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Elite Women

16.05.2026 MEX
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Americas Triathlon Cup Ixtapa

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 86/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 72 früheren Rennen und 1324 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 39.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 5 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 71.2 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 76.3 % · 72 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error15.6
Mean swim error23.0 s
Mean bike-speed error3.15 km/h
Correct bike groups16/57
No history2
Within the 80% range27.1 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Naomi Ruff
USA
+13 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:59
17:19
 47:26
Show details
Prediction details: Naomi Ruff

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 10–12
Top-10 probability: 56 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 11.9 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:59 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 16:59 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:26
2 / 2 Giovanna Lacerda
BRA
+32 s
+19 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:11
17:16
 47:38
Show details
Prediction details: Giovanna Lacerda

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 10–29
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 12.6 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:16 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:29 / km)
Total: 47:38
3 / 10 Brooke Rousselle
CAN
+41 s
+23 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:25
18:02
 47:52
Show details
Prediction details: Brooke Rousselle

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 12–25
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 18.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -1.69 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:25 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:37 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:52
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 17:25 (3:32 / km)
Total: 47:52
4 / 17 Raquel Solis
CRC
+34 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:35
19:18
 48:02
Show details
Prediction details: Raquel Solis

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 12–32
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 23.1 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:35 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:18 (3:55 / km)
Error: −1:43 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 48:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:28 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 17:35 (3:34 / km)
Total: 48:02
5 / 8 Sidney Clement
CAN
+4 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:44
17:56
 48:11
Show details
Prediction details: Sidney Clement

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 12–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:44 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 17:44 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:11
6 / 22 Molly Lakustiak
CAN
+41 s
+42 s
G1 / G2
 17:50
19:05
 48:17
Show details
Prediction details: Molly Lakustiak

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 13–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -1.5 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:50 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:05 (3:52 / km)
Error: −1:15 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 48:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 17:50 (3:37 / km)
Total: 48:17
7 / 23 Genesis Carolina Ruiz Volcan
VEN
+41 s
+11 s
G1 / G2
 17:52
19:36
 48:19
Show details
Prediction details: Genesis Carolina Ruiz Volcan

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 14–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 29.8 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:52 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:36 (3:59 / km)
Error: −1:44 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 48:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 17:52 (3:37 / km)
Total: 48:19
8 / 30 Daniela García Vélez
MEX
+45 s
+23 s
G1 / G5
 17:53
18:14
 48:20
Show details
Prediction details: Daniela García Vélez

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 18–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 21.5 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 65 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 5 (8 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:53 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:14 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 17:53 (3:38 / km)
Total: 48:20
9 / 19 Jimena Renata De La Peña Schott
USA
+25 s
+19 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:10
19:51
 48:37
Show details
Prediction details: Jimena Renata De La Peña Schott

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 13–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:10 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:51 (4:02 / km)
Error: −1:41 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 48:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:10 (3:41 / km)
Total: 48:37
10 / 4 Cecilia Perez
MEX
+29 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:21
17:29
 48:48
Show details
Prediction details: Cecilia Perez

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 14–35
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 26.5 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:21 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur -0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:52 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 48:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:23 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:21 (3:43 / km)
Total: 48:48
11 / 1 Joy Gill
USA
+50 s
+21 s
G2 / G1
 16:30
17:07
 48:55
Show details
Prediction details: Joy Gill

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 11–21
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 28.8 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:07 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:37 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:55
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:44 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:21 / km)
Total: 48:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 4.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 11 Catalina Torres Espinoza
CRC
+42 s
+18 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:28
18:18
 48:55
Show details
Prediction details: Catalina Torres Espinoza

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 17–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:36
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 23.8 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:28 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:18 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:36 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:28 (3:45 / km)
Total: 48:55
13 / 7 Alexandra Campbell
CAN
+11 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:29
17:59
 48:56
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandra Campbell

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 15–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 10.0 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:29 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:29 (3:45 / km)
Total: 48:56
14 / 25 Ruth Pardy
USA
+31 s
+35 s
G1 / G2
 18:43
19:51
 49:10
Show details
Prediction details: Ruth Pardy

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 14–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -4.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:43 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:51 (4:02 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 49:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:43 (3:48 / km)
Total: 49:10
15 / 24 Alexandra Poole
USA
+28 s
+31 s
G1 / G2
 18:50
19:36
 49:17
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandra Poole

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 18–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 10:22
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -2.8 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:50 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:36 (3:59 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 49:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:22 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:50 (3:49 / km)
Total: 49:17
16 / 14 Mia Wentzy
USA
+31 s
+21 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:55
18:54
 49:22
Show details
Prediction details: Mia Wentzy

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 13–39
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 10.1 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:55 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:50 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 49:22
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:55 (3:50 / km)
Total: 49:22
17 / 27 Hannia Nicole Diaz Castro
MEX
+31 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 19:00
20:10
 49:27
Show details
Prediction details: Hannia Nicole Diaz Castro

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 21–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 8.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:00 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:10 (4:05 / km)
Error: −1:10 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 49:27
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 19:00 (3:51 / km)
Total: 49:27
18 / 16 Zoe Adam
PUR
+4 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:05
19:02
 49:32
Show details
Prediction details: Zoe Adam

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 17–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: -7.0 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:05 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:02 (3:52 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 49:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 19:05 (3:52 / km)
Total: 49:32
19 / 40 Amanda Moro
BRA
+37 s
+56 s
G1 / G3
 19:09
21:12
 49:36
Show details
Prediction details: Amanda Moro

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 15–40
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:31
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: -18.7 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:09 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:12 (4:18 / km)
Error: −2:03 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 49:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:31 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 19:09 (3:53 / km)
Total: 49:36
20 / 5 Maïra Carreau
CAN
+26 s
+22 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:29
17:44
 49:56
Show details
Prediction details: Maïra Carreau

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 22–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 3.7 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:29 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur -1.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:36 / km)
Error: +1:45 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 49:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 19:29 (3:57 / km)
Total: 49:56
21 / 15 Anahi Alvarez Corral
MEX
+84 s
+52 s
G3 / G2
 16:29
16:51
 50:19
Show details
Prediction details: Anahi Alvarez Corral

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 14–41
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +84 s
Time: 11:18
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 32.1 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 4.2 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:29 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:51 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 50:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:18 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:17 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 16:29 (3:21 / km)
Total: 50:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 39 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 29 Marlen Alejandra Abigail Aguilar Bolaños
GUA
+47 s
+54 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:00
20:38
 50:25
Show details
Prediction details: Marlen Alejandra Abigail Aguilar Bolaños

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 15–37
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -6.7 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur 1.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:00 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:30 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:38 (4:11 / km)
Error: −2:38 / −0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 50:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:41 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 18:00 (3:39 / km)
Total: 50:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 2.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 13 Faith Duncan
USA
+62 s
+31 s
G2 / G1
 18:02
18:44
 50:27
Show details
Prediction details: Faith Duncan

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 18–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 10:56
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 30.7 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:02 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:44 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 50:27
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:56 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 18:02 (3:39 / km)
Total: 50:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 16.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 35 Emma Ryšávková
CZE
+37 s
+21 s
G1 / G2
 20:00
22:04
 50:27
Show details
Prediction details: Emma Ryšávková

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 27–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:31
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 15.7 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:00 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:04 (4:29 / km)
Error: −2:04 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 50:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:31 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 20:00 (4:03 / km)
Total: 50:27
25 / 12 Cecilia Sayuri Ramirez Alavez
MEX
+54 s
+21 s
G2 / G1
 18:03
18:23
 50:28
Show details
Prediction details: Cecilia Sayuri Ramirez Alavez

