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Elite Men

27.03.2026 Jones Park USA
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Americas Triathlon Cup Gulfport

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 27.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 85/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 73 früheren Rennen und 1464 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 43.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 69.5 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 84.7 % · 73 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error9.6
Mean swim error15.0 s
Mean bike-speed error2.20 km/h
Correct bike groups33/53
No history6
Within the 80% range30.5 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Mathis Beaulieu
CAN
+22 s
+20 s
G2 / G1
 14:05
16:13
 42:47
Show details
Prediction details: Mathis Beaulieu

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 6–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:05 (2:49 / km)
Historical basis: 2:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:49 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Error: −2:08 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 42:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 14:05 (2:49 / km)
Total: 42:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 2.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 2 Braxton Legg
USA
+15 s
+17 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:48
16:42
 42:48
Show details
Prediction details: Braxton Legg

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: -1.8 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:48 (2:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Error: −1:54 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 42:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:44 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 14:48 (2:58 / km)
Total: 42:48
3 / 4 Darr Smith
USA
+10 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:05
17:13
 43:05
Show details
Prediction details: Darr Smith

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: -2.6 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:05 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Error: −2:08 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 43:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:44 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 15:05 (3:01 / km)
Total: 43:05
4 / 16 Dylan Didier Campa Carranza
MEX
+12 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:41
18:23
 43:41
Show details
Prediction details: Dylan Didier Campa Carranza

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 8–20
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: -1.8 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Error: −2:42 / −0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 43:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:44 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Total: 43:41
5 / 9 Aiden Longcroft-Harris
CAN
+9 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:49
18:01
 43:49
Show details
Prediction details: Aiden Longcroft-Harris

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 9–19
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: -6.3 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: −2:12 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 43:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:44 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 43:49
6 / 7 Porter Middaugh
USA
+54 s
+67 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:19
17:01
 44:01
Show details
Prediction details: Porter Middaugh

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 11–23
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: -13.3 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Error: −1:42 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 44:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Total: 44:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 34.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 3 Blake Bullard
USA
+22 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 15:22
16:56
 44:04
Show details
Prediction details: Blake Bullard

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 8–18
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 22.0 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: −1:34 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 44:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Total: 44:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 2.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 10 Rodrigo Gonzalez Lopez
MEX
+48 s
+64 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:26
17:11
 44:08
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Gonzalez Lopez

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 10–24
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -16.3 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Error: −1:45 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 44:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Total: 44:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 28.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 17 Oliver Hostrup Sahlberg
DEN
+16 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:09
18:29
 44:09
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Hostrup Sahlberg

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 13–21
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 0.6 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 5.5 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Error: −2:20 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 44:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:44 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:09
10 / 8 Keller Norland
USA
+28 s
+41 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:32
17:08
 44:14
Show details
Prediction details: Keller Norland

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 10–18
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -13.3 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 143 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 143 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: −1:36 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 44:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 8.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 5 Sullivan Middaugh
USA
+59 s
+65 s
G3 / G2
 14:55
16:52
 44:17
Show details
Prediction details: Sullivan Middaugh

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 8–29
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: -6.0 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: −1:57 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 44:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:11 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Total: 44:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 39.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 38 Yael Vladimir González Melendez
MEX
+33 s
+37 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:43
19:58
 44:25
Show details
Prediction details: Yael Vladimir González Melendez

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 9–25
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -3.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:58 (4:00 / km)
Error: −4:15 / −0:51 / km
Overall prediction: 44:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 13.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 11 Alexander Bozhilov
BUL
+21 s
+31 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:45
17:18
 44:27
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Bozhilov

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 10–19
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -9.9 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: −1:33 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 44:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 1.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 6 Alexandr Ten
KAZ
+44 s
+59 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:48
16:58
 44:30
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandr Ten

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–25
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -15.1 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Error: −1:10 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 44:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 24.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 14 Chris Gregor
CAN
+30 s
+14 s
G2 / G1
 16:02
18:20
 44:44
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Gregor

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 13–25
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 16.4 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -0.81 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 97 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Error: −2:18 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 44:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Total: 44:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 10.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 19 Humberto Castañeiras Jenner
MEX
+15 s
+18 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:47
18:44
 44:47
Show details
Prediction details: Humberto Castañeiras Jenner

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 14–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -3.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 1.27 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 11
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:44 (3:45 / km)
Error: −1:57 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 44:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:44 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: 44:47
17 / 12 Rodrigo Pacheco Gajá
MEX
+60 s
+64 s
G3 / G2
 15:28
17:23
 44:50
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Pacheco Gajá

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 13–28
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -4.5 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Error: −1:55 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 44:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:11 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 40 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 23 Henry Bristol
CAN
+51 s
+38 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:10
18:12
 44:52
Show details
Prediction details: Henry Bristol

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 14–34
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 12.7 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: −2:02 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 44:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 31.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 44 Griff Morgan
USA
+10 s
+43 s
G1 / G3
 17:01
21:40
 45:01
Show details
Prediction details: Griff Morgan

