Prediction comparison

Elite Men

11.10.2025 Izvorani ROU

Race information and calculation basis

2025 World Triathlon Development Regional Cup Izvorani

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 11.10.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Swim distance in metres

Bike distance in metres

Run distance in metres

Prediction model used

Modell v14 Default values

Prediction quality 60/100 mittel

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 80.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 97.5 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error5.3

Mean swim error14.9 s

Mean bike-speed error6.47 km/h

Correct bike groups15/39

No history1

Within the 80% range70.0 %

Place Prediction / result	Athlete	Swimming Prediction / result	Bike group Prediction / result	Run Prediction / result	Overall prediction	Details
1 / 3	Ul Denša SLO	+21 s +0 s	G1 / G1 correct	15:58 16:02	45:31	Show details Prediction details: Ul Denša Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 1–5 Top-10 probability: 98 % Result: 3 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +21 s Time: 9:20 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 20.6 s H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 39 % Speed: 41.2 km/h Gap ahead: 3.7 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 1 (9 people) Speed: 34.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 7.14 km/h Running and total Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km) Historical basis: 3:14 / km Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km Trend: −0:03 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:02 (3:12 / km) Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km Overall prediction: 45:31 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (41.2 km/h) Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km) Total: 45:31
2 / 6	Daniil Babanschi MDA	+21 s +20 s	G1 / G1 correct	16:59 16:27	46:32	Show details Prediction details: Daniil Babanschi Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 1–13 Top-10 probability: 84 % Result: 6 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +21 s Time: 9:20 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +20 s Fehler: 0.8 s H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 48 % Speed: 41.2 km/h Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 1 (9 people) Speed: 34.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.77 km/h Running and total Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km) Historical basis: 3:22 / km Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:27 (3:17 / km) Error: +0:32 / +0:07 / km Overall prediction: 46:32 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (41.2 km/h) Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km) Total: 46:32
3 / 5	Filip Vilenica CRO	+11 s +3 s	G1 / G1 correct	17:11 16:11	46:44	Show details Prediction details: Filip Vilenica Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 3–8 Top-10 probability: 96 % Result: 5 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +11 s Time: 9:10 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +3 s Fehler: 8.0 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 127 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 81 % Speed: 41.2 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 3.1 s Result: Group 1 (9 people) Speed: 34.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 7.19 km/h Running and total Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km) Historical basis: 3:26 / km Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:11 (3:14 / km) Error: +1:00 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 46:44 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (41.2 km/h) Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km) Total: 46:44
4 / 8	Türker Kemal Kiyak TUR	+25 s +17 s	G1 / G1 correct	17:23 17:07	46:56	Show details Prediction details: Türker Kemal Kiyak Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 2–20 Top-10 probability: 58 % Result: 8 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +25 s Time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +17 s Fehler: 7.9 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 58 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 24 % Speed: 41.2 km/h Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 1 (9 people) Speed: 34.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.83 km/h Running and total Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 7 H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 62 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:07 (3:25 / km) Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 46:56 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (41.2 km/h) Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km) Total: 46:56
5 / 9	Boris Andreev BUL	+24 s +23 s	G1 / G1 correct	17:46 17:41	47:19	Show details Prediction details: Boris Andreev Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 6–21 Top-10 probability: 45 % Result: 9 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +24 s Time: 9:23 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +23 s Fehler: 0.9 s H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 48 % Speed: 41.2 km/h Gap ahead: 1.2 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 1 (9 people) Speed: 34.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.73 km/h Running and total Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km) Historical basis: 3:36 / km Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km Trend: −0:02 / km Comparable races: 7 H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km) Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km Overall prediction: 47:19 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (41.2 km/h) Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km) Total: 47:19
6 / 10	Vlad Adrian Remzing ROU	+28 s +34 s	G2 / G2 correct	16:26 15:41	47:25	Show details Prediction details: Vlad Adrian Remzing Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 2–11 Top-10 probability: 86 % Result: 10 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +28 s Time: 9:27 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +34 s Fehler: -6.3 s H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 15 % Speed: 39.6 km/h Gap ahead: 2.0 s Gap behind: 2.3 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.99 km/h Running and total Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km Trend: −0:02 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:41 (3:08 / km) Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km Overall prediction: 47:25 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h) Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km) Total: 47:25 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 2.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 4	Taha Eren Coşgun TUR	+17 s +7 s	G1 / G1 correct	17:55 16:06	47:28	Show details Prediction details: Taha Eren Coşgun Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 8–15 Top-10 probability: 48 % Result: 4 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +17 s Time: 9:16 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +7 s Fehler: 9.9 s H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 51 % Speed: 41.2 km/h Gap ahead: 2.8 s Gap behind: 3.7 s Result: Group 1 (9 people) Speed: 34.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 7.00 km/h Running and total Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km) Historical basis: 3:37 / km Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur -1.03 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km) Error: +1:49 / +0:22 / km Overall prediction: 47:28 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (41.2 km/h) Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km) Total: 47:28