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 18–38
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 33.4 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:03 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 50:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:48 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 18:03 (3:40 / km)
Total: 50:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 9.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 37 Ava Snyder
CAN
+26 s
+35 s
G1 / G2
 20:01
22:05
 50:28
Show details
Prediction details: Ava Snyder

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 23–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -9.3 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:01 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:05 (4:29 / km)
Error: −2:04 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 50:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 20:01 (4:04 / km)
Total: 50:28
27 / 9 Camila Victoria Alcala Rosales
HON
+61 s
+20 s
G2 / G1
 18:17
17:56
 50:42
Show details
Prediction details: Camila Victoria Alcala Rosales

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 20–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:55
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 41.3 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:17 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 50:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:55 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 18:17 (3:43 / km)
Total: 50:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 16.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 6 Julia Maria Alcala Rosales
HON
+57 s
+22 s
G2 / G1
 18:32
17:44
 50:57
Show details
Prediction details: Julia Maria Alcala Rosales

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 20–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 10:51
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 34.8 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:32 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:48 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 50:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:51 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 18:32 (3:46 / km)
Total: 50:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 11.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 42 Millaray Angelica Castro Álvarez
MEX
+65 s
+87 s
G2 / G5
 18:38
20:35
 51:03
Show details
Prediction details: Millaray Angelica Castro Álvarez

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 24–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 10:59
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +87 s
Fehler: -21.8 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 5 (8 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:38 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:35 (4:11 / km)
Error: −1:57 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 51:03
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:59 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 18:38 (3:47 / km)
Total: 51:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 20.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 20 Colette Reimer
CAN
+66 s
+32 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:41
17:56
 51:06
Show details
Prediction details: Colette Reimer

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 28–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 11:00
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 34.1 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:41 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 51:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:00 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 18:41 (3:47 / km)
Total: 51:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 21 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 47 Micah Gay
CAN
+50 s
+47 s
G2 / G3
 19:05
22:36
 51:30
Show details
Prediction details: Micah Gay

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 24–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 3.4 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:05 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:36 (4:35 / km)
Error: −3:31 / −0:43 / km
Overall prediction: 51:30
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:44 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 19:05 (3:52 / km)
Total: 51:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 5.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 48 Rebeca Sofia Rivero Franco
MEX
+59 s
+53 s
G2 / G6
 19:09
21:30
 51:34
Show details
Prediction details: Rebeca Sofia Rivero Franco

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 27–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 10:53
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 6.2 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:09 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:30 (4:22 / km)
Error: −2:21 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 51:34
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:53 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 19:09 (3:53 / km)
Total: 51:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 14.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 18 Kathia Mayela Flores Sepulveda
MEX
+58 s
+24 s
G2 / G1
 20:03
19:52
 52:28
Show details
Prediction details: Kathia Mayela Flores Sepulveda

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 35–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:52
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 33.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:03 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:52 (4:02 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 52:28
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:52 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 20:03 (4:04 / km)
Total: 52:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 12.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 31 Lizeth Lopez Ortega
MEX
+79 s
+54 s
G3 / G2
 18:40
20:42
 52:30
Show details
Prediction details: Lizeth Lopez Ortega

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 38–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 11:13
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 25.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:40 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:42 (4:12 / km)
Error: −2:02 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 52:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:13 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:17 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 18:40 (3:47 / km)
Total: 52:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 34.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 21 Sonja De Koning
NED
+23 s
+22 s
G1 / G1
correct 		22:16
20:40
 52:43
Show details
Prediction details: Sonja De Koning

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 42–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.2 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:16 (4:31 / km)
Historical basis: 4:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -1.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:40 (4:12 / km)
Error: +1:36 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 52:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:17 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 22:16 (4:31 / km)
Total: 52:43
36 / 55 Victoria Medina Quintero
MEX
+69 s
+81 s
G2 / G6
 20:21
22:59
 52:46
Show details
Prediction details: Victoria Medina Quintero

