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Prediction comparison

Elite Men

25.06.2025 Trakai LTU
Race information and calculation basis
2025 LTU Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 25.06.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 22/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 3.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.5
Mean swim error130.8 s
Mean bike-speed error2.00 km/h
Correct bike groups3/4
No history26
Within the 80% range20.0 %
Details
1 / 4 Oskaras Grigonis
LTU
+27 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct
37:27
37:54
1:37:54
Show details
Prediction details: Oskaras Grigonis

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 20:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 27.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 96.0 s

Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:27 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:37:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:00 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 37:27 (3:45 / km)
Total: 1:37:54
0 / 1 Mantas Jablonskis
LTU
+0 s
+223 s
G0 / G2
35:18
Show details
Prediction details: Mantas Jablonskis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +223 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 35:18 (3:32 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Tomas Burbulis
LTU
+0 s
+153 s
G0 / G1
36:20
Show details
Prediction details: Tomas Burbulis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +153 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 36:20 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Gediminas Pajėda
LTU
+0 s
+149 s
G0 / G1
37:30
Show details
Prediction details: Gediminas Pajėda

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +149 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:30 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Marijus Butrimavicius
LTU
+123 s
+228 s
G2 / G2
correct
38:14
Show details
Prediction details: Marijus Butrimavicius

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +123 s
Time: 21:46
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +228 s
Fehler: -105.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 96.0 s
Gap behind: 156.0 s

Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 38:14 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 21:46 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 59:20 (40.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 56.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +66.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 6 Džiugas Zarauskas
LTU
+0 s
+293 s
G0 / G3
36:31
Show details
Prediction details: Džiugas Zarauskas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +293 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 36:31 (3:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Donatas Stulgys
LTU
+0 s
+274 s
G0 / G3
37:09
Show details
Prediction details: Donatas Stulgys

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +274 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:09 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Jonas Beleška
LTU
+0 s
+142 s
G0 / G4
37:49
Show details
Prediction details: Jonas Beleška

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +142 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:49 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Edgar Deduchov
LTU
+604 s
+271 s
G4 / G4
correct
38:17
Show details
Prediction details: Edgar Deduchov

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +604 s
Time: 29:47
Pace: 1:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +271 s
Fehler: 333.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 325.0 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 38:17 (3:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 29:47 (1:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 59:20 (40.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 537.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +66.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 10 Mantas Bartkus
LTU
+0 s
+156 s
G0 / G4
38:45
Show details
Prediction details: Mantas Bartkus

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +156 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 38:45 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Gediminas Linkus
LTU
+0 s
+237 s
G0 / G3
39:56
Show details
Prediction details: Gediminas Linkus

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +237 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:56 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Mantas Marcinkevicius
LTU
+0 s
+278 s
G0 / G3
39:59
Show details
Prediction details: Mantas Marcinkevicius

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +278 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:59 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Aleksej Kaminskij
LTU
+0 s
+255 s
G0 / G3
40:52
Show details
Prediction details: Aleksej Kaminskij

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +255 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:52 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Darius Rudnickas
LTU
+0 s
+272 s
G0 / G3
40:40
Show details
Prediction details: Darius Rudnickas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +272 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:40 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Andrius Ogintas
LTU
+0 s
+147 s
G0 / G4
41:04
Show details
Prediction details: Andrius Ogintas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +147 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:04 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Julian Volkovicki
LTU
+0 s
+290 s
G0 / G3
42:31
Show details
Prediction details: Julian Volkovicki

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +290 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:31 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Dominykas Kerevičius
LTU
+0 s
+293 s
G0 / G4
42:20
Show details
Prediction details: Dominykas Kerevičius

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +293 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:20 (4:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Tomas Bulotas
LTU
+0 s
+302 s
G0 / G3
43:48
Show details
Prediction details: Tomas Bulotas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +302 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:48 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Vytautas Jazepcikas
LTU
+0 s
+439 s
G0 / G7
37:38
Show details
Prediction details: Vytautas Jazepcikas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +439 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:38 (3:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Eimantas Skalandis
LTU
+0 s
+252 s
G0 / G5
41:21
Show details
Prediction details: Eimantas Skalandis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +252 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:21 (4:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Simas Rindeikis
LTU
+0 s
+337 s
G0 / G6
40:11
Show details
Prediction details: Simas Rindeikis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +337 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:11 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Vaidotas Poškus
LTU
+0 s
+83 s
G0 / G5
41:42
Show details
Prediction details: Vaidotas Poškus

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:42 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Artūras Gelžinis
LTU
+0 s
+415 s
G0 / G6
41:40
Show details
Prediction details: Artūras Gelžinis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +415 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:40 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Antanas Baranauskas
LTU
+0 s
+335 s
G0 / G6
42:19
Show details
Prediction details: Antanas Baranauskas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +335 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:19 (4:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Vytautas Vaiciulis
LTU
+279 s
+337 s
G3 / G6
42:28
Show details
Prediction details: Vytautas Vaiciulis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +279 s
Time: 24:22
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +337 s
Fehler: -58.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 156.0 s
Gap behind: 325.0 s

Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:28 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 24:22 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 59:20 (40.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 212.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +66.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 26 Tadas Lėveris
LTU
+0 s
+70 s
G0 / G5
42:36
Show details
Prediction details: Tadas Lėveris

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:36 (4:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Mantas Lynikas
LTU
+0 s
+149 s
G0 / G4
45:47
Show details
Prediction details: Mantas Lynikas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +149 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 45:47 (4:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Deividas Jančius
LTU
+0 s
+343 s
G0 / G6
43:29
Show details
Prediction details: Deividas Jančius

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +343 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:29 (4:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 29 Evaldas Pavalkis
LTU
+0 s
+481 s
G0 / G7
40:40
Show details
Prediction details: Evaldas Pavalkis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +481 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:40 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30 Laurynas Ramonas
LTU
+0 s
+347 s
G0 / G6
43:13
Show details
Prediction details: Laurynas Ramonas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +347 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:13 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 19:43 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.