Prediction comparison
Elite Women
25.05.2025
Senec
SVK
Race information and calculation basis
2025 SVK Sprint Triathlon National Championships
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 25.05.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Prediction model used
Modell v15
Default values
Prediction quality
50/100
niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s
Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s
Gruppeneffekt 0.65
Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h
Datenabdeckung 60.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.0
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
| Details | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 / 1 |
Diana Dunajska
SVK
|
+15 s
|
Bike DNF | 18:12 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.22 %,
Sicherheit 16 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Bike split not completed
Running and totalRun: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.33 %,
Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:37
(1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
18:12
(3:38 / km)
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 2 |
Romana Gajdošová
SVK
|
+35 s
|
Bike DNF | 18:09 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 10:57
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
14 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.16 %,
Sicherheit 18 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Bike split not completed
Running and totalRun: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
14 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.18 %,
Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:57
(1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
18:09
(3:38 / km)
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 3 |
Ivana Kuriackova
SVK
|
+5 s
|
Bike DNF | 18:02 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.01 %,
Sicherheit 18 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Bike split not completed
Running and totalRun: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.22 %,
Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:27
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
18:02
(3:36 / km)
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 4 |
Ema Podhorna
SVK
|
+46 s
|
Bike DNF | 21:03 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 11:08
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.01 %,
Sicherheit 13 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Bike split not completed
Running and totalRun: 21:03 (4:13 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.42 %,
Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:08
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
21:03
(4:13 / km)
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 5 |
Viviana Popovičová
SVK
|
+78 s
|
Bike DNF | 19:05 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 11:40
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.04 %,
Sicherheit 16 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Bike split not completed
Running and totalRun: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.61 %,
Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
11:40
(1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
19:05
(3:49 / km)
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|