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Elite Men

27.09.2025 Cervia ITA
Race information and calculation basis
2025 ITA Sprint Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 27.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 32/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 64.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 80.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error12.6
Mean swim error16.7 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history2
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Michael Gar
GBR
+4 s
+0 s
G0 / G1
 16:51
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Gar

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time:
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:24 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Nicola Azzano
ITA
+5 s
+1 s
G0 / G1
 16:08
Show details
Prediction details: Nicola Azzano

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time:
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:35 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Kiril Polikarpenko
ITA
+19 s
+39 s
G0 / G1
 15:38
Show details
Prediction details: Kiril Polikarpenko

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time:
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -20.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:32 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Davide Menichelli
ITA
+54 s
+68 s
G0 / G1
 15:21
Show details
Prediction details: Davide Menichelli

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time:
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: -14.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 1.51 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:38 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Davide Catalano
ITA
+38 s
+27 s
G0 / G1
 31:46
Show details
Prediction details: Davide Catalano

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time:
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 11.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:46 (6:21 / km)
Historical basis: 6:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:43 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 31:46 (6:21 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Edoardo Del Carlo
ITA
+34 s
+46 s
G0 / G1
 16:05
Show details
Prediction details: Edoardo Del Carlo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:53 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Niccolò Sancisi
ITA
+59 s
+24 s
G0 / G1
 15:47
Show details
Prediction details: Niccolò Sancisi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time:
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 35.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.02 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:03 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Alberto Bartolomeo Demarchi
ITA
+23 s
+47 s
G0 / G1
 28:52
Show details
Prediction details: Alberto Bartolomeo Demarchi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -24.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:52 (5:46 / km)
Historical basis: 5:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:02 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 28:52 (5:46 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Andrea Balestreri
ITA
+28 s
+52 s
G0 / G1
 15:28
Show details
Prediction details: Andrea Balestreri

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time:
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -24.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:08 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Jacopo Mapelli
ITA
+47 s
+67 s
G0 / G1
 18:16
Show details
Prediction details: Jacopo Mapelli

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time:
Pace: 2:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: -20.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:13 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Diego Lampe
ITA
+31 s
+46 s
G0 / G1
 15:15
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Lampe

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time:
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -15.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Delian Stateff
ITA
+7 s
+34 s
G0 / G1
 16:42
Show details
Prediction details: Delian Stateff

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time:
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -27.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Salvatore Maccarrone
ITA
+0 s
+20 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Salvatore Maccarrone

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Thomas Francesco Previtali
ITA
+29 s
+38 s
G0 / G1
 16:14
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Francesco Previtali

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time:
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:20 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Emiliano Tassinari
ITA
+41 s
+47 s
G0 / G1
 16:30
Show details
Prediction details: Emiliano Tassinari

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time:
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -6.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:37 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Francesco Interlandi
ITA
+23 s
+55 s
G0 / G1
 16:14
Show details
Prediction details: Francesco Interlandi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -32.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 47 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:22 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Alessandro Passerini
ITA
+41 s
+64 s
G0 / G1
Show details
Prediction details: Alessandro Passerini

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -23.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:27 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Matteo Carlo Perri
ITA
+40 s
+51 s
G0 / G1
 15:58
Show details
Prediction details: Matteo Carlo Perri

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Daniele Moruzzi
ITA
+25 s
+52 s
G0 / G1
 16:19
Show details
Prediction details: Daniele Moruzzi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -27.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 47 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:37 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Giovanni Aruffo
ITA
+5 s
+1 s
G0 / G1
 18:25
Show details
Prediction details: Giovanni Aruffo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -1.60 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:34 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Giovanni Pavanello
ITA
+19 s
+16 s
G0 / G1
 16:29
Show details
Prediction details: Giovanni Pavanello

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 2.16 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Federico Murero
ITA
+9 s
+38 s
G0 / G1
 20:50
Show details
Prediction details: Federico Murero

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -29.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Stefano Degano
ITA
+0 s
+45 s
G0 / G1
Show details
Prediction details: Stefano Degano

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Ivan Cappelli
ITA
+87 s
+65 s
G0 / G1
Show details
Prediction details: Ivan Cappelli

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +87 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: 22.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:34 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Matteo Belli
ITA
+16 s
+25 s
G0 / G1
 18:31
Show details
Prediction details: Matteo Belli

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (24 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:41 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.