Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Junior Women

04.07.2026 CHI
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Americas Triathlon Championships Antofagasta

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 04.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 71/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 43 früheren Rennen und 584 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 51.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 04.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 42.5 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 85.0 % · 43 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error12.9
Mean swim error32.9 s
Mean bike-speed error1.81 km/h
Correct bike groups7/38
No history2
Within the 80% range17.5 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Brooke Rousselle
CAN
+30 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:40
17:27
 50:17
Show details
Prediction details: Brooke Rousselle

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 30.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.7 s
Gap behind: 8.8 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 50:17
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:11 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:54 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Total: 50:17
2 / 20 Sarah Gilhooly
USA
+42 s
+43 s
G1 / G2
 21:18
20:08
 53:55
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Gilhooly

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 14–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -0.8 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 71 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Error: +1:10 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 53:55
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:23 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:54 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Total: 53:55
3 / 24 Melany Pesantez Cumbicus
ECU
+43 s
+63 s
G1 / G2
 21:31
21:43
 54:08
Show details
Prediction details: Melany Pesantez Cumbicus

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 14–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -20.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:31 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:43 (4:21 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 54:08
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:24 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:54 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 21:31 (4:18 / km)
Total: 54:08
4 / 4 Jenna Gilhooly
USA
+47 s
+9 s
G2 / G1
 18:52
18:30
 54:27
Show details
Prediction details: Jenna Gilhooly

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 38.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -1.41 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 54:27
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:28 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:47 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Total: 54:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 0.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 7 Rylan Lonergan
USA
+39 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		21:55
18:53
 54:32
Show details
Prediction details: Rylan Lonergan

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 15–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 37.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 1.02 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.8 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:55 (4:23 / km)
Historical basis: 4:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: +3:02 / +0:36 / km
Overall prediction: 54:32
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:54 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 21:55 (4:23 / km)
Total: 54:32
6 / 10 Argelia Pérez Olivera
MEX
+73 s
+40 s
G3 / G1
 19:49
19:29
 56:20
Show details
Prediction details: Argelia Pérez Olivera

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 17–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 10:54
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 33.4 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:29 (3:54 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 56:20
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:54 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Total: 56:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 26.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 2 Regina Michel Camacho
MEX
+70 s
+46 s
G3 / G1
 20:04
17:50
 56:35
Show details
Prediction details: Regina Michel Camacho

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 14–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:51
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 23.6 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.92 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: +2:14 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 56:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:51 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Total: 56:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 23 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 5 María José Nuñez Bautista
MEX
+64 s
+41 s
G3 / G1
 20:22
18:41
 56:53
Show details
Prediction details: María José Nuñez Bautista

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 17–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 10:45
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 23.4 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:22 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Error: +1:41 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 56:53
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:45 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 20:22 (4:04 / km)
Total: 56:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 17.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 14 Maria Luiza Simão de Oliveira
BRA
+48 s
+11 s
G2 / G1
 21:30
20:34
 57:05
Show details
Prediction details: Maria Luiza Simão de Oliveira

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 14–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 37.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 8.6 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:30 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:34 (4:07 / km)
Error: +0:56 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 57:05
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:47 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 21:30 (4:18 / km)
Total: 57:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 1.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 28 Pascalle Ahumada Inostroza
CHI
+93 s
+76 s
G4 / G3
 19:37
20:30
 57:08
Show details
Prediction details: Pascalle Ahumada Inostroza

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 18–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 11:14
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: 17.3 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 6.1 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:30 (4:06 / km)
Error: −0:53 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 57:08
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:14 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:57 (36.1 km/h)
Run: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Total: 57:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 46.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 13 Sara Champoux
CAN
+125 s
+56 s
G5 / G2
 19:03
18:19
 57:15
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Champoux

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 19–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +125 s
Time: 11:46
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 68.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 23.4 s
Gap behind: 6.5 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 57:15
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:46 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:08 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Total: 57:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 77.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 11 Maria Clara Abreu Borges Cunha
BRA
+57 s
+39 s
G3 / G1
 20:55
20:05
 57:26
Show details
Prediction details: Maria Clara Abreu Borges Cunha

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 14–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 18.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:55 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:05 (4:01 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 57:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:38 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 20:55 (4:11 / km)
Total: 57:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 10.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 25 Valeria Arce Núñez
CRC
+92 s
+66 s
G4 / G3
 19:56
19:14
 57:27
Show details
Prediction details: Valeria Arce Núñez

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 18–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +92 s
Time: 11:13
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: 26.4 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 57:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:13 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:57 (36.1 km/h)
Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Total: 57:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 45.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 21 Isabella Fernandez
PUR
+67 s
+44 s
G3 / G2
 21:23
20:29
 57:54
Show details
Prediction details: Isabella Fernandez

