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Elite Men

08.06.2025 Chernivtsi UKR
Race information and calculation basis
2025 UKR Sprint Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 08.06.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 47/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 53.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 86.7 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.6
Mean swim error41.2 s
Mean bike-speed error1.93 km/h
Correct bike groups4/14
No history1
Within the 80% range20.0 %
Details
1 / 5 Oleksii Astafiev Kulish
UKR
+14 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
 16:59
18:19
 47:19
Show details
Prediction details: Oleksii Astafiev Kulish

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 14.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 15.3 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: −1:20 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 47:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:06 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Total: 47:19
2 / 1 Vitalii Vorontsov
UKR
+29 s
+8 s
G2 / G1
 15:54
16:10
 49:19
Show details
Prediction details: Vitalii Vorontsov

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 21.3 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 15.3 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 49:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:51 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 49:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 11.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 2 Illia Honcharuk
UKR
+65 s
+31 s
G3 / G2
 16:59
17:00
 50:45
Show details
Prediction details: Illia Honcharuk

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 34.1 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.3 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 50:45
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:34 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Total: 50:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 47.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 3 Sergey Kostenko
UKR
+34 s
+17 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:34
17:29
 50:59
Show details
Prediction details: Sergey Kostenko

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 16.8 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 8.9 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:51 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 50:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 15.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 9 Vladyslav Mykytenko
UKR
+72 s
+20 s
G3 / G2
 17:14
19:11
 51:00
Show details
Prediction details: Vladyslav Mykytenko

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 52.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -2.09 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 6.3 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Error: −1:57 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 51:00
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:34 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Total: 51:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 54.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 11 Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi
UKR
+60 s
+19 s
G3 / G2
 17:38
20:10
 51:24
Show details
Prediction details: Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 40.8 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 5.3 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:10 (4:02 / km)
Error: −2:32 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 51:24
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:34 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Total: 51:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 39.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 6 Arsen Adamov
UKR
+43 s
+11 s
G3 / G4
 18:11
18:19
 51:57
Show details
Prediction details: Arsen Adamov

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–9
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 32.2 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 12.5 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 51:57
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:34 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Total: 51:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 25.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 7 Markiian Harmatii
UKR
+66 s
+13 s
G3 / G3
correct 		19:08
18:46
 52:54
Show details
Prediction details: Markiian Harmatii

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 53.4 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.92 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 52:54
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:34 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Total: 52:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 48.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 14 Maksym Usanin
UKR
+56 s
+22 s
G3 / G5
 19:16
20:43
 53:02
Show details
Prediction details: Maksym Usanin

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 33.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.5 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:16 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:43 (4:09 / km)
Error: −1:27 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 53:02
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:34 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:16 (3:51 / km)
Total: 53:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 37.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 13 Ivan Tkachenko
UKR
+43 s
+32 s
G3 / G3
correct 		19:57
20:12
 53:43
Show details
Prediction details: Ivan Tkachenko

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 45 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 10.7 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.9 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:12 (4:02 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 53:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:34 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Total: 53:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 24.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 8 Valentin Marievskiy
UKR
+79 s
+83 s
G4 / G6
 17:40
17:05
 53:57
Show details
Prediction details: Valentin Marievskiy

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 8–12
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: -4.3 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.3 s
Gap behind: 25.3 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 53:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:58 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Total: 53:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 60.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 10 Maksym Nesvat
UKR
+32 s
+19 s
G2 / G2
correct 		20:57
19:45
 54:22
Show details
Prediction details: Maksym Nesvat

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 11–13
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 13.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Error: +1:12 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 54:22
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:51 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Total: 54:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 14 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 15 Matvii Malysh
UKR
+104 s
+28 s
G5 / G6
 20:25
20:40
 57:27
Show details
Prediction details: Matvii Malysh

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +104 s
Time: 10:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 76.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 25.3 s
Gap behind: 100.0 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.98 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:40 (4:08 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 57:27
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:41 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:38 (34.1 km/h)
Run: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Total: 57:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 86.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 4 Anton Blokhin
UKR
+204 s
+30 s
G5 / G3
17:53
Show details
Prediction details: Anton Blokhin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +204 s
Time: 12:21
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 174.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 100.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:21 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:38 (34.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 178.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Serhii Badiak
UKR
+0 s
+18 s
G0 / G3
20:08
Show details
Prediction details: Serhii Badiak

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.