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Junior Women

29.03.2026 RSA
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Africa Triathlon Junior Cup Mossel Bay

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 29.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 71/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 69 früheren Rennen und 564 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 31.6 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 18 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 42.1 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 73.7 % · 69 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.5
Mean swim error41.2 s
Mean bike-speed error1.86 km/h
Correct bike groups3/16
No history3
Within the 80% range31.6 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Maja Jeanne Brinkmann
NAM
+12 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		21:01
20:41
 56:13
Show details
Prediction details: Maja Jeanne Brinkmann

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 9.3 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 7.3 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:01 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:41 (4:08 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 56:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:00 (33.4 km/h)
Run: 21:01 (4:12 / km)
Total: 56:13
2 / 2 Taylor Foster
RSA
+64 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 18:56
19:00
 56:56
Show details
Prediction details: Taylor Foster

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 11:01
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 64.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.87 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 44.4 s
Gap behind: 14.4 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 56:56
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:01 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:56 (31.2 km/h)
Run: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Total: 56:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 45.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 1 Rachel O'Donoghue
ZIM
+20 s
+95 s
G2 / G1
 20:35
18:51
 58:35
Show details
Prediction details: Rachel O'Donoghue

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +95 s
Fehler: -75.4 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.85 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.3 s
Gap behind: 44.4 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 1.02 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Error: +1:44 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 58:35
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:17 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:56 (31.2 km/h)
Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Total: 58:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 1.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 4 Karli Lotter
RSA
+78 s
+87 s
G3 / G3
correct 		19:49
21:04
 1:00:11
Show details
Prediction details: Karli Lotter

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 11:15
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +87 s
Fehler: -8.6 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.4 s
Gap behind: 14.6 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:04 (4:13 / km)
Error: −1:15 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:11
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:15 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 39:04 (30.0 km/h)
Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Total: 1:00:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 60.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 6 Alexis Hewitt
RSA
+93 s
+157 s
G4 / G6
 20:04
19:43
 1:01:38
Show details
Prediction details: Alexis Hewitt

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 11:30
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +157 s
Fehler: -64.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.6 s
Gap behind: 20.8 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 29.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:38
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:30 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Total: 1:01:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 74.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 7 Nadia Van Wyk
RSA
+143 s
+154 s
G4 / G4
correct 		20:43
22:08
 1:02:17
Show details
Prediction details: Nadia Van Wyk

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 8–9
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +143 s
Time: 12:20
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +154 s
Fehler: -10.6 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:43 (4:09 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:08 (4:26 / km)
Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:17
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 12:20 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: 20:43 (4:09 / km)
Total: 1:02:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 125.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 11 Ava Jade Moore
RSA
+164 s
+223 s
G4 / G6
 21:18
23:43
 1:02:52
Show details
Prediction details: Ava Jade Moore

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +164 s
Time: 12:41
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +223 s
Fehler: -59.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.8 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 30.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:19 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:43 (4:45 / km)
Error: −2:25 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:52
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:41 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Total: 1:02:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 162.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +1.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 5 Jeane Smith
RSA
+121 s
+90 s
G4 / G2
 21:49
23:01
 1:03:23
Show details
Prediction details: Jeane Smith

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 78 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +121 s
Time: 11:58
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +90 s
Fehler: 31.4 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.6 s
Gap behind: 4.3 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:49 (4:22 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:01 (4:36 / km)
Error: −1:12 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:23
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:58 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: 21:49 (4:22 / km)
Total: 1:03:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 103.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 9 Wilmien Verbeek
RSA
+126 s
+89 s
G4 / G6
 22:14
20:57
 1:03:48
Show details
Prediction details: Wilmien Verbeek

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 10–12
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +126 s
Time: 12:03
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +89 s
Fehler: 36.7 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.3 s
Gap behind: 5.7 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 29.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:14 (4:27 / km)
Historical basis: 4:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Error: +1:17 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:48
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:03 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: 22:14 (4:27 / km)
Total: 1:03:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 107.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 10 Shayla Harvey
RSA
+131 s
+155 s
G4 / G6
 23:38
22:25
 1:05:12
Show details
Prediction details: Shayla Harvey

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +131 s
Time: 12:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +155 s
Fehler: -23.6 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 10.7 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 29.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:38 (4:44 / km)
Historical basis: 4:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:32 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:25 (4:29 / km)
Error: +1:13 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 1:05:12
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: 23:38 (4:44 / km)
Total: 1:05:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 113.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 15 Yanelisa Nomoyi
RSA
+142 s
+158 s
G4 / G10
 25:59
25:10
 1:07:33
Show details
Prediction details: Yanelisa Nomoyi

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 13–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +142 s
Time: 12:19
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +158 s
Fehler: -15.9 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.7 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 26.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:59 (5:12 / km)
Historical basis: 5:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:00 / km
Trend: −0:06 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:10 (5:02 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 1:07:33
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:19 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: 25:59 (5:12 / km)
Total: 1:07:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 123.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 8 Kara Du Plessis
RSA
+167 s
+98 s
G4 / G5
 26:54
22:47
 1:08:28
Show details
Prediction details: Kara Du Plessis

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 13–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +167 s
Time: 12:44
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +98 s
Fehler: 69.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 30.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:54 (5:23 / km)
Historical basis: 5:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:47 (4:33 / km)
Error: +4:07 / +0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 1:08:28
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:44 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: 26:54 (5:23 / km)
Total: 1:08:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 148.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 17 Melinda Dippenaar
RSA
+114 s
+219 s
G4 / G11
 28:24
27:46
 1:09:58
Show details
Prediction details: Melinda Dippenaar

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 14–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +114 s
Time: 11:51
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +219 s
Fehler: -105.2 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 20.8 s
Gap behind: 7.6 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 25.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:24 (5:41 / km)
Historical basis: 5:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:46 (5:33 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 1:09:58
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:51 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: 28:24 (5:41 / km)
Total: 1:09:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 95.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 13 Kyra Elena Marschall
NAM
+147 s
+98 s
G4 / G6
 28:27
25:45
 1:10:01
Show details
Prediction details: Kyra Elena Marschall

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 15–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +147 s
Time: 12:24
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +98 s
Fehler: 49.2 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 16.8 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 29.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:27 (5:41 / km)
Historical basis: 5:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:45 (5:09 / km)
Error: +2:42 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 1:10:01
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:24 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: 28:27 (5:41 / km)
Total: 1:10:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 129 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Dune Haasbroek
RSA
+0 s
+147 s
G0 / G7
23:00
Show details
Prediction details: Dune Haasbroek

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +147 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 28.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:00 (4:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Sharvani Govender
RSA
+173 s
+148 s
G4 / G8
21:51
Show details
Prediction details: Sharvani Govender

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +173 s
Time: 12:50
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +148 s
Fehler: 25.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 13.0 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 26.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:51 (4:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 12:50 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 154.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16 Siobhan Evans
RSA
+186 s
+173 s
G4 / G9
30:15
Show details
Prediction details: Siobhan Evans

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +186 s
Time: 13:03
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +173 s
Fehler: 13.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 26.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:15 (6:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:03 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:28 (30.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 167.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 18 Ilna Swart
RSA
+0 s
+235 s
G0 / G12
25:47
Show details
Prediction details: Ilna Swart

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +235 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 24.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:47 (5:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Carla Truter
RSA
+0 s
+338 s
G0 / G13
26:14
Show details
Prediction details: Carla Truter

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +338 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 23.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:14 (5:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.