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Junior Men

16.08.2025 Riga LAT
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Riga

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.08.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 50/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 60.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 87.5 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.7
Mean swim error18.8 s
Mean bike-speed error1.61 km/h
Correct bike groups16/51
No history5
Within the 80% range32.1 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 4 Anton Befayt
BEL
+23 s
+24 s
G2 / G1
 14:44
15:01
 46:57
Show details
Prediction details: Anton Befayt

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 5–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -1.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:44 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:01 (2:57 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 14:44 (2:53 / km)
Total: 46:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 10.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 3 Henry Haag
GER
+5 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:17
14:54
 48:01
Show details
Prediction details: Henry Haag

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:17 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 64 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:54 (2:55 / km)
Error: +1:23 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 48:01
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:37 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 16:17 (3:11 / km)
Total: 48:01
3 / 1 Christian Ache
GER
+36 s
+37 s
G2 / G1
 15:54
14:39
 48:07
Show details
Prediction details: Christian Ache

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 89 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -0.7 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:39 (2:52 / km)
Error: +1:15 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 48:07
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:07 / km)
Total: 48:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 24.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 6 Ilio Kopriva
BEL
+6 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:58
15:12
 48:42
Show details
Prediction details: Ilio Kopriva

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 6.2 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:58 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:12 (2:59 / km)
Error: +1:46 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 48:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:37 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 16:58 (3:20 / km)
Total: 48:42
5 / 12 Lorenzo Bazzana
SUI
+33 s
+35 s
G2 / G1
 16:30
15:55
 48:43
Show details
Prediction details: Lorenzo Bazzana

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 70 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -2.2 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:55 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:14 / km)
Total: 48:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 21.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 17 Kacper Serwiński
POL
+44 s
+68 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:38
14:48
 48:51
Show details
Prediction details: Kacper Serwiński

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 8–23
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: -24.3 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:38 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:48 (2:54 / km)
Error: +1:50 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 48:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:38 (3:16 / km)
Total: 48:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 32.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 2 Isaac Lamprecht
USA
+38 s
+42 s
G2 / G1
 16:49
14:48
 49:02
Show details
Prediction details: Isaac Lamprecht

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 7–24
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -4.4 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:49 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:48 (2:54 / km)
Error: +2:01 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 49:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:49 (3:18 / km)
Total: 49:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 26 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 18 Severin Schwarz
SUI
+8 s
+23 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:21
16:30
 49:05
Show details
Prediction details: Severin Schwarz

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 9–17
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -15.3 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.78 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 7.8 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:21 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:30 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 49:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:37 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 17:21 (3:24 / km)
Total: 49:05
9 / 14 Sebastién Brunner
SUI
+32 s
+32 s
G2 / G1
 17:07
16:01
 49:20
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastién Brunner

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 11–17
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:07 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 92 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:01 (3:08 / km)
Error: +1:06 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:20
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:07 (3:21 / km)
Total: 49:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 7 Elias Leimer
SUI
+27 s
+40 s
G2 / G1
 17:11
15:18
 49:24
Show details
Prediction details: Elias Leimer

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–21
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -12.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:18 (3:00 / km)
Error: +1:53 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 49:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:22 / km)
Total: 49:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 15.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 11 Senan McDonnell
IRL
+25 s
+34 s
G2 / G1
 17:16
15:49
 49:29
Show details
Prediction details: Senan McDonnell

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 10–18
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -9.3 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:16 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:49 (3:06 / km)
Error: +1:27 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 49:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:16 (3:23 / km)
Total: 49:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 13.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 5 Ben Hill
GBR
+16 s
+8 s
G2 / G1
 17:26
15:08
 49:39
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Hill

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 12–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 7.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.8 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:26 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:08 (2:58 / km)
Error: +2:18 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 49:39
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:26 (3:25 / km)
Total: 49:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 3.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 23 Kai Azzopardi
MLT
+45 s
+58 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:26
15:58
 49:39
Show details
Prediction details: Kai Azzopardi

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 13–28
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -13.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:26 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:58 (3:08 / km)
Error: +1:28 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 49:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:26 (3:25 / km)
Total: 49:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 33.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 15 Andri Schwarz
SUI
+38 s
+29 s
G2 / G1
 17:36
16:08
 49:49
Show details
Prediction details: Andri Schwarz

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 16–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:08 (3:10 / km)
Error: +1:28 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 49:49
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:27 / km)
Total: 49:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 26.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 30 Gert Martin Savitsch
EST
+26 s
+45 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:54
16:57
 50:07
Show details
Prediction details: Gert Martin Savitsch

