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Prediction comparison

Junior Women

25.05.2025 Senec SVK
Race information and calculation basis
2025 SVK Sprint Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 25.05.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 70/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.0
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Diana Dunajska
SVK
+14 s
Bike DNF 18:16
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Dunajska

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 10:52
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.71 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:52 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Viviana Popovičová
SVK
+74 s
Bike DNF 19:04
Show details
Prediction details: Viviana Popovičová

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +74 s
Time: 11:52
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:52 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Linda Urbanová
SVK
+40 s
Bike DNF 20:45
Show details
Prediction details: Linda Urbanová

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 11:18
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:45 (4:09 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.94 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:18 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 20:45 (4:09 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Júlia Ivanová
SVK
+51 s
Bike DNF 21:12
Show details
Prediction details: Júlia Ivanová

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 11:29
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 21:12 (4:14 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:29 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 21:12 (4:14 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Simona Jurigová
SVK
+72 s
Bike DNF 23:42
Show details
Prediction details: Simona Jurigová

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 11:50
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 23:42 (4:44 / km)
Historical basis: 4:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:50 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 23:42 (4:44 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.