8 / 16	Alexandru-Rares Popa ROU	+39 s +24 s	G2 / G2 correct	16:37 16:22	47:36	Show details Prediction details: Alexandru-Rares Popa Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 5–17 Top-10 probability: 50 % Result: 16 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +39 s Time: 9:38 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +24 s Fehler: 14.6 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 39.6 km/h Gap ahead: 2.5 s Gap behind: 1.2 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 7.14 km/h Running and total Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km) Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 47:36 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h) Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km) Total: 47:36 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 13.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 7	Raul Petre ROU	+14 s +3 s	G1 / G1 correct	18:14 16:49	47:47	Show details Prediction details: Raul Petre Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 7–21 Top-10 probability: 29 % Result: 7 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +14 s Time: 9:13 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +3 s Fehler: 11.1 s H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 142 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 45 % Speed: 41.2 km/h Gap ahead: 3.1 s Gap behind: 2.8 s Result: Group 1 (9 people) Speed: 34.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 7.09 km/h Running and total Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km) Historical basis: 3:41 / km Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur -1.01 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:49 (3:22 / km) Error: +1:25 / +0:17 / km Overall prediction: 47:47 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (41.2 km/h) Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km) Total: 47:47
10 / 12	Domen Bojanc SLO	+26 s +37 s	G2 / G2 correct	16:49 15:54	47:48	Show details Prediction details: Domen Bojanc Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 3–12 Top-10 probability: 85 % Result: 12 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +26 s Time: 9:25 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +37 s Fehler: -11.3 s H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 20 % Speed: 39.6 km/h Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 2.0 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.84 km/h Running and total Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km) Historical basis: 3:22 / km Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:54 (3:11 / km) Error: +0:55 / +0:11 / km Overall prediction: 47:48 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h) Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km) Total: 47:48 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 0.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 11	Emir Aracı TUR	+30 s +32 s	G2 / G2 correct	17:16 15:47	48:15	Show details Prediction details: Emir Aracı Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 7–18 Top-10 probability: 36 % Result: 11 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +30 s Time: 9:29 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +32 s Fehler: -2.0 s H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 10 % Speed: 39.6 km/h Gap ahead: 2.3 s Gap behind: 1.1 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.96 km/h Running and total Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km) Historical basis: 3:31 / km Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km) Error: +1:29 / +0:18 / km Overall prediction: 48:15 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h) Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km) Total: 48:15 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 5.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 14	Simeon Bobekov BUL	+43 s +32 s	G3 / G2	16:15 16:00	48:19	Show details Prediction details: Simeon Bobekov Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 3–19 Top-10 probability: 55 % Result: 14 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +43 s Time: 9:42 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +32 s Fehler: 10.6 s H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.5 km/h Gap ahead: 2.6 s Gap behind: 0.6 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.84 km/h Running and total Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km) Historical basis: 3:15 / km Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:00 (3:12 / km) Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 48:19 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:12 (38.5 km/h) Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km) Total: 48:19 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 17.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 2	Armin Angerjärv EST	+47 s +24 s	G3 / G1	16:16 15:47	48:20	Show details Prediction details: Armin Angerjärv Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 2–22 Top-10 probability: 54 % Result: 2 Deviation: 11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +47 s Time: 9:46 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +24 s Fehler: 23.1 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 56 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 10 % Speed: 38.5 km/h Gap ahead: 3.9 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 1 (9 people) Speed: 34.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.02 km/h Running and total Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km) Historical basis: 3:15 / km Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 47 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km) Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km Overall prediction: 48:20 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:12 (38.5 km/h) Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km) Total: 48:20 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 22.