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Elite Women

19.07.2025 Melilla ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Europe Triathlon Sprint and Relay Championships Melilla

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 19.07.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 67/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 93.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.6
Mean swim error10.1 s
Mean bike-speed error1.72 km/h
Correct bike groups18/47
No history0
Within the 80% range59.6 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 30 Clara Carlquist
DEN
+58 s
+24 s
G5 / G2
 13:03
19:17
 44:42
Show details
Prediction details: Clara Carlquist

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 33.7 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -2.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.8 s
Gap behind: 22.6 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:03 (2:37 / km)
Historical basis: 2:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Error: −6:14 / −1:15 / km
Overall prediction: 44:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:42 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 13:03 (2:37 / km)
Total: 44:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 39 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 1 Jolien Vermeylen
BEL
+8 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:11
16:50
 45:46
Show details
Prediction details: Jolien Vermeylen

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–8
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 7.6 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 193 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 167 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:16 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Total: 45:46
3 / 2 Bianca Seregni
ITA
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:13
16:58
 45:48
Show details
Prediction details: Bianca Seregni

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 121 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 4.8 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 121 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:45 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:16 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:48
4 / 6 Tanja Neubert
GER
+32 s
+26 s
G2 / G1
 16:17
17:33
 46:10
Show details
Prediction details: Tanja Neubert

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–14
Top-10 probability: 81 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 5.9 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 143 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: −1:16 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 46:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Total: 46:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 13.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 3 Franka Rust
GER
+27 s
+25 s
G2 / G1
 16:32
17:00
 46:25
Show details
Prediction details: Franka Rust

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–14
Top-10 probability: 76 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 2.3 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Total: 46:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 8.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 12 Diana Isakova
AIN
+20 s
+15 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:35
17:43
 46:28
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Isakova

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–11
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 46:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 1.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 4 Jessica Fullagar
FRA
+5 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:53
17:09
 46:28
Show details
Prediction details: Jessica Fullagar

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: -1.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.8 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:16 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:28
8 / 35 María Teresa Jiménez-Orta Guerrero
ESP
+14 s
+23 s
G1 / G4
 16:57
18:52
 46:32
Show details
Prediction details: María Teresa Jiménez-Orta Guerrero

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–15
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Error: −1:55 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 46:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:16 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:32
9 / 7 Candice Denizot
FRA
+11 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:08
17:55
 46:43
Show details
Prediction details: Candice Denizot

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–14
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 10.3 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:16 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 46:43
10 / 10 Robin Dreijling
NED
+19 s
+30 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:14
18:05
 46:49
Show details
Prediction details: Robin Dreijling

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–21
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -11.4 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 46:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:16 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:49
11 / 8 Cathia Schär
SUI
+44 s
+43 s
G3 / G1
 16:36
17:51
 47:05
Show details
Prediction details: Cathia Schär

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 4–29
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 0.9 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Error: −1:15 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 47:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: 47:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 25.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 5 Zuzana Michalickova
SVK
+20 s
+5 s
G2 / G1
 17:18
17:19
 47:11
Show details
Prediction details: Zuzana Michalickova

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 7–26
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 15.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 197 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 183 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 1.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 31 Millie Breese
GBR
+25 s
+14 s
G2 / G3
 17:20
19:15
 47:13
Show details
Prediction details: Millie Breese

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 12–25
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 11.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 3 (12 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Error: −1:55 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 47:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 6.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 13 Carlotta Missaglia
ITA
+20 s
+36 s
G2 / G3
 17:22
17:30
 47:15
Show details
Prediction details: Carlotta Missaglia

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 7–24
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -16.3 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (12 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 24 Eva Daniels
LUX
+35 s
+23 s
G3 / G2
 16:47
18:50
 47:16
Show details
Prediction details: Eva Daniels

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 6–21
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 11.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Error: −2:03 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 47:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 15.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 20 Heidi Juránková
CZE
+22 s
+27 s
G2 / G3
 17:23
17:55
 47:16
Show details
Prediction details: Heidi Juránková

