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Elite Men

27.07.2025 Vlasina Lake SRB
Race information and calculation basis
2025 World Triathlon Development Regional Cup Vlasina Lake

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 27.07.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 54/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 67.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 82.4 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.8
Mean swim error22.2 s
Mean bike-speed error1.21 km/h
Correct bike groups17/33
No history1
Within the 80% range26.5 %
Details
1 / 1 Alexander Bozhilov
BUL
+22 s
+12 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:47
15:30
 45:41
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Bozhilov

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 9.7 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 87 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:26 (40.8 km/h)
Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Total: 45:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 17.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 4 Gabriel Barac
CRO
+25 s
+6 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:49
16:37
 45:43
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriel Barac

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 19.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:26 (40.8 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 45:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 13.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 3 Ul Denša
SLO
+19 s
+12 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:15
16:22
 46:09
Show details
Prediction details: Ul Denša

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 89 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 6.5 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:26 (40.8 km/h)
Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Total: 46:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 14 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 19 Daniil Babanschi
MDA
+23 s
+19 s
G2 / G3
 16:39
18:21
 46:33
Show details
Prediction details: Daniil Babanschi

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–17
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 3.6 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 70 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Error: −1:42 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 46:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:26 (40.8 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 46:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 11.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 5 Marin Stipčević
CRO
+26 s
+18 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:01
16:42
 46:55
Show details
Prediction details: Marin Stipčević

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 8–16
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 8.2 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:26 (40.8 km/h)
Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Total: 46:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 22.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 6 Filip Vilenica
CRO
+16 s
+0 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:11
17:18
 47:05
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Vilenica

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 9–15
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 15.7 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.72 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 15.7 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:26 (40.8 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 12.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 27 Čongor Borši
SRB
+21 s
+80 s
G2 / G6
 17:28
18:56
 47:22
Show details
Prediction details: Čongor Borši

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 11–15
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +80 s
Fehler: -59.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Error: −1:28 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 47:22
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:26 (40.8 km/h)
Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 9.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 7 Tin Rebic
CRO
+18 s
+6 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:34
18:02
 47:28
Show details
Prediction details: Tin Rebic

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 12–17
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 12.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:26 (40.8 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 47:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 14.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 22 Novak Stoiljković
SRB
+28 s
+61 s
G2 / G5
 17:36
18:27
 47:30
Show details
Prediction details: Novak Stoiljković

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 12–19
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: -32.6 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 6.2 s
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.03 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:30
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:26 (40.8 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Total: 47:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 24.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 2 Aurelien Carre
LUX
+35 s
+21 s
G3 / G1
 16:04 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Aurelien Carre

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–22
Top-10 probability: 66 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 14.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:43 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Total: 47:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 31.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 8 Simeon Bobekov
BUL
+40 s
+30 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:12
16:11
 47:44
Show details
Prediction details: Simeon Bobekov

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 7–20
Top-10 probability: 53 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 9.9 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:43 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Total: 47:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 36 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 9 Domen Bojanc
SLO
+37 s
+23 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:25
16:35
 47:57
Show details
Prediction details: Domen Bojanc

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 6–19
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 14.4 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 92 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:43 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Total: 47:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 33.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 10 Alexandru-Rares Popa
ROU
+44 s
+20 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:36
16:45
 48:08
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandru-Rares Popa

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 11–19
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 23.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -1.07 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:43 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: 48:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 40 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 20 Emir Aracı
TUR
+26 s
+29 s
G2 / G3
 18:33
18:42
 48:27
Show details
Prediction details: Emir Aracı

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 17–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -3.3 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:26 (40.8 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 48:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 21.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 14 Kai Azzopardi
MLT
+49 s
+30 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:11
17:17
 48:43
Show details
Prediction details: Kai Azzopardi

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 15–24
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 18.5 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:43 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 48:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 44.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 15 Konrad Kralj
CRO
+47 s
+24 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:55
17:46
 49:27
Show details
Prediction details: Konrad Kralj

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 16–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 22.5 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:43 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Total: 49:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 42.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 11 Burak Cağdaş
TUR
+35 s
+27 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:09
16:44
 49:41
Show details
Prediction details: Burak Cağdaş

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 16–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 7.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 6.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.14 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Error: +1:25 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 49:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:43 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Total: 49:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 30.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 21 Petar Bozhilov
BUL
+35 s
+25 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:16
19:10
 49:48
Show details
Prediction details: Petar Bozhilov