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 22	Tian Denša SLO	+51 s +33 s	G3 / G2	16:16 17:34	48:20	Show details Prediction details: Tian Denša Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 3–22 Top-10 probability: 40 % Result: 22 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +51 s Time: 9:50 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +33 s Fehler: 17.7 s H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 38.5 km/h Gap ahead: 3.1 s Gap behind: 1.3 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.83 km/h Running and total Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km) Historical basis: 3:17 / km Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 1.14 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km) Error: −1:18 / −0:16 / km Overall prediction: 48:20 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:12 (38.5 km/h) Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km) Total: 48:20 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 25.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 30	Marcel Pavlin SLO	+31 s +39 s	G2 / G3	17:23 17:20	48:22	Show details Prediction details: Marcel Pavlin Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 6–20 Top-10 probability: 26 % Result: 30 Deviation: -15 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +31 s Time: 9:30 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +39 s Fehler: -7.6 s H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 10 % Speed: 39.6 km/h Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 1.7 s Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 8.36 km/h Running and total Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km) Historical basis: 3:27 / km Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 (3:28 / km) Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km Overall prediction: 48:22 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h) Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km) Total: 48:22 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 6.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 29	Fedir Bezlepkin UKR	+31 s +39 s	G2 / G3	17:46 17:10	48:45	Show details Prediction details: Fedir Bezlepkin Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 8–25 Top-10 probability: 25 % Result: 29 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +31 s Time: 9:30 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +39 s Fehler: -7.9 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 25 % Speed: 39.6 km/h Gap ahead: 1.1 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 8.40 km/h Running and total Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km) Historical basis: 3:32 / km Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:10 (3:26 / km) Error: +0:36 / +0:07 / km Overall prediction: 48:45 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h) Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km) Total: 48:45 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 6.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 40	Uzay Tenli TUR	+23 s +30 s	G1 / G3	19:15 25:13	48:48	Show details Prediction details: Uzay Tenli Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 18–28 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 40 Deviation: -23 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +23 s Time: 9:22 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +30 s Fehler: -7.3 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 25 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 41 % Speed: 41.2 km/h Gap ahead: 1.7 s Gap behind: 1.2 s Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 10.04 km/h Running and total Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km) Historical basis: 3:49 / km Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 1.05 %, Sicherheit 18 % Ergebnis Lauf: 25:13 (5:03 / km) Error: −5:58 / −1:12 / km Overall prediction: 48:48 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (41.2 km/h) Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km) Total: 48:48
18 / 1	Johannes Sikk EST	+57 s +26 s	G4 / G1	16:15 15:36	48:59	Show details Prediction details: Johannes Sikk Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 2–24 Top-10 probability: 33 % Result: 1 Deviation: 17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +57 s Time: 9:56 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +26 s Fehler: 30.6 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 59 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 8 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Gap ahead: 4.6 s Gap behind: 1.1 s Result: Group 1 (9 people) Speed: 34.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.45 km/h Running and total Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km) Historical basis: 3:16 / km Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 54 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 (3:07 / km) Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 48:59 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:39 (37.9 km/h) Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km) Total: 48:59 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 31.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 21	Francis Daniels Veģeris LAT	+36 s +40 s	G2 / G2 correct	18:01 17:02	49:00	Show details Prediction details: Francis Daniels Veģeris Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 14–25 Top-10 probability: 4 % Result: 21 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +36 s Time: 9:35 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +40 s Fehler: -3.9 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 68 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 6 % Speed: 39.6 km/h Gap ahead: 3.0 s Gap behind: 2.5 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.96 km/h Running and total Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km) Historical basis: 3:36 / km Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 61 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:02 (3:24 / km) Error: +0:59 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 49:00 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h) Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km) Total: 49:00 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 11.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 26	Oskar Hein EST	+21 s +36 s	G1 / G2	19:35 18:35	49:08	Show details Prediction details: Oskar Hein Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 19–26 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +21 s Time: 9:20 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +36 s Fehler: -15.0 s H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 79 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 36 % Speed: 41.2 km/h Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 1.7 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 8.52 km/h Running and total Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km) Historical basis: 3:58 / km Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -1.12 %, Sicherheit 69 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km) Error: +1:00 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 49:08 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (41.2 km/h) Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km) Total: 49:08
