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Elite Women

14.09.2025 Karlovy Vary CZE
Race information and calculation basis
2025 World Triathlon Championship Series Karlovy Vary

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 65/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 89.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.8
Mean swim error20.6 s
Mean bike-speed error6.41 km/h
Correct bike groups4/29
No history0
Within the 80% range75.9 %
Details
1 / 1 Beth Potter
GBR
+26 s
+6 s
G1 / G2
 33:38
32:42
 1:34:43
Show details
Prediction details: Beth Potter

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 19:21
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 19.5 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 197 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:38 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 198 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:42 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:56 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:34:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:21 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 33:38 (3:22 / km)
Total: 1:34:43
2 / 3 Lisa Tertsch
GER
+11 s
+7 s
G1 / G2
 33:48
33:38
 1:34:53
Show details
Prediction details: Lisa Tertsch

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 19:06
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 4.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 269 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:48 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 270 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:38 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:34:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:06 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 33:48 (3:23 / km)
Total: 1:34:53
3 / 4 Jeanne Lehair
LUX
+21 s
+17 s
G1 / G2
 33:55
34:24
 1:35:00
Show details
Prediction details: Jeanne Lehair

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 1–7
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 19:16
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 3.6 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 231 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 232 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:24 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:35:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:16 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 33:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 1:35:00
4 / 5 Leonie Periault
FRA
+32 s
+27 s
G1 / G2
 34:09
34:37
 1:35:14
Show details
Prediction details: Leonie Periault

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–15
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 19:27
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 211 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:09 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 224 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:37 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:35:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:27 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 34:09 (3:25 / km)
Total: 1:35:14
5 / 2 Taylor Spivey
USA
+23 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		34:29
33:58
 1:35:34
Show details
Prediction details: Taylor Spivey

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–11
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 19:18
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 21.2 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 196 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:29 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 197 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:58 (3:24 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:35:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:18 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 34:29 (3:27 / km)
Total: 1:35:34
6 / 28 Sara Guerrero Manso
ESP
+23 s
+59 s
G1 / G7
 34:44
38:05
 1:35:49
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Guerrero Manso

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–15
Top-10 probability: 78 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 19:18
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -36.5 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 141 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:44 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 142 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:05 (3:49 / km)
Error: −3:21 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 1:35:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:18 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 34:44 (3:28 / km)
Total: 1:35:49
7 / 13 Franka Rust
GER
+34 s
+74 s
G1 / G3
 34:45
35:09
 1:35:50
Show details
Prediction details: Franka Rust

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–16
Top-10 probability: 50 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 19:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: -39.8 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:45 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:09 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:35:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:29 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 34:45 (3:28 / km)
Total: 1:35:50
8 / 10 Sian Rainsley
GBR
+22 s
+4 s
G1 / G2
 34:55
36:14
 1:36:00
Show details
Prediction details: Sian Rainsley

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 4–15
Top-10 probability: 76 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 19:17
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 17.9 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 130 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:55 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:14 (3:37 / km)
Error: −1:19 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 1:36:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:17 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 34:55 (3:30 / km)
Total: 1:36:00
9 / 6 Jolien Vermeylen
BEL
+13 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
 34:57
34:57
 1:36:02
Show details
Prediction details: Jolien Vermeylen

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 3–10
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 13.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 299 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 7.3 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:57 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 298 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:57 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 1:36:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:08 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 34:57 (3:30 / km)
Total: 1:36:02
10 / 7 Anna Godoy Contreras
ESP
+32 s
+21 s
G1 / G2
 35:05
35:03
 1:36:10
Show details
Prediction details: Anna Godoy Contreras

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–17
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 19:27
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 10.5 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 295 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:05 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 293 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:03 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 1:36:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:27 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 35:05 (3:30 / km)
Total: 1:36:10
11 / 12 Annika Koch
GER
+28 s
+69 s
G1 / G3
 35:27
35:06
 1:36:32
Show details
Prediction details: Annika Koch

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 8–18
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 19:23
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: -41.5 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 233 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:27 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 234 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:06 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:36:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:23 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 35:27 (3:33 / km)
Total: 1:36:32
12 / 17 Djenyfer Arnold
BRA
+28 s
+13 s
G1 / G3
 35:29
35:56
 1:36:34
Show details
Prediction details: Djenyfer Arnold

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 6–22
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 19:23
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 15.4 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 162 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:29 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 161 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:56 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:36:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:23 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 35:29 (3:33 / km)
Total: 1:36:34
13 / 9 Olivia Mathias
GBR
+5 s
+30 s
G1 / G2
 35:55
35:48
 1:37:00
Show details
Prediction details: Olivia Mathias

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 8–15
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 19:00
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -24.6 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 143 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 5.7 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:55 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 143 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:48 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:37:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:00 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 35:55 (3:36 / km)
Total: 1:37:00
14 / 11 Maya Kingma
NED
+3 s
+25 s
G1 / G1
correct 		35:59
37:18
 1:37:04
Show details
Prediction details: Maya Kingma

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 9–16
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 18:58
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -22.0 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 178 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:59 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 169 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:18 (3:44 / km)
Error: −1:19 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 1:37:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:58 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 35:59 (3:36 / km)
Total: 1:37:04
15 / 19 Jessica Fullagar
GBR
+28 s
+58 s
G1 / G4
 36:00
35:17
 1:37:05
Show details
Prediction details: Jessica Fullagar

