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Elite Women

13.04.2025 Tam Chuc Complex VIE
Race information and calculation basis
2025 World Triathlon Development Regional Cup Tam Chuc

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.04.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 48/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 55.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 55.6 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.7
Mean swim error15.4 s
Mean bike-speed error3.01 km/h
Correct bike groups1/7
No history2
Within the 80% range33.3 %
Details
1 / 3 Lydia Musleh
JOR
+33 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		20:39
19:44
 55:21
Show details
Prediction details: Lydia Musleh

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 33.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 15.8 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:39 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Error: +0:55 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 55:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:06 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:09 (35.1 km/h)
Run: 20:39 (4:08 / km)
Total: 55:21
2 / 7 Dolly Devidas Patil
IND
+57 s
+48 s
G3 / G5
 19:23
21:50
 55:39
Show details
Prediction details: Dolly Devidas Patil

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 11:30
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 8.7 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.33 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 7.9 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 29.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:50 (4:22 / km)
Error: −2:27 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 55:39
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:30 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:16 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km)
Total: 55:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 19.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 4 Wan Ting Lim
SGP
+49 s
+43 s
G2 / G3
 21:30
19:33
 56:12
Show details
Prediction details: Wan Ting Lim

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 11:22
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 5.8 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 15.8 s
Gap behind: 7.9 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:30 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Error: +1:57 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 56:12
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:22 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:54 (35.4 km/h)
Run: 21:30 (4:18 / km)
Total: 56:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:22
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 0.099999999999994 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 5 Samantha Corpuz
PHI
+60 s
+49 s
G3 / G2
 20:01
20:21
 56:17
Show details
Prediction details: Samantha Corpuz

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 11:33
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 10.7 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 38.4 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:21 (4:04 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 56:17
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:33 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:16 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Total: 56:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:08
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 25.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 1 Louisa Marie Middleditch
SGP
+126 s
+101 s
G4 / G2
 18:47
18:54
 58:02
Show details
Prediction details: Louisa Marie Middleditch

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +126 s
Time: 12:39
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +101 s
Fehler: 24.5 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 27.4 s
Gap behind: 56.1 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 58:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:39 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:13 (32.3 km/h)
Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Total: 58:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 88.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 2 Thi Kim Cuong Nguyen
VIE
+98 s
+115 s
G4 / G2
 21:27
19:20
 1:00:42
Show details
Prediction details: Thi Kim Cuong Nguyen

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +98 s
Time: 12:11
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +115 s
Fehler: -16.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 38.4 s
Gap behind: 27.4 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:27 (4:17 / km)
Historical basis: 4:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Error: +2:07 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:42
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:11 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:13 (32.3 km/h)
Run: 21:27 (4:17 / km)
Total: 1:00:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 61.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 6 Tra My Nguyen Thi
VIE
+0 s
+115 s
G0 / G4
22:43
Show details
Prediction details: Tra My Nguyen Thi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +115 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:43 (4:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Thi Thanh Thao Do
VIE
+0 s
+86 s
G0 / G6
24:18
Show details
Prediction details: Thi Thanh Thao Do

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 27.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:18 (4:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Azra Nabihah Ahmad Humaizi
MAS
+182 s
+190 s
G4 / G7
25:48
Show details
Prediction details: Azra Nabihah Ahmad Humaizi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +182 s
Time: 13:35
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +190 s
Fehler: -8.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 56.1 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 25.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:48 (5:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:35 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:13 (32.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:26
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 129 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +52.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.