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Youth Women

05.07.2026 CHI
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Americas Triathlon Championships Antofagasta

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 05.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 32/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 16 früheren Rennen und 316 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 28.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 13.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 52.6 % · 16 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error9.1
Mean swim error31.8 s
Mean bike-speed error1.57 km/h
Correct bike groups5/17
No history2
Within the 80% range5.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Federica Carletto
ARG
+12 s
+14 s
G2 / G1
 9:44
10:24
 28:12
Show details
Prediction details: Federica Carletto

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 4:26
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: -2.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 12.0 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:44 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 1.13 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:24 (4:10 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 28:12
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:26 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:10 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 9:44 (3:54 / km)
Total: 28:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 7 Emma Scliar
ARG
+57 s
+25 s
G3 / G2
 9:50
10:32
 29:30
Show details
Prediction details: Emma Scliar

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 5:11
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 32.1 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:50 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.90 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:32 (4:13 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 29:30
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:11 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:36 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 9:50 (3:56 / km)
Total: 29:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 51.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 1 Manuela Ortega Arteaga
ECU
+16 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 11:26
10:09
 29:54
Show details
Prediction details: Manuela Ortega Arteaga

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 4:30
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: -3.2 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:26 (4:34 / km)
Historical basis: 4:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.13 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:09 (4:04 / km)
Error: +1:17 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 29:54
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:30 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:10 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 11:26 (4:34 / km)
Total: 29:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 9.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 8 Domenica Tintin Salas
ECU
+34 s
+26 s
G3 / G2
 11:28
11:23
 31:08
Show details
Prediction details: Domenica Tintin Salas

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 13–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 4:48
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 8.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 13.7 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:28 (4:35 / km)
Historical basis: 4:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:23 (4:33 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 31:08
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:48 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:36 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 11:28 (4:35 / km)
Total: 31:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 28.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 9 Greta Buntalyk caviglia
ARG
+77 s
+26 s
G4 / G3
 9:57
10:44
 31:12
Show details
Prediction details: Greta Buntalyk caviglia

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 13–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 5:31
Pace: 1:50 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 50.6 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.0 s
Gap behind: 10.4 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:57 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:44 (4:18 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 31:12
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:31 (1:50 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:08 (32.8 km/h)
Run: 9:57 (3:59 / km)
Total: 31:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 70.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 5 María Alejandra Proaño Guerrero
ECU
+63 s
+15 s
G3 / G1
 12:47
10:58
 32:27
Show details
Prediction details: María Alejandra Proaño Guerrero

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 5:17
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 48.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:47 (5:07 / km)
Historical basis: 5:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:58 (4:23 / km)
Error: +1:49 / +0:44 / km
Overall prediction: 32:27
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 5:17 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:36 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 12:47 (5:07 / km)
Total: 32:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 57.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 18 Maria Victoria Urrutia Cifuentes
CHI
+55 s
+16 s
G3 / G3
correct 		14:52
14:31
 34:32
Show details
Prediction details: Maria Victoria Urrutia Cifuentes

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 5:09
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 39.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:52 (5:57 / km)
Historical basis: 5:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:31 (5:48 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 34:32
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 5:09 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:36 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 14:52 (5:57 / km)
Total: 34:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 49.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 2 Renata Valentina Oña Paredes
ECU
+31 s
+13 s
G3 / G1
10:22
Show details
Prediction details: Renata Valentina Oña Paredes

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 4:45
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 18.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 1.05 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.2 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:22 (4:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:45 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:36 (34.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 25.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 4 Laila McIntyre
BAR
+0 s
+0 s
G0 / G1
10:19
Show details
Prediction details: Laila McIntyre

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:14
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:19 (4:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:14 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Antonelli Kirchner
BRA
+18 s
+12 s
G2 / G1
11:14
Show details
Prediction details: Antonelli Kirchner

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 4:32
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 6.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 13.2 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:14 (4:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:32 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:10 (35.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 12.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 10 Emilia Adamaris Tintin Salas
ECU
+0 s
+14 s
G0 / G1
12:51
Show details
Prediction details: Emilia Adamaris Tintin Salas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:14
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:51 (5:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:14 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Angie Sofía López Sánchez
GUA
+62 s
+25 s
G3 / G3
correct
11:12
Show details
Prediction details: Angie Sofía López Sánchez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 5:16
Pace: 1:45 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 36.8 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:12 (4:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 5:16 (1:45 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:36 (34.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 55.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Gilie Giraldo del Carpio
PER
+48 s
+29 s
G3 / G3
correct
11:32
Show details
Prediction details: Gilie Giraldo del Carpio

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 5:02
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 19.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.7 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:32 (4:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 5:02 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:36 (34.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 42 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 13 Agustina Ignacia Millahual Moreno
CHI
+127 s
+63 s
G4 / G3
11:57
Show details
Prediction details: Agustina Ignacia Millahual Moreno

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +127 s
Time: 6:21
Pace: 2:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 64.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:57 (4:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:21 (2:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:08 (32.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 121.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Angeles Valentina Hidalgo Quinteros
BOL
+64 s
+49 s
G3 / G3
correct
12:04
Show details
Prediction details: Angeles Valentina Hidalgo Quinteros

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 5:18
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 14.6 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 13.0 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:04 (4:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 5:18 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:36 (34.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 57.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 15 Magdalena Chamorro
CHI
+126 s
+63 s
G4 / G4
correct
11:47
Show details
Prediction details: Magdalena Chamorro

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +126 s
Time: 6:20
Pace: 2:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 63.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:47 (4:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:20 (2:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:08 (32.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 120.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16 Javiera Urra Conejeros
CHI
+125 s
+62 s
G4 / G5
12:40
Show details
Prediction details: Javiera Urra Conejeros

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +125 s
Time: 6:19
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: 63.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 38.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:40 (5:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:19 (2:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:08 (32.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 119.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 17 Florencia Peña
CHI
+87 s
+46 s
G4 / G5
12:58
Show details
Prediction details: Florencia Peña

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +87 s
Time: 5:41
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 41.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.4 s
Gap behind: 38.0 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:58 (5:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 5:41 (1:54 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:08 (32.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 81.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 19 Rafaela Gomez de la torre Suarez
PER
+0 s
+32 s
G1 / G6
13:52
Show details
Prediction details: Rafaela Gomez de la torre Suarez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:14
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -32.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 12.0 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:52 (5:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:14 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:01 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable