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Elite Men

21.03.2026 NEP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Cup and South Asian Championships Pokhara

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 21.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 89/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 73 früheren Rennen und 1464 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 43.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 78.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 92.9 % · 73 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.9
Mean swim error13.6 s
Mean bike-speed error1.95 km/h
Correct bike groups10/27
No history1
Within the 80% range53.6 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 4 Genta Uchida
JPN
+19 s
+26 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:36
15:47
 43:54
Show details
Prediction details: Genta Uchida

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -7.2 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 97 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 43:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:40 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: 43:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 3.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 6 Kanta Ando
JPN
+36 s
+40 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:10
16:14
 44:28
Show details
Prediction details: Kanta Ando

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -4.1 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.6 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:40 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 20.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 5 Satoshi Iwamoto
JPN
+12 s
+27 s
G1 / G2
 16:19
15:52
 44:29
Show details
Prediction details: Satoshi Iwamoto

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -15.2 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.3 s
Gap behind: 6.9 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:58 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Total: 44:29
4 / 1 Hokuto Obara
JPN
+21 s
+8 s
G2 / G1
 16:12
15:49
 44:30
Show details
Prediction details: Hokuto Obara

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–8
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 13.3 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 97 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 14.6 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:40 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 14 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 2 Mitsuho Mochizuki
JPN
+3 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:36
16:23
 44:46
Show details
Prediction details: Mitsuho Mochizuki

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 1–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 2.5 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 9.3 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:58 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: 44:46
6 / 9 Peter Rojtas
SVK
+38 s
+42 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:29
17:30
 44:47
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Rojtas

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–12
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 6.3 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: −1:01 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 44:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:40 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 22.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 3 Aleksandr Kurishov
UZB
+2 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:00
16:24
 45:10
Show details
Prediction details: Aleksandr Kurishov

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:36 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 45:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:58 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: 45:10
8 / 7 Aleksey Makarov
UZB
+19 s
+13 s
G2 / G4
 17:04
15:43
 45:22
Show details
Prediction details: Aleksey Makarov

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 5.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: +1:21 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 45:22
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:40 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Total: 45:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 8 Li Rong, Luke Chua
SGP
+37 s
+45 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:23
17:08
 45:41
Show details
Prediction details: Li Rong, Luke Chua

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -8.1 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:40 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Total: 45:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 21.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 13 Gert Martin Savitsch
EST
+20 s
+43 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:27
18:28
 45:45
Show details
Prediction details: Gert Martin Savitsch

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 4–13
Top-10 probability: 70 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -23.5 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Error: −1:01 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 45:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:40 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Total: 45:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 3.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 11 Michal Michalica
SVK
+51 s
+81 s
G4 / G4
correct 		16:10
16:44
 46:26
Show details
Prediction details: Michal Michalica

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 5–15
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +81 s
Fehler: -30.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.88 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 46:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
12 / 16 Yajat Kandanda Praveen
IND
+49 s
+46 s
G4 / G6
 17:06
16:02
 47:22
Show details
Prediction details: Yajat Kandanda Praveen

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 45 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 3.1 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.8 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Error: +1:04 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 47:22
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 47:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 33.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 10 Jakub Miklencic
SVK
+53 s
+79 s
G4 / G3
 17:16
16:33
 47:32
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Miklencic

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 9–19
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: -25.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.27 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
14 / 12 Kamran Khodjaev
UZB
+57 s
+63 s
G4 / G4
correct 		17:46
16:56
 48:02
Show details
Prediction details: Kamran Khodjaev

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -6.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 11.6 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 48:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
15 / 14 Dong Wook Kim
KOR
+44 s
+68 s
G3 / G4
 18:34
17:23
 48:21
Show details
Prediction details: Dong Wook Kim

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–15
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: -23.7 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.3 s
Gap behind: 4.8 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Error: +1:11 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 48:21
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:02 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Total: 48:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
16 / 22 Aman Chahar
IND
+55 s
+86 s
G4 / G6
 20:57
18:53
 51:13
Show details
Prediction details: Aman Chahar

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 15–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: -30.8 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: +2:04 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 51:13
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Total: 51:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
17 / 19 Mohammed Al Gheilani
OMA
+83 s
+90 s
G6 / G8
 17:28
17:30
 51:55
Show details
Prediction details: Mohammed Al Gheilani

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 14–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +83 s
Time: 10:36
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +90 s
Fehler: -7.1 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.2 s
Gap behind: 7.8 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 51:55
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:36 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:04 (35.3 km/h)
Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Total: 51:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
18 / 23 Raj Kumar
IND
+76 s
+87 s
G6 / G9
 18:14
15:51
 52:41
Show details
Prediction details: Raj Kumar

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 16–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +76 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +87 s
Fehler: -11.3 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: +2:23 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 52:41
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:04 (35.3 km/h)
Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Total: 52:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
19 / 17 Ankur Chahar
IND
+70 s
+108 s
G5 / G6
 19:15
17:15
 52:52
Show details
Prediction details: Ankur Chahar

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 18–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +108 s
Fehler: -37.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: +2:00 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 52:52
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:23