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Elite Men

06.06.2026 YASMINE Hammmet TUN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Africa Triathlon Cup Yasmine Hammamet

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 06.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 92/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 75 früheren Rennen und 2190 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 47.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 31.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 83.9 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 94.6 % · 75 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.7
Mean swim error24.5 s
Mean bike-speed error4.51 km/h
Correct bike groups11/56
No history0
Within the 80% range44.6 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Nathan Lessmann
FRA
+9 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:26
13:47
 42:40
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Lessmann

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 8:42
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:26 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.79 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:47 (2:45 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 42:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:42 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 14:26 (2:53 / km)
Total: 42:40
2 / 6 Thomas Rivet
FRA
+37 s
+18 s
G2 / G1
 15:12
14:11
 43:35
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Rivet

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 19.1 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:11 (2:50 / km)
Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 43:35
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Total: 43:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 19.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 16 Julian Birkel
RSA
+27 s
+20 s
G2 / G1
 15:17
14:44
 43:40
Show details
Prediction details: Julian Birkel

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–12
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 6.8 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:44 (2:57 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 43:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Total: 43:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 9.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 1 Jarno Pousada Troitiño
ESP
+38 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 15:25
13:38
 43:48
Show details
Prediction details: Jarno Pousada Troitiño

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–28
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 19.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:38 (2:44 / km)
Error: +1:47 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 43:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Total: 43:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 20.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 7 Chris Ziehmer
GER
+27 s
+14 s
G2 / G1
 15:30
14:16
 43:53
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Ziehmer

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–15
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 12.5 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:16 (2:51 / km)
Error: +1:14 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 43:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Total: 43:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 26 Pau Noguera Salmeron
ESP
+43 s
+39 s
G3 / G2
 15:10
14:40
 43:57
Show details
Prediction details: Pau Noguera Salmeron

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–17
Top-10 probability: 70 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 4.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:40 (2:56 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 43:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Total: 43:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 29 Cristian Fernandez Nieto
ESP
+19 s
+5 s
G2 / G3
 15:39
14:56
 44:02
Show details
Prediction details: Cristian Fernandez Nieto

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–14
Top-10 probability: 64 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 14.2 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:56 (2:59 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 44:02
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 1.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 18 Simeone Romano
ITA
+30 s
+14 s
G2 / G1
 15:39
15:04
 44:02
Show details
Prediction details: Simeone Romano

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–17
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 16.4 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 12.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 27 Leon Raeder
GER
+39 s
+40 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:39
14:52
 44:02
Show details
Prediction details: Leon Raeder

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–18
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -0.9 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.23 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:52 (2:58 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 44:02
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 21.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 13 Jan Semmler
GER
+21 s
+3 s
G2 / G1
 15:51
14:42
 44:14
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Semmler

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 4–19
Top-10 probability: 51 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 18.1 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 11
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:42 (2:56 / km)
Error: +1:09 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 44:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 0.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 33 Jonathan Oakey
IRL
+10 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:03
16:18
 44:17
Show details
Prediction details: Jonathan Oakey

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 5–19
Top-10 probability: 53 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -15.8 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:43 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:17
12 / 4 Carol Popa
ROU
+35 s
+8 s
G2 / G1
 16:03
14:00
 44:26
Show details
Prediction details: Carol Popa

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 10–27
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 26.8 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:00 (2:48 / km)
Error: +2:03 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 44:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 17.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 31 Zakaria Chtioui
TUN
+37 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 16:05
16:07
 44:28
Show details
Prediction details: Zakaria Chtioui

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 11–25
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 18.4 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 87 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 81 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 44:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 19.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 10 Fiorenzo Angelini
ITA
+29 s
+8 s
G2 / G1
 16:06
14:36
 44:29
Show details
Prediction details: Fiorenzo Angelini

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 9–25
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 21.3 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:36 (2:55 / km)
Error: +1:30 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 44:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 11.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 11 Hugo Fernandez Tovar
ESP
+31 s
+14 s
G2 / G1
 16:06
14:49
 44:29
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Fernandez Tovar

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 6–23
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 16.5 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:49 (2:58 / km)
Error: +1:17 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 44:29
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 13 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 23 Theo Marti
LUX
+34 s
+17 s
G2 / G1
 16:08
15:21
 44:31
Show details
Prediction details: Theo Marti

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 11–23
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 17.4 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 93 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 44:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 16.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 3 Eric Diener
GER
+35 s
+11 s
G2 / G1
 16:12
13:48
 44:35
Show details
Prediction details: Eric Diener

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 11–25
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 24.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 1.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:48 (2:46 / km)
Error: +2:24 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 44:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 17.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 9 Tyler Smith
BER
+61 s
+10 s
G4 / G1
 15:12
14:34
 44:38
Show details
Prediction details: Tyler Smith

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 5–30
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 50.7 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -1.91 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:34 (2:55 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 44:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Total: 44:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 43.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 5 Neal Van Vaerenbergh
BEL
+52 s
+36 s
G3 / G1
 15:52
14:10
 44:39
Show details
Prediction details: Neal Van Vaerenbergh

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 12–30
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 15.8 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:10 (2:50 / km)
Error: +1:42 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 44:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 10.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 17 Niccolò Sancisi
ITA
+45 s
+29 s
G3 / G1
 15:56
14:58
 44:43
Show details
Prediction details: Niccolò Sancisi

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 10–27
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 16.1 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:58 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:58 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 44:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 32 Giovanni Pavanello
ITA
+32 s
+19 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:22
15:25
 44:45
Show details
Prediction details: Giovanni Pavanello

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 16–26
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 13.1 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:57 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 44:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 44:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 14.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 8 Andrea Balestreri
ITA
+43 s
+16 s
G3 / G1
 16:13
14:24
 45:00
Show details
Prediction details: Andrea Balestreri

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 12–33
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 27.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:24 (2:53 / km)
Error: +1:49 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 45:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 1.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 51 Francesco Interlandi
ITA
+48 s
+46 s
G3 / G4
 16:21
17:20
 45:08
Show details
Prediction details: Francesco Interlandi

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 19–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 1.7 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 45:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Total: 45:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 30.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 24 Adrian Martinez Bayan
ESP
+15 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:00
15:23
 45:14
Show details
Prediction details: Adrian Martinez Bayan

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 5–40
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: -0.4 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 76 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Error: +1:37 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 45:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: 45:14
25 / 22 Edoardo Del Carlo
ITA
+32 s
+27 s
G2 / G1
 16:53
15:20
 45:16
Show details
Prediction details: Edoardo Del Carlo

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 10–36
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 4.9 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Error: +1:33 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 45:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 14.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 39 Moritz Göttler
GER
+37 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:56
16:01
 45:19
Show details
Prediction details: Moritz Göttler

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 8–42
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 8.9 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 89 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Error: +0:55 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 19.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 43 Sergio Correa Montesinos
ESP
+67 s
+40 s
G4 / G4
correct 		16:01
15:26
 45:27
Show details
Prediction details: Sergio Correa Montesinos

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 23–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 27.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.03 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.8 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 45:27
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Total: 45:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 26.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 15 Bruno Krumbeck
GER
+24 s
+17 s
G2 / G1
 17:08
14:38
 45:31
Show details
Prediction details: Bruno Krumbeck

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 19–37
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 6.8 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:38 (2:56 / km)
Error: +2:30 / +0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 45:31
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 45:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 1.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 28 Filip Tlamka
CZE
+47 s
+31 s
G3 / G2
 16:54
15:10
 45:41
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Tlamka

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 17–39
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 15.9 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +1:44 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 45:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 29.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 46 Mohamed Aziz Hamdi
TUN
+26 s
+15 s
G2 / G5
 17:20
15:49
 45:43
Show details
Prediction details: Mohamed Aziz Hamdi

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 25–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 10.6 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Error: +1:31 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 45:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Total: 45:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 8.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 14 Giovanni Aruffo
ITA
+12 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:50
14:39
 46:04
Show details
Prediction details: Giovanni Aruffo

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 28–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 8:45
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 1.39 %, Sicherheit 92 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:39 (2:56 / km)
Error: +3:11 / +0:38 / km
Overall prediction: 46:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:45 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Total: 46:04
32 / 19 Marco Balestreri
ITA
+50 s
+20 s
G3 / G1
 17:20
15:11
 46:07
Show details
Prediction details: Marco Balestreri

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 30–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 30.0 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:11 (3:02 / km)
Error: +2:09 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 46:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 32.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 45 Bruno Haman
CZE
+28 s
+47 s
G2 / G4
 17:45
15:44
 46:08
Show details
Prediction details: Bruno Haman

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 23–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -18.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 1.02 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Error: +2:01 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 46:08
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Total: 46:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 10.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 36 Lukas Plic
CZE
+46 s
+34 s
G3 / G2
 17:26
15:49
 46:13
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Plic

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 27–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 12.1 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Error: +1:37 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 46:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Total: 46:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 28.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 35 Marco Pousada Troitiño
ESP
+41 s
+32 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:57
15:36
 46:20
Show details
Prediction details: Marco Pousada Troitiño

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 26–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 8.8 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Error: +2:21 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 46:20
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Total: 46:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 23.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 40 Seifeddine Selmi
TUN
+56 s
+20 s
G4 / G2
 16:56
16:07
 46:22
Show details
Prediction details: Seifeddine Selmi

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 27–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 36.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 88 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 46:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 38.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 20 Radim Grebík
CZE
+58 s
+21 s
G4 / G1
 17:06
15:15
 46:32
Show details
Prediction details: Radim Grebík

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 27–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 36.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Error: +1:51 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 46:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 46:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 40.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 34 Raul Petre
ROU
+26 s
+12 s
G2 / G1
 18:14
16:26
 46:37
Show details
Prediction details: Raul Petre

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 34–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 14.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 82 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Error: +1:48 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 46:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Total: 46:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 8.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 44 Matteo Brian Kozka
GER
+50 s
+40 s
G3 / G4
 18:00
15:35
 46:47
Show details
Prediction details: Matteo Brian Kozka

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 35–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Error: +2:25 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 46:47
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Total: 46:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 32.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 50 Sofienne Selmi
TUN
+50 s
+15 s
G3 / G2
 18:04
18:11
 46:51
Show details
Prediction details: Sofienne Selmi

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 33–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 35.2 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:51
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Total: 46:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 32.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 53 Sean McMahon
IRL
+77 s
+48 s
G5 / G4
 15:57
18:17
 46:59
Show details
Prediction details: Sean McMahon

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 18–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 29.3 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -2.08 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.0 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 1.84 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Error: −2:20 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 46:59
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Total: 46:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 59.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 42 Robert Nemec
CZE
+91 s
+45 s
G5 / G4
 16:04
15:14
 47:06
Show details
Prediction details: Robert Nemec

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 38–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +91 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 45.5 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.9 s
Gap behind: 8.9 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Total: 47:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 73 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 12 Riccardo Cultore
ITA
+44 s
+2 s
G3 / G1
 18:19
14:43
 47:06
Show details
Prediction details: Riccardo Cultore

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 37–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 42.2 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -2.46 %, Sicherheit 97 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.86 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:43 (2:57 / km)
Error: +3:36 / +0:43 / km
Overall prediction: 47:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Total: 47:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 3.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 25 Lukas Lanzinger
ITA
+82 s
+37 s
G5 / G2
 16:20
14:39
 47:22
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Lanzinger

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 35–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +82 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 44.8 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -1.59 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:39 (2:56 / km)
Error: +1:41 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 47:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Total: 47:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 64.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 47 Joran Stobbe
NED
+61 s
+49 s
G4 / G4
correct 		18:07
16:28
 47:33
Show details
Prediction details: Joran Stobbe

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 41–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 12.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 57 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 5.8 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Error: +1:39 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 47:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Total: 47:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 43.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 55 Ruben Pereira Garcia
ESP
+61 s
+44 s
G4 / G7
 18:13
16:37
 47:39
Show details
Prediction details: Ruben Pereira Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 41–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 17.1 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: +1:36 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 47:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Total: 47:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 43.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 38 Adoh Doherty
LBN
+58 s
+37 s
G4 / G2
 18:17
15:55
 47:43
Show details
Prediction details: Adoh Doherty

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 31–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 20.8 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.98 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Error: +2:22 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 47:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Total: 47:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 16.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 48 Mohamed Khenissi
TUN
+83 s
+28 s
G5 / G4
 18:39
16:33
 49:41
Show details
Prediction details: Mohamed Khenissi

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 46–54
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 48
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +83 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 54.6 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.08 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 7.9 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +2:06 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 49:41
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Total: 49:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 65.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 56 Juan Sebastian Dominguez Tacuri
ECU
+99 s
+64 s
G6 / G9
 17:28
16:53
 50:19
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Sebastian Dominguez Tacuri

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 40–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 35.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.9 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 32.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.08 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 50:19
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:11 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Total: 50:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 81.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 41 Lukas Kurtenbach
GER
+79 s
+25 s
G5 / G1
 19:39
17:00
 50:41
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Kurtenbach

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 48–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 53.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -2.45 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.89 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: +2:39 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 50:41
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Total: 50:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
51 / 52 Vincent Couty
TUN
+142 s
+54 s
G7 / G7
correct 		17:31
15:39
 54:34
Show details
Prediction details: Vincent Couty

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 50–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +142 s
Time: 10:55
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 88.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 24.3 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Error: +1:52 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 54:34
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:55 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:40 (34.2 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 54:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 124.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 54 Chad Uys
RSA
+107 s
+39 s
G7 / G6
 18:41
17:29
 55:44
Show details
Prediction details: Chad Uys

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 49–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +107 s
Time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 67.9 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.25 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 11.1 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:12 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 55:44
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:40 (34.2 km/h)
Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Total: 55:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 89.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 21 Jonah Marks
POL
+118 s
+30 s
G7 / G1
 18:54
15:10
 55:57
Show details
Prediction details: Jonah Marks

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 51–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +118 s
Time: 10:31
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 88.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.1 s
Gap behind: 24.3 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +3:44 / +0:45 / km
Overall prediction: 55:57
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:31 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:40 (34.2 km/h)
Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Total: 55:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 100.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 30 Paco Martí Ballester
ESP
+100 s
+39 s
G6 / G2
 29:45
14:10
 1:02:36
Show details
Prediction details: Paco Martí Ballester

Placement

Prediction: 54
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 60.9 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -1.05 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:45 (5:57 / km)
Historical basis: 6:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:10 (2:50 / km)
Error: +15:35 / +3:07 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:36
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:11 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 29:45 (5:57 / km)
Total: 1:02:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 82.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
55 / 49 Yerove Rodriguez Machin
ESP
+68 s
+46 s
G4 / G7
 40:35
15:10
 1:10:01
Show details
Prediction details: Yerove Rodriguez Machin

Placement

Prediction: 55
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 22.3 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.21 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 9.0 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 40:35 (8:07 / km)
Historical basis: 8:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +25:25 / +5:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:10:01
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 40:35 (8:07 / km)
Total: 1:10:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 27.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 37 Jonathan Möller
GER
+49 s
+24 s
G3 / G2
15:50
Show details
Prediction details: Jonathan Möller

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -37

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 25.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:55 (43.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 31.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.