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Junior Men

19.07.2025 Melilla ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Europe Triathlon Sprint and Relay Championships Melilla

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 19.07.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 58/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 76.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 95.3 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error13.4
Mean swim error11.7 s
Mean bike-speed error3.78 km/h
Correct bike groups12/62
No history2
Within the 80% range45.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 11 Thibault Rivier
SUI
+25 s
+9 s
G1 / G2
 14:24
16:21
 41:29
Show details
Prediction details: Thibault Rivier

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 16.1 s
H2H: 51 Gegner:innen, 199 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:24 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur 2.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Error: −1:57 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 41:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 14:24 (2:53 / km)
Total: 41:29
2 / 2 Achille Besson
FRA
+33 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:05
15:52
 42:10
Show details
Prediction details: Achille Besson

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–14
Top-10 probability: 78 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 22.9 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 121 Duelle, Korrektur -1.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:05 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 42:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 15:05 (3:01 / km)
Total: 42:10
3 / 5 Luis Rühl
GER
+14 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:21
15:57
 42:26
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Rühl

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 2.7 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Error: −0:36 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 42:26
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Total: 42:26
4 / 34 Moritz Hägel
GER
+32 s
+34 s
G1 / G5
 15:26
16:55
 42:31
Show details
Prediction details: Moritz Hägel

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -1.7 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 82 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: −1:29 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 42:31
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Total: 42:31
5 / 29 Alex Mandak
SVK
+33 s
+33 s
G1 / G6
 15:29
16:23
 42:34
Show details
Prediction details: Alex Mandak

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–26
Top-10 probability: 56 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -0.2 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 122 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 1.25 %, Sicherheit 99 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:54 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 42:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Total: 42:34
6 / 3 Brandon Pye
GBR
+20 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:37
15:45
 42:42
Show details
Prediction details: Brandon Pye

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 7.8 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 42:42
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Total: 42:42
7 / 23 Sebestyén Pál Kendeh-Kirchknopf
HUN
+20 s
+9 s
G1 / G2
 15:47
17:06
 42:52
Show details
Prediction details: Sebestyén Pál Kendeh-Kirchknopf

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–15
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 11.1 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur 0.88 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: −1:19 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 42:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Total: 42:52
8 / 8 Zalán Trungel-Nagy
HUN
+24 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:52
16:15
 42:57
Show details
Prediction details: Zalán Trungel-Nagy

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–18
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 10.3 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 166 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 42:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Total: 42:57
9 / 41 Zsombor Holba
HUN
+33 s
+38 s
G1 / G6
 15:56
17:49
 43:01
Show details
Prediction details: Zsombor Holba

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 10–27
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -5.2 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: −1:53 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 43:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Total: 43:01
10 / 32 Naël Gumy
SUI
+12 s
+9 s
G1 / G2
 16:01
18:02
 43:06
Show details
Prediction details: Naël Gumy

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–21
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 3.2 s
H2H: 53 Gegner:innen, 166 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur 1.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: −2:01 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 43:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Total: 43:06
11 / 17 Alex Robin
GBR
+22 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:06
17:03
 43:11
Show details
Prediction details: Alex Robin

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 11–21
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 18.2 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.28 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 43:11
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 43:11
12 / 9 Hector Tolsa Garcia
ESP
+28 s
+30 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:14
16:18
 43:19
Show details
Prediction details: Hector Tolsa Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 2–50
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -2.2 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 130 Duelle, Korrektur 0.73 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 43:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Total: 43:19
13 / 6 Jakub Suchan
POL
+29 s
+19 s
G1 / G2
 16:15
15:55
 43:20
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Suchan

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 3–43
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 10.0 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 125 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 43:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Total: 43:20
14 / 14 Giovanni Lombardo
ITA
+19 s
+16 s
G1 / G2
 16:18
16:32
 43:23
Show details
Prediction details: Giovanni Lombardo

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 14–24
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 3.3 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 43:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Total: 43:23
15 / 26 Tomás Figueiredo
POR
+47 s
+22 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:43
17:38
 43:26
Show details
Prediction details: Tomás Figueiredo

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 13–40
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 25.2 s
H2H: 49 Gegner:innen, 118 Duelle, Korrektur -1.70 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 5.7 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:43 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Error: −1:55 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 43:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:55 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Total: 43:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 13.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 48 Jose Ferreira
POR
+29 s
+27 s
G1 / G9
 16:22
17:14
 43:27
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Ferreira