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 38–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 11:03
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +81 s
Fehler: -12.1 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 4.2 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:21 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:59 (4:40 / km)
Error: −2:38 / −0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 52:46
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:03 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 20:21 (4:08 / km)
Total: 52:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 23.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 32 Rebecca Nolan
RSA
+54 s
+52 s
G2 / G3
 20:28
19:39
 52:53
Show details
Prediction details: Rebecca Nolan

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 41–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 2.4 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:28 (4:09 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:12 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:39 (3:59 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 52:53
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:48 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 20:28 (4:09 / km)
Total: 52:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 9.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 33 Morgan O'Keefe
USA
+88 s
+85 s
G3 / G5
 19:24
19:05
 53:14
Show details
Prediction details: Morgan O'Keefe

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 44–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 11:22
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +85 s
Fehler: 3.3 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.2 s
Gap behind: 4.2 s
Result: Group 5 (8 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:24 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:05 (3:52 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 53:14
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:22 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:17 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 19:24 (3:56 / km)
Total: 53:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 43.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 28 Suri Valeria Rubio Gonzalez
MEX
+76 s
+54 s
G3 / G2
 19:58
20:16
 53:48
Show details
Prediction details: Suri Valeria Rubio Gonzalez

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 40–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +76 s
Time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 21.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:58 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:16 (4:07 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 53:48
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:10 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:17 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 19:58 (4:03 / km)
Total: 53:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 30.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 39 Selene Martinez Avila
MEX
+97 s
+87 s
G4 / G6
 18:19
19:27
 54:04
Show details
Prediction details: Selene Martinez Avila

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 40–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +97 s
Time: 11:31
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +87 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:19 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:27 (3:57 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 54:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:31 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:08 (35.2 km/h)
Run: 18:19 (3:43 / km)
Total: 54:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 51.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 43 María José Cordova Casco
MEX
+80 s
+52 s
G3 / G3
correct 		20:20
21:21
 54:10
Show details
Prediction details: María José Cordova Casco

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 44–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 11:14
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 28.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:20 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:21 (4:20 / km)
Error: −1:01 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 54:10
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:14 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:17 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 20:20 (4:07 / km)
Total: 54:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 35.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 56 Alexandra Kozlowski
TRI
+97 s
+135 s
G4 / G8
 18:40
19:53
 54:25
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandra Kozlowski

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 42–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +97 s
Time: 11:31
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +135 s
Fehler: -38.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 6.5 s
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:40 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:53 (4:02 / km)
Error: −1:13 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 54:25
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:31 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:08 (35.2 km/h)
Run: 18:40 (3:47 / km)
Total: 54:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 51.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 58 Ximena Nuñez Bautista
MEX
+93 s
+75 s
G3 / G9
 20:35
22:33
 54:25
Show details
Prediction details: Ximena Nuñez Bautista

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 51–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 11:27
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: 17.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.2 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:35 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:33 (4:34 / km)
Error: −1:58 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 54:25
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:27 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:17 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 20:35 (4:10 / km)
Total: 54:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 47.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 26 María José Nuñez Bautista
MEX
+81 s
+53 s
G3 / G2
 20:45
20:05
 54:35
Show details
Prediction details: María José Nuñez Bautista

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 50–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +81 s
Time: 11:15
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 27.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:45 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:05 (4:04 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 54:35
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:15 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:17 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 20:45 (4:12 / km)
Total: 54:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 35.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 41 Emilia Martinez Mendivil
MEX
+165 s
+144 s
G5 / G7
 18:20
19:12
 54:46
Show details
Prediction details: Emilia Martinez Mendivil

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 51–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +165 s
Time: 12:39
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +144 s
Fehler: 20.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 44.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:20 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:12 (3:54 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 54:46
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:39 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:41 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 18:20 (3:43 / km)
Total: 54:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 119.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 50 Nayla Figueroa Padilla
MEX
+73 s
+69 s
G3 / G5
 21:07
22:10
 54:57
Show details
Prediction details: Nayla Figueroa Padilla

