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Performance Workspace
Predicition
Prediction comparison

PTS2 Men

30.03.2025 AUS
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Oceania Triathlon Para Championships Mooloolaba

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 30.03.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 50/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.0
Mean swim error286.0 s
Mean bike-speed error32.11 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Details
0 / 1 Thomas Goodman
AUS
+286 s
+0 s
G0 / G1
21:57
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Goodman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +286 s
Time:
Pace: 2:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 286.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -32.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:57 (4:23 / km)
Historical basis: 4:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3

Ergebnis Lauf: 23:35 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 21:57 (4:23 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.