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Youth Men

05.07.2026 CHI
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Americas Triathlon Championships Antofagasta

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 05.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 34/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 13 früheren Rennen und 313 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 48.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 28.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 5 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 9.4 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 59.4 % · 13 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error12.5
Mean swim error26.1 s
Mean bike-speed error1.56 km/h
Correct bike groups8/26
No history6
Within the 80% range21.9 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Joaquín Valverde
ARG
+56 s
+32 s
G3 / G3
correct 		8:27
8:37
 25:55
Show details
Prediction details: Joaquín Valverde

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 13–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 5:01
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 23.8 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 7.7 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:27 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:37 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 25:55
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:01 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:32 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 8:27 (3:23 / km)
Total: 25:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 50.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 14 Florian Muñoz
ARG
+24 s
+0 s
G2 / G3
 9:11
9:35
 25:56
Show details
Prediction details: Florian Muñoz

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 13–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 4:29
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 24.4 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:11 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:35 (3:50 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 25:56
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:29 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 9:11 (3:41 / km)
Total: 25:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 19.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 17 Fabricio Samuel Mamani Gomez
BOL
+39 s
+22 s
G3 / G4
 8:53
8:59
 26:21
Show details
Prediction details: Fabricio Samuel Mamani Gomez

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 14–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 4:44
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 17.1 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:53 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 26:21
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:44 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:32 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 8:53 (3:33 / km)
Total: 26:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 34.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 4 Santino Calderón Lucoratolo
ARG
+54 s
+36 s
G3 / G3
correct 		8:56
8:39
 26:24
Show details
Prediction details: Santino Calderón Lucoratolo

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 13–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 4:59
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 18.2 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.4 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:56 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:39 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 26:24
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:59 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:32 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 8:56 (3:34 / km)
Total: 26:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 49.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 2 Maximiliano Bobadilla
CHI
+34 s
+19 s
G2 / G2
correct 		9:48
9:14
 26:33
Show details
Prediction details: Maximiliano Bobadilla

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 16–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 4:39
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 14.5 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:48 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:14 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 26:33
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:39 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 9:48 (3:55 / km)
Total: 26:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 28.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 26 Jerónimo Vargas Moreno
COL
+11 s
+34 s
G2 / G4
 9:53
10:50
 26:38
Show details
Prediction details: Jerónimo Vargas Moreno

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 16–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 4:16
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -23.4 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.6 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:53 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 2.13 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:50 (4:20 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 26:38
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 4:16 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 9:53 (3:57 / km)
Total: 26:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 5.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 1 Alejandro Juanuk
BRA
+41 s
+21 s
G3 / G2
 9:18
8:35
 26:46
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro Juanuk

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 14–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 4:46
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 20.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 6.6 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:18 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 1.03 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:35 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 26:46
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:46 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:32 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 9:18 (3:43 / km)
Total: 26:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 36.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 10 Sergio Maza Krause
CHI
+18 s
+6 s
G2 / G2
correct 		10:06
9:48
 26:51
Show details
Prediction details: Sergio Maza Krause

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 16–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 4:23
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 11.5 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.76 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:06 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:48 (3:55 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 26:51
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:23 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 10:06 (4:02 / km)
Total: 26:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 12.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 20 Jose Valli Madain
CHI
+16 s
+21 s
G2 / G3
 11:10
10:50
 27:55
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Valli Madain

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 20–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 4:21
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: -5.5 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:10 (4:28 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:50 (4:20 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 27:55
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 4:21 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 11:10 (4:28 / km)
Total: 27:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 10.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 12 Anderson Humberto Pantoja Velapatiño
PER
+48 s
+23 s
G3 / G3
correct 		11:32
9:19
 29:00
Show details
Prediction details: Anderson Humberto Pantoja Velapatiño

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 22–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 4:53
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 24.8 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:32 (4:37 / km)
Historical basis: 4:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.81 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:19 (3:44 / km)
Error: +2:13 / +0:53 / km
Overall prediction: 29:00
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 4:53 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:32 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 11:32 (4:37 / km)
Total: 29:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 42.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 18 Omar alejandro Pizarro ruiz
PER
+26 s
+19 s
G2 / G3
 12:41
10:05
 29:26
Show details
Prediction details: Omar alejandro Pizarro ruiz

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 22–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 4:31
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 7.4 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:41 (5:04 / km)
Historical basis: 5:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -2.35 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:05 (4:02 / km)
Error: +2:36 / +1:02 / km
Overall prediction: 29:26
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 4:31 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 12:41 (5:04 / km)
Total: 29:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 21.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 27 Agustin Parada Segura
CHI
+20 s
+22 s
G2 / G4
 13:04
11:12
 29:49
Show details
Prediction details: Agustin Parada Segura

