Prediction comparison
Elite Men
25.06.2025
Trakai
LTU
Race information and calculation basis
2025 LTU Triathlon National Championships
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 25.06.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Prediction model used
Modell v15
Default values
Prediction quality
22/100
sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s
Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s
Gruppeneffekt 0.65
Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h
Datenabdeckung 3.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.5
Mean swim error130.8 s
Mean bike-speed error2.00 km/h
Correct bike groups3/4
No history26
Within the 80% range20.0 %
| Details | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 4 |
LTU
|
+27 s
+0 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
37:27
37:54
|
1:37:54 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 20:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 27.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
96.0 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.73 km/h
Running and totalRun: 37:27 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:37:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
20:10
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:00:00
(40.0 km/h)
Run:
37:27
(3:45 / km)
Total:
1:37:54
|
| 0 / 1 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+223 s
|
G0 / G2
|
35:18
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +223 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:18 (3:32 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 2 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+153 s
|
G0 / G1
|
36:20
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +153 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:20 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 3 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+149 s
|
G0 / G1
|
37:30
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +149 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:30 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 5 |
LTU
|
+123 s
+228 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
38:14
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +123 s
Time: 21:46
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +228 s
Fehler: -105.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead:
96.0 s
Gap behind:
156.0 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.12 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:14 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
21:46
(1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
59:20
(40.5 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 56.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +66.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 6 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+293 s
|
G0 / G3
|
36:31
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +293 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:31 (3:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 7 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+274 s
|
G0 / G3
|
37:09
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +274 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:09 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 8 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+142 s
|
G0 / G4
|
37:49
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +142 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:49 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 9 |
LTU
|
+604 s
+271 s
|
G4 / G4
correct
|
38:17
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +604 s
Time: 29:47
Pace: 1:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +271 s
Fehler: 333.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead:
325.0 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.24 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:17 (3:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
29:47
(1:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
59:20
(40.5 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 537.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +66.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 10 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+156 s
|
G0 / G4
|
38:45
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +156 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:45 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 11 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+237 s
|
G0 / G3
|
39:56
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +237 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:56 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 12 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+278 s
|
G0 / G3
|
39:59
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +278 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:59 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 13 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+255 s
|
G0 / G3
|
40:52
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +255 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:52 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 14 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+272 s
|
G0 / G3
|
40:40
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +272 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:40 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 15 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+147 s
|
G0 / G4
|
41:04
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +147 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:04 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 16 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+290 s
|
G0 / G3
|
42:31
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +290 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:31 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 17 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+293 s
|
G0 / G4
|
42:20
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +293 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:20 (4:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 18 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+302 s
|
G0 / G3
|
43:48
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +302 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 43:48 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 19 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+439 s
|
G0 / G7
|
37:38
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +439 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:38 (3:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 20 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+252 s
|
G0 / G5
|
41:21
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +252 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:21 (4:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 21 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+337 s
|
G0 / G6
|
40:11
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +337 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:11 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 22 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+83 s
|
G0 / G5
|
41:42
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:42 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 23 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+415 s
|
G0 / G6
|
41:40
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +415 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:40 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 24 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+335 s
|
G0 / G6
|
42:19
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +335 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:19 (4:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 25 |
LTU
|
+279 s
+337 s
|
G3 / G6
|
42:28
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +279 s
Time: 24:22
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +337 s
Fehler: -58.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead:
156.0 s
Gap behind:
325.0 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.91 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:28 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
24:22
(1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
59:20
(40.5 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 212.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +66.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 26 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+70 s
|
G0 / G5
|
42:36
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:36 (4:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 27 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+149 s
|
G0 / G4
|
45:47
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +149 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 45:47 (4:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 28 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+343 s
|
G0 / G6
|
43:29
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +343 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 43:29 (4:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 29 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+481 s
|
G0 / G7
|
40:40
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +481 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:40 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 30 |
LTU
|
+0 s
+347 s
|
G0 / G6
|
43:13
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 19:43
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +347 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 43:13 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
19:43
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|