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Semifinal 2 Youth Women

12.09.2025 Kitzbühel AUT
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Europe Triathlon Youth Championships Kitzbuhel

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 12.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 40/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 39.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 71.4 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.8
Mean swim error25.9 s
Mean bike-speed error1.68 km/h
Correct bike groups9/22
No history6
Within the 80% range17.9 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Anouk Danna
SUI
+15 s
+36 s
G2 / G1
 10:29
11:26
 30:20
Show details
Prediction details: Anouk Danna

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 6:53
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -20.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 57 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 19.4 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -1.15 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:26 (3:49 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 30:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:53 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:36 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 10:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 30:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 11.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 10 Míra Miszlai
HUN
+49 s
+55 s
G3 / G3
correct 		10:24
10:57
 30:36
Show details
Prediction details: Míra Miszlai

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 7:27
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -6.5 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:24 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 37 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:57 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 30:36
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:27 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 10:24 (3:28 / km)
Total: 30:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 44.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 8 Adar Haya Kurant
ISR
+54 s
+42 s
G3 / G3
correct 		10:25
10:58
 30:37
Show details
Prediction details: Adar Haya Kurant

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 7:32
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 12.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:25 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 1.28 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:58 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 30:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:32 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 10:25 (3:28 / km)
Total: 30:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 50.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 17 Linda Urbanová
SVK
+47 s
+54 s
G3 / G3
correct 		10:28
12:18
 30:40
Show details
Prediction details: Linda Urbanová

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 7:25
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -6.9 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.3 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:28 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 1.14 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:18 (4:06 / km)
Error: −1:50 / −0:37 / km
Overall prediction: 30:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:25 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 10:28 (3:29 / km)
Total: 30:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 43.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 7 Sophie Richmond
GBR
+38 s
+49 s
G3 / G3
correct 		10:42
10:51
 30:54
Show details
Prediction details: Sophie Richmond

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 7:16
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -11.5 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.82 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:42 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:51 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 30:54
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 7:16 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 10:42 (3:34 / km)
Total: 30:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 33.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 1 Petra Bán
HUN
+7 s
+2 s
G2 / G1
 11:04
11:01
 30:55
Show details
Prediction details: Petra Bán

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 6:45
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:04 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:01 (3:40 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 30:55
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:45 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:36 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 11:04 (3:41 / km)
Total: 30:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 3.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 21 Marie Karbanova
CZE
+54 s
+75 s
G3 / G5
 11:14
11:53
 31:26
Show details
Prediction details: Marie Karbanova

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 9–16
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 7:32
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: -21.4 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:14 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:53 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 31:26
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:32 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 11:14 (3:45 / km)
Total: 31:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 49.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 4 Chiara Guarisco
ITA
+52 s
+0 s
G3 / G1
 11:15
11:43
 31:27
Show details
Prediction details: Chiara Guarisco

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 41 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 7:30
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 52.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -1.99 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:15 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 47 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:43 (3:54 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 31:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:30 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 11:15 (3:45 / km)
Total: 31:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 48.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 14 Anja Bezlaj
SLO
+54 s
+47 s
G3 / G3
correct 		11:23
11:39
 31:35
Show details
Prediction details: Anja Bezlaj

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 5–19
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 7:32
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 7.1 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 11.1 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:23 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:39 (3:53 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 31:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:32 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 11:23 (3:48 / km)
Total: 31:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 50.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 13 Mika Vitkin
ISR
+12 s
+22 s
G2 / G2
correct 		11:56
11:55
 31:47
Show details
Prediction details: Mika Vitkin

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 5–15
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 6:50
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -10.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:56 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:55 (3:58 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 31:47
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:50 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:36 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 11:56 (3:59 / km)
Total: 31:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 8.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 19 Diana Alexandra Constantinescu
ROU
+6 s
+30 s
G2 / G3
 12:06
12:37
 31:57
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Alexandra Constantinescu

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 6:44
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -24.5 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.5 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:06 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:37 (4:12 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 31:57
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:44 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:36 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 12:06 (4:02 / km)
Total: 31:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 1.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 25 Isabel Moore
GBR
+42 s
+75 s
G3 / G7
 11:53
12:48
 32:05
Show details
Prediction details: Isabel Moore

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 12–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 7:20
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: -33.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.82 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 5.3 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:53 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:48 (4:16 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 32:05
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 7:20 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 11:53 (3:58 / km)
Total: 32:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 37.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 23 Amina Marchenko
UKR
+49 s
+74 s
G3 / G6
 12:00
12:14
 32:12
Show details
Prediction details: Amina Marchenko

