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Junior Men

06.06.2026 Yasmine Hammamet TUN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Africa Triathlon Junior Cup Yasmine Hammamet

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 06.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 59/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 75 früheren Rennen und 2190 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 47.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 31.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 18.2 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 72.7 % · 75 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.4
Mean swim error51.3 s
Mean bike-speed error2.73 km/h
Correct bike groups2/8
No history3
Within the 80% range45.5 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Mohamed Amine Khemais
TUN
+6 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:26
15:50
 51:22
Show details
Prediction details: Mohamed Amine Khemais

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 15.9 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Error: +1:36 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 51:22
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:50 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Total: 51:22
2 / 2 Youssef Slama
TUN
+22 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 18:33
15:50
 52:50
Show details
Prediction details: Youssef Slama

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 21.9 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 15.9 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Error: +2:43 / +0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 52:50
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:55 (35.4 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 52:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 13 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 5 Ala Saidane
TUN
+23 s
+2 s
G2 / G1
 19:39
17:27
 53:56
Show details
Prediction details: Ala Saidane

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 20.9 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 9.0 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: +2:12 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 53:56
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:55 (35.4 km/h)
Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Total: 53:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 14 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 10 Safwan Ali
LBA
+93 s
+134 s
G3 / G3
correct 		19:13
20:01
 54:17
Show details
Prediction details: Safwan Ali

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +134 s
Fehler: -41.2 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 60.9 s
Gap behind: 10.9 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:13 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 54:17
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:39 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:13 (3:51 / km)
Total: 54:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 83.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 4 Makar Pinimasov
RUS
+143 s
+34 s
G3 / G1
 19:39
16:47
 54:43
Show details
Prediction details: Makar Pinimasov

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +143 s
Time: 11:19
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 108.7 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 39.0 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Error: +2:52 / +0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 54:43
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:19 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:39 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Total: 54:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 113.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 6 Yassin Ghedamssi
TUN
+32 s
+2 s
G3 / G1
 19:57
17:32
 55:01
Show details
Prediction details: Yassin Ghedamssi

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 29.9 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.0 s
Gap behind: 60.9 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Error: +2:25 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 55:01
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:39 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Total: 55:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 23 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 8 Matthew Green
UAE
+104 s
+33 s
G3 / G1
 20:15
17:53
 55:19
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew Green

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +104 s
Time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 70.7 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.9 s
Gap behind: 39.0 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:15 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Error: +2:22 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 55:19
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:40 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:39 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 20:15 (4:03 / km)
Total: 55:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 74.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 7 Mikhail Kiselev
RUS
+146 s
+35 s
G3 / G1
 21:42
17:46
 56:46
Show details
Prediction details: Mikhail Kiselev

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +146 s
Time: 11:22
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 110.7 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:42 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Error: +3:56 / +0:47 / km
Overall prediction: 56:46
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:22 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:39 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 21:42 (4:20 / km)
Total: 56:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 116.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 3 Liam Daly
MLT
+0 s
+28 s
G0 / G1
16:18
Show details
Prediction details: Liam Daly

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Aiden Muscat
MLT
+0 s
+37 s
G0 / G2
19:36
Show details
Prediction details: Aiden Muscat

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:36 (3:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Shaheen Farhat
LBA
+0 s
+215 s
G0 / G4
20:19
Show details
Prediction details: Shaheen Farhat

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +215 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.