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Elite Women

07.12.2025 Dubai Islands UAE
Race information and calculation basis
2025 World Triathlon Women’s Cup Dubai

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 07.12.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 70/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 86.7 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.3
Mean swim error25.4 s
Mean bike-speed error1.67 km/h
Correct bike groups2/15
No history0
Within the 80% range53.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 6 Gwen Jorgensen
USA
+22 s
+3 s
G1 / G2
 16:22
18:11
 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Gwen Jorgensen

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 18.8 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.0 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: −1:49 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 47:36
2 / 1 Valentina Riasova
AIN
+35 s
+19 s
G1 / G2
 16:48
17:05
 48:02
Show details
Prediction details: Valentina Riasova

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 16.1 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 59 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Total: 48:02
3 / 3 Dominika Peszleg
HUN
+33 s
+11 s
G1 / G2
 17:40
17:37
 48:54
Show details
Prediction details: Dominika Peszleg

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 21.6 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.86 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:54
4 / 9 Alejandra Seguí Soria
ESP
+29 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
 17:49
19:08
 49:03
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandra Seguí Soria

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Error: −1:19 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 49:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Total: 49:03
5 / 5 Margot Garabedian
CAM
+29 s
+2 s
G1 / G2
 17:58
18:11
 49:12
Show details
Prediction details: Margot Garabedian

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–10
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 27.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 49:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Total: 49:12
6 / 4 Borbála Sarcia
HUN
+34 s
+15 s
G1 / G2
 18:22
17:57
 49:36
Show details
Prediction details: Borbála Sarcia

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 19.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 93 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Total: 49:36
7 / 10 Maria Alzaga Criado
ESP
+26 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:01
19:44
 50:15
Show details
Prediction details: Maria Alzaga Criado

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 25.6 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:01 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 50:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 19:01 (3:48 / km)
Total: 50:15
8 / 8 Tatiana Baskakova
AIN
+10 s
+3 s
G1 / G2
 19:33
18:42
 50:47
Show details
Prediction details: Tatiana Baskakova

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 6.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 12.0 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 50:47
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Total: 50:47
9 / 13 Noelia Juan
ESP
+43 s
+29 s
G2 / G3
 17:31
19:19
 50:58
Show details
Prediction details: Noelia Juan

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 13.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 8.4 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Error: −1:48 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 50:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:18 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:44 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 50:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 7.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 2 Hanna Maksimava
BLR
+39 s
+22 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:54
17:17
 51:21
Show details
Prediction details: Hanna Maksimava

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 4–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 16.5 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 51:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:44 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 51:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 2.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 7 Yuki Sugihara
JPN
+57 s
+7 s
G3 / G2
 18:37
18:28
 52:34
Show details
Prediction details: Yuki Sugihara

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 8–12
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 49.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.4 s
Gap behind: 291.2 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 52:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:32 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:00 (35.6 km/h)
Run: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Total: 52:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 21 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 12 Maša Marković
SRB
+31 s
+8 s
G1 / G2
 22:21
21:03
 53:35
Show details
Prediction details: Maša Marković

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 22.8 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.20 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:21 (4:28 / km)
Historical basis: 4:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.84 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:03 (4:13 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 53:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 22:21 (4:28 / km)
Total: 53:35
13 / 11 Lana Gavrilović
SRB
+51 s
+9 s
G3 / G2
 20:05
19:46
 54:02
Show details
Prediction details: Lana Gavrilović

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 42.3 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -1.88 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.4 s
Gap behind: 5.4 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:05 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 54:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:00 (35.6 km/h)
Run: 20:05 (4:01 / km)
Total: 54:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 15.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 14 Iva Pavlovic
SRB
+42 s
+29 s
G2 / G4
 21:00
20:45
 54:27
Show details
Prediction details: Iva Pavlovic

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 12.8 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:00 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 55 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:45 (4:09 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 54:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:17 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:44 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 21:00 (4:12 / km)
Total: 54:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 6.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 15 Hana Al Nabulsi
UAE
+348 s
+427 s
G4 / G5
 24:47
24:58
 1:08:57
Show details
Prediction details: Hana Al Nabulsi

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +348 s
Time: 15:23
Pace: 2:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +427 s
Fehler: -79.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 291.2 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 29.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:47 (4:57 / km)
Historical basis: 4:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:58 (5:00 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:08:57
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:23 (2:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:22 (30.6 km/h)
Run: 24:47 (4:57 / km)
Total: 1:08:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 312.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.