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Elite Women

09.11.2025 Laguna Grande, San Pedro de La Paz CHI
Race information and calculation basis
2025 World Triathlon Cup San Pedro de la Paz

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 09.11.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 70/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.9
Mean swim error11.9 s
Mean bike-speed error2.71 km/h
Correct bike groups14/42
No history0
Within the 80% range66.7 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Jeanne Lehair
LUX
+9 s
+24 s
G1 / G2
 15:44
16:22
 48:00
Show details
Prediction details: Jeanne Lehair

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -14.9 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 147 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.1 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 143 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:38 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Total: 48:00
2 / 4 Marta Pintanel Raymundo
ESP
+14 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 16:26
16:38
 48:42
Show details
Prediction details: Marta Pintanel Raymundo

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -8.2 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 168 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 164 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 48:42
3 / 6 Sara Guerrero Manso
ESP
+14 s
+41 s
G1 / G2
 16:45
17:03
 49:01
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Guerrero Manso

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -26.9 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 139 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 139 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Total: 49:01
4 / 7 Verena Steinhauser
ITA
+39 s
+33 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:42
17:06
 49:16
Show details
Prediction details: Verena Steinhauser

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 5.7 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 185 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 180 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Total: 49:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 17.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 22 Beatrice Mallozzi
ITA
+36 s
+50 s
G2 / G3
 16:52
17:58
 49:26
Show details
Prediction details: Beatrice Mallozzi

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–15
Top-10 probability: 76 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -14.5 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (10 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Error: −1:06 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Total: 49:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 13.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 28 Rachel Werking
USA
+18 s
+64 s
G1 / G4
 17:11
17:19
 49:27
Show details
Prediction details: Rachel Werking

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–14
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -46.3 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:27
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 49:27
7 / 5 Maria Carolina Velasquez Soto
COL
+36 s
+32 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:55
16:37
 49:29
Show details
Prediction details: Maria Carolina Velasquez Soto

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–16
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 3.5 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 163 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 160 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 49:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 13.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 14 Costanza Arpinelli
ITA
+45 s
+43 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:08
17:57
 49:42
Show details
Prediction details: Costanza Arpinelli

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–26
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 1.7 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 49:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 49:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 23.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 31 Annabel Morton
GBR
+41 s
+58 s
G2 / G4
 17:09
17:34
 49:43
Show details
Prediction details: Annabel Morton

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 7–30
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -16.8 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Total: 49:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 19.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 3 Sophia Howell
CAN
+16 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:27
17:38
 49:43
Show details
Prediction details: Sophia Howell

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–17
Top-10 probability: 53 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 8.4 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 182 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 182 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Total: 49:43
11 / 25 Alessia Orla
ITA
+34 s
+40 s
G2 / G3
 17:10
18:28
 49:44
Show details
Prediction details: Alessia Orla

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 5–26
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -6.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (10 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Error: −1:18 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 49:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Total: 49:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 12 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 20 Eleanor Beveridge
USA
+46 s
+28 s
G2 / G3
 17:10
17:14
 49:44
Show details
Prediction details: Eleanor Beveridge

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 8–29
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 18.1 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -1.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 3 (10 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 49:44
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Total: 49:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 24.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 1 Miriam Casillas García
ESP
+41 s
+8 s
G2 / G1
 17:21
17:29
 49:55
Show details
Prediction details: Miriam Casillas García

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 10–22
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 33.0 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Total: 49:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 19.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 21 Sofia Rodriguez Moreno
MEX
+48 s
+56 s
G2 / G3
 17:21
17:39
 49:55
Show details
Prediction details: Sofia Rodriguez Moreno

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 7–34
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: -8.3 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 176 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (10 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 169 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Total: 49:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 26.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 8 Barbara De Koning
NED
+22 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:29
17:06
 50:03
Show details
Prediction details: Barbara De Koning

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 7–18
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -12.9 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 160 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 160 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 50:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 50:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 0.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 18 Margot Garabedian
FRA
+26 s
+29 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:29
18:13
 50:03
Show details
Prediction details: Margot Garabedian

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 5–23
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -2.6 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.82 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 50:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 50:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 4.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 12 Emy Legault
CAN
+29 s
+31 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:30
17:32
 50:04
Show details
Prediction details: Emy Legault

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 9–20
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -2.1 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 192 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 177 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 50:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Total: 50:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 7.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 11 Dominga Elena Jacome Espinoza
CHI
+40 s
+31 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:37
17:26
 50:11
Show details
Prediction details: Dominga Elena Jacome Espinoza

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 3–30
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 9.2 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Total: 50:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 18.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 9 Katie Rodda
GBR
+13 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:03
18:35
 50:19
Show details
Prediction details: Katie Rodda

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 11–22
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 50:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Total: 50:19
20 / 33 Lara Atkinson
GBR
+34 s
+42 s
G2 / G4
 17:53
17:48
 50:27
Show details
Prediction details: Lara Atkinson

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 16–29
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -7.9 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Total: 50:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 12.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 23 Mercedes Romero Orozco
MEX
+36 s
+37 s
G2 / G3
 17:53
18:02
 50:27
Show details
Prediction details: Mercedes Romero Orozco

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 14–26
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -1.4 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 177 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 3 (10 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 170 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Total: 50:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 14 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 15 Daryna Moskalenko
UKR
+44 s
+38 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:58
17:54
 50:32
Show details
Prediction details: Daryna Moskalenko

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 17–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 5.8 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Total: 50:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 22.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 27 Daniela Moya Chamorro
CHI
+33 s
+38 s
G2 / G3
 17:59
18:38
 50:33
Show details
Prediction details: Daniela Moya Chamorro

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 14–29
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -5.4 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 151 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (10 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 143 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 50:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Total: 50:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 11 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 37 Valentina Alvarez Valencia
COL
+50 s
+59 s
G2 / G4
 18:03
18:15
 50:37
Show details
Prediction details: Valentina Alvarez Valencia

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 18–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.73 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Total: 50:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 28.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 36 Raquel Solis
CRC
+48 s
+54 s
G2 / G4
 18:09
18:06
 50:43
Show details
Prediction details: Raquel Solis

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 15–40
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -5.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 139 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 134 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Total: 50:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 26.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 32 Maria De Los Angeles Bonilla Garcia
ECU
+45 s
+60 s
G2 / G4
 18:14
17:48
 50:48
Show details
Prediction details: Maria De Los Angeles Bonilla Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 16–37
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -15.3 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:00 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 12
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 50:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Total: 50:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 23.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 24 Lara Thekla Ungewickell
GER
+46 s
+55 s
G2 / G3
 18:15
18:04
 50:49
Show details
Prediction details: Lara Thekla Ungewickell

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 20–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (10 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Total: 50:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 24.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 17 Barbara Riveros
CHI
+42 s
+42 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:19
18:09
 50:53
Show details
Prediction details: Barbara Riveros

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 21–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 0.2 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Total: 50:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 20.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 10 Aviv Levi
ISR
+4 s
+29 s
G1 / G2
 18:50
17:29
 51:06
Show details
Prediction details: Aviv Levi

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 21–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -25.0 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 1.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 5.1 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:21 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 51:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Total: 51:06
30 / 16 Vittoria Lopes
BRA
+40 s
+6 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:47
17:56
 51:21
Show details
Prediction details: Vittoria Lopes

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 23–33
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 34.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -1.41 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 51:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Total: 51:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 18.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 13 Kanae Takenaka
JPN
+25 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 18:48
18:59
 51:22
Show details
Prediction details: Kanae Takenaka

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 18–34
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 25.4 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 82 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 51:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Total: 51:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 3.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 30 Moira Miranda
ARG
+28 s
+33 s
G2 / G3
 19:05
19:00
 51:39
Show details
Prediction details: Moira Miranda

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 24–35
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -4.9 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (10 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:33 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 51:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Total: 51:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 6.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 42 Dana Soroka
UKR
+29 s
+68 s
G2 / G4
 19:41
19:45
 52:15
Show details
Prediction details: Dana Soroka

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 29–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: -38.6 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 52:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Total: 52:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 7.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 19 María López Faraudo
MEX
+67 s
+56 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:06
17:16
 52:29
Show details
Prediction details: María López Faraudo

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 13–38
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 11.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 5.4 s
Result: Group 3 (10 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 52:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:17 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:16 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 52:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 45.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 26 Catalina Torres Espinoza
CRC
+44 s
+40 s
G2 / G3
 19:55
18:29
 52:29
Show details
Prediction details: Catalina Torres Espinoza

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 32–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 3.9 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (10 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:55 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Error: +1:26 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 52:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 19:55 (3:59 / km)
Total: 52:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 22.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 34 Gabrielle Lemes
BRA
+65 s
+69 s
G3 / G4
 17:37
17:58
 53:00
Show details
Prediction details: Gabrielle Lemes

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 16–39
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: -4.5 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 53:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:16 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Total: 53:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 42.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 35 Yeva Soroka
UKR
+66 s
+74 s
G3 / G4
 17:47
18:08
 53:10
Show details
Prediction details: Yeva Soroka

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 25–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: -7.9 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 53:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:16 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 53:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 44.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 29 Giovanna Lacerda
BRA
+54 s
+57 s
G3 / G4
 18:11
17:30
 53:34
Show details
Prediction details: Giovanna Lacerda

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 21–40
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -3.1 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 146 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 7.5 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 53:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:16 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Total: 53:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 32.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 38 Camila Victoria Alcala Rosales
HON
+64 s
+79 s
G3 / G4
 18:55
18:06
 54:18
Show details
Prediction details: Camila Victoria Alcala Rosales

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 30–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: -15.0 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 54:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:16 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Total: 54:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 42.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 39 Marlen Alejandra Abigail Aguilar Bolaños
GUA
+72 s
+72 s
G4 / G4
correct 		17:58
18:29
 54:32
Show details
Prediction details: Marlen Alejandra Abigail Aguilar Bolaños

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 27–41
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 39
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 10:22
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: 0.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur -1.57 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.4 s
Gap behind: 14.8 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:30 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 54:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:22 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:22 (36.0 km/h)
Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Total: 54:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 50.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 41 Julia Maria Alcala Rosales
HON
+61 s
+75 s
G3 / G4
 19:33
18:50
 54:56
Show details
Prediction details: Julia Maria Alcala Rosales

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 33–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: -13.6 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.5 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 54:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:11 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:16 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Total: 54:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 39.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 40 Lizeth Lopez Ortega
MEX
+87 s
+75 s
G5 / G4
 19:12
18:36
 56:18
Show details
Prediction details: Lizeth Lopez Ortega

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 40–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +87 s
Time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: 12.2 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.8 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:12 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:36 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 56:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:37 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:39 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 19:12 (3:50 / km)
Total: 56:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 65.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.