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Prediction comparison

Elite Women

06.09.2025 Alba Adriatica ITA
Race information and calculation basis
2025 ITA Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 06.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 32/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 64.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 76.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error12.3
Mean swim error31.0 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history2
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Asia Mercatelli
ITA
+24 s
+35 s
G0 / G2
36:49
Show details
Prediction details: Asia Mercatelli

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time:
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:49 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 34:26 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 36:49 (3:41 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Carlotta Missaglia
ITA
+24 s
+36 s
G0 / G2
36:19
Show details
Prediction details: Carlotta Missaglia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:19 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 35:01 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 36:19 (3:38 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Alessia Orla
ITA
+30 s
+33 s
G0 / G2
37:59
Show details
Prediction details: Alessia Orla

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -3.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:59 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.95 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 35:47 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 37:59 (3:48 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Paola Sacchi
ITA
+31 s
+37 s
G0 / G2
39:05
Show details
Prediction details: Paola Sacchi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -6.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 39:05 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 36:00 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 39:05 (3:54 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Adelaide Anna Badini Confalonieri
ITA
+23 s
+38 s
G0 / G2
41:07
Show details
Prediction details: Adelaide Anna Badini Confalonieri

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time:
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -15.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 44 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 41:07 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 36:42 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 41:07 (4:07 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Giorgia Messori
ITA
+8 s
+0 s
G0 / G1
37:41
Show details
Prediction details: Giorgia Messori

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 8.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:41 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.93 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 36:58 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 37:41 (3:46 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Luisa Iogna-Prat
ITA
+32 s
+40 s
G0 / G2
37:07
Show details
Prediction details: Luisa Iogna-Prat

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:07 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:05 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 37:07 (3:43 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Giada Stegani
ITA
+19 s
+35 s
G0 / G2
37:42
Show details
Prediction details: Giada Stegani

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -16.0 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:42 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:09 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 37:42 (3:46 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Claudia Carmela Paladini
ITA
+49 s
+39 s
G0 / G2
37:58
Show details
Prediction details: Claudia Carmela Paladini

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time:
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 10.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.73 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:58 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:23 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 37:58 (3:48 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Denise Cavallini
ITA
+22 s
+36 s
G0 / G2
39:44
Show details
Prediction details: Denise Cavallini

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time:
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -14.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 39:44 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:52 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 39:44 (3:58 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Alice Bagarello
ITA
+43 s
+103 s
G0 / G5
35:52
Show details
Prediction details: Alice Bagarello

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time:
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +103 s
Fehler: -60.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:52 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.90 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 36:01 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 35:52 (3:35 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Nicoletta Santonocito
ITA
+69 s
+73 s
G0 / G3
25:16
Show details
Prediction details: Nicoletta Santonocito

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time:
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.94 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:16 (2:32 / km)
Historical basis: 2:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:11 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 25:16 (2:32 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Noemi Bogiatto
ITA
+307 s
+224 s
G0 / G7
51:31
Show details
Prediction details: Noemi Bogiatto

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +307 s
Time:
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +224 s
Fehler: 83.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 51:31 (5:09 / km)
Historical basis: 5:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2

Ergebnis Lauf: 34:48 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 51:31 (5:09 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Federica Frigerio
ITA
+56 s
+208 s
G0 / G6
45:31
Show details
Prediction details: Federica Frigerio

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time:
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +208 s
Fehler: -152.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 45:31 (4:33 / km)
Historical basis: 4:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 35:59 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 45:31 (4:33 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Eleonora Demarchi
ITA
+45 s
+104 s
G0 / G5
38:10
Show details
Prediction details: Eleonora Demarchi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time:
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +104 s
Fehler: -59.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:10 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:11 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 38:10 (3:49 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Elisa Marcon
ITA
+18 s
+42 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Elisa Marcon

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -24.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:18 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Cristina Ventura
ITA
+31 s
+44 s
G0 / G3
Show details
Prediction details: Cristina Ventura

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -13.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:23 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Francesca Crestani
ITA
+28 s
+73 s
G0 / G4
38:17
Show details
Prediction details: Francesca Crestani

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time:
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: -45.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:17 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:44 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 38:17 (3:50 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Matilde Salati
ITA
+0 s
+76 s
G0 / G4
Show details
Prediction details: Matilde Salati

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:32 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Zoe Orsolini
ITA
+31 s
+105 s
G0 / G5
41:14
Show details
Prediction details: Zoe Orsolini

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time:
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +105 s
Fehler: -74.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.66 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 41:14 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:18 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 41:14 (4:07 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Lena Goller
ITA
+23 s
+43 s
G0 / G2
44:30
Show details
Prediction details: Lena Goller

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time:
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -20.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 44:30 (4:27 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:37 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 44:30 (4:27 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Ludovica Severi
ITA
+51 s
+99 s
G0 / G5
Show details
Prediction details: Ludovica Severi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +99 s
Fehler: -48.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:54 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Maria Casciotti
ITA
+0 s
+203 s
G0 / G6
Show details
Prediction details: Maria Casciotti

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +203 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 38:26 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Federica Ferranti
ITA
+42 s
+44 s
G0 / G2
44:09
Show details
Prediction details: Federica Ferranti

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time:
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -2.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 44:09 (4:25 / km)
Historical basis: 4:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:19 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:23 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 44:09 (4:25 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Laura Ceddia
ITA
+68 s
+41 s
G0 / G2
39:49
Show details
Prediction details: Laura Ceddia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time:
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 27.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -2.45 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 39:49 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:28 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 39:49 (3:59 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.