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Elite Men

16.11.2025 BRA
Race information and calculation basis
2025 World Triathlon Cup Florianopolis

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.11.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 70/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.1
Mean swim error14.3 s
Mean bike-speed error1.25 km/h
Correct bike groups15/58
No history0
Within the 80% range63.8 %
Details
1 / 55 Izan Edo Aguilar
ESP
+30 s
+45 s
G1 / G7
 14:13
16:43
 41:44
Show details
Prediction details: Izan Edo Aguilar

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–17
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -54

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -14.6 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:13 (2:51 / km)
Historical basis: 2:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: −2:30 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 41:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:13 (2:51 / km)
Total: 41:44
2 / 1 David Cantero Del Campo
ESP
+29 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 14:19
14:26
 41:50
Show details
Prediction details: David Cantero Del Campo

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–15
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 163 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:19 (2:52 / km)
Historical basis: 2:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 163 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:26 (2:53 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 41:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:19 (2:52 / km)
Total: 41:50
3 / 10 Valentin Morlec
FRA
+9 s
+17 s
G1 / G2
 14:21
15:15
 41:52
Show details
Prediction details: Valentin Morlec

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–9
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: -8.1 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 165 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:21 (2:52 / km)
Historical basis: 2:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 158 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Error: −0:54 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 41:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:39 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:21 (2:52 / km)
Total: 41:52
4 / 4 Nicola Azzano
ITA
+9 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:26
15:37
 41:57
Show details
Prediction details: Nicola Azzano

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–11
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 9.2 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 229 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:26 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 222 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 41:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:39 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:26 (2:53 / km)
Total: 41:57
5 / 5 Tom Richard
FRA
+13 s
+18 s
G1 / G2
 14:26
14:47
 41:57
Show details
Prediction details: Tom Richard

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–11
Top-10 probability: 89 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -5.4 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:26 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:47 (2:57 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 41:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:43 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:26 (2:53 / km)
Total: 41:57
6 / 6 Sergio Baxter Cabrera
ESP
+27 s
+21 s
G1 / G2
 14:28
14:53
 41:59
Show details
Prediction details: Sergio Baxter Cabrera

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–15
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 5.5 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 157 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:28 (2:54 / km)
Historical basis: 2:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 157 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:53 (2:59 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 41:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:28 (2:54 / km)
Total: 41:59
7 / 16 Martin Sobey
CAN
+27 s
+49 s
G1 / G2
 14:28
15:27
 41:59
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Sobey

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–16
Top-10 probability: 56 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -22.2 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 222 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:28 (2:54 / km)
Historical basis: 2:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 213 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 41:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:28 (2:54 / km)
Total: 41:59
8 / 7 Manoel Messias
BRA
+34 s
+45 s
G2 / G2
correct 		13:53
14:56
 42:06
Show details
Prediction details: Manoel Messias

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 1–9
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -11.1 s
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 158 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:53 (2:47 / km)
Historical basis: 2:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:46 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 144 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:56 (2:59 / km)
Error: −1:03 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 42:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 13:53 (2:47 / km)
Total: 42:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 2.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 14 Andree Buc
CHI
+27 s
+42 s
G1 / G2
 14:35
15:21
 42:06
Show details
Prediction details: Andree Buc

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 5–28
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -14.7 s
H2H: 49 Gegner:innen, 161 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:35 (2:55 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 147 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 42:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:35 (2:55 / km)
Total: 42:06
10 / 9 Pelayo González Turrez
ESP
+21 s
+27 s
G1 / G2
 14:38
15:02
 42:09
Show details
Prediction details: Pelayo González Turrez

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 2–19
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -5.9 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:38 (2:56 / km)
Historical basis: 2:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 42:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:38 (2:56 / km)
Total: 42:09
11 / 2 Igor Dupuis
FRA
+2 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:42
15:22
 42:13
Show details
Prediction details: Igor Dupuis

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 8:32
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:42 (2:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 42:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:32 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:42 (2:56 / km)
Total: 42:13
12 / 17 Hamish Reilly
GBR
+18 s
+18 s
G1 / G2
 14:47
15:35
 42:18
Show details
Prediction details: Hamish Reilly