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 21–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -32.7 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:40 (4:20 / km)
Error: −4:39 / −0:56 / km
Overall prediction: 45:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:44 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Total: 45:01
20 / 33 Esteban Tibocha
COL
+41 s
+61 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:28
19:19
 45:10
Show details
Prediction details: Esteban Tibocha

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 21–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: -20.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Error: −2:51 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 45:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Total: 45:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 21.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 21 Adam Janah
USA
+52 s
+55 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:35
18:02
 45:17
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Janah

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 23–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -2.7 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 93 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: −1:27 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 45:17
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 32.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 29 Adoh Doherty
LBN
+38 s
+60 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:49
18:39
 45:31
Show details
Prediction details: Adoh Doherty

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 20–36
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -22.5 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Error: −1:50 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 45:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Total: 45:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 18 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 32 Jackson Harrell
USA
+34 s
+38 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:54
19:03
 45:36
Show details
Prediction details: Jackson Harrell

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 23–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Error: −2:09 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 45:36
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 14.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 25 Nicolas Harvey
CAN
+71 s
+40 s
G3 / G2
 16:18
18:35
 45:40
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Harvey

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 18–44
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 30.7 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.8 s
Gap behind: 22.3 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Error: −2:17 / −0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 45:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:11 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Total: 45:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 51.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 27 Nicholas Pilgrim
BER
+23 s
+40 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:00
18:36
 45:42
Show details
Prediction details: Nicholas Pilgrim

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 21–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -17.5 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Error: −1:36 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 45:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: 45:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 28 Evan Mahrous
USA
+23 s
+41 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:04
18:33
 45:46
Show details
Prediction details: Evan Mahrous

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 21–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -18.1 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 87 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Error: −1:29 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 45:46
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Total: 45:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 3.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 42 Louis Marchand
CAN
+40 s
+39 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:10
21:14
 45:52
Show details
Prediction details: Louis Marchand

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 27–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 0.6 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:14 (4:15 / km)
Error: −4:04 / −0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 45:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Total: 45:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 20.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 15 Diego Ladera Querales
PER
+55 s
+45 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:15
17:33
 45:57
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Ladera Querales

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 25–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 9.9 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.79 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 97 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Total: 45:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 35.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 24 Jake Adler
USA
+52 s
+33 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:16
18:16
 45:58
Show details
Prediction details: Jake Adler

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 30–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 19.0 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.95 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 81 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Error: −1:00 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 45:58
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Total: 45:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 32.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 22 Xoel Rodriguez Abad
ESP
+63 s
+55 s
G3 / G2
 16:37
18:17
 45:59
Show details
Prediction details: Xoel Rodriguez Abad

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 18–47
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 7.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Error: −1:40 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 45:59
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:11 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 43 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 46 Samuel Beaulieu
CAN
+63 s
+70 s
G3 / G4
 16:52
19:18
 46:14
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Beaulieu

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 28–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: -7.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 7.8 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Error: −2:26 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 46:14
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:11 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Total: 46:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 43.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 50 William McElgunn
USA
+52 s
+113 s
G2 / G5
 17:35
19:25
 46:17
Show details
Prediction details: William McElgunn

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 35–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +113 s
Fehler: -60.6 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:25 (3:53 / km)
Error: −1:50 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 46:17
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Total: 46:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 32.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 45 Oskaras Grigonis
LTU
+39 s
+60 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:50
21:40
 46:32
Show details
Prediction details: Oskaras Grigonis

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 33–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -21.2 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:40 (4:20 / km)
Error: −3:50 / −0:46 / km
Overall prediction: 46:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Total: 46:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 19.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 39 Sterling Sharpe
USA
+37 s
+60 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:54
20:01
 46:36
Show details
Prediction details: Sterling Sharpe

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 33–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -22.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Error: −2:07 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 46:36
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 46:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 17.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 36 Jacobo Sánchez Cano
COL
+42 s
+48 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:17
19:49
 46:59
Show details
Prediction details: Jacobo Sánchez Cano

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 33–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -6.3 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Error: −1:32 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 46:59
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Total: 46:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 22.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 35 Petar Bozhilov
BUL
+22 s
+19 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:18
19:19
 47:00
Show details
Prediction details: Petar Bozhilov

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 34–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.82 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Error: −1:01 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:00
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Total: 47:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 2.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 53 Jakub Souček
CZE
+52 s
+87 s
G2 / G4
 18:25
21:15
 47:07
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Souček

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 22–48
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +87 s
Fehler: -35.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -1.13 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:15 (4:15 / km)
Error: −2:50 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 47:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Total: 47:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 32.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 26 Nico Wood
RSA
+22 s
+54 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:26
18:29
 47:08
Show details
Prediction details: Nico Wood

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 30–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -32.2 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 47:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 2.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 40 Elliot Hamilton
USA
+35 s
+43 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:03
20:25
 47:45
Show details
Prediction details: Elliot Hamilton