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 17–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 10.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:10 (3:50 / km)
Error: −0:54 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 49:48
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:43 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Total: 49:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 31.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 25 Andro Sertić
CRO
+42 s
+66 s
G3 / G4
 18:31
20:01
 50:03
Show details
Prediction details: Andro Sertić

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 20–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: -24.2 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Error: −1:30 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 50:03
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:43 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Total: 50:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 37.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 12 Gabriel Boca
ROU
+53 s
+22 s
G4 / G3
 17:18
16:51
 51:21
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriel Boca

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 18–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 31.2 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -1.15 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 17.9 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 51:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:10 (36.2 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 51:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 49.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 16 Ryan Muscat
MLT
+77 s
+38 s
G5 / G4
 17:06
17:12
 51:29
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Muscat

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 25–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 39.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 8.2 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 51:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:47 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 51:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 73.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 17 Zeljko Cota
CRO
+85 s
+59 s
G5 / G5
correct 		17:12
17:09
 51:35
Show details
Prediction details: Zeljko Cota

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 25–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 26.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.2 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 51:35
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:47 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Total: 51:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 81.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 23 Preslav Kushev
BUL
+96 s
+73 s
G5 / G6
 17:18
17:40
 51:41
Show details
Prediction details: Preslav Kushev

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 26–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +96 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: 22.7 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -1.18 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 51:41
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:47 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 51:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 91.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 13 Tian Denša
SLO
+74 s
+25 s
G5 / G3
 17:20
16:52
 51:43
Show details
Prediction details: Tian Denša

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 19–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +74 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 49.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 51:43
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:47 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Total: 51:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 70.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 18 Horea Darius Rusu
ROU
+87 s
+52 s
G5 / G4
 17:55
17:29
 52:18
Show details
Prediction details: Horea Darius Rusu

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 27–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +87 s
Time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 34.9 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 8.1 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 52:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:18 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:47 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Total: 52:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 83 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 28 Andrija Stojiljković
SRB
+50 s
+35 s
G4 / G4
correct 		19:15
20:26
 53:18
Show details
Prediction details: Andrija Stojiljković

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 23–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 15.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 2.03 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:26 (4:05 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 53:18
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:10 (36.2 km/h)
Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Total: 53:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 46.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 26 Lukas Padmosoekarto
CRO
+73 s
+37 s
G5 / G5
correct 		18:59
19:50
 53:22
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Padmosoekarto

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 26–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 36.2 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -2.44 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:50 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 53:22
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:47 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Total: 53:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 69.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 29 Stefan Delev
MKD
+71 s
+32 s
G5 / G5
correct 		19:43
20:42
 54:06
Show details
Prediction details: Stefan Delev

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 29–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 39.1 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -1.31 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 17.9 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:42 (4:08 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 54:06
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:47 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Total: 54:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 67.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 33 Boyan Kirilov
BUL
+110 s
+86 s
G6 / G7
 19:44
22:00
 57:20
Show details
Prediction details: Boyan Kirilov

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +110 s
Time: 10:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: 23.6 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -1.38 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:00 (4:24 / km)
Error: −2:16 / −0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 57:20
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:41 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:46 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Total: 57:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 105.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 24 Bruno Matuzalem
CRO
+95 s
+89 s
G5 / G6
18:01
Show details
Prediction details: Bruno Matuzalem

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +95 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +89 s
Fehler: 6.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.1 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:47 (36.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 91.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 30 Josif Malinski
MKD
+0 s
+63 s
G0 / G5
20:55
Show details
Prediction details: Josif Malinski

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 34–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:55 (4:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 31 Borna Matuzalem
CRO
+96 s
+87 s
G5 / G8
18:36
Show details
Prediction details: Borna Matuzalem

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +96 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +87 s
Fehler: 9.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 13.6 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:47 (36.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 92.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 32 Luka Grgorinic
CRO
+35 s
+51 s
G3 / G4
23:15
Show details
Prediction details: Luka Grgorinic

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -16.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:15 (4:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:43 (39.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 31.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 34 Sergej Maljanovski-Arnaudovski
MKD
+0 s
+70 s
G1 / G7
21:57
Show details
Prediction details: Sergej Maljanovski-Arnaudovski

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: -70.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 15.7 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:57 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:40 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable