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Predicition
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Race prediction

Elite Women

23.08.2026 PER
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Americas Triathlon Cup Lima

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 23.08.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 17/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 22 früheren Rennen und 122 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 5.9 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 18.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 22 Kalibrierungsrennen

Rank Athlete Swimming Bike group Run Total Details
0 Annie Fuller
USA
 +31 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Annie Fuller

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time:
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Joy Gill
USA
 +43 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Joy Gill

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time:
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Gabby Martin
USA
 +36 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Gabby Martin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Faith Duncan
USA
 +60 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Faith Duncan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time:
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Cecilia Sayuri Ramirez Alavez
MEX
 +34 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Cecilia Sayuri Ramirez Alavez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time:
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Valeria Arce Núñez
CRC
 +66 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Valeria Arce Núñez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time:
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Victoria Arce Nuñez
CRC
 +51 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Victoria Arce Nuñez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time:
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.91 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Katie McCune
USA
 +27 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Katie McCune

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time:
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Valentina Alvarez Valencia
COL
 +52 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Valentina Alvarez Valencia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time:
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Gianella Debra Coaguila Pita
PER
 +26 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Gianella Debra Coaguila Pita

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Carla Larrabeiti Jefferson
PER
 +57 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Carla Larrabeiti Jefferson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Rachel Werking
USA
 +15 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Rachel Werking

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Paula Vega
ECU
 +32 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Paula Vega

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time:
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Marlen Alejandra Abigail Aguilar Bolaños
GUA
 +65 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Marlen Alejandra Abigail Aguilar Bolaños

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time:
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Gabriela Machado Penteado
BRA
 +69 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriela Machado Penteado

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 1.05 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Chelsea Webber
USA
 +26 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Chelsea Webber

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Maria De Los Angeles Bonilla Garcia
ECU
 +60 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Maria De Los Angeles Bonilla Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time:
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 57 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Elizabeth Bravo
ECU
 +32 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Elizabeth Bravo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time:
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Micah Gay
CAN
 +66 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Micah Gay

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time:
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Rafaela Capó
CHI
 +0 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Rafaela Capó

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Alexandra Kozlowski
TRI
 +121 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandra Kozlowski

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +121 s
Time:
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.