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 18–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 23.2 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:23 (4:17 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:45 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 37 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:29 (4:06 / km)
Error: +0:54 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 57:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:48 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 21:23 (4:17 / km)
Total: 57:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 20.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 9 Rebeca Sofia Rivero Franco
MEX
+69 s
+38 s
G3 / G1
 21:40
19:19
 58:11
Show details
Prediction details: Rebeca Sofia Rivero Franco

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 16–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 10:50
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 30.9 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:40 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Error: +2:21 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 58:11
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:50 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 21:40 (4:20 / km)
Total: 58:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 22.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 19 Victoria Arce Nuñez
CRC
+70 s
+51 s
G3 / G2
 21:44
20:13
 58:15
Show details
Prediction details: Victoria Arce Nuñez

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 19–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:51
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 19.1 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:44 (4:21 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 55 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:13 (4:03 / km)
Error: +1:31 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 58:15
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:51 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 21:44 (4:21 / km)
Total: 58:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 23.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 26 Valeria Canizales Vizcarra
MEX
+99 s
+70 s
G5 / G3
 20:04
19:40
 58:16
Show details
Prediction details: Valeria Canizales Vizcarra

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 24–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 11:20
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 29.4 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 58:16
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:20 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:08 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Total: 58:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 52.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 3 Sarah-Maude Levesque
CAN
+101 s
+44 s
G5 / G1
 20:06
18:34
 58:18
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah-Maude Levesque

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 21–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +101 s
Time: 11:22
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 57.1 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 23.4 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Error: +1:32 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 58:18
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:22 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:08 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Total: 58:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 54.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 29 Valentina Sofia Negron
PUR
+85 s
+125 s
G4 / G4
correct 		21:45
19:44
 59:16
Show details
Prediction details: Valentina Sofia Negron

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 23–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +125 s
Fehler: -40.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.93 %, Sicherheit 57 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.3 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:45 (4:21 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Error: +2:01 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 59:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:06 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:57 (36.1 km/h)
Run: 21:45 (4:21 / km)
Total: 59:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 38.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 16 Ivanna Gabriela Villatoro Sandoval
MEX
+66 s
+49 s
G3 / G2
 22:48
19:07
 59:19
Show details
Prediction details: Ivanna Gabriela Villatoro Sandoval

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 28–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 17.4 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:48 (4:34 / km)
Historical basis: 4:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Error: +3:41 / +0:44 / km
Overall prediction: 59:19
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:47 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 22:48 (4:34 / km)
Total: 59:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 19.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 23 Maya Mensen
CAN
+172 s
+116 s
G8 / G4
 19:13
18:24
 59:40
Show details
Prediction details: Maya Mensen

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 29–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +172 s
Time: 12:33
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +116 s
Fehler: 56.3 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 1.10 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 20.8 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:13 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 59:40
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:33 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:34 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 19:13 (3:51 / km)
Total: 59:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 125.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 22 Juana Marcela Barzallo Ortiz
ECU
+57 s
+60 s
G3 / G2
 24:06
20:55
 1:00:37
Show details
Prediction details: Juana Marcela Barzallo Ortiz

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 29–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -3.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:06 (4:49 / km)
Historical basis: 4:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.48 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:55 (4:11 / km)
Error: +3:11 / +0:38 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:37
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:38 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 24:06 (4:49 / km)
Total: 1:00:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 10 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 39 Rafaela Duran Schade
CHI
+131 s
+123 s
G7 / G5
 21:21
24:34
 1:01:35
Show details
Prediction details: Rafaela Duran Schade

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 31–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +131 s
Time: 11:52
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +123 s
Fehler: 8.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:21 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 1.26 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:34 (4:55 / km)
Error: −3:13 / −0:39 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:35
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:52 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:51 (34.4 km/h)
Run: 21:21 (4:16 / km)
Total: 1:01:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 84.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 40 Francisca Antonia Espinoza Pereira
CHI
+272 s
+259 s
G9 / G6
 19:34
22:29
 1:04:09
Show details
Prediction details: Francisca Antonia Espinoza Pereira

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 34–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +272 s
Time: 14:13
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +259 s
Fehler: 13.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -1.03 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 95.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:34 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 1.70 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:29 (4:30 / km)
Error: −2:55 / −0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 1:04:09
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:13 (1:54 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 40:03 (31.2 km/h)
Run: 19:34 (3:55 / km)
Total: 1:04:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 225.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 37 Jimena Martinez
URU
+143 s
+129 s
G7 / G5
 26:03
22:39
 1:06:17
Show details
Prediction details: Jimena Martinez