21 / 18	Dorukalp Azizoğlu TUR	+40 s +36 s	G3 / G2	17:05 16:37	49:09	Show details Prediction details: Dorukalp Azizoğlu Placement Prediction: 21 80% range: 7–21 Top-10 probability: 23 % Result: 18 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +40 s Time: 9:39 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +36 s Fehler: 4.0 s H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 75 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 38.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 2.6 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.86 km/h Running and total Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km) Historical basis: 3:26 / km Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 63 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km) Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km Overall prediction: 49:09 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:12 (38.5 km/h) Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km) Total: 49:09 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 15 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 17	Burak Cağdaş TUR	+26 s +30 s	G2 / G2 correct	18:19 16:23	49:18	Show details Prediction details: Burak Cağdaş Placement Prediction: 22 80% range: 12–21 Top-10 probability: 3 % Result: 17 Deviation: 5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +26 s Time: 9:25 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +30 s Fehler: -4.4 s H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 24 % Speed: 39.6 km/h Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 7.03 km/h Running and total Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km) Historical basis: 3:44 / km Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -1.76 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km) Error: +1:56 / +0:23 / km Overall prediction: 49:18 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h) Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km) Total: 49:18 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 0.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 20	Gabriel Boca ROU	+48 s +24 s	G3 / G2	17:17 16:58	49:21	Show details Prediction details: Gabriel Boca Placement Prediction: 23 80% range: 16–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 20 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +48 s Time: 9:47 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +24 s Fehler: 23.6 s H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.91 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 3.1 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.94 km/h Running and total Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:58 (3:24 / km) Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km Overall prediction: 49:21 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:12 (38.5 km/h) Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km) Total: 49:21 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 22.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 24	Miks Meijers LAT	+40 s +28 s	G3 / G2	17:30 17:58	49:34	Show details Prediction details: Miks Meijers Placement Prediction: 24 80% range: 9–26 Top-10 probability: 15 % Result: 24 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +40 s Time: 9:39 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +28 s Fehler: 11.8 s H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 95 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 8 % Speed: 38.5 km/h Gap ahead: 1.2 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.90 km/h Running and total Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 77 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km) Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km Overall prediction: 49:34 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:12 (38.5 km/h) Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km) Total: 49:34 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 14.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 13	Maks Mori SLO	+52 s +37 s	G3 / G2	17:37 16:00	49:41	Show details Prediction details: Maks Mori Placement Prediction: 25 80% range: 13–30 Top-10 probability: 9 % Result: 13 Deviation: 12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +52 s Time: 9:51 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +37 s Fehler: 15.0 s H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 20 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 38.5 km/h Gap ahead: 1.3 s Gap behind: 4.6 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.80 km/h Running and total Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km) Historical basis: 3:33 / km Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 20 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:00 (3:12 / km) Error: +1:37 / +0:19 / km Overall prediction: 49:41 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:12 (38.5 km/h) Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km) Total: 49:41 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 27.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 25	Nace Mlakar SLO	+43 s +59 s	G3 / G3 correct	17:52 16:47	49:56	Show details Prediction details: Nace Mlakar Placement Prediction: 26 80% range: 20–27 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 25 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +43 s Time: 9:42 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +59 s Fehler: -15.8 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 44 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.5 km/h Gap ahead: 0.6 s Gap behind: 3.9 s Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 7.01 km/h Running and total Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km) Historical basis: 3:34 / km Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 38 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:47 (3:21 / km) Error: +1:05 / +0:13 / km Overall prediction: 49:56 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:12 (38.5 km/h) Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km) Total: 49:56 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 18.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 23	Mihail Chindris ROU	+61 s +34 s	G4 / G2	17:50 17:55	50:34	Show details Prediction details: Mihail Chindris Placement Prediction: 27 80% range: 24–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 23 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +61 s Time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +34 s Fehler: 26.6 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Gap ahead: 1.4 s Gap behind: 1.3 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.37 km/h Running and total Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km) Historical basis: 3:33 / km Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 91 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km) Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km Overall prediction: 50:34 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:39 (37.9 km/h) Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km) Total: 50:34 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 35.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 15	Horea Darius Rusu ROU	+62 s +37 s	G4 / G2	17:56 16:16	50:40	Show details Prediction details: Horea Darius Rusu Placement Prediction: 28 80% range: 19–31 Top-10 probability: 1 % Result: 15 Deviation: 13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +62 s Time: 10:01 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +37 s Fehler: 24.9 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Gap ahead: 1.3 s Gap behind: 3.4 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.19 km/h Running and total Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km) Historical basis: 3:36 / km Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:16 (3:15 / km) Error: +1:40 / +0:20 / km Overall prediction: 50:40 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:39 (37.9 km/h) Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km) Total: 50:40 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 37 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 33	Erik Hudovornik SLO	+33 s +29 s	G2 / G3	19:43 19:40	50:42	Show details Prediction details: Erik Hudovornik Placement Prediction: 29 80% range: 24–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 33 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +33 s Time: 9:32 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +29 s Fehler: 4.1 s H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -1.14 %, Sicherheit 17 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (9 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 39.6 km/h Gap ahead: 1.7 s Gap behind: 3.0 s Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 8.48 km/h Running and total Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km) Historical basis: 4:02 / km Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 12 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:40 (3:56 / km) Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km Overall prediction: 50:42 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h) Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km) Total: 50:42 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 8.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 27	Preslav Kushev BUL	+78 s +70 s	G5 / G3	17:43 17:01	52:07	Show details Prediction details: Preslav Kushev Placement Prediction: 30 80% range: 27–31 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 27 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +78 s Time: 10:17 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +70 s Fehler: 8.4 s H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 13.1 s Gap behind: 3.2 s Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.24 km/h Running and total Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km) Historical basis: 3:33 / km Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:01 (3:24 / km) Error: +0:42 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 52:07 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:17 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.9 km/h) Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km) Total: 52:07 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 53.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 19	Rares Andrei Laiu ROU	+59 s +34 s	G4 / G2	19:42 16:45	52:26	Show details Prediction details: Rares Andrei Laiu Placement Prediction: 31 80% range: 30–33 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 19 Deviation: 12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +59 s Time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +34 s Fehler: 25.2 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.94 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Gap ahead: 1.5 s Gap behind: 1.4 s Result: Group 2 (16 people) Speed: 32.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.31 km/h Running and total Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km) Historical basis: 3:58 / km Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 97 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:45 (3:21 / km) Error: +2:57 / +0:35 / km Overall prediction: 52:26 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:39 (37.9 km/h) Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km) Total: 52:26 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 34.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 31	Cristian Vasilache MDA	+85 s +67 s	G5 / G3	18:03 18:02	52:27	Show details Prediction details: Cristian Vasilache Placement Prediction: 32 80% range: 30–32 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 31 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +85 s Time: 10:24 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +67 s Fehler: 17.5 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.8 s Gap behind: 12.7 s Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.39 km/h Running and total Run: 18:03 (3:37 / km) Historical basis: 3:35 / km Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km) Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km Overall prediction: 52:27 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:24 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.9 km/h) Run: 18:03 (3:37 / km) Total: 52:27 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 59.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 38	Stefan Delev MKD	+58 s +59 s	G4 / G3	20:56 22:50	53:40	Show details Prediction details: Stefan Delev Placement Prediction: 33 80% range: 32–37 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 38 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +58 s Time: 9:57 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +59 s Fehler: -1.3 s H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 94 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Gap ahead: 1.1 s Gap behind: 1.5 s Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.26 km/h Running and total Run: 20:56 (4:11 / km) Historical basis: 4:13 / km Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 86 % Ergebnis Lauf: 22:50 (4:34 / km) Error: −1:54 / −0:23 / km Overall prediction: 53:40 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:39 (37.9 km/h) Run: 20:56 (4:11 / km) Total: 53:40 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 32.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 34	Boyan Kirilov BUL	+83 s +72 s	G5 / G3	19:44 19:34	54:08	Show details Prediction details: Boyan Kirilov Placement Prediction: 34 80% range: 33–38 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 34 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +83 s Time: 10:22 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +72 s Fehler: 10.7 s H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.1 s Gap behind: 1.8 s Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.30 km/h Running and total Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km) Historical basis: 3:58 / km Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 1.10 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:34 (3:55 / km) Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km Overall prediction: 54:08 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:22 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.9 km/h) Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km) Total: 54:08 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 57.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 35	Matei Petrascu ROU	+97 s +76 s	G5 / G3	19:51 20:15	54:15	Show details Prediction details: Matei Petrascu Placement Prediction: 35 80% range: 35–38 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 35 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +97 s Time: 10:36 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +76 s Fehler: 21.2 s H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -1.17 %, Sicherheit 66 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 12.7 s Gap behind: 5.2 s Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.20 km/h Running and total Run: 19:51 (3:58 / km) Historical basis: 4:01 / km Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -1.32 %, Sicherheit 64 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:15 (4:03 / km) Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km Overall prediction: 54:15 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:36 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.9 km/h) Run: 19:51 (3:58 / km) Total: 54:15 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 72.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 37	Barbu Rizescu ROU	+102 s +67 s	G6 / G4	18:41 18:53	54:21	Show details Prediction details: Barbu Rizescu Placement Prediction: 36 80% range: 33–37 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 37 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +102 s Time: 10:41 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +67 s Fehler: 35.4 s H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -1.12 %, Sicherheit 99 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.2 s Gap behind: 3.0 s Result: Group 4 (3 people) Speed: 29.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.19 km/h Running and total Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km) Historical basis: 3:43 / km Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 98 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km) Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km Overall prediction: 54:21 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 10:41 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:55 (35.4 km/h) Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km) Total: 54:21 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 77.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 32	Stefan Mateescu ROU	+82 s +61 s	G5 / G3	20:24 19:23	54:48	Show details Prediction details: Stefan Mateescu Placement Prediction: 37 80% range: 33–38 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 32 Deviation: 5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +82 s Time: 10:21 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +61 s Fehler: 20.6 s H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -1.12 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.2 s Gap behind: 1.1 s Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.13 km/h Running and total Run: 20:24 (4:05 / km) Historical basis: 4:04 / km Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 89 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:23 (3:53 / km) Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 54:48 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.9 km/h) Run: 20:24 (4:05 / km) Total: 54:48 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 56.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 36	Iorgu Rizescu ROU	+105 s +70 s	G6 / G4	19:20 18:17	55:00	Show details Prediction details: Iorgu Rizescu Placement Prediction: 38 80% range: 35–38 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 36 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +105 s Time: 10:44 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +70 s Fehler: 35.4 s H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -1.06 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.0 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 4 (3 people) Speed: 29.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.03 km/h Running and total Run: 19:20 (3:52 / km) Historical basis: 3:49 / km Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 1.13 %, Sicherheit 95 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:17 (3:39 / km) Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km Overall prediction: 55:00 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 10:44 (1:26 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:55 (35.4 km/h) Run: 19:20 (3:52 / km) Total: 55:00 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 80.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 39	Georgios Christodoulou CYP	+65 s +124 s	G4 / G4 correct	24:40 19:43	57:24	Show details Prediction details: Georgios Christodoulou Placement Prediction: 39 80% range: 38–39 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 39 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +65 s Time: 10:04 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +124 s Fehler: -58.7 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.95 %, Sicherheit 9 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Gap ahead: 3.4 s Gap behind: 13.1 s Result: Group 4 (3 people) Speed: 30.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 7.77 km/h Running and total Run: 24:40 (4:56 / km) Historical basis: 4:56 / km Best comparable pace: 4:56 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 9 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:43 (3:57 / km) Error: +4:57 / +0:59 / km Overall prediction: 57:24 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:39 (37.9 km/h) Run: 24:40 (4:56 / km) Total: 57:24 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m About 40.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 28	Tine Jarc SLO	+0 s +46 s	G0 / G3	17:01		Show details Prediction details: Tine Jarc Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 40–40 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 28 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 8:59 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +46 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 3 (12 people) Speed: 31.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 17:01 (3:24 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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