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 1–34
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 0.1 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:47 (2:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:45 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 42:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:47 (2:57 / km)
Total: 42:18
13 / 3 Miguel Tiago Silva
POR
+7 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:56
15:31
 42:27
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Tiago Silva

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 8–17
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 8:37
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:56 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 42:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:37 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:56 (2:59 / km)
Total: 42:27
14 / 27 Raf De Dobbelaere
BEL
+27 s
+41 s
G1 / G2
 15:03
16:26
 42:34
Show details
Prediction details: Raf De Dobbelaere

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 13–30
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -14.2 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 125 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:03 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Error: −1:23 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 42:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:03 (3:01 / km)
Total: 42:34
15 / 44 Aurelien Jem
FRA
+35 s
+53 s
G2 / G3
 14:23
17:28
 42:36
Show details
Prediction details: Aurelien Jem

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 6–19
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -18.0 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 124 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:23 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 124 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: −3:05 / −0:37 / km
Overall prediction: 42:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 14:23 (2:53 / km)
Total: 42:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
16 / 8 Paul Georgenthum
FRA
+37 s
+42 s
G2 / G2
correct 		14:38
14:56
 42:51
Show details
Prediction details: Paul Georgenthum

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 4–34
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -5.5 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:38 (2:56 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:56 (2:59 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 42:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 14:38 (2:56 / km)
Total: 42:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 5.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 19 Nicolas Probert Vargas
MEX
+17 s
+29 s
G1 / G2
 15:22
15:40
 42:53
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Probert Vargas

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 7–35
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -11.7 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 149 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 148 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 42:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:47 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Total: 42:53
18 / 22 Kauê Willy
BRA
+24 s
+23 s
G1 / G2
 15:26
16:01
 42:57
Show details
Prediction details: Kauê Willy

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 18–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 1.4 s
H2H: 53 Gegner:innen, 212 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:48 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 53 Gegner:innen, 191 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 42:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Total: 42:57
19 / 28 Sébastien Pascal
ROU
+40 s
+76 s
G2 / G4
 14:56
15:25
 43:09
Show details
Prediction details: Sébastien Pascal

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 16–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: -36.1 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 147 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:56 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 146 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 43:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 14:56 (2:59 / km)
Total: 43:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 8.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 47 Satoshi Iwamoto
JPN
+26 s
+54 s
G1 / G4
 15:39
17:08
 43:10
Show details
Prediction details: Satoshi Iwamoto

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 15–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -28.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 87 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: −1:29 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 43:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 43:10
21 / 15 Michał Oliwa
POL
+23 s
+1 s
G1 / G2
 15:41
15:25
 43:12
Show details
Prediction details: Michał Oliwa

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 17–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 21.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 177 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 166 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 43:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Total: 43:12
22 / 12 Guillaume Hay
FRA
+45 s
+44 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:00
15:19
 43:13
Show details
Prediction details: Guillaume Hay

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 13–36
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.93 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:49 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 43:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Total: 43:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 13.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 35 Liam Donnelly
CAN
+45 s
+67 s
G2 / G3
 15:04
16:17
 43:17
Show details
Prediction details: Liam Donnelly

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 19–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: -22.0 s
H2H: 54 Gegner:innen, 250 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 54 Gegner:innen, 238 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Error: −1:13 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 43:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Total: 43:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 13.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 11 Alexis Lherieau
SUI
+38 s
+44 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:07
15:20
 43:20
Show details
Prediction details: Alexis Lherieau

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 13–42
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -6.3 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:07 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 124 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 43:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:07 (3:01 / km)
Total: 43:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 6.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 48 Alvaro Campos Solano
CRC
+25 s
+21 s
G1 / G5
 15:50
16:33
 43:21
Show details
Prediction details: Alvaro Campos Solano

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 23–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 4.1 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 227 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 202 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 43:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Total: 43:21
26 / 39 João Teixeira Alvares
BRA
+50 s
+59 s
G3 / G4
 14:48
16:37
 43:22
Show details
Prediction details: João Teixeira Alvares

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 9–42
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -9.5 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:48 (2:58 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 1.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: −1:49 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 43:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 14:48 (2:58 / km)
Total: 43:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 18.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 40 Jan Bader
AUT
+30 s
+73 s
G1 / G4
 16:00
16:44
 43:31
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Bader

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 26–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: -43.2 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 43:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Total: 43:31
28 / 33 Kazushi Jozuka
JPN
+34 s
+60 s
G2 / G3
 15:19
16:17
 43:32
Show details
Prediction details: Kazushi Jozuka

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 16–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -26.4 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 85 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:58 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 43:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Total: 43:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 2.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 18 Daniel Ubilla Sabada
CHI
+43 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:21
15:46
 43:34
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Ubilla Sabada

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 22–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 14.6 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:46 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 43:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Total: 43:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 11.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 25 Antonio Bravo Neto
BRA
+41 s
+66 s
G2 / G3
 15:27
15:30
 43:40
Show details
Prediction details: Antonio Bravo Neto

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 24–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: -24.7 s
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 214 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 186 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 43:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Total: 43:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 10.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 37 Clayton Hutchins
CAN
+33 s
+45 s
G2 / G3
 15:28
16:36
 43:41
Show details
Prediction details: Clayton Hutchins

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 14–40
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -12.5 s
H2H: 53 Gegner:innen, 192 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:48 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 53 Gegner:innen, 192 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 43:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Total: 43:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 1.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 13 Erwin Vanderplancke
BEL
+37 s
+42 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:29
15:24
 43:42
Show details
Prediction details: Erwin Vanderplancke

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 17–45
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -5.3 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 139 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 43:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Total: 43:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 5.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 30 Blake Harris
CAN
+37 s
+50 s
G2 / G3
 15:31
15:50
 43:44
Show details
Prediction details: Blake Harris

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 16–43
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -12.9 s
H2H: 54 Gegner:innen, 179 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 54 Gegner:innen, 175 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 43:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Total: 43:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 5.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 26 Eric Diener
GER
+33 s
+64 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:39
16:18
 43:52
Show details
Prediction details: Eric Diener

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 21–46
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -30.9 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 199 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 193 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 43:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 43:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 1.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 20 Zach Leachman
USA
+77 s
+68 s
G5 / G4
 14:25
14:43
 43:54
Show details
Prediction details: Zach Leachman

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 12–48
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.5 s
Gap behind: 7.7 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:25 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:40 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:43 (2:57 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 43:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:13 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 14:25 (2:53 / km)
Total: 43:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 45.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 23 Matthew Wright
BAR
+32 s
+26 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:41
16:13
 43:54
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew Wright

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 14–52
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 43:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Total: 43:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 0.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 24 Rodrigo Gonzalez Lopez
MEX
+62 s
+29 s
G4 / G2
 15:04
16:13
 44:01
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Gonzalez Lopez

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 21–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 32.8 s
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 217 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 5.2 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:47 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 208 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 44:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:56 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Total: 44:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 30.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 58 David Nuñez Gomez
MEX
+53 s
+82 s
G3 / G9
 15:30
16:37
 44:04
Show details
Prediction details: David Nuñez Gomez

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 28–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -28.6 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:47 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 22.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 21 Tyler Smith
BER
+32 s
+46 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:53
15:56
 44:06
Show details
Prediction details: Tyler Smith

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 23–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -14.1 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (22 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 0.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 42 Armin Angerjärv
EST
+56 s
+70 s
G3 / G4
 15:35
16:56
 44:09
Show details
Prediction details: Armin Angerjärv

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 23–54
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: -13.6 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: −1:21 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 44:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Total: 44:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 25.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 41 Luigi Antonio Loddi Vanzella
BRA
+44 s
+62 s
G2 / G4
 15:57
16:53
 44:10
Show details
Prediction details: Luigi Antonio Loddi Vanzella

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 18–53
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -18.5 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 44:10
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 12.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 57 Julio Monteiro Martins
BRA
+56 s
+52 s
G3 / G6
 15:38
18:27
 44:12
Show details
Prediction details: Julio Monteiro Martins

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 25–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 1.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Error: −2:49 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 44:12
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 24.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 31 Itamar Levanon
ISR
+51 s
+71 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:40
16:01
 44:14
Show details
Prediction details: Itamar Levanon