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 4–48
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 1.5 s
H2H: 49 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 9 (8 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 43:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 43:27
17 / 33 Adam Dąbrowski
POL
+27 s
+20 s
G1 / G3
 16:24
17:28
 43:29
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Dąbrowski

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 16–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 7.1 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: −1:04 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 43:29
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Total: 43:29
18 / 1 Kjell Arved Brandt
GER
+41 s
+18 s
G2 / G1
 15:49
15:13
 43:32
Show details
Prediction details: Kjell Arved Brandt

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 7–44
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 22.6 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -1.19 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:13 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:36 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 43:32
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:55 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 43:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 6.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 46 Tristan Douche
FRA
+43 s
+31 s
G2 / G1
 15:54
20:25
 43:37
Show details
Prediction details: Tristan Douche

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 15–41
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 12.2 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 151 Duelle, Korrektur -0.98 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Error: −4:31 / −0:54 / km
Overall prediction: 43:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:55 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 43:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 9.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 13 András Szűcs
HUN
+22 s
+16 s
G1 / G2
 16:32
16:27
 43:37
Show details
Prediction details: András Szűcs

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 17–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 43:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Total: 43:37
21 / 35 Jelle Kaindl
AUT
+22 s
+14 s
G1 / G2
 16:33
18:15
 43:38
Show details
Prediction details: Jelle Kaindl

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 6–48
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 7.9 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Error: −1:42 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 43:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Total: 43:38
22 / 37 Rodrigo Pissarra
POR
+17 s
+17 s
G1 / G4
 16:35
17:44
 43:40
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Pissarra

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 8–46
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 0.1 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 43:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 43:40
23 / 7 Jasper Devos
BEL
+23 s
+24 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:39
16:12
 43:44
Show details
Prediction details: Jasper Devos

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 11–48
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -0.9 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 185 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 71 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 43:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 43:44
24 / 42 Roy Baron
ISR
+9 s
+11 s
G1 / G4
 16:40
18:46
 43:45
Show details
Prediction details: Roy Baron

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 11–41
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: -2.4 s
H2H: 51 Gegner:innen, 156 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 49 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Error: −2:06 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 43:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 43:45
25 / 43 Dorukalp Azizoğlu
TUR
+34 s
+34 s
G1 / G8
 16:44
17:24
 43:49
Show details
Prediction details: Dorukalp Azizoğlu

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 20–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -0.5 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 8 (7 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 43:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 43:49
26 / 24 Jakub Marik
CZE
+63 s
+40 s
G3 / G3
correct 		14:46
16:41
 43:50
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Marik

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 12–32
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 23.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.86 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.3 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:46 (2:57 / km)
Historical basis: 2:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 1.03 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Error: −1:55 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 43:50
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 14:46 (2:57 / km)
Total: 43:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 29.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 39 Liran Pelzman
ISR
+37 s
+32 s
G2 / G6
 16:08
17:19
 43:51
Show details
Prediction details: Liran Pelzman

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 14–42
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 43:51
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:55 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Total: 43:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 3.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 15 Matěj Procházka
CZE
+24 s
+29 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:48
16:44
 43:53
Show details
Prediction details: Matěj Procházka

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 23–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -4.9 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 146 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 43:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Total: 43:53
29 / 10 Dries Cannaerts
BEL
+15 s
+10 s
G1 / G2
 16:50
16:12
 43:55
Show details
Prediction details: Dries Cannaerts

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 23–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 43:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Total: 43:55
30 / 18 Rory Bryant
GBR
+20 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:50
16:50
 43:55
Show details
Prediction details: Rory Bryant

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 21–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 16.9 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 43:55
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Total: 43:55
31 / 50 Roye Kohn
ISR
+32 s
+39 s
G1 / G8
 16:52
18:32
 43:57
Show details
Prediction details: Roye Kohn

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 11–54
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -7.1 s
H2H: 54 Gegner:innen, 173 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 8 (7 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Error: −1:40 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 43:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Total: 43:57
32 / 38 Senan McDonnell
IRL
+5 s
+19 s
G1 / G2
 16:55
18:34
 44:00
Show details
Prediction details: Senan McDonnell

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 22–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: -13.7 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 64 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Error: −1:39 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 44:00
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 44:00
33 / 36 Jan Gaberc
AUT
+17 s
+20 s
G1 / G3
 16:55
18:06
 44:00
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Gaberc