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 13–24
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -5.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (12 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Total: 47:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 2.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 16 Carina Reicht
AUT
+50 s
+45 s
G4 / G4
correct 		16:39
16:49
 47:18
Show details
Prediction details: Carina Reicht

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 8–32
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 4.8 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 121 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:46 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 47:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 31.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 11 Mathilde Gautier
FRA
+13 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:45
18:20
 47:20
Show details
Prediction details: Mathilde Gautier

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 11–24
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 10.5 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -0.94 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:16 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Total: 47:20
19 / 9 Márta Kropkó
HUN
+9 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:46
17:53
 47:21
Show details
Prediction details: Márta Kropkó

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 12–21
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 7.7 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:16 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: 47:21
20 / 38 Dominika Peszleg
HUN
+45 s
+32 s
G3 / G4
 16:54
19:44
 47:23
Show details
Prediction details: Dominika Peszleg

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 15–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 13.3 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Error: −2:50 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 47:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 26.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 19 Beatrice Mallozzi
ITA
+46 s
+29 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:54
17:54
 47:23
Show details
Prediction details: Beatrice Mallozzi

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 11–33
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 16.8 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (12 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Error: −1:00 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 27.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 18 Alejandra Seguí Soria
ESP
+47 s
+33 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:54
17:50
 47:23
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandra Seguí Soria

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 10–32
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 14.1 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 3 (12 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 47:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 28.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 25 Joanna Woźniak
POL
+46 s
+37 s
G3 / G4
 17:13
17:41
 47:42
Show details
Prediction details: Joanna Woźniak

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 17–36
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.74 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 26.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 27 Costanza Arpinelli
ITA
+46 s
+32 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:17
18:39
 47:46
Show details
Prediction details: Costanza Arpinelli

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 20–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 14.4 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 144 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (12 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Error: −1:22 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 47:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 27.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 14 Barbara De Koning
NED
+24 s
+11 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:53
17:54
 47:46
Show details
Prediction details: Barbara De Koning

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 16–32
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 13.1 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 203 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 200 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Total: 47:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 5.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 32 Livia Wespe
SUI
+51 s
+44 s
G4 / G4
correct 		17:09
18:39
 47:48
Show details
Prediction details: Livia Wespe

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 14–36
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 6.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Error: −1:30 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 47:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:46 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 32.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 15 Angelica Prestia
ITA
+19 s
+23 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:59
17:57
 47:52
Show details
Prediction details: Angelica Prestia

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 9–38
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -4.1 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 141 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Total: 47:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 0.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 37 Hanna Maksimava
BLR
+41 s
+58 s
G3 / G6
 17:29
18:31
 47:58
Show details
Prediction details: Hanna Maksimava

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 15–39
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -16.8 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Error: −1:02 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 22.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 22 Rebecca Beti
SUI
+34 s
+46 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:31
18:19
 48:00
Show details
Prediction details: Rebecca Beti

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 14–29
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -12.1 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 141 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 125 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 48:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 15.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 21 Romana Gajdošová
SVK
+27 s
+30 s
G2 / G3
 18:28
18:07
 48:21
Show details
Prediction details: Romana Gajdošová

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 22–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -3.5 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (12 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Total: 48:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 7.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 23 Borbála Sarcia
HUN
+39 s
+31 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:54
18:23
 48:23
Show details
Prediction details: Borbála Sarcia

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 22–41
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 8.2 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 3 (12 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 48:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 20.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 42 Michaela Sterbova
CZE
+24 s
+31 s
G2 / G7
 18:36
18:50
 48:29
Show details
Prediction details: Michaela Sterbova

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 25–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -7.3 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 127 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Total: 48:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 34 Rhune Vansteenkiste
BEL
+22 s
+24 s
G2 / G3
 18:37
19:40
 48:30
Show details
Prediction details: Rhune Vansteenkiste