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 11–18
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 19:23
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -30.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:00 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:17 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:37:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:23 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 36:00 (3:36 / km)
Total: 1:37:05
16 / 18 Márta Kropkó
HUN
+20 s
+6 s
G1 / G3
 36:18
36:39
 1:37:23
Show details
Prediction details: Márta Kropkó

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 6–19
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 19:15
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 14.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:18 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:39 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:37:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:15 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 36:18 (3:38 / km)
Total: 1:37:23
17 / 27 Barbara De Koning
NED
+29 s
+48 s
G1 / G7
 36:37
36:31
 1:37:42
Show details
Prediction details: Barbara De Koning

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 14–22
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 19:24
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -19.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 182 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:37 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 182 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:31 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:37:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:24 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 36:37 (3:40 / km)
Total: 1:37:42
18 / 24 Nora Gmür
SUI
+25 s
+71 s
G1 / G4
 37:27
37:18
 1:38:32
Show details
Prediction details: Nora Gmür

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 17–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 19:20
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: -46.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 156 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:27 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 154 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:18 (3:44 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:38:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:20 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:31 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 37:27 (3:45 / km)
Total: 1:38:32
19 / 25 Gina Sereno
USA
+41 s
+57 s
G2 / G6
 35:34
35:56
 1:39:44
Show details
Prediction details: Gina Sereno

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 12–24
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 19:36
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -16.2 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 144 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 31.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:34 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 135 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:56 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:39:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:36 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:15 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 35:34 (3:33 / km)
Total: 1:39:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:30
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 6.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 22 Miriam Casillas García
ESP
+45 s
+51 s
G2 / G4
 35:34
36:31
 1:39:44
Show details
Prediction details: Miriam Casillas García

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 13–23
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 19:40
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -5.8 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 232 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 6.5 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:34 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 233 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:31 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:39:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:40 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:15 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 35:34 (3:33 / km)
Total: 1:39:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 10.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 14 Maria Tomé
POR
+36 s
+72 s
G2 / G3
 36:01
35:13
 1:40:11
Show details
Prediction details: Maria Tomé

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 8–25
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 19:31
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: -35.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 170 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:01 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 163 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:13 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:48 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:40:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:31 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:15 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 36:01 (3:36 / km)
Total: 1:40:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 1.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 15 Verena Steinhauser
ITA
+52 s
+66 s
G2 / G3
 36:06
35:31
 1:40:16
Show details
Prediction details: Verena Steinhauser

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 14–25
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 19:47
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: -13.7 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 258 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:06 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 249 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:31 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:40:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:47 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:15 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 36:06 (3:37 / km)
Total: 1:40:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 18 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 8 Tereza Zimovjanova
CZE
+53 s
+39 s
G2 / G2
correct 		36:57
35:25
 1:41:07
Show details
Prediction details: Tereza Zimovjanova

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 18–27
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 19:48
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 14.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 195 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:57 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 188 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:25 (3:33 / km)
Error: +1:32 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 1:41:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:48 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:15 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 36:57 (3:42 / km)
Total: 1:41:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 18.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 21 Heidi Juránková
CZE
+35 s
+61 s
G2 / G4
 37:19
35:24
 1:41:29
Show details
Prediction details: Heidi Juránková

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 17–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 19:30
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: -26.5 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:19 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:24 (3:32 / km)
Error: +1:55 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 1:41:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:30 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:15 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 37:19 (3:44 / km)
Total: 1:41:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:30
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 0.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 16 Eva Daniels
LUX
+52 s
+74 s
G2 / G3
 37:55
35:41
 1:42:05
Show details
Prediction details: Eva Daniels

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 21–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 19:47
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: -22.3 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:55 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:41 (3:34 / km)
Error: +2:14 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 1:42:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:47 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:15 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 37:55 (3:48 / km)
Total: 1:42:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:30
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 17.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 26 Diana Dunajska
SVK
+41 s
+69 s
G2 / G5
 38:04
37:34
 1:42:14
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Dunajska

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 21–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 19:36
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: -27.8 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 32.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:04 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:34 (3:45 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:42:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:36 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:15 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 38:04 (3:48 / km)
Total: 1:42:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 6.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 20 Romana Gajdošová
SVK
+54 s
+76 s
G2 / G3
 38:21
36:55
 1:42:31
Show details
Prediction details: Romana Gajdošová

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 25–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 19:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: -21.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 22.8 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:21 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:55 (3:42 / km)
Error: +1:26 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 1:42:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:15 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 38:21 (3:50 / km)
Total: 1:42:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 20.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 23 Babette Rosman
NED
+45 s
+27 s
G2 / G2
correct 		39:18
40:20
 1:43:28
Show details
Prediction details: Babette Rosman

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 23–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 19:40
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 18.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 39:18 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:20 (4:02 / km)
Error: −1:02 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:43:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:40 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:15 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 39:18 (3:56 / km)
Total: 1:43:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 10.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 29 Helena Knaapi
FIN
+77 s
+88 s
G3 / G7
 38:53
38:49
 1:44:36
Show details
Prediction details: Helena Knaapi

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 27–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 20:12
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +88 s
Fehler: -10.8 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 22.8 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:53 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 88 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:49 (3:53 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 1:44:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:12 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:04:26 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 38:53 (3:53 / km)
Total: 1:44:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 42.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.