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 13–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 7:27
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: -24.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 1.02 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:00 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:14 (4:05 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 32:12
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 7:27 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 12:00 (4:00 / km)
Total: 32:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 45.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 6 Lia Depret
BEL
+65 s
+52 s
G4 / G3
 11:26
10:41
 32:33
Show details
Prediction details: Lia Depret

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–16
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 7:43
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 13.2 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.25 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.1 s
Gap behind: 36.0 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:26 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:41 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 32:33
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 7:43 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 20:02 (33.6 km/h)
Run: 11:26 (3:49 / km)
Total: 32:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 61.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 11 Julia Sikora
POL
+35 s
+45 s
G3 / G3
correct 		13:12
11:16
 33:24
Show details
Prediction details: Julia Sikora

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 16–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 7:13
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -10.5 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.4 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:12 (4:24 / km)
Historical basis: 4:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:16 (3:45 / km)
Error: +1:56 / +0:39 / km
Overall prediction: 33:24
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:13 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 13:12 (4:24 / km)
Total: 33:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 30.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 9 Viktoriia Shutova
AIN
+38 s
+32 s
G3 / G3
correct 		13:20
10:53
 33:32
Show details
Prediction details: Viktoriia Shutova

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 15–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 7:16
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 6.2 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.06 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:20 (4:27 / km)
Historical basis: 4:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.98 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:53 (3:38 / km)
Error: +2:27 / +0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 33:32
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 7:16 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 13:20 (4:27 / km)
Total: 33:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 34.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 16 Liv Frost Juhler
DEN
+36 s
+69 s
G3 / G3
correct 		13:34
12:01
 33:46
Show details
Prediction details: Liv Frost Juhler

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 18–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 7:14
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: -33.1 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:34 (4:31 / km)
Historical basis: 4:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -1.24 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:01 (4:00 / km)
Error: +1:33 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 33:46
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 7:14 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 13:34 (4:31 / km)
Total: 33:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 32 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 5 Alba Nuñez Hernández
ESP
+51 s
+30 s
G3 / G1
 13:38
11:44
 33:50
Show details
Prediction details: Alba Nuñez Hernández

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 18–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 7:29
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 21.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -1.19 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:38 (4:33 / km)
Historical basis: 4:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -2.03 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:44 (3:55 / km)
Error: +1:54 / +0:38 / km
Overall prediction: 33:50
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 7:29 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:18 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 13:38 (4:33 / km)
Total: 33:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 47.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 15 Inês Fernandes
POR
+156 s
+68 s
G6 / G3
 10:53
11:49
 34:51
Show details
Prediction details: Inês Fernandes

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +156 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: 87.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 54.4 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:53 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.24 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:49 (3:56 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 34:51
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:14 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 21:23 (31.4 km/h)
Run: 10:53 (3:38 / km)
Total: 34:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 151.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 27 Nanna Jensehaugen
NOR
+101 s
+79 s
G5 / G7
 13:18
14:37
 36:38
Show details
Prediction details: Nanna Jensehaugen

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +101 s
Time: 8:19
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: 22.2 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 36.0 s
Gap behind: 54.4 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:18 (4:26 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:37 (4:52 / km)
Error: −1:19 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 36:38
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:19 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 21:39 (31.0 km/h)
Run: 13:18 (4:26 / km)
Total: 36:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 97.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 3 Léa Reviglio
FRA
+0 s
+37 s
G0 / G1
11:38
Show details
Prediction details: Léa Reviglio

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 6:38
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:38 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 6:38 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Alice Ventre
ITA
+0 s
+64 s
G1 / G3
11:17
Show details
Prediction details: Alice Ventre

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 6:38
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -64.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 5.5 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:17 (3:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:38 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:30 (40.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 18 Maxine Hollaus
AUT
+0 s
+27 s
G0 / G3
12:27
Show details
Prediction details: Maxine Hollaus

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 6:38
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:27 (4:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 6:38 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Nina Mayer
GER
+0 s
+50 s
G0 / G3
12:46
Show details
Prediction details: Nina Mayer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 6:38
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:46 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 6:38 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Minna Li Mäesepp
EST
+0 s
+70 s
G0 / G4
12:29
Show details
Prediction details: Minna Li Mäesepp

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 6:38
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:29 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 6:38 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Ellen Fröjdö
FIN
+0 s
+77 s
G1 / G5
12:54
Show details
Prediction details: Ellen Fröjdö

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 6:38
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: -77.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:54 (4:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 6:38 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:30 (40.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 26 Anhelina Shkuleva
AIN
+0 s
+44 s
G0 / G5
14:01
Show details
Prediction details: Anhelina Shkuleva

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 6:38
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:01 (4:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 6:38 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Nisa Başaran
TUR
+0 s
+52 s
G0 / G8
13:54
Show details
Prediction details: Nisa Başaran

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 6:38
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 28.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:54 (4:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 6:38 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.