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 6–26
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -19.4 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 151 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:57 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:57 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 50:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:31 / km)
Total: 50:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 14 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 22 Mathys Bocquet
IRL
+41 s
+53 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:57
15:49
 50:10
Show details
Prediction details: Mathys Bocquet

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 14–29
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -12.5 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:57 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:49 (3:06 / km)
Error: +2:08 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 50:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:57 (3:31 / km)
Total: 50:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 28.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 25 Sean McMahon
IRL
+35 s
+75 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:00
16:17
 50:13
Show details
Prediction details: Sean McMahon

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 17–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: -40.2 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:00 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.67 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 (3:12 / km)
Error: +1:43 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 50:13
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 18:00 (3:32 / km)
Total: 50:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 23.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 20 Robin Randoja
EST
+43 s
+48 s
G2 / G1
 18:13
16:46
 50:26
Show details
Prediction details: Robin Randoja

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 19–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -4.9 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:13 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:46 (3:17 / km)
Error: +1:27 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 50:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 18:13 (3:34 / km)
Total: 50:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 31.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 37 Matteo Radina
SUI
+57 s
+104 s
G3 / G5
 16:27
16:39
 51:09
Show details
Prediction details: Matteo Radina

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 10–26
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +104 s
Fehler: -46.8 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:27 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:39 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 51:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:44 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 16:27 (3:14 / km)
Total: 51:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 45.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 10 William Pearson Inman
RSA
+32 s
+11 s
G2 / G1
 18:56
15:39
 51:09
Show details
Prediction details: William Pearson Inman

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 20–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 21.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:56 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:39 (3:04 / km)
Error: +3:17 / +0:39 / km
Overall prediction: 51:09
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 18:56 (3:43 / km)
Total: 51:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 13 Samuele Iaconi
SUI
+44 s
+44 s
G2 / G1
 19:11
16:02
 51:24
Show details
Prediction details: Samuele Iaconi

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 24–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:11 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -1.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:02 (3:09 / km)
Error: +3:09 / +0:37 / km
Overall prediction: 51:24
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 19:11 (3:46 / km)
Total: 51:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 32.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 41 Algimantas Smolskas
LTU
+27 s
+40 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:42
19:16
 51:55
Show details
Prediction details: Algimantas Smolskas

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 18–36
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -13.2 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:42 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:16 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 51:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 19:42 (3:52 / km)
Total: 51:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 15.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 24 Ronan Salmu
EST
+50 s
+76 s
G3 / G2
 17:20
16:15
 52:02
Show details
Prediction details: Ronan Salmu

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 15–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: -26.5 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.74 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:20 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:15 (3:11 / km)
Error: +1:05 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 52:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:44 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 17:20 (3:24 / km)
Total: 52:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 37.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 56 Arseni Loginov
EST
+26 s
+62 s
G2 / G6
 19:55
21:58
 52:08
Show details
Prediction details: Arseni Loginov

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 26–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -36.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:55 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 1.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:58 (4:18 / km)
Error: −2:03 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 52:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 19:55 (3:54 / km)
Total: 52:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 13.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 28 Leon Dahlin
SWE
+58 s
+94 s
G3 / G2
 17:31
16:25
 52:13
Show details
Prediction details: Leon Dahlin

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 18–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +94 s
Fehler: -36.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:13 / km)
Error: +1:06 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 52:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:44 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:26 / km)
Total: 52:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 46.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 42 Ryan Muscat
MLT
+70 s
+81 s
G4 / G6
 17:43
16:02
 52:26
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Muscat

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 26–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +81 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 6.4 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:43 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:02 (3:09 / km)
Error: +1:41 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 52:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:33 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:43 (3:28 / km)
Total: 52:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 58.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 43 Laur Välja
EST
+62 s
+109 s
G4 / G6
 17:46
16:28
 52:29
Show details
Prediction details: Laur Välja

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 23–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +109 s
Fehler: -46.6 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:14 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 52:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:33 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:29 / km)
Total: 52:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 50.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 26 Jan Štefanac
CRO
+46 s
+63 s
G3 / G2
 18:00
16:25
 52:42
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Štefanac

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 20–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -16.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 92 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:00 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:13 / km)
Error: +1:35 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 52:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:44 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 18:00 (3:32 / km)
Total: 52:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 34.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 40 Nicolo Enea Tofanetti
ITA
+107 s
+110 s
G6 / G6
correct 		16:12
16:02
 52:56
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolo Enea Tofanetti