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 22–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -3.0 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 44:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 44:00
34 / 19 Jens Smolders
BEL
+37 s
+51 s
G2 / G3
 16:24
16:33
 44:07
Show details
Prediction details: Jens Smolders

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 18–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -13.8 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 150 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 44:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:55 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Total: 44:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 3.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 62 Türker Kemal Kiyak
TUR
+23 s
+20 s
G1 / G11
 17:05
19:57
 44:10
Show details
Prediction details: Türker Kemal Kiyak

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 27–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 62
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 3.4 s
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 119 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 11 (2 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Error: −2:52 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 44:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 44:10
36 / 27 Elias Leimer
SUI
+27 s
+13 s
G1 / G2
 17:06
17:50
 44:11
Show details
Prediction details: Elias Leimer

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 15–52
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 14.1 s
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 181 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 44:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 44:11
37 / 45 Lukas Plic
CZE
+32 s
+30 s
G1 / G8
 17:06
17:52
 44:11
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Plic

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 25–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 2.3 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 8 (7 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 44:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 44:11
38 / 60 Poli Stoffel
LUX
+22 s
+20 s
G1 / G11
 17:07
19:52
 44:12
Show details
Prediction details: Poli Stoffel

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 29–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 60
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 2.2 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 1.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 11 (2 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 99 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Error: −2:45 / −0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 44:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Total: 44:12
39 / 22 Nicolaos Keramidas
GRE
+43 s
+12 s
G2 / G3
 16:30
16:35
 44:13
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolaos Keramidas

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 28–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 31.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:13
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:55 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 9.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 53 Dominik Ivančík
SVK
+33 s
+30 s
G1 / G9
 17:12
18:04
 44:17
Show details
Prediction details: Dominik Ivančík

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 34–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 2.5 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 9 (8 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 44:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Total: 44:17
41 / 16 Remi Hirschauer
LUX
+17 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
 17:13
16:51
 44:18
Show details
Prediction details: Remi Hirschauer

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 33–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -3.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.88 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:18
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Total: 44:18
42 / 25 Felix Amløf
NOR
+31 s
+4 s
G1 / G2
 17:14
17:20
 44:19
Show details
Prediction details: Felix Amløf

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 33–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 26.8 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.97 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Total: 44:19
43 / 31 Afonso Ferreira
POR
+39 s
+18 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:37
17:52
 44:20
Show details
Prediction details: Afonso Ferreira

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 7–54
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 20.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:46 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: −1:15 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 44:20
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:55 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Total: 44:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 4.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 58 Gert Martin Savitsch
EST
+16 s
+31 s
G1 / G8
 17:17
20:16
 44:22
Show details
Prediction details: Gert Martin Savitsch

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 28–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -14.7 s
H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 165 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 8 (7 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Error: −2:59 / −0:36 / km
Overall prediction: 44:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Total: 44:22
45 / 44 Thomas Green Nielsen
DEN
+71 s
+58 s
G3 / G7
 15:22
17:47
 44:26
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Green Nielsen

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 23–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 12.9 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -1.94 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 41.7 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Error: −2:25 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 44:26
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Total: 44:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 37.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 4 Etienne Le Roux
FRA
+67 s
+23 s
G3 / G1
 15:31
15:52
 44:35
Show details
Prediction details: Etienne Le Roux

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 27–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 42

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 44.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:35
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 33.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 64 Jonas Hergaard
DEN
+29 s
+49 s
G1 / G10
 17:37
21:39
 44:42
Show details
Prediction details: Jonas Hergaard

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 42–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 64
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -20.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:39 (4:20 / km)
Error: −4:02 / −0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 44:42
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Total: 44:42
48 / 21 Kacper Serwiński
POL
+38 s
+38 s
G2 / G3
 17:04
16:39
 44:47
Show details
Prediction details: Kacper Serwiński

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 11–56
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 150 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:55 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Total: 44:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 12 Damian Suarez Couto
ESP
+18 s
+3 s
G1 / G2
 17:48
16:28
 44:53
Show details
Prediction details: Damian Suarez Couto

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 15–55
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 37

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 15.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -1.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Error: +1:20 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 44:53
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Total: 44:53
50 / 40 Lars Van Zessen
NED
+44 s
+40 s
G2 / G3
 17:48
18:29
 45:31
Show details
Prediction details: Lars Van Zessen

