Race prediction

Junior Men

22.08.2026 PER

Race information and calculation basis

2026 Americas Triathlon Junior Cup Lima

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 22.08.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Swim distance in metres

Bike distance in metres

Run distance in metres

Prediction model used

Modell v14 calibrated

Prediction quality 17/100 sehr niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 23 früheren Rennen und 656 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 48.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 23 Kalibrierungsrennen

Athlete	Swimming	Bike group	Details
Luke McIntyre BAR	+25 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Luke McIntyre Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +25 s Time: Pace: 1:21 / 100 m H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 1.22 %, Sicherheit 26 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Joaquín Valverde ARG	+32 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Joaquín Valverde Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +32 s Time: Pace: 1:31 / 100 m H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 1.44 %, Sicherheit 59 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Elias Medina Paolucci URU	+24 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Elias Medina Paolucci Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +24 s Time: Pace: 1:31 / 100 m H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 2.04 %, Sicherheit 36 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Ignacio Ernesto Braga Giménez ARG	+29 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Ignacio Ernesto Braga Giménez Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +29 s Time: Pace: 1:25 / 100 m H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 25 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Florian Muñoz ARG	+31 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Florian Muñoz Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +31 s Time: Pace: 1:53 / 100 m H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 54 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Sergio Maza Krause CHI	+6 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Sergio Maza Krause Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +6 s Time: Pace: 1:30 / 100 m H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 40 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Diego Alessandro Sanchez Felix PER	+51 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Diego Alessandro Sanchez Felix Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +51 s Time: Pace: 1:24 / 100 m H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 1.14 %, Sicherheit 42 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Anderson Humberto Pantoja Velapatiño PER	+41 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Anderson Humberto Pantoja Velapatiño Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +41 s Time: Pace: 2:00 / 100 m H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 28 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Arturo Maximiliano Peching San Roman PER	+28 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Arturo Maximiliano Peching San Roman Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +28 s Time: Pace: 1:31 / 100 m H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 1.62 %, Sicherheit 29 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Gerald Rojas Carvajal CRC	+18 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Gerald Rojas Carvajal Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +18 s Time: Pace: 1:26 / 100 m H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 45 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Eduardo Andres Carretero PUR	+79 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Eduardo Andres Carretero Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +79 s Time: Pace: 1:32 / 100 m H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 19 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Santiago Fernandez PUR	+8 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Santiago Fernandez Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +8 s Time: Pace: 1:23 / 100 m H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 35 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Maximiliano Bobadilla CHI	+25 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Maximiliano Bobadilla Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +25 s Time: Pace: 1:30 / 100 m H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 1.15 %, Sicherheit 63 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Omar alejandro Pizarro ruiz PER	+30 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Omar alejandro Pizarro ruiz Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +30 s Time: Pace: 1:59 / 100 m H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 36 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
Paolo Farnetano VEN	+50 s	Gruppe 0 0 Personen	Show details Prediction details: Paolo Farnetano Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Swimming Prognoseabstand: +50 s Time: Pace: 1:25 / 100 m H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.29 %, Sicherheit 11 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Overall prediction: Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: – To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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