	+36 s +37 s	G3 / G3 correct	9:09 9:03	23:36	Show details Prediction details: Thibault Debecker Placement Prediction: 46 80% range: 31–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 33 Deviation: 13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +36 s Time: 5:09 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +37 s Fehler: -1.1 s H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -1.43 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.66 km/h Running and total Run: 9:09 (3:40 / km) Historical basis: 3:37 / km Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 1.17 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:03 (3:37 / km) Error: +0:06 / +0:02 / km Overall prediction: 23:36 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:09 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 9:09 (3:40 / km) Total: 23:36 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 19.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 57	Nace Mlakar SLO	+41 s +46 s	G3 / G6	9:17 9:21	23:44	Show details Prediction details: Nace Mlakar Placement Prediction: 47 80% range: 42–53 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 57 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +41 s Time: 5:14 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +46 s Fehler: -4.7 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -1.50 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 6 (10 people) Speed: 35.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.22 km/h Running and total Run: 9:17 (3:43 / km) Historical basis: 3:45 / km Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:21 (3:44 / km) Error: −0:04 / −0:02 / km Overall prediction: 23:44 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 5:14 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 9:17 (3:43 / km) Total: 23:44 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 25.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 45	Jan Štefanac CRO	+42 s +38 s	G3 / G4	9:26 8:52	23:53	Show details Prediction details: Jan Štefanac Placement Prediction: 48 80% range: 41–54 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 45 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +42 s Time: 5:15 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +38 s Fehler: 3.7 s H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.6 s Result: Group 4 (11 people) Speed: 36.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.96 km/h Running and total Run: 9:26 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:51 / km Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 49 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur -2.01 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:52 (3:33 / km) Error: +0:34 / +0:14 / km Overall prediction: 23:53 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:15 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 9:26 (3:47 / km) Total: 23:53 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 25.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 62	Hubert Wypych POL	+43 s +27 s	G3 / G5	9:37 10:05	24:04	Show details Prediction details: Hubert Wypych Placement Prediction: 49 80% range: 47–56 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 62 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +43 s Time: 5:16 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +27 s Fehler: 15.9 s H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.92 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.6 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 5 (7 people) Speed: 35.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.14 km/h Running and total Run: 9:37 (3:51 / km) Historical basis: 3:50 / km Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 96 % Ergebnis Lauf: 10:05 (4:02 / km) Error: −0:28 / −0:11 / km Overall prediction: 24:04 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:16 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 9:37 (3:51 / km) Total: 24:04 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 26.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 22	Roye Kohn ISR	+26 s +17 s	G2 / G2 correct	10:05 8:38	24:04	Show details Prediction details: Roye Kohn Placement Prediction: 50 80% range: 45–56 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: 28 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +26 s Time: 4:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +17 s Fehler: 8.5 s H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 150 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 25 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 1.4 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 2 (10 people) Speed: 38.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.42 km/h Running and total Run: 10:05 (4:02 / km) Historical basis: 4:08 / km Best comparable pace: 4:08 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 150 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:38 (3:27 / km) Error: +1:27 / +0:35 / km Overall prediction: 24:04 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 4:59 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 10:05 (4:02 / km) Total: 24:04 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 9.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 59	Álmos Hóbor HUN	+63 s +41 s	G5 / G6	8:13 9:18	24:12	Show details Prediction details: Álmos Hóbor Placement Prediction: 51 80% range: 24–57 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 59 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +63 s Time: 5:36 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +41 s Fehler: 21.6 s H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -1.68 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.5 km/h Gap ahead: 8.6 s Gap behind: 2.5 s Result: Group 6 (10 people) Speed: 35.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.95 km/h Running and total Run: 8:13 (3:17 / km) Historical basis: 3:14 / km Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 1.59 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:18 (3:43 / km) Error: −1:05 / −0:26 / km Overall prediction: 24:12 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:36 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 14:54 (37.5 km/h) Run: 8:13 (3:17 / km) Total: 24:12 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 46.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 56	Leo Kervinen FIN	+31 s +25 s	G2 / G6	10:25 9:15	24:24	Show details Prediction details: Leo Kervinen Placement Prediction: 52 80% range: 52–56 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 56 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +31 s Time: 5:04 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +25 s Fehler: 5.6 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 26 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (18 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Gap ahead: 2.2 s Gap behind: 1.3 s Result: Group 6 (10 people) Speed: 34.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.63 km/h Running and total Run: 10:25 (4:10 / km) Historical basis: 4:16 / km Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 11 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:15 (3:42 / km) Error: +1:10 / +0:28 / km Overall prediction: 24:24 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 5:04 (1:21 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:27 (41.5 km/h) Run: 10:25 (4:10 / km) Total: 24:24 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 14.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 53	Paul Donauer AUT	+49 s +42 s	G4 / G6	9:28 8:47	24:29	Show details Prediction details: Paul Donauer Placement Prediction: 53 80% range: 49–55 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 53 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +49 s Time: 5:22 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +42 s Fehler: 7.2 s H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 73 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 39.5 km/h Gap ahead: 1.6 s Gap behind: 0.9 s Result: Group 6 (10 people) Speed: 35.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.95 km/h Running and total Run: 9:28 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:48 / km Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 63 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:47 (3:31 / km) Error: +0:41 / +0:16 / km Overall prediction: 24:29 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 5:22 (1:26 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 14:07 (39.5 km/h) Run: 9:28 (3:47 / km) Total: 24:29 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 33 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 44	Preslav Kushev BUL	+65 s +55 s	G5 / G5 correct	8:41 8:36	24:40	Show details Prediction details: Preslav Kushev Placement Prediction: 54 80% range: 40–57 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 44 Deviation: 10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +65 s Time: 5:38 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +55 s Fehler: 10.1 s H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -1.48 %, Sicherheit 87 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.5 km/h Gap ahead: 2.5 s Gap behind: 13.9 s Result: Group 5 (7 people) Speed: 37.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.42 km/h Running and total Run: 8:41 (3:28 / km) Historical basis: 3:27 / km Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 71 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:36 (3:26 / km) Error: +0:05 / +0:02 / km Overall prediction: 24:40 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:38 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 14:54 (37.5 km/h) Run: 8:41 (3:28 / km) Total: 24:40 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 48.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
55 / 3	Keran Gallou FRA	+36 s +23 s	G3 / G1	11:10 7:50	25:37	Show details Prediction details: Keran Gallou Placement Prediction: 55 80% range: 56–58 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 3 Deviation: 52 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +36 s Time: 5:09 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +23 s Fehler: 12.5 s H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -1.67 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (25 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 39.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.40 km/h Running and total Run: 11:10 (4:28 / km) Historical basis: 4:31 / km Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -1.22 %, Sicherheit 80 % Ergebnis Lauf: 7:50 (3:08 / km) Error: +3:20 / +1:20 / km Overall prediction: 25:37 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:09 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:40 (40.8 km/h) Run: 11:10 (4:28 / km) Total: 25:37 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 19.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
56 / 18	Riccardo Rossi ITA	+82 s +28 s	G6 / G3	8:24 8:20	25:46	Show details Prediction details: Riccardo Rossi Placement Prediction: 56 80% range: 40–58 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 18 Deviation: 38 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +82 s Time: 5:55 Pace: 1:35 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +28 s Fehler: 53.7 s H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -2.36 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.9 km/h Gap ahead: 2.7 s Gap behind: 10.2 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.31 km/h Running and total Run: 8:24 (3:22 / km) Historical basis: 3:25 / km Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:20 (3:20 / km) Error: +0:04 / +0:02 / km Overall prediction: 25:46 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 5:55 (1:35 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 16:00 (34.9 km/h) Run: 8:24 (3:22 / km) Total: 25:46 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:50 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 65.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
57 / 64	Val Rihar SLO	+54 s +52 s	G4 / G6	11:21 10:52	26:22	Show details Prediction details: Val Rihar Placement Prediction: 57 80% range: 59–60 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 64 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +54 s Time: 5:27 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +52 s Fehler: 2.0 s H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -1.60 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 39.5 km/h Gap ahead: 3.9 s Gap behind: 8.6 s Result: Group 6 (10 people) Speed: 35.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.83 km/h Running and total Run: 11:21 (4:32 / km) Historical basis: 4:32 / km Best comparable pace: 4:32 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 10:52 (4:21 / km) Error: +0:29 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 26:22 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 5:27 (1:27 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 14:07 (39.5 km/h) Run: 11:21 (4:32 / km) Total: 26:22 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 37.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
58 / 66	Boyan Kirilov BUL	+79 s +57 s	G6 / G9	9:56 9:56	27:18	Show details Prediction details: Boyan Kirilov Placement Prediction: 58 80% range: 59–60 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 66 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +79 s Time: 5:52 Pace: 1:34 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +57 s Fehler: 22.0 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 33 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.9 km/h Gap ahead: 13.9 s Gap behind: 2.7 s Result: Group 9 (1 people) Speed: 31.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.52 km/h Running and total Run: 9:56 (3:58 / km) Historical basis: 4:00 / km Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 30 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:56 (3:58 / km) Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km Overall prediction: 27:18 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 5:52 (1:34 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 16:00 (34.9 km/h) Run: 9:56 (3:58 / km) Total: 27:18 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 62.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