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 48–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 3.8 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 11
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:41 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:55 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Total: 45:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 10.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 54 Maro Schober
AUT
+11 s
+31 s
G1 / G7
 18:30
19:09
 45:35
Show details
Prediction details: Maro Schober

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 47–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -20.1 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 154 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -1.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Total: 45:35
52 / 47 Omer Peer
ISR
+54 s
+66 s
G3 / G9
 16:40
17:11
 45:44
Show details
Prediction details: Omer Peer

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 28–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: -12.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 9 (8 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 45:44
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 20.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 51 Emiliano Tassinari
ITA
+65 s
+36 s
G3 / G7
 16:44
19:01
 45:48
Show details
Prediction details: Emiliano Tassinari

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 38–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 29.1 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -1.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:01 (3:48 / km)
Error: −2:17 / −0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 45:48
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 31.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 56 Illia Honcharuk
UKR
+66 s
+65 s
G3 / G9
 16:47
18:43
 45:51
Show details
Prediction details: Illia Honcharuk

Placement

Prediction: 54
80% range: 44–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: 0.6 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 9 (8 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Error: −1:56 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 45:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 31.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
55 / 52 Leon Dahlin
SWE
+53 s
+45 s
G3 / G8
 17:06
18:42
 46:10
Show details
Prediction details: Leon Dahlin

Placement

Prediction: 55
80% range: 40–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 7.9 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 8 (7 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Error: −1:36 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 46:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 46:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 19.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
56 / 55 Artur Abras
EST
+59 s
+47 s
G3 / G8
 18:11
19:31
 47:15
Show details
Prediction details: Artur Abras

Placement

Prediction: 56
80% range: 52–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 12.1 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 4.3 s
Result: Group 8 (7 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Error: −1:20 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 47:15
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Total: 47:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 25.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
57 / 63 Alex Sundstedt
FIN
+113 s
+69 s
G4 / G9
 17:11
21:37
 48:02
Show details
Prediction details: Alex Sundstedt

Placement

Prediction: 57
80% range: 57–60
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 63
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +113 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 43.6 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 72 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 41.7 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (8 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:37 (4:19 / km)
Error: −4:26 / −0:53 / km
Overall prediction: 48:02
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:46 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:58 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 48:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 78.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
58 / 57 Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi
UKR
+56 s
+64 s
G3 / G9
 19:48
19:11
 48:52
Show details
Prediction details: Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi

Placement

Prediction: 58
80% range: 57–60
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -1.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 9 (8 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -1.84 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:52
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Total: 48:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 22.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
59 / 49 Vito Obrovac
CRO
+70 s
+31 s
G3 / G6
 19:52
19:21
 48:56
Show details
Prediction details: Vito Obrovac

Placement

Prediction: 59
80% range: 58–61
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 39.1 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Total: 48:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 36.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
60 / 61 Zigmas Reisas
LTU
+55 s
+71 s
G3 / G9
 20:36
21:29
 49:40
Show details
Prediction details: Zigmas Reisas

Placement

Prediction: 60
80% range: 58–61
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 61
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: -15.7 s
H2H: 49 Gegner:innen, 148 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 9 (8 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:36 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:29 (4:18 / km)
Error: −0:53 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 49:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 20:36 (4:07 / km)
Total: 49:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 21.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
61 / 30 Víctor Alias Fernández
ESP
+18 s
+34 s
G1 / G6
 40:46
16:27
 1:07:51
Show details
Prediction details: Víctor Alias Fernández

Placement

Prediction: 61
80% range: 62–62
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -15.9 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 1.79 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 40:46 (8:09 / km)
Historical basis: 8:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Error: +24:19 / +4:52 / km
Overall prediction: 1:07:51
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: 40:46 (8:09 / km)
Total: 1:07:51
0 / 20 Jayden Scott Koslick
GER
+20 s
+30 s
G1 / G3
16:39
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Prediction details: Jayden Scott Koslick

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -10.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (41 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:32 (43.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 28 Iaromir Molibozhenko
AIN
+0 s
+39 s
G0 / G3
17:24
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Prediction details: Iaromir Molibozhenko

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 63–63
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 59 Jonas Saulius Jonaitis
LTU
+0 s
+49 s
G0 / G9
20:25
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Prediction details: Jonas Saulius Jonaitis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 64–64
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (8 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.