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 47–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 11:07
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 4.1 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 97 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.2 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 5 (8 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:07 (4:17 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:10 (4:30 / km)
Error: −1:03 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 54:57
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:07 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:17 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 21:07 (4:17 / km)
Total: 54:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 28 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 49 Vivianne Cramer
MEX
+103 s
+85 s
G5 / G6
 21:42
21:24
 58:08
Show details
Prediction details: Vivianne Cramer

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 54–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +103 s
Time: 11:37
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +85 s
Fehler: 18.3 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -1.27 %, Sicherheit 63 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: 17.4 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:42 (4:24 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:24 (4:20 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 58:08
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:37 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:41 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 21:42 (4:24 / km)
Total: 58:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 58.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 52 Heidi Mauricett Carreón Cedeño
MEX
+121 s
+84 s
G5 / G6
 25:32
22:02
 1:01:58
Show details
Prediction details: Heidi Mauricett Carreón Cedeño

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +121 s
Time: 11:55
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: 36.7 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 17.4 s
Gap behind: 44.0 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:32 (5:11 / km)
Historical basis: 5:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:02 (4:28 / km)
Error: +3:30 / +0:43 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:58
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:55 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:41 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 25:32 (5:11 / km)
Total: 1:01:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 75.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 34 Argelia Pérez Olivera
MEX
+2 s
+62 s
G1 / G5
19:34
Show details
Prediction details: Argelia Pérez Olivera

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -60.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 5 (8 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:34 (3:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 36 Renata Esquivel Yepez
MEX
+9 s
+60 s
G1 / G5
19:46
Show details
Prediction details: Renata Esquivel Yepez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -51.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 5 (8 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:46 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 38 Ángel Rubí Pérez Santos
MEX
+49 s
+42 s
G2 / G4
20:36
Show details
Prediction details: Ángel Rubí Pérez Santos

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -38

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 7.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:36 (4:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:43 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 3.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 44 Constanza Rueda Martinez
MEX
+25 s
+88 s
G1 / G6
20:21
Show details
Prediction details: Constanza Rueda Martinez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -44

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +88 s
Fehler: -63.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:21 (4:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 45 Valeria Canizales Vizcarra
MEX
+28 s
+88 s
G1 / G7
19:48
Show details
Prediction details: Valeria Canizales Vizcarra

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -45

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 10:22
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +88 s
Fehler: -60.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:48 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:22 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 46 Alexa Fernanda Flores Esparza
MEX
+0 s
+81 s
G0 / G5
22:06
Show details
Prediction details: Alexa Fernanda Flores Esparza

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +81 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (8 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:06 (4:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 51 Ivanna Gabriela Villatoro Sandoval
MEX
+16 s
+55 s
G1 / G5
22:30
Show details
Prediction details: Ivanna Gabriela Villatoro Sandoval

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -51

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -39.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 7.2 s
Result: Group 5 (8 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:30 (4:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 53 Natalia Torres Garcia
MEX
+0 s
+65 s
G0 / G7
21:34
Show details
Prediction details: Natalia Torres Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:34 (4:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 54 Sarahí Jiménez Arredondo
MEX
+36 s
+82 s
G1 / G6
22:41
Show details
Prediction details: Sarahí Jiménez Arredondo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -54

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -46.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:41 (4:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 57 Cristina Soto López
MEX
+30 s
+34 s
G1 / G8
21:56
Show details
Prediction details: Cristina Soto López

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -57

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -4.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 30.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:56 (4:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:24 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 59 Kiara Figueroa Padilla
MEX
+47 s
+186 s
G2 / G10
25:01
Show details
Prediction details: Kiara Figueroa Padilla

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 59
Deviation: -59

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +186 s
Fehler: -139.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 29.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:01 (5:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:41 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 1.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.