Prediction comparison

50-54 Female AG

16.10.2025 Wollongong AUS

Race information and calculation basis

2025 World Triathlon Age-Group Aquabike Championships Wollongong

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.10.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used

Modell v14 Default values

Prediction quality 20/100 sehr niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 12.5 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error15.3

Mean swim error175.8 s

Mean bike-speed error2.21 km/h

Correct bike groups1/18

No history14

Within the 80% range12.5 %

Place Prediction / result	Athlete	Swimming Prediction / result	Bike group Prediction / result	Run Prediction / result	Overall prediction	Details
1 / 10	Melinda Lawson-Crabtree USA	+322 s +293 s	G3 / G8	50:26	2:14:31	Show details Prediction details: Melinda Lawson-Crabtree Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 14–15 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 10 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +322 s Time: 31:03 Pace: 2:04 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +293 s Fehler: 28.5 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 48.0 s Gap behind: 24.5 s Result: Group 8 (1 people) Speed: 33.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.07 km/h Running and total Run: 50:26 (5:03 / km) Historical basis: 5:03 / km Best comparable pace: 5:03 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: 2:14:31 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 31:03 (2:04 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:18:43 (30.5 km/h) Run: 50:26 (5:03 / km) Total: 2:14:31 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 26:00 Pace: 1:44 / 100 m About 302.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 2	Chantal Mare AUS	+15 s +1 s	G1 / G3	58:23	2:14:59	Show details Prediction details: Chantal Mare Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 14–15 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 2 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +15 s Time: 25:56 Pace: 1:44 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1 s Fehler: 14.0 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 3 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 100 % Speed: 31.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 77.0 s Result: Group 3 (2 people) Speed: 33.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.23 km/h Running and total Run: 58:23 (5:50 / km) Historical basis: 5:50 / km Best comparable pace: 5:50 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: 2:14:59 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 25:56 (1:44 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:04 (31.5 km/h) Run: 58:23 (5:50 / km) Total: 2:14:59
3 / 21	Teresa Theaker AUS	+364 s +318 s	G4 / G17	57:55	2:22:18	Show details Prediction details: Teresa Theaker Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 16–16 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 21 Deviation: -18 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +364 s Time: 31:45 Pace: 2:07 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +318 s Fehler: 45.9 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 17.9 s Gap behind: 67.4 s Result: Group 17 (1 people) Speed: 30.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.34 km/h Running and total Run: 57:55 (5:47 / km) Historical basis: 5:47 / km Best comparable pace: 5:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: 2:22:18 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 31:45 (2:07 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:17:12 (31.1 km/h) Run: 57:55 (5:47 / km) Total: 2:22:18 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 26:00 Pace: 1:44 / 100 m About 345 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 15	Therese Dan AUS	+98 s +228 s	G2 / G12	1:09:20	2:33:13	Show details Prediction details: Therese Dan Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 17–17 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 15 Deviation: -11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +98 s Time: 27:19 Pace: 1:49 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +228 s Fehler: -129.9 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 6.1 s Gap behind: 43.9 s Result: Group 12 (2 people) Speed: 31.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.59 km/h Running and total Run: 1:09:20 (6:56 / km) Historical basis: 6:56 / km Best comparable pace: 6:56 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: 2:33:13 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 27:19 (1:49 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:20 (30.2 km/h) Run: 1:09:20 (6:56 / km) Total: 2:33:13 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 26:00 Pace: 1:44 / 100 m About 79.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 26	Catherine Secombe AUS	+274 s +478 s	G2 / G22	1:26:33	2:50:26	Show details Prediction details: Catherine Secombe Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 18–18 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: -21 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +274 s Time: 30:15 Pace: 2:01 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +478 s Fehler: -204.5 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 12.5 s Gap behind: 48.0 s Result: Group 22 (1 people) Speed: 28.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.34 km/h Running and total Run: 1:26:33 (8:39 / km) Historical basis: 8:39 / km Best comparable pace: 8:39 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: 2:50:26 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 30:15 (2:01 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:20 (30.2 km/h) Run: 1:26:33 (8:39 / km) Total: 2:50:26 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 27:16 Pace: 1:49 / 100 m About 179.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +94 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1	Kim Taylor NZL	+175 s +92 s	G2 / G2 correct			Show details Prediction details: Kim Taylor Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–9 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 1 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +175 s Time: 28:36 Pace: 1:54 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +92 s Fehler: 82.9 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 3 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 32.9 s Gap behind: 1.1 s Result: Group 2 (1 people) Speed: 34.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -4.30 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 28:36 (1:54 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:20 (30.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 27:15 Pace: 1:49 / 100 m About 80.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +94 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 3	Susie Heath AUS	+0 s +168 s	G0 / G3			Show details Prediction details: Susie Heath Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 19–19 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 3 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +168 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 3 (2 people) Speed: 35.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4	Sally McLellan AUS	+0 s +177 s	G0 / G1			Show details Prediction details: Sally McLellan Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 20–20 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 4 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +177 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 1 (1 people) Speed: 0.