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 23–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 4:25
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -2.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:04 (5:14 / km)
Historical basis: 5:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:12 (4:29 / km)
Error: +1:52 / +0:45 / km
Overall prediction: 29:49
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 4:25 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 13:04 (5:14 / km)
Total: 29:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 15 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 6 Alejandro Velez Torres
COL
+49 s
+18 s
G3 / G2
 12:38
9:26
 30:06
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro Velez Torres

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 23–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 4:54
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 30.8 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 5.4 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:38 (5:03 / km)
Historical basis: 5:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.98 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:26 (3:46 / km)
Error: +3:12 / +1:17 / km
Overall prediction: 30:06
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 4:54 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:32 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 12:38 (5:03 / km)
Total: 30:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 43.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 15 Martin Guevara Mejia
COL
+40 s
+10 s
G3 / G3
correct 		19:52
9:35
 37:20
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Guevara Mejia

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 4:45
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 30.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.45 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:52 (7:57 / km)
Historical basis: 8:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:35 (3:50 / km)
Error: +10:17 / +4:07 / km
Overall prediction: 37:20
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:45 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:32 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 19:52 (7:57 / km)
Total: 37:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 35 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 5 Cristobal Rubio
CHI
+23 s
+27 s
G2 / G3
8:38
Show details
Prediction details: Cristobal Rubio

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–9
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 4:28
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -3.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:38 (3:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:28 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 18.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 7 Jhonatan Sebastian Tuesta Castro
ECU
+0 s
+22 s
G0 / G2
9:19
Show details
Prediction details: Jhonatan Sebastian Tuesta Castro

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:19 (3:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Arturo Maximiliano Peching San Roman
PER
+25 s
+2 s
G2 / G2
correct
9:31
Show details
Prediction details: Arturo Maximiliano Peching San Roman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 4:30
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 23.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:31 (3:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:30 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 20.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 9 Henrique Vieira Karuta
BRA
+0 s
+27 s
G1 / G3
9:02
Show details
Prediction details: Henrique Vieira Karuta

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -27.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 10.6 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:02 (3:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:55 (40.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 11 Arturo Busto Zellek
MEX
+0 s
+17 s
G0 / G2
9:53
Show details
Prediction details: Arturo Busto Zellek

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:53 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Elias Medina Paolucci
URU
+13 s
+24 s
G2 / G3
9:17
Show details
Prediction details: Elias Medina Paolucci

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 4:18
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -10.6 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:17 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:18 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 8.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16 Pablo Saavedra
ECU
+31 s
+29 s
G2 / G3
9:42
Show details
Prediction details: Pablo Saavedra

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 4:36
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 2.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:42 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:36 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 26.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 19 Juan Pablo Rubio
CHI
+20 s
+36 s
G2 / G4
8:59
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Pablo Rubio

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 4:25
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -15.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:25 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 15.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 21 Antonio Conejeros Faundez
CHI
+206 s
+40 s
G4 / G4
correct
10:01
Show details
Prediction details: Antonio Conejeros Faundez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 11–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +206 s
Time: 7:31
Pace: 2:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 166.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 142.5 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:01 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 7:31 (2:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:31 (34.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 201.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 22 Gabriel Alejandro Lloay Vinueza
ECU
+48 s
+28 s
G3 / G4
10:12
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriel Alejandro Lloay Vinueza

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 4:53
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 19.8 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:12 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:53 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:32 (39.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:06
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 46.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 23 Esteban Gabriel Aguirre Jara
ECU
+0 s
+40 s
G0 / G4
10:19
Show details
Prediction details: Esteban Gabriel Aguirre Jara

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:19 (4:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Diego Holloway
CHI
+30 s
+42 s
G2 / G4
10:26
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Holloway

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 4:35
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -12.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:26 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:35 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:11 (40.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 25.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 25 Joseph Lloay
ECU
+0 s
+45 s
G0 / G5
9:53
Show details
Prediction details: Joseph Lloay

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:53 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Zindzele Renwick-Williams
BAR
+64 s
+49 s
G4 / G5
10:24
Show details
Prediction details: Zindzele Renwick-Williams

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 10–12
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 5:09
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 14.5 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.7 s
Gap behind: 142.5 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:24 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 5:09 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:31 (34.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 58.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 29 Sebastian Jesus Paredes Bravo
PER
+40 s
+27 s
G3 / G6
9:42
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastian Jesus Paredes Bravo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 4:45
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 13.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:42 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:45 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:32 (39.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 35 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 30 Iker Gaspar Gonzalez Vasquez
CHI
+0 s
+116 s
G1 / G6
10:40
Show details
Prediction details: Iker Gaspar Gonzalez Vasquez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +116 s
Fehler: -116.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:40 (4:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:55 (40.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 31 Gabriel Torres
PER
+0 s
+33 s
G0 / G7
10:37
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Prediction details: Gabriel Torres

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:37 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 32 Jose Manuel Mamani Flores
BOL
+0 s
+61 s
G0 / G8
10:45
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Prediction details: Jose Manuel Mamani Flores

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:45 (4:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.