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 41–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -7.6 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Error: −1:22 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 47:45
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Total: 47:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 15.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 34 Brian Omar Orozco
MEX
+36 s
+26 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:04
19:28
 47:46
Show details
Prediction details: Brian Omar Orozco

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 41–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 9.5 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:28 (3:54 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Total: 47:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 16 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 20 Graham Hummel
USA
+61 s
+54 s
G3 / G2
 18:59
17:56
 48:21
Show details
Prediction details: Graham Hummel

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 43–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.35 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -2.16 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 48:21
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:11 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Total: 48:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 41.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 41 Wills Gillis
USA
+63 s
+68 s
G3 / G4
 19:11
18:14
 48:33
Show details
Prediction details: Wills Gillis

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 44–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: -5.1 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.92 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:57 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 48:33
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:11 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Total: 48:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 43.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 30 Edgar Martinez Hidalgo
MEX
+60 s
+51 s
G3 / G2
 19:27
18:42
 48:49
Show details
Prediction details: Edgar Martinez Hidalgo

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 43–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:27 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.01 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:49
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:11 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 19:27 (3:53 / km)
Total: 48:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 40 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 43 Judson Schulz
USA
+104 s
+105 s
G5 / G4
 16:18
18:40
 49:51
Show details
Prediction details: Judson Schulz

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 47–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +104 s
Time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +105 s
Fehler: -0.7 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.3 s
Gap behind: 17.3 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 59 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Error: −2:22 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 49:51
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:37 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:31 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Total: 49:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 84.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 51 Zakary Louis-Seize
CAN
+122 s
+71 s
G5 / G4
 17:23
21:03
 50:56
Show details
Prediction details: Zakary Louis-Seize

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 49–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +122 s
Time: 10:55
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: 50.6 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.99 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 17.3 s
Gap behind: 28.4 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:03 (4:13 / km)
Error: −3:40 / −0:44 / km
Overall prediction: 50:56
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:55 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:31 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Total: 50:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 102.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 59 David Rodríguez Girón
MEX
+216 s
+173 s
G6 / G8
 17:34
23:43
 53:31
Show details
Prediction details: David Rodríguez Girón

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 51–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +216 s
Time: 12:29
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +173 s
Fehler: 43.1 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -1.10 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 62.7 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:43 (4:45 / km)
Error: −6:09 / −1:14 / km
Overall prediction: 53:31
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:29 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:21 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 53:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 196.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 57 Cheng-Hsi Tai
TPE
+153 s
+131 s
G6 / G6
correct 		19:26
21:40
 55:23
Show details
Prediction details: Cheng-Hsi Tai

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 51–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +153 s
Time: 11:26
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +131 s
Fehler: 22.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 62.7 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:26 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:40 (4:20 / km)
Error: −2:14 / −0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 55:23
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:26 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:21 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:26 (3:53 / km)
Total: 55:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 133.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 54 Jose Enrique Aponte
PUR
+150 s
+127 s
G6 / G6
correct 		19:44
19:47
 55:41
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Enrique Aponte

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 53–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +150 s
Time: 11:23
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +127 s
Fehler: 23.0 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 28.4 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.79 %, Sicherheit 64 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:47 (3:57 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 55:41
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:23 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:21 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Total: 55:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 130.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 13 Jake Derouin
USA
+10 s
+58 s
G1 / G2
17:12
Show details
Prediction details: Jake Derouin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -48.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:44 (42.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 18 Mark Romano
USA
+31 s
+27 s
G2 / G2
correct
17:47
Show details
Prediction details: Mark Romano

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 3.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 11.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 31 Walter Steffen
USA
+0 s
+61 s
G0 / G2
18:56
Show details
Prediction details: Walter Steffen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 54–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 37 Nathanael Hamilton
USA
+49 s
+46 s
G2 / G2
correct
19:58
Show details
Prediction details: Nathanael Hamilton

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -37

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 3.4 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (33 people)
Speed: 45.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:58 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 29.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 47 Isaac Green
USA
+93 s
+96 s
G4 / G5
18:12
Show details
Prediction details: Isaac Green

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -47

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +96 s
Fehler: -3.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 22.3 s
Gap behind: 11.3 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:16 (40.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 73.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 48 Cavan Wilson
USA
+27 s
+62 s
G2 / G4
19:34
Show details
Prediction details: Cavan Wilson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -48

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -35.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (31 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:34 (3:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (43.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 7.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 49 Remington Morland
USA
+0 s
+109 s
G0 / G5
19:32
Show details
Prediction details: Remington Morland

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +109 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:32 (3:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 52 Brice Allen
USA
+0 s
+52 s
G0 / G5
19:56
Show details
Prediction details: Brice Allen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 55 Daniel Morales
USA
+0 s
+84 s
G0 / G6
20:08
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Morales

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 56 James Lalonde
USA
+0 s
+236 s
G0 / G7
18:31
Show details
Prediction details: James Lalonde

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +236 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 58 Leo Havens
USA
+0 s
+68 s
G0 / G6
22:17
Show details
Prediction details: Leo Havens

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:17 (4:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.