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PTS3 Men

01.06.2025 Schweinfurt GER
Race information and calculation basis
2025 SUI Paratriathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 01.06.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 20/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error0.0
Mean swim error31.4 s
Mean bike-speed error3.35 km/h
Correct bike groups2/2
No history0
Within the 80% range100.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Daniel Wyss
SUI
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		23:02
26:36
 1:03:09
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Wyss

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:50
Pace: 2:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 29.9 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 64.8 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:02 (4:36 / km)
Historical basis: 4:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:36 (5:19 / km)
Error: −3:34 / −0:43 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:09
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 13:50 (2:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 40:07 (29.9 km/h)
Run: 23:02 (4:36 / km)
Total: 1:03:09
2 / 2 Pablo David Gallardo Gonzales
SUI
+65 s
+2 s
G2 / G2
correct 		38:47
34:11
 1:27:52
Show details
Prediction details: Pablo David Gallardo Gonzales

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 14:55
Pace: 2:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 62.8 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 64.8 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 28.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:47 (7:45 / km)
Historical basis: 7:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:11 (6:50 / km)
Error: +4:36 / +0:55 / km
Overall prediction: 1:27:52
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 14:55 (2:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 48:00 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 38:47 (7:45 / km)
Total: 1:27:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:54
Pace: 2:47 / 100 m
About 60.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.