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 34–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: -20.2 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 218 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 207 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 19.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 53 Emilio Antonio Ibarra Veyna
MEX
+54 s
+57 s
G3 / G4
 15:44
18:52
 44:18
Show details
Prediction details: Emilio Antonio Ibarra Veyna

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 22–53
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -2.6 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Error: −3:08 / −0:38 / km
Overall prediction: 44:18
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 23.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 43 Alfredo Miguel Rodríguez Figueroa
MEX
+50 s
+52 s
G3 / G4
 15:47
16:54
 44:21
Show details
Prediction details: Alfredo Miguel Rodríguez Figueroa

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 30–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -2.5 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 18.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 51 Blake Bullard
USA
+67 s
+21 s
G5 / G8
 15:00
15:08
 44:29
Show details
Prediction details: Blake Bullard

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 18–53
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 46.0 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.2 s
Gap behind: 9.5 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:08 (3:02 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 44:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:13 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Total: 44:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 35.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 45 Vinicius Avi Santana
BRA
+52 s
+50 s
G3 / G4
 15:57
16:59
 44:31
Show details
Prediction details: Vinicius Avi Santana

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 37–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 1.5 s
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 148 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 135 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Error: −1:02 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 44:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 20.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 36 Mateo Mendoza Burgos
CHI
+47 s
+60 s
G3 / G4
 16:00
16:00
 44:34
Show details
Prediction details: Mateo Mendoza Burgos

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 28–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -13.2 s
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 181 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 170 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 44:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Total: 44:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 15.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 56 Ryoya Tamazaki
JPN
+56 s
+86 s
G3 / G7
 16:11
16:56
 44:45
Show details
Prediction details: Ryoya Tamazaki

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 36–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: -29.7 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:45 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 44:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 25.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 38 Johannes Sikk
EST
+61 s
+63 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:12
16:43
 44:46
Show details
Prediction details: Johannes Sikk

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 42–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -2.5 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 29.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 34 Erick Arturo Ortigoza Rodriguez
MEX
+44 s
+51 s
G2 / G3
 16:40
16:17
 44:53
Show details
Prediction details: Erick Arturo Ortigoza Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 25–56
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -6.9 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 44:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 12.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 46 Yago Alves
BRA
+33 s
+74 s
G2 / G4
 16:48
17:02
 45:01
Show details
Prediction details: Yago Alves

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 42–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: -41.1 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Total: 45:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 1.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 29 Uzziel Valderrabano Chavez
MEX
+46 s
+52 s
G2 / G3
 16:49
15:47
 45:02
Show details
Prediction details: Uzziel Valderrabano Chavez

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 29–56
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -6.3 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: +1:02 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 45:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:28 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Total: 45:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 14.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 52 José Luis Zazueta Lizárraga
MEX
+60 s
+51 s
G3 / G4
 16:33
18:26
 45:07
Show details
Prediction details: José Luis Zazueta Lizárraga

Placement

Prediction: 54
80% range: 44–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 8.9 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Error: −1:53 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 45:07
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 28.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
55 / 50 Matheus Oliveira Martinhaki
BRA
+57 s
+43 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:55
18:14
 45:29
Show details
Prediction details: Matheus Oliveira Martinhaki

Placement

Prediction: 55
80% range: 44–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 14.4 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 161 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 149 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Error: −1:19 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 45:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:33 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 26.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
56 / 32 Gabriel Lecheta
BRA
+85 s
+78 s
G6 / G5
 15:27
15:02
 46:45
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriel Lecheta

Placement

Prediction: 56
80% range: 32–58
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +78 s
Fehler: 7.4 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 119 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 23.5 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:47 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:53 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Total: 46:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 54.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
57 / 54 Eyal Chen
ISR
+109 s
+79 s
G7 / G6
 15:38
16:55
 47:35
Show details
Prediction details: Eyal Chen

Placement

Prediction: 57
80% range: 56–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +109 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: 29.9 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -2.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 23.5 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: −1:17 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 47:35
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:08 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Total: 47:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 77.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
58 / 49 Lucas Galdino
BRA
+84 s
+70 s
G6 / G4
 16:42
17:37
 48:00
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Galdino

Placement

Prediction: 58
80% range: 53–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +84 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 14.2 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.7 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 4 (14 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:53 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Total: 48:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 53 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.