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 36–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +143 s
Time: 12:04
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +129 s
Fehler: 13.8 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.1 s
Gap behind: 8.7 s
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:03 (5:13 / km)
Historical basis: 5:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:39 (4:32 / km)
Error: +3:24 / +0:41 / km
Overall prediction: 1:06:17
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:04 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:51 (34.4 km/h)
Run: 26:03 (5:13 / km)
Total: 1:06:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 96.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 36 Regina Belen Leaño Alconz
BOL
+135 s
+68 s
G7 / G5
 29:14
22:04
 1:09:28
Show details
Prediction details: Regina Belen Leaño Alconz

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 37–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +135 s
Time: 11:56
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: 66.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 8.1 s
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:14 (5:51 / km)
Historical basis: 5:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:04 (4:25 / km)
Error: +7:10 / +1:26 / km
Overall prediction: 1:09:28
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:56 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:51 (34.4 km/h)
Run: 29:14 (5:51 / km)
Total: 1:09:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 88.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 30 Martina Baez Salazar
CHI
+176 s
+113 s
G9 / G3
 28:54
20:54
 1:13:29
Show details
Prediction details: Martina Baez Salazar

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 38–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +176 s
Time: 12:37
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +113 s
Fehler: 63.4 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 95.6 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:54 (5:47 / km)
Historical basis: 5:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.95 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:54 (4:11 / km)
Error: +8:00 / +1:36 / km
Overall prediction: 1:13:29
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 12:37 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 40:03 (31.2 km/h)
Run: 28:54 (5:47 / km)
Total: 1:13:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 129.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 6 Maëlly Lamontagne
CAN
+0 s
+47 s
G0 / G1
18:55
Show details
Prediction details: Maëlly Lamontagne

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 39–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Jeanne Gadbois
CAN
+88 s
+47 s
G4 / G1
18:53
Show details
Prediction details: Jeanne Gadbois

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 11:09
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 41.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:09 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:57 (36.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 41.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Federica Carletto
ARG
+23 s
+21 s
G1 / G1
correct
20:04
Show details
Prediction details: Federica Carletto

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 2.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 6.7 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:54 (40.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 15 Senna Chan Carusone
CAN
+0 s
+46 s
G0 / G2
18:37
Show details
Prediction details: Senna Chan Carusone

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 40–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Alexis Lashley
BAR
+61 s
+11 s
G3 / G1
21:07
Show details
Prediction details: Alexis Lashley

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:42
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 50.1 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:07 (4:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:42 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 14.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 18 Gabriele Amabiele Reis
BRA
+152 s
+53 s
G6 / G2
19:30
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriele Amabiele Reis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +152 s
Time: 12:13
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 98.5 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.7 s
Gap behind: 20.8 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:13 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:35 (34.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 104.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 27 Ana Isabella Quingatuña Agudelo
ECU
+88 s
+57 s
G4 / G2
22:35
Show details
Prediction details: Ana Isabella Quingatuña Agudelo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 11:09
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 31.1 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 4.3 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:35 (4:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:09 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:57 (36.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 41.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 31 María Paula Navarro Chaverri
CRC
+64 s
+72 s
G3 / G3
correct
20:57
Show details
Prediction details: María Paula Navarro Chaverri

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 10:45
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: -8.4 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:45 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 17 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 32 Emma Scliar
ARG
+78 s
+119 s
G4 / G4
correct
20:19
Show details
Prediction details: Emma Scliar

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 10:59
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +119 s
Fehler: -40.9 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:59 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:57 (36.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 31.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 33 Guadalupe Valverde
ARG
+71 s
+101 s
G3 / G4
21:39
Show details
Prediction details: Guadalupe Valverde

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 10:52
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +101 s
Fehler: -30.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:39 (4:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:52 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:18 (36.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 23.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 34 Greta Buntalyk caviglia
ARG
+100 s
+126 s
G5 / G5
correct
20:52
Show details
Prediction details: Greta Buntalyk caviglia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 11:21
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +126 s
Fehler: -26.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:52 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:21 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:08 (35.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 53.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 35 Javiera Cerda Sanhueza
CHI
+134 s
+73 s
G7 / G3
24:48
Show details
Prediction details: Javiera Cerda Sanhueza

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -35

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +134 s
Time: 11:55
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: 61.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:48 (4:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:55 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:51 (34.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 87.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 38 Carla Cabrera Chamorro
CHI
+79 s
+124 s
G4 / G5
23:50
Show details
Prediction details: Carla Cabrera Chamorro

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -38

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 11:00
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +124 s
Fehler: -45.4 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 6.3 s
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:50 (4:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:00 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:57 (36.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 32 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.