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Elite Women

13.02.2026 EGY
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Africa Triathlon Cup El Galala

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 67/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 94.1 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.6
Mean swim error23.9 s
Mean bike-speed error4.26 km/h
Correct bike groups10/17
No history0
Within the 80% range58.8 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Paola Sacchi
ITA
+40 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 12:12
18:48
 44:47
Show details
Prediction details: Paola Sacchi

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 40.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:12 (2:26 / km)
Historical basis: 2:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Error: −6:36 / −1:19 / km
Overall prediction: 44:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:28 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:45 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 12:12 (2:26 / km)
Total: 44:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 4.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 1 Asia Mercatelli
ITA
+28 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:12
18:43
 48:35
Show details
Prediction details: Asia Mercatelli

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 23.7 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Error: −1:31 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 48:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Total: 48:35
3 / 4 Alessia Orla
ROU
+31 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:15
19:07
 48:38
Show details
Prediction details: Alessia Orla

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–8
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 30.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Error: −1:52 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 48:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Total: 48:38
4 / 3 Clara Carlquist
DEN
+25 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:47
18:48
 49:10
Show details
Prediction details: Clara Carlquist

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 22.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:33 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Error: −1:01 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 49:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 49:10
5 / 15 Marielle Bouchti
GER
+24 s
+18 s
G1 / G2
 17:54
21:47
 49:17
Show details
Prediction details: Marielle Bouchti

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 5.6 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:30 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:47 (4:21 / km)
Error: −3:53 / −0:47 / km
Overall prediction: 49:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 49:17
6 / 5 Katrien Maes
BEL
+22 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:04
19:19
 49:27
Show details
Prediction details: Katrien Maes

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 22.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.78 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.9 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Error: −1:15 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 49:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Total: 49:27
7 / 11 Lara Thekla Ungewickell
GER
+33 s
+27 s
G1 / G2
 18:08
20:20
 49:31
Show details
Prediction details: Lara Thekla Ungewickell

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 5.5 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 7.6 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Error: −2:12 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 49:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Total: 49:31
8 / 10 Isabel Sterr
GER
+50 s
+11 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:30
20:03
 50:05
Show details
Prediction details: Isabel Sterr

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 3–12
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 39.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Error: −2:33 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 50:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:38 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:45 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Total: 50:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 14.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 13 Gianella Debra Coaguila Pita
PER
+24 s
+4 s
G1 / G2
 19:06
21:10
 50:29
Show details
Prediction details: Gianella Debra Coaguila Pita

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 19.7 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.95 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:10 (4:14 / km)
Error: −2:04 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 50:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Total: 50:29
10 / 9 Bridget Theunissen
RSA
+32 s
+13 s
G1 / G2
 19:06
19:13
 50:29
Show details
Prediction details: Bridget Theunissen

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 19.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:13 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Total: 50:29
11 / 8 Ivana Kuriackova
SVK
+46 s
+12 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:08
19:13
 50:43
Show details
Prediction details: Ivana Kuriackova

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 6–12
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:34
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 34.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:13 (3:51 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 50:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:34 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:45 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Total: 50:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 10.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 6 Tallulah Wright
HKG
+29 s
+7 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:36
20:05
 50:59
Show details
Prediction details: Tallulah Wright

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 10–14
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 21.8 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:36 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:05 (4:01 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 50:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:17 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 19:36 (3:55 / km)
Total: 50:59
13 / 12 Minori Ikeno
JPN
+12 s
+12 s
G1 / G2
 20:18
21:03
 51:41
Show details
Prediction details: Minori Ikeno

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 9–15
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 0.1 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 9.9 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:03 (4:13 / km)
Error: −0:45 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 51:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Total: 51:41
14 / 7 Désirée Gmür
SUI
+49 s
+3 s
G2 / G1
 19:58
20:52
 52:33
Show details
Prediction details: Désirée Gmür

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 10–16
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 46.1 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -1.00 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:39 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.79 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:52 (4:10 / km)
Error: −0:54 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 52:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:37 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:45 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km)
Total: 52:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 13.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 14 Carla Larrabeiti Jefferson
PER
+56 s
+36 s
G3 / G3
correct 		19:08
20:14
 52:42
Show details
Prediction details: Carla Larrabeiti Jefferson

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–15
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 20.1 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 75.4 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:14 (4:03 / km)
Error: −1:06 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 52:42
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:44 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:38 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Total: 52:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 20.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 16 Grete Maria Savitsch
EST
+41 s
+15 s
G2 / G2
correct 		20:45
21:58
 53:20
Show details
Prediction details: Grete Maria Savitsch

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 14–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 25.5 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 5.7 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:45 (4:09 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:58 (4:24 / km)
Error: −1:13 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 53:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:45 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 20:45 (4:09 / km)
Total: 53:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 4.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 17 Shahd Walid
EGY
+132 s
+162 s
G4 / G4
correct 		22:29
25:27
 1:08:16
Show details
Prediction details: Shahd Walid

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +132 s
Time: 12:00
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +162 s
Fehler: -30.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 27.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 75.4 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 28.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:29 (4:30 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.85 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:27 (5:05 / km)
Error: −2:58 / −0:36 / km
Overall prediction: 1:08:16
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:00 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 43:35 (27.5 km/h)
Run: 22:29 (4:30 / km)
Total: 1:08:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 95.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.