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Junior Men

29.03.2026 RSA
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Africa Triathlon Junior Cup Mossel Bay

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 29.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 70/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 73 früheren Rennen und 1464 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 43.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 40.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 65.6 % · 73 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error9.6
Mean swim error54.5 s
Mean bike-speed error2.15 km/h
Correct bike groups4/30
No history2
Within the 80% range6.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Antony Clayton
RSA
+51 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 16:37
16:22
 50:13
Show details
Prediction details: Antony Clayton

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 51.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 50:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Total: 50:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 47.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 3 Ryan Viviers
RSA
+50 s
+31 s
G2 / G1
 17:42
17:35
 51:18
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Viviers

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 10–15
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 19.4 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 51:18
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Total: 51:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 46.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 5 Oliver Delport
RSA
+21 s
+31 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:51
18:40
 51:27
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Delport

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -9.8 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 21.6 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 51:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Total: 51:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 17.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 4 Nathan Max Centlivres Chase
NAM
+52 s
+29 s
G2 / G1
 17:54
18:12
 51:30
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Max Centlivres Chase

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 9–17
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 22.8 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 16.2 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 51:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 51:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 47.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 10 Thomas Greco
ALB
+46 s
+20 s
G2 / G3
 18:15
19:29
 51:51
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Greco

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 12–16
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 26.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:29 (3:54 / km)
Error: −1:14 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 51:51
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Total: 51:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 42.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 9 Scott Clemmett
RSA
+43 s
+25 s
G2 / G3
 18:29
18:59
 52:05
Show details
Prediction details: Scott Clemmett

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 13–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 17.8 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.83 %, Sicherheit 93 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 21.6 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 1.60 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 52:05
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Total: 52:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 38.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 2 Nicholas Horne
RSA
+91 s
+64 s
G3 / G2
 16:13
15:55
 52:19
Show details
Prediction details: Nicholas Horne

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 10–16
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +91 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 27.1 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 52:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:33 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Total: 52:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 87.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 6 Zac Fletcher
RSA
+77 s
+63 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:33
17:23
 53:39
Show details
Prediction details: Zac Fletcher

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 10–18
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 13.9 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 57 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 53:39
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:33 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Total: 53:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 73 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 8 Zander Botha
ZIM
+88 s
+72 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:22
18:37
 54:28
Show details
Prediction details: Zander Botha

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 13–20
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: 16.3 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 54:28
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:33 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Total: 54:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 84.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 11 Johannes Brink
RSA
+68 s
+81 s
G3 / G5
 19:18
17:21
 55:24
Show details
Prediction details: Johannes Brink

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 18–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +81 s
Fehler: -13.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.2 s
Gap behind: 8.9 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: +1:57 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 55:24
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:33 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Total: 55:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 64.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 7 Callum Smith
ZIM
+93 s
+68 s
G3 / G3
correct 		20:01
17:58
 56:07
Show details
Prediction details: Callum Smith

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 19–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: 24.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 89 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 56.6 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Error: +2:03 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 56:07
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:33 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Total: 56:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 89 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 20 Noah Habib
RSA
+17 s
+151 s
G2 / G6
 22:33
20:15
 56:09
Show details
Prediction details: Noah Habib

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 18–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +151 s
Fehler: -134.1 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.9 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:33 (4:31 / km)
Historical basis: 4:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:15 (4:03 / km)
Error: +2:18 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 56:09
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 22:33 (4:31 / km)
Total: 56:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 13 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 18 Avuzwa Makeleni
RSA
+85 s
+33 s
G3 / G5
 21:23
20:31
 57:29
Show details
Prediction details: Avuzwa Makeleni

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 20–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 52.1 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:23 (4:17 / km)
Historical basis: 4:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:31 (4:06 / km)
Error: +0:52 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 57:29
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:33 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 21:23 (4:17 / km)
Total: 57:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 81.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 16 Fynn Lwazi Middleton
NAM
+83 s
+99 s
G3 / G5
 22:34
20:15
 58:40
Show details
Prediction details: Fynn Lwazi Middleton

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 22–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +83 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +99 s
Fehler: -15.8 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.98 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.2 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:34 (4:31 / km)
Historical basis: 4:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 59 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:15 (4:03 / km)
Error: +2:19 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 58:40
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:33 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 22:34 (4:31 / km)
Total: 58:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 79.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 13 Philip Theron
RSA
+207 s
+193 s
G4 / G6
 18:33
18:15
 58:54
Show details
Prediction details: Philip Theron

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 22–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +207 s
Time: 11:58
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +193 s
Fehler: 14.2 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 32.2 s
Gap behind: 63.8 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 58:54
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:58 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:04 (33.0 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 58:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 203.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 22 Francois Cilliers
RSA
+175 s
+167 s
G4 / G8
 19:30
19:48
 59:51
Show details
Prediction details: Francois Cilliers

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 21–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +175 s
Time: 11:26
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +167 s
Fehler: 8.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 22.0 s
Gap behind: 32.2 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 59:51
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:26 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:04 (33.0 km/h)
Run: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Total: 59:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 171.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 23 Matthew Hildebrand
ZIM
+150 s
+241 s
G4 / G7
 23:34
22:29
 1:03:55
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew Hildebrand