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5	Vanessa Louise Wallace AUS	+0 s +85 s	G0 / G4			Show details Prediction details: Vanessa Louise Wallace Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 21–21 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 5 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +85 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 4 (1 people) Speed: 33.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6	Jillian Chown CAN	+0 s +224 s	G0 / G5			Show details Prediction details: Jillian Chown Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 22–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 6 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +224 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 5 (2 people) Speed: 34.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7	Kate Kitto GBR	+0 s +81 s	G0 / G5			Show details Prediction details: Kate Kitto Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 23–23 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 7 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +81 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 5 (2 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8	Jennifer J Hoban USA	+200 s +143 s	G2 / G6			Show details Prediction details: Jennifer J Hoban Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 2–8 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 8 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +200 s Time: 29:01 Pace: 1:56 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +143 s Fehler: 57.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 23.0 s Gap behind: 6.0 s Result: Group 6 (1 people) Speed: 33.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.09 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 29:01 (1:56 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:20 (30.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 27:15 Pace: 1:49 / 100 m About 106 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +94 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 9	Kim Dale AUS	+142 s +144 s	G2 / G7			Show details Prediction details: Kim Dale Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 2–8 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 9 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +142 s Time: 28:03 Pace: 1:52 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +144 s Fehler: -2.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 43.9 s Gap behind: 32.9 s Result: Group 7 (1 people) Speed: 33.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.91 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 28:03 (1:52 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:20 (30.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 27:15 Pace: 1:49 / 100 m About 48 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +94 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11	Kirsty Small AUS	+431 s +158 s	G4 / G9			Show details Prediction details: Kirsty Small Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 7–10 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 11 Deviation: -11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +431 s Time: 32:52 Pace: 2:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +158 s Fehler: 273.3 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 67.4 s Gap behind: 80.9 s Result: Group 9 (1 people) Speed: 32.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.22 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 32:52 (2:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:17:12 (31.1 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 26:00 Pace: 1:44 / 100 m About 412.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12	Helen Crossley GBR	+206 s +0 s	G2 / G10			Show details Prediction details: Helen Crossley Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 2–8 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 12 Deviation: -12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +206 s Time: 29:07 Pace: 1:56 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 206.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 6.0 s Gap behind: 55.0 s Result: Group 10 (1 people) Speed: 30.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 29:07 (1:56 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:20 (30.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 27:15 Pace: 1:49 / 100 m About 112 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +94 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 13	Helen Desai NZL	+92 s +61 s	G1 / G11			Show details Prediction details: Helen Desai Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–5 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 13 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +92 s Time: 27:13 Pace: 1:49 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +61 s Fehler: 31.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 65 % Speed: 31.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 77.0 s Gap behind: 6.1 s Result: Group 11 (1 people) Speed: 30.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.73 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 27:13 (1:49 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:04 (31.5 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable
0 / 14	Susan Androvich AUS	+512 s +194 s	G5 / G12			Show details Prediction details: Susan Androvich Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 11–11 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: -14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +512 s Time: 34:13 Pace: 2:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +194 s Fehler: 318.2 s Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 25.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 80.9 s Gap behind: 141.4 s Result: Group 12 (2 people) Speed: 31.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -6.24 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 34:13 (2:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:36:00 (25.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 26:00 Pace: 1:44 / 100 m About 493.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16	Bonnie Brokaw USA	+0 s +291 s	G0 / G13			Show details Prediction details: Bonnie Brokaw Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 24–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 16 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +291 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 13 (1 people) Speed: 31.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17	Kirsty Daley AUS	+0 s +365 s	G0 / G14			Show details Prediction details: Kirsty Daley Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 25–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 17 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +365 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 14 (2 people) Speed: 32.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18	Pauline Ashley AUS	+177 s +212 s	G2 / G14			Show details Prediction details: Pauline Ashley Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 3–8 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 18 Deviation: -18 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +177 s Time: 28:38 Pace: 1:55 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +212 s Fehler: -35.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 23.0 s Result: Group 14 (2 people) Speed: 30.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.66 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 28:38 (1:55 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:20 (30.