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Junior Women

13.02.2026 El Galala EGY
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Africa Triathlon Junior Championships El Galala

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 32/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 23.8 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 85.7 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.6
Mean swim error122.1 s
Mean bike-speed error3.41 km/h
Correct bike groups2/19
No history2
Within the 80% range4.8 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 14 Remas Ramy
EGY
+0 s
+246 s
G1 / G8
 12:12
26:01
 41:52
Show details
Prediction details: Remas Ramy

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 6:15
Pace: 0:50 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +246 s
Fehler: -246.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 42.4 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 29.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 11.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:12 (2:26 / km)
Historical basis: 2:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:01 (5:12 / km)
Error: −13:49 / −2:46 / km
Overall prediction: 41:52
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:15 (0:50 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:40 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 12:12 (2:26 / km)
Total: 41:52
2 / 16 Aya Yasser
EGY
+42 s
+314 s
G3 / G10
 13:48
26:20
 53:48
Show details
Prediction details: Aya Yasser

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 6:57
Pace: 0:56 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +314 s
Fehler: -271.6 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.90 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 42.4 s
Gap behind: 40.1 s
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 28.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:48 (2:46 / km)
Historical basis: 2:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:20 (5:16 / km)
Error: −12:32 / −2:30 / km
Overall prediction: 53:48
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 6:57 (0:56 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:30 (31.2 km/h)
Run: 13:48 (2:46 / km)
Total: 53:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
3 / 4 Lomé Gouws
RSA
+109 s
+42 s
G2 / G4
 19:39
22:15
 59:27
Show details
Prediction details: Lomé Gouws

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +109 s
Time: 8:04
Pace: 1:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 67.4 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.5 s
Gap behind: 11.0 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:15 (4:27 / km)
Error: −2:36 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 59:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:04 (1:05 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:58 (31.5 km/h)
Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Total: 59:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 105.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 1 Maja Jeanne Brinkmann
NAM
+83 s
+0 s
G3 / G1
 21:02
21:06
 1:01:02
Show details
Prediction details: Maja Jeanne Brinkmann

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +83 s
Time: 7:38
Pace: 1:01 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 82.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.88 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 40.1 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:02 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:06 (4:13 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:38 (1:01 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:30 (31.2 km/h)
Run: 21:02 (4:12 / km)
Total: 1:01:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 78.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 6 Chayma Biar
MAR
+120 s
+100 s
G4 / G5
 19:46
22:09
 1:02:06
Show details
Prediction details: Chayma Biar

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 8–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +120 s
Time: 8:15
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +100 s
Fehler: 20.4 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.08 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 29.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.0 s
Gap behind: 42.2 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 32.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:09 (4:26 / km)
Error: −2:23 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:06
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:15 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 40:19 (29.8 km/h)
Run: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Total: 1:02:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
6 / 7 Lola Soukaina Zeroual
ALG
+90 s
+101 s
G3 / G5
 22:57
23:42
 1:02:57
Show details
Prediction details: Lola Soukaina Zeroual

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +90 s
Time: 7:45
Pace: 1:02 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +101 s
Fehler: -11.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 9.4 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 31.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:57 (4:35 / km)
Historical basis: 4:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:42 (4:44 / km)
Error: −0:45 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:57
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 7:45 (1:02 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:30 (31.2 km/h)
Run: 22:57 (4:35 / km)
Total: 1:02:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 85.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 5 Olivia Beamish
ZIM
+99 s
+91 s
G2 / G3
 23:19
24:05
 1:03:07
Show details
Prediction details: Olivia Beamish

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 10–11
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 7:54
Pace: 1:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +91 s
Fehler: 7.9 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.4 s
Gap behind: 10.5 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:19 (4:40 / km)
Historical basis: 4:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:05 (4:49 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:07
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 7:54 (1:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:58 (31.5 km/h)
Run: 23:19 (4:40 / km)
Total: 1:03:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 95 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 8 Doaa Izem
MAR
+223 s
+152 s
G7 / G6
 21:39
22:30
 1:08:59
Show details
Prediction details: Doaa Izem

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +223 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +152 s
Fehler: 70.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 27.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 32.2 s
Gap behind: 32.8 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 30.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:39 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:30 (4:30 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 1:08:59
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 43:37 (27.5 km/h)
Run: 21:39 (4:20 / km)
Total: 1:08:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 218.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 18 Joury Abdelaziz
EGY
+255 s
+243 s
G8 / G11
 23:35
26:19
 1:13:03
Show details
Prediction details: Joury Abdelaziz

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +255 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +243 s
Fehler: 12.3 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 26.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 32.8 s
Gap behind: 20.8 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 26.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:35 (4:43 / km)
Historical basis: 4:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:19 (5:16 / km)
Error: −2:44 / −0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 1:13:03
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 45:13 (26.5 km/h)
Run: 23:35 (4:43 / km)
Total: 1:13:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 251.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 2 Taylor Foster
RSA
+359 s
+1 s
G13 / G2
 20:07
20:58
 1:14:01
Show details
Prediction details: Taylor Foster

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +359 s
Time: 12:14
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 358.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -1.12 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 13 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.2 s
Gap behind: 54.0 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -8.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:07 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:58 (4:12 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 1:14:01
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 12:14 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 47:55 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 20:07 (4:01 / km)
Total: 1:14:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 355.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 13 Kyra Elena Marschall
NAM
+276 s
+103 s
G9 / G6
 26:04
26:55
 1:16:03
Show details
Prediction details: Kyra Elena Marschall

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +276 s
Time: 10:51
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +103 s
Fehler: 173.1 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -1.05 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 26.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 20.8 s
Gap behind: 22.2 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:04 (5:13 / km)
Historical basis: 5:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:55 (5:23 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 1:16:03
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:51 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 45:23 (26.4 km/h)
Run: 26:04 (5:13 / km)
Total: 1:16:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 272.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 3 Joudy Fathy
EGY
+439 s
+102 s
G14 / G3
 22:09
20:59
 1:16:33
Show details
Prediction details: Joudy Fathy

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 16–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +439 s
Time: 13:34
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +102 s
Fehler: 337.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -1.29 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 14 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 26.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -8.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:09 (4:26 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Error: +1:10 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 1:16:33
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:34 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 47:05 (25.3 km/h)
Run: 22:09 (4:26 / km)
Total: 1:16:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 435.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 17 Rawda Alaa
EGY
+298 s
+310 s
G10 / G10
correct 		25:10
26:41
 1:16:53
Show details
Prediction details: Rawda Alaa

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 16–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +298 s
Time: 11:13
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +310 s
Fehler: -11.7 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 10 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 22.2 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 28.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:10 (5:02 / km)
Historical basis: 5:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:41 (5:20 / km)
Error: −1:31 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 1:16:53
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:13 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 46:45 (25.7 km/h)
Run: 25:10 (5:02 / km)
Total: 1:16:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 294.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 15 Rodyna El-Ramah
EGY
+305 s
+244 s
G11 / G9
 27:48
25:46
 1:20:53
Show details
Prediction details: Rodyna El-Ramah

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +305 s
Time: 11:20
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +244 s
Fehler: 61.3 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 11 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 36.9 s
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 27.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 27:48 (5:34 / km)
Historical basis: 5:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:46 (5:09 / km)
Error: +2:02 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 1:20:53
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:20 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 48:00 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 27:48 (5:34 / km)
Total: 1:20:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 301.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 21 Faith Mugweru
KEN
+354 s
+310 s
G13 / G12
 32:30
36:34
 1:26:24
Show details
Prediction details: Faith Mugweru

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +354 s
Time: 12:09
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +310 s
Fehler: 43.8 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 13 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.6 s
Gap behind: 5.2 s
Result: Group 12 (2 people)
Speed: 24.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:30 (6:30 / km)
Historical basis: 6:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:34 (7:19 / km)
Error: −4:04 / −0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 1:26:24
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:09 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 47:55 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 32:30 (6:30 / km)
Total: 1:26:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 349.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 9 Dalia Aidouni
ALG
+0 s
+104 s
G0 / G6
23:11
Show details
Prediction details: Dalia Aidouni

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 6:15
Pace: 0:50 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +104 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 30.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:11 (4:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 6:15 (0:50 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Elissa Ghanoudi
TUN
+163 s
+149 s
G5 / G6
25:21
Show details
Prediction details: Elissa Ghanoudi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +163 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +149 s
Fehler: 13.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 28.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 42.2 s
Gap behind: 27.7 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 30.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:21 (5:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 41:36 (28.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 158.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11 Saleha nerddjes Berrached
ALG
+190 s
+95 s
G6 / G6
correct
26:03
Show details
Prediction details: Saleha nerddjes Berrached

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +190 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +95 s
Fehler: 95.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 27.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 27.7 s
Gap behind: 32.2 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 29.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:03 (5:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 43:05 (27.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 186.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Jana Mutschler
NAM
+342 s
+212 s
G12 / G7
24:01
Show details
Prediction details: Jana Mutschler

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +342 s
Time: 11:57
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +212 s
Fehler: 130.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 12 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 36.9 s
Gap behind: 11.6 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 29.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:01 (4:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:57 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 48:00 (25.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 338.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 19 Keira Rajabalee
MRI
+413 s
+107 s
G14 / G9
30:33
Show details
Prediction details: Keira Rajabalee

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +413 s
Time: 13:08
Pace: 1:45 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +107 s
Fehler: 306.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.85 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 14 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 54.0 s
Gap behind: 26.0 s
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 26.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:33 (6:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 13:08 (1:45 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 47:05 (25.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:19
Pace: 0:51 / 100 m
About 409.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 20 Raghad Ahmed Mohammed Ali
LBA
+0 s
+304 s
G0 / G12
33:48
Show details
Prediction details: Raghad Ahmed Mohammed Ali

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 6:15
Pace: 0:50 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +304 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (2 people)
Speed: 24.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:48 (6:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 6:15 (0:50 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.