Prediction comparison
Elite Men
13.04.2025
Tam Chuc Complex
VIE
Race information and calculation basis
2025 World Triathlon Development Regional Cup Tam Chuc
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.04.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Prediction model used
Modell v14
Default values
Prediction quality
43/100
niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s
Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s
Gruppeneffekt 0.65
Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h
Datenabdeckung 45.8 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 50.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.8
Mean swim error28.1 s
Mean bike-speed error2.14 km/h
Correct bike groups7/17
No history7
Within the 80% range29.2 %
| Place Prediction / result |
Athlete | Swimming Prediction / result |
Bike group Prediction / result |
Run Prediction / result |
Overall prediction | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 2 |
SGP
|
+40 s
+18 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
17:41
17:23
|
47:42 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 22.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen,
25 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.41 %,
Sicherheit 88 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
5.4 s
Gap behind:
4.2 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.58 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 11
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen,
28 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.07 %,
Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:29
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:21
(41.0 km/h)
Run:
17:41
(3:32 / km)
Total:
47:42
|
| 2 / 3 |
SGP
|
+33 s
+17 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
18:13
17:36
|
48:14 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 2
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:22
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 16.1 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.04 %,
Sicherheit 41 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.1 s
Gap behind:
1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.54 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur 2.12 %,
Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:22
(1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:21
(41.0 km/h)
Run:
18:13
(3:39 / km)
Total:
48:14
|
| 3 / 1 |
MAS
|
+35 s
+22 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
18:19
17:08
|
48:20 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 3
80% range: 5–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 12.6 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
24 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.49 %,
Sicherheit 62 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.5 s
Gap behind:
5.4 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.45 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
23 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.03 %,
Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: +1:11 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 48:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:24
(1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:21
(41.0 km/h)
Run:
18:19
(3:40 / km)
Total:
48:20
|
| 4 / 7 |
IND
|
+55 s
+25 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
16:04
18:07
|
48:27 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 4
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 30.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen,
7 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.92 %,
Sicherheit 34 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
8.1 s
Gap behind:
36.3 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.23 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen,
7 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.30 %,
Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −2:03 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 48:27
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
10:44
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:28
(38.2 km/h)
Run:
16:04
(3:13 / km)
Total:
48:27
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 16.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 5 / 5 |
PHI
|
+44 s
+50 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
17:04
17:30
|
49:27 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 5
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -5.8 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
17 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.62 %,
Sicherheit 56 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
4.2 s
Gap behind:
2.9 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.75 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
16 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.15 %,
Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:27
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:33
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:28
(38.2 km/h)
Run:
17:04
(3:25 / km)
Total:
49:27
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 5.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 6 / 8 |
SGP
|
+47 s
+21 s
|
G2 / G4
|
19:04
18:01
|
51:27 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 6
80% range: 5–12
Top-10 probability: 78 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:36
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 26.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.06 %,
Sicherheit 58 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.9 s
Gap behind:
8.1 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.39 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.17 %,
Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 51:27
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:36
(1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:28
(38.2 km/h)
Run:
19:04
(3:49 / km)
Total:
51:27
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 8.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 7 / 6 |
MAS
|
+120 s
+102 s
|
G3 / G2
|
18:09
17:32
|
52:45 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 7
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +120 s
Time: 11:49
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +102 s
Fehler: 17.9 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen,
9 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.87 %,
Sicherheit 35 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
10.4 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.38 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen,
9 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.33 %,
Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 52:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:49
(1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:49
(37.0 km/h)
Run:
18:09
(3:38 / km)
Total:
52:45
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 81.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 8 / 10 |
IND
|
+92 s
+23 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
18:43
19:04
|
53:19 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 8
80% range: 10–12
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +92 s
Time: 11:21
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 68.5 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.58 %,
Sicherheit 20 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
36.3 s
Gap behind:
18.0 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.54 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.14 %,
Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 53:19
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
11:21
(1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:49
(37.0 km/h)
Run:
18:43
(3:45 / km)
Total:
53:19
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 53 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 9 / 9 |
MAS
|
+110 s
+90 s
|
G3 / G2
|
19:15
19:09
|
53:51 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 9
80% range: 10–12
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +110 s
Time: 11:39
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +90 s
Fehler: 19.5 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
11 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.16 %,
Sicherheit 51 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
18.0 s
Gap behind:
10.4 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.18 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.81 %,
Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 53:51
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
11:39
(1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:49
(37.0 km/h)
Run:
19:15
(3:51 / km)
Total:
53:51
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 71 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 10 / 11 |
SGP
|
+129 s
+113 s
|
G3 / G2
|
19:48
20:04
|
54:24 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 10
80% range: 12–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +129 s
Time: 11:58
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +113 s
Fehler: 16.2 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
17 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.26 %,
Sicherheit 38 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
8.3 s
Gap behind:
37.6 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.53 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
19 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.11 %,
Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 54:24
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:58
(1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:49
(37.0 km/h)
Run:
19:48
(3:58 / km)
Total:
54:24
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 90.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 11 / 14 |
MAS
|
+121 s
+107 s
|
G3 / G5
|
20:17
19:05
|
54:53 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 11
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +121 s
Time: 11:50
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +107 s
Fehler: 13.9 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
16 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.18 %,
Sicherheit 61 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
8.3 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.73 km/h
Running and totalRun: 20:17 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
11 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.33 %,
Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Error: +1:12 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 54:53
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:50
(1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:49
(37.0 km/h)
Run:
20:17
(4:03 / km)
Total:
54:53
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 82.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 12 / 16 |
QAT
|
+295 s
+265 s
|
G4 / G7
|
16:18
18:44
|
58:07 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 12
80% range: 15–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +295 s
Time: 14:44
Pace: 1:58 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +265 s
Fehler: 29.6 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
91.8 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.66 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:44 (3:45 / km)
Error: −2:26 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 58:07
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
14:44
(1:58 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:55
(33.0 km/h)
Run:
16:18
(3:16 / km)
Total:
58:07
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 256.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 13 / 12 |
PHI
|
+202 s
+286 s
|
G4 / G5
|
16:45
17:25
|
58:34 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 13
80% range: 15–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +202 s
Time: 13:11
Pace: 1:45 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +286 s
Fehler: -83.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 7 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
25.0 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.37 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.11 %,
Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 58:34
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
13:11
(1:45 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:55
(33.0 km/h)
Run:
16:45
(3:21 / km)
Total:
58:34
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 163.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 14 / 23 |
MAS
|
+177 s
+222 s
|
G4 / G9
|
29:41
23:28
|
1:11:30 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 14
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -9
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +177 s
Time: 12:46
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +222 s
Fehler: -44.6 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
10.6 s
Gap behind:
25.0 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 28.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.18 km/h
Running and totalRun: 29:41 (5:56 / km)
Historical basis: 5:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:28 (4:42 / km)
Error: +6:13 / +1:15 / km
Overall prediction: 1:11:30
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
12:46
(1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:55
(33.0 km/h)
Run:
29:41
(5:56 / km)
Total:
1:11:30
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 138.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 0 / 4 |
VIE
|
+30 s
+0 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
18:43
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 30.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
3.1 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.88 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
10:19
(1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:21
(41.0 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|
|
| 0 / 13 |
MAS
|
+203 s
+169 s
|
G4 / G6
|
18:22
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +203 s
Time: 13:12
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +169 s
Fehler: 33.8 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
91.8 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.16 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
13:12
(1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:55
(33.0 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 162.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 15 |
QAT
|
+0 s
+225 s
|
G0 / G6
|
20:15
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +225 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:15 (4:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:49
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 17 |
VIE
|
+0 s
+166 s
|
G0 / G6
|
20:49
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +166 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:49 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:49
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 18 |
MAS
|
+167 s
+160 s
|
G3 / G5
|
21:25
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +167 s
Time: 12:36
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +160 s
Fehler: 6.8 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
37.6 s
Gap behind:
10.6 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.82 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:25 (4:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
12:36
(1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:49
(37.0 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 126.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 19 |
MAS
|
+0 s
+161 s
|
G0 / G6
|
21:13
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +161 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:13 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:49
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 20 |
VIE
|
+0 s
+238 s
|
G0 / G7
|
19:36
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +238 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:36 (3:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:49
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 21 |
MAS
|
+0 s
+188 s
|
G0 / G8
|
20:37
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +188 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:37 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:49
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 22 |
VIE
|
+0 s
+191 s
|
G0 / G7
|
21:42
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +191 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:42 (4:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:49
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 24 |
MAS
|
+0 s
+332 s
|
G0 / G10
|
26:51
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +332 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 27.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:51 (5:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:49
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|