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 27:15 Pace: 1:49 / 100 m About 83 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +94 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 19	Megan Larymore AUS	+176 s +173 s	G2 / G15			Show details Prediction details: Megan Larymore Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 3–8 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 19 Deviation: -19 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +176 s Time: 28:37 Pace: 1:54 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +173 s Fehler: 3.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.1 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 15 (1 people) Speed: 30.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.21 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 28:37 (1:54 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:20 (30.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 27:15 Pace: 1:49 / 100 m About 82 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +94 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 20	Melissa Snadden AUS	+0 s +328 s	G0 / G16			Show details Prediction details: Melissa Snadden Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 26–26 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 20 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +328 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 16 (1 people) Speed: 31.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22	Kristie Ward AUS	+0 s +217 s	G0 / G18			Show details Prediction details: Kristie Ward Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 27–27 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +217 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 18 (1 people) Speed: 29.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23	Alana Levingston AUS	+0 s +752 s	G0 / G19			Show details Prediction details: Alana Levingston Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 28–28 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 23 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +752 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 19 (1 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24	Estelle Lifran AUS	+0 s +536 s	G0 / G20			Show details Prediction details: Estelle Lifran Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 29–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 24 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +536 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 20 (1 people) Speed: 30.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25	Carolyn Egan AUS	+734 s +360 s	G7 / G21			Show details Prediction details: Carolyn Egan Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 13–13 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 25 Deviation: -25 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +734 s Time: 37:55 Pace: 2:32 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +360 s Fehler: 374.4 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 3 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 25.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 80.8 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 21 (1 people) Speed: 29.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -4.13 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 37:55 (2:32 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:36:00 (25.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 26:00 Pace: 1:44 / 100 m About 715.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 27	Laural Dugan USA	+0 s +620 s	G0 / G23			Show details Prediction details: Laural Dugan Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 30–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 27 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +620 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 23 (1 people) Speed: 29.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28	Rachel Wilson USA	+261 s +831 s	G2 / G24			Show details Prediction details: Rachel Wilson Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 3–9 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 28 Deviation: -28 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +261 s Time: 30:02 Pace: 2:00 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +831 s Fehler: -570.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 55.0 s Gap behind: 12.5 s Result: Group 24 (1 people) Speed: 28.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.13 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 30:02 (2:00 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:20 (30.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 27:15 Pace: 1:49 / 100 m About 167 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +94 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 29	Elisha Vego USA	+654 s +309 s	G6 / G25			Show details Prediction details: Elisha Vego Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 12–12 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 29 Deviation: -29 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +654 s Time: 36:35 Pace: 2:26 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +309 s Fehler: 344.6 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 3 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 25.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 141.4 s Gap behind: 80.8 s Result: Group 25 (1 people) Speed: 25.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.56 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 36:35 (2:26 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:36:00 (25.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 26:00 Pace: 1:44 / 100 m About 634.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 30	Carol Woodbridge AUS	+346 s +790 s	G4 / G26			Show details Prediction details: Carol Woodbridge Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 8–10 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 30 Deviation: -30 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +346 s Time: 31:27 Pace: 2:06 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +790 s Fehler: -444.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 24.5 s Gap behind: 17.9 s Result: Group 26 (1 people) Speed: 26.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.59 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 31:27 (2:06 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:17:12 (31.1 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 26:00 Pace: 1:44 / 100 m About 327.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 31	Dianne Griffin AUS	+0 s +1028 s	G0 / G27			Show details Prediction details: Dianne Griffin Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 31–31 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 31 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1028 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 27 (1 people) Speed: 27.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 32	Donna Westlake AUS	+0 s +1127 s	G0 / G28			Show details Prediction details: Donna Westlake Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 32–32 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 32 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 25:41 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1127 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 28 (1 people) Speed: 24.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 25:41 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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