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 23–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -1.7 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (12 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Error: −1:03 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 48:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Total: 48:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 3.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 26 Isabella Hayes
GBR
+7 s
+13 s
G1 / G2
 18:57
18:55
 48:32
Show details
Prediction details: Isabella Hayes

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 27–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: -5.8 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 48:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:16 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Total: 48:32
35 / 39 Dana Prikrylova
CZE
+29 s
+28 s
G2 / G4
 18:51
19:56
 48:44
Show details
Prediction details: Dana Prikrylova

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 24–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 1.4 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 48:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Total: 48:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 10.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 17 María Casals Mojica
ESP
+44 s
+28 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:20
17:41
 48:49
Show details
Prediction details: María Casals Mojica

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 29–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 16.4 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 148 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (12 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur -0.93 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Total: 48:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 25.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 36 Helena Knaapi
FIN
+50 s
+45 s
G4 / G5
 18:16
19:00
 48:55
Show details
Prediction details: Helena Knaapi

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 30–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 4.6 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 92 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 92 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:46 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Total: 48:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 30.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 33 Aniek Mars
NED
+47 s
+34 s
G3 / G4
 18:28
18:51
 48:57
Show details
Prediction details: Aniek Mars

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 29–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 12.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Total: 48:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 27.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 46 Alma Bergqvist
SWE
+53 s
+58 s
G4 / G8
 18:34
20:26
 49:13
Show details
Prediction details: Alma Bergqvist

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 31–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -5.1 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 4.8 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.96 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:26 (4:05 / km)
Error: −1:52 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 49:13
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:46 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 34.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 29 Nele Dequae
BEL
+38 s
+28 s
G3 / G2
 18:55
19:14
 49:24
Show details
Prediction details: Nele Dequae

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 31–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 124 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Total: 49:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 18.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 40 Matilde Silva Santos
POR
+39 s
+31 s
G3 / G4
 19:02
20:20
 49:31
Show details
Prediction details: Matilde Silva Santos

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 36–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 8.2 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Error: −1:18 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 49:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Total: 49:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 20.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 28 Tabea Huys
AUT
+16 s
+21 s
G1 / G2
 20:26
19:08
 50:01
Show details
Prediction details: Tabea Huys

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 32–45
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: -5.0 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:26 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -1.90 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 50:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:16 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 20:26 (4:05 / km)
Total: 50:01
43 / 41 Sofiya Pryyma
UKR
+44 s
+72 s
G3 / G5
 19:50
19:53
 50:19
Show details
Prediction details: Sofiya Pryyma

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 34–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: -27.6 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:50 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -1.63 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 19:50 (3:58 / km)
Total: 50:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 25.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 44 Grete Maria Savitsch
EST
+33 s
+43 s
G3 / G6
 20:13
20:46
 50:42
Show details
Prediction details: Grete Maria Savitsch

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 40–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -9.6 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:13 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 1.58 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:46 (4:09 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 50:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:41 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 20:13 (4:03 / km)
Total: 50:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 14.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 45 Iva Pavlovic
SRB
+53 s
+44 s
G4 / G6
 20:41
21:37
 51:20
Show details
Prediction details: Iva Pavlovic

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 43–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 8.8 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:41 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:37 (4:19 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 51:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:46 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 20:41 (4:08 / km)
Total: 51:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 34.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 47 Margarida Barao
POR
+80 s
+48 s
G6 / G9
 19:16
20:39
 52:04
Show details
Prediction details: Margarida Barao

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 41–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 10:34
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 32.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -2.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 22.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:16 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:39 (4:08 / km)
Error: −1:23 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 52:04
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:34 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 19:16 (3:51 / km)
Total: 52:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 61.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 43 Józefina Młynarska
POL
+27 s
+46 s
G2 / G6
 34:45
20:06
 1:04:38
Show details
Prediction details: Józefina Młynarska

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -19.0 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:45 (6:57 / km)
Historical basis: 7:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Error: +14:39 / +2:56 / km
Overall prediction: 1:04:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 34:45 (6:57 / km)
Total: 1:04:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 8.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.