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 28–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +107 s
Time: 10:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +110 s
Fehler: -3.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 78.5 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:12 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:02 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 52:56
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:41 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:57 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 16:12 (3:11 / km)
Total: 52:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 95.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 31 Pavel Simandl
CZE
+61 s
+82 s
G4 / G3
 18:26
16:46
 53:09
Show details
Prediction details: Pavel Simandl

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 28–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -21.5 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -1.03 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:46 (3:17 / km)
Error: +1:40 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 53:09
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:33 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:37 / km)
Total: 53:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 48.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 19 Robert Nemec
CZE
+85 s
+66 s
G5 / G2
 17:17
15:25
 53:12
Show details
Prediction details: Robert Nemec

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 29–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: 18.5 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 8.8 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:17 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 (3:01 / km)
Error: +1:52 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 53:12
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:31 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 17:17 (3:23 / km)
Total: 53:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 72.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 35 Oliver Dyrholm Pilegaard
DEN
+35 s
+37 s
G2 / G2
correct 		21:27
17:44
 53:40
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Dyrholm Pilegaard

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 30–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -1.7 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:27 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 2.04 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:29 / km)
Error: +3:43 / +0:44 / km
Overall prediction: 53:40
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 21:27 (4:12 / km)
Total: 53:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 23.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 38 Edoardo Azario
ITA
+106 s
+103 s
G6 / G5
 17:02
17:10
 53:46
Show details
Prediction details: Edoardo Azario

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 33–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +106 s
Time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +103 s
Fehler: 2.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -1.69 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:02 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:10 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 53:46
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:40 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:57 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 17:02 (3:20 / km)
Total: 53:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 94.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 48 Nils Kravalis
LAT
+79 s
+107 s
G5 / G6
 17:51
17:26
 53:46
Show details
Prediction details: Nils Kravalis

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 29–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +107 s
Fehler: -28.2 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:51 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.98 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:26 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 53:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:31 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 17:51 (3:30 / km)
Total: 53:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 67.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 46 Elia Di Bari
SUI
+25 s
+91 s
G2 / G6
 21:59
17:04
 54:12
Show details
Prediction details: Elia Di Bari

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 38–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +91 s
Fehler: -65.6 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:59 (4:19 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 2.26 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:21 / km)
Error: +4:55 / +0:58 / km
Overall prediction: 54:12
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 21:59 (4:19 / km)
Total: 54:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 13.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 45 Gustavs Vīksne
LAT
+66 s
+112 s
G4 / G6
 19:33
16:57
 54:16
Show details
Prediction details: Gustavs Vīksne

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 34–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +112 s
Fehler: -46.2 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:33 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 99 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:57 (3:19 / km)
Error: +2:36 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 54:16
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:33 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 19:33 (3:50 / km)
Total: 54:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 54.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 29 Artur Abras
EST
+61 s
+62 s
G4 / G2
 19:42
16:35
 54:25
Show details
Prediction details: Artur Abras

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 34–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -1.4 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:42 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -1.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:35 (3:15 / km)
Error: +3:07 / +0:37 / km
Overall prediction: 54:25
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:33 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 19:42 (3:52 / km)
Total: 54:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 49 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 32 Elia Martelloni
ITA
+54 s
+74 s
G3 / G3
correct 		20:00
17:05
 54:42
Show details
Prediction details: Elia Martelloni

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 35–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: -20.3 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:00 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.10 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:21 / km)
Error: +2:55 / +0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 54:42
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:44 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 20:00 (3:55 / km)
Total: 54:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 42.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 44 David Tylén
SWE
+93 s
+114 s
G6 / G6
correct 		18:00
16:32
 54:44
Show details
Prediction details: David Tylén

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 34–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +114 s
Fehler: -20.7 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.8 s
Gap behind: 8.1 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:00 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:15 / km)
Error: +1:28 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 54:44
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:57 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 18:00 (3:32 / km)
Total: 54:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 81.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 47 Holger Vitsur
EST
+105 s
+169 s
G6 / G6
correct 		18:05
17:03
 54:49
Show details
Prediction details: Holger Vitsur

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 39–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +105 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +169 s
Fehler: -64.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:05 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:03 (3:21 / km)
Error: +1:02 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 54:49
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:57 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 18:05 (3:33 / km)
Total: 54:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 93.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 36 Jonas Saulius Jonaitis
LTU
+57 s
+78 s
G3 / G2
 20:36
17:51
 55:18
Show details
Prediction details: Jonas Saulius Jonaitis

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 41–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +78 s
Fehler: -21.2 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:36 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -1.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:51 (3:30 / km)
Error: +2:45 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 55:18
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:44 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 20:36 (4:02 / km)
Total: 55:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 45.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 53 Linus Fredriksson
SWE
+52 s
+92 s
G3 / G5
 20:49
20:54
 55:31
Show details
Prediction details: Linus Fredriksson

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 34–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +92 s
Fehler: -39.7 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:49 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:54 (4:06 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 55:31
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:44 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 20:49 (4:05 / km)
Total: 55:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 40.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 52 Rokas Martinaitis
LTU
+101 s
+107 s
G6 / G6
correct 		19:20
18:19
 56:04
Show details
Prediction details: Rokas Martinaitis

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 45–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +101 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +107 s
Fehler: -5.6 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.1 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:20 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 1.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:35 / km)
Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 56:04
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:57 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 19:20 (3:47 / km)
Total: 56:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 89.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 39 August Siverskog
SWE
+76 s
+83 s
G5 / G2
 20:52
18:41
 56:47
Show details
Prediction details: August Siverskog

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 45–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +76 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: -6.6 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.4 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:52 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -1.99 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:41 (3:40 / km)
Error: +2:11 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 56:47
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:31 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 20:52 (4:05 / km)
Total: 56:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 64.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 54 Justinas Babkin
LTU
+81 s
+106 s
G5 / G6
 21:59
20:03
 57:54
Show details
Prediction details: Justinas Babkin

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 46–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +81 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +106 s
Fehler: -25.3 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:59 (4:19 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:06 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:03 (3:56 / km)
Error: +1:56 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 57:54
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:31 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 21:59 (4:19 / km)
Total: 57:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 69.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 16 Gilles Vanhaelen
BEL
+39 s
+62 s
G2 / G2
correct 		30:28
14:48
 1:02:41
Show details
Prediction details: Gilles Vanhaelen

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 50–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -23.2 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.87 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 30:28 (5:59 / km)
Historical basis: 6:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:48 (2:54 / km)
Error: +15:40 / +3:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:41
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 30:28 (5:59 / km)
Total: 1:02:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 27.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 21 Tobias Gårde Skou
DEN
+67 s
+89 s
G4 / G2
 29:53
15:28
 1:04:36
Show details
Prediction details: Tobias Gårde Skou

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 50–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +89 s
Fehler: -22.5 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:53 (5:52 / km)
Historical basis: 6:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:28 (3:02 / km)
Error: +14:25 / +2:50 / km
Overall prediction: 1:04:36
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:33 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 29:53 (5:52 / km)
Total: 1:04:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 54.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 8 Jan Fuckerirer
GER
+35 s
+47 s
G2 / G1
15:20
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Fuckerirer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -11.8 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:20 (3:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (41.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 23.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 9 Jaron Kollmeier
GER
+0 s
+38 s
G0 / G1
15:31
Show details
Prediction details: Jaron Kollmeier

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 52–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:31 (3:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Basile Deom
BEL
+84 s
+70 s
G5 / G4
16:04
Show details
Prediction details: Basile Deom

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +84 s
Time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 14.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:04 (3:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:18 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:31 (38.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 72.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 33 August Juul-Andersen
DEN
+0 s
+79 s
G0 / G3
17:14
Show details
Prediction details: August Juul-Andersen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 53–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 34 Ennio Condemi
BEL
+0 s
+71 s
G0 / G5
16:27
Show details
Prediction details: Ennio Condemi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 54–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:27 (3:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 49 Gustav Langkær
DEN
+0 s
+75 s
G0 / G3
20:38
Show details
Prediction details: Gustav Langkær

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:38 (4:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 50 Arimantas Sakalas
LTU
+185 s
+156 s
G7 / G6
17:35
Show details
Prediction details: Arimantas Sakalas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -50

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +185 s
Time: 11:59
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +156 s
Fehler: 29.2 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 93 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 78.5 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 (3:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:59 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (37.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 173.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 51 Linus Jansson
SWE
+68 s
+90 s
G4 / G6
18:11
Show details
Prediction details: Linus Jansson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -51

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +90 s
Fehler: -22.5 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 6 (13 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:33 (39.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 55.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 55 Kristers Žukas
LAT
+0 s
+129 s
G0 / G7
20:58
Show details
Prediction details: Kristers Žukas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +129 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:58 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.