59 / 65	Gaber Lučovnik SLO	+92 s +41 s	G7 / G8	10:18 10:46	28:03	Show details Prediction details: Gaber Lučovnik Placement Prediction: 59 80% range: 61–61 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 65 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +92 s Time: 6:05 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +41 s Fehler: 50.9 s H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -1.95 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.4 km/h Gap ahead: 10.2 s Gap behind: 102.4 s Result: Group 8 (1 people) Speed: 32.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.99 km/h Running and total Run: 10:18 (4:07 / km) Historical basis: 4:07 / km Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 10:46 (4:18 / km) Error: −0:28 / −0:11 / km Overall prediction: 28:03 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 6:05 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 16:13 (34.4 km/h) Run: 10:18 (4:07 / km) Total: 28:03 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 75.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
60 / 68	Mansour Alqashouti QAT	+194 s +95 s	G8 / G10	10:04 10:40	29:18	Show details Prediction details: Mansour Alqashouti Placement Prediction: 60 80% range: 62–62 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 68 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +194 s Time: 7:47 Pace: 2:05 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +95 s Fehler: 99.3 s Cycling Prediction: Group 8 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.9 km/h Gap ahead: 102.4 s Gap behind: 377.7 s Result: Group 10 (1 people) Speed: 30.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.71 km/h Running and total Run: 10:04 (4:02 / km) Historical basis: 4:02 / km Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:40 (4:16 / km) Error: −0:36 / −0:14 / km Overall prediction: 29:18 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 7:47 (2:05 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 16:00 (34.9 km/h) Run: 10:04 (4:02 / km) Total: 29:18 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 178.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 8	Guillaume Bohnert FRA	+10 s +7 s	G1 / G1 correct	8:04		Show details Prediction details: Guillaume Bohnert Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–1 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 8 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +10 s Time: 4:43 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +7 s Fehler: 3.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 71 % Speed: 41.9 km/h Gap ahead: 2.0 s Gap behind: 2.4 s Result: Group 1 (13 people) Speed: 38.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.36 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 8:04 (3:14 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 4:43 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:19 (41.9 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable
0 / 28	Charel Schiltz LUX	+572 s +38 s	G9 / G3	8:45		Show details Prediction details: Charel Schiltz Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 37–46 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 28 Deviation: -28 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +572 s Time: 14:05 Pace: 3:45 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +38 s Fehler: 534.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 9 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.5 km/h Gap ahead: 377.7 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.61 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 8:45 (3:30 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 14:05 (3:45 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 13:48 (40.5 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 4:49 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m About 555.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 36	Rasmus Adam GER	+0 s +39 s	G0 / G4	8:35		Show details Prediction details: Rasmus Adam Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 63–63 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 36 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 4:33 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +39 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 4 (11 people) Speed: 36.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 8:35 (3:26 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 4:33 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 39	Pietro Matarazzo ITA	+0 s +38 s	G0 / G6	8:11		Show details Prediction details: Pietro Matarazzo Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 64–64 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 39 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 4:33 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +38 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 6 (10 people) Speed: 35.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 8:11 (3:16 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 4:33 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 47	Jesse Hinsch GER	+0 s +313 s	G0 / G4	8:53		Show details Prediction details: Jesse Hinsch Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 65–65 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 47 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 4:33 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +313 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 4 (11 people) Speed: 66.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 8:53 (3:33 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 4:33 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 52	Valentin Iliev BUL	+0 s +58 s	G0 / G5	9:13		Show details Prediction details: Valentin Iliev Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 66–66 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 52 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 4:33 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +58 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 5 (7 people) Speed: 37.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 9:13 (3:41 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 4:33 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 54	Richard Fotul SVK	+0 s +36 s	G0 / G6	9:11		Show details Prediction details: Richard Fotul Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 67–67 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 54 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 4:33 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +36 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 6 (10 people) Speed: 35.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 9:11 (3:40 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 4:33 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 58	Pieterjan Cornelis BEL	+0 s +47 s	G0 / G4	9:53		Show details Prediction details: Pieterjan Cornelis Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 68–68 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 58 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 4:33 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +47 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 4 (11 people) Speed: 37.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 9:53 (3:57 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 4:33 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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