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +150 s
Time: 11:01
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +241 s
Fehler: -91.5 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 56.6 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:34 (4:43 / km)
Historical basis: 4:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:29 (4:30 / km)
Error: +1:05 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:55
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:01 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:04 (33.0 km/h)
Run: 23:34 (4:43 / km)
Total: 1:03:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 145.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 26 Henri Du Plessis
RSA
+372 s
+348 s
G5 / G10
 21:16
21:02
 1:06:52
Show details
Prediction details: Henri Du Plessis

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +372 s
Time: 14:43
Pace: 1:58 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +348 s
Fehler: 23.5 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 29.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.9 s
Gap behind: 31.8 s
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 31.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:16 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:02 (4:12 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:06:52
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 14:43 (1:58 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 39:24 (29.6 km/h)
Run: 21:16 (4:15 / km)
Total: 1:06:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 367.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 25 Joshua Bunkowske
KEN
+358 s
+20 s
G5 / G10
 22:22
20:50
 1:07:58
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Bunkowske

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +358 s
Time: 14:29
Pace: 1:56 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 338.1 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 29.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 41.1 s
Gap behind: 7.5 s
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 27.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:22 (4:28 / km)
Historical basis: 4:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Error: +1:32 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 1:07:58
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 14:29 (1:56 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 39:24 (29.6 km/h)
Run: 22:22 (4:28 / km)
Total: 1:07:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 354.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 30 Raynard Turpin
RSA
+366 s
+396 s
G5 / G14
 23:45
22:27
 1:09:21
Show details
Prediction details: Raynard Turpin

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +366 s
Time: 14:37
Pace: 1:57 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +396 s
Fehler: -30.4 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 29.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.5 s
Gap behind: 5.9 s
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 27.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:45 (4:45 / km)
Historical basis: 4:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:27 (4:29 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 1:09:21
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 14:37 (1:57 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 39:24 (29.6 km/h)
Run: 23:45 (4:45 / km)
Total: 1:09:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 361.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 29 Zizael Manyati
ZIM
+403 s
+295 s
G6 / G13
 25:54
23:00
 1:19:25
Show details
Prediction details: Zizael Manyati

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +403 s
Time: 15:14
Pace: 2:02 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +295 s
Fehler: 108.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 31.8 s
Gap behind: 53.7 s
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 27.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:54 (5:11 / km)
Historical basis: 5:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:00 (4:36 / km)
Error: +2:54 / +0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 1:19:25
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 15:14 (2:02 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 45:54 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 25:54 (5:11 / km)
Total: 1:19:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 399.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Ruben Marais
RSA
+77 s
+111 s
G3 / G5
19:41
Show details
Prediction details: Ruben Marais

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +111 s
Fehler: -34.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 6.2 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:33 (33.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 73.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Keaton Gaines
RSA
+152 s
+147 s
G4 / G6
18:19
Show details
Prediction details: Keaton Gaines

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +152 s
Time: 11:03
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +147 s
Fehler: 5.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:03 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:04 (33.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 148.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 15 Jean-Paul Van Dyk
RSA
+0 s
+79 s
G0 / G4
20:47
Show details
Prediction details: Jean-Paul Van Dyk

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:47 (4:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:31 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Bradley Leppan
RSA
+20 s
+36 s
G2 / G6
18:24
Show details
Prediction details: Bradley Leppan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -16.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (35.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 16.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 19 Nicolas Greeve
RSA
+153 s
+125 s
G4 / G6
19:38
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Greeve

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +153 s
Time: 11:04
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +125 s
Fehler: 28.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 22.0 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:04 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:04 (33.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 149.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 21 Matthew Ratcliffe
RSA
+0 s
+114 s
G0 / G4
22:50
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew Ratcliffe

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +114 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:50 (4:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:31 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Alon Beyleveld
RSA
+292 s
+327 s
G4 / G9
20:00
Show details
Prediction details: Alon Beyleveld

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +292 s
Time: 13:23
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +327 s
Fehler: -35.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 21.0 s
Gap behind: 25.0 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:00 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:23 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:04 (33.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 288.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 27 Tiaan Kloppers
RSA
+457 s
+369 s
G6 / G12
20:07
Show details
Prediction details: Tiaan Kloppers

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 13–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +457 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 2:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +369 s
Fehler: 88.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 53.7 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 29.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:07 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 16:08 (2:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 45:54 (25.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 453.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 28 Wian Gildenhuys
RSA
+271 s
+296 s
G4 / G11
23:44
Show details
Prediction details: Wian Gildenhuys

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +271 s
Time: 13:02
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +296 s
Fehler: -25.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 63.8 s
Gap behind: 21.0 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 31.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:44 (4:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:02 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:04 (33.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 267.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 31 Nico De Nysschen
RSA
+0 s
+301 s
G1 / G15
24:04
Show details
Prediction details: Nico De Nysschen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +301 s
Fehler: -301.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 16.9 s
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 26.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 14.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:04 (4:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:31 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:50 (40.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 32 Taanashe Makosa
ZIM
+317 s
+361 s
G4 / G16
31:10
Show details
Prediction details: Taanashe Makosa

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +317 s
Time: 13:48
Pace: 1:50 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +361 s
Fehler: -44.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 25.0 s
Gap behind: 41.1 s
Result: Group 16 (1 people)
Speed: 25.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:10 (6:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:48 (1:50 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:04 (33.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 313.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.