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PTS4 Women

30.03.2025 AUS
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Oceania Triathlon Para Championships Mooloolaba

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 30.03.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 0/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.5
Mean swim error60.5 s
Mean bike-speed error27.99 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Details
0 / 1 Hannah MacDougall
AUS
+0 s
+0 s
G0 / G1
 32:43
Show details
Prediction details: Hannah MacDougall

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 31.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -31.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:43 (6:33 / km)
Historical basis: 6:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:05 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 32:43 (6:33 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Natalie Shaw
AUS
+0 s
+121 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Natalie Shaw

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +121 s
Fehler: -121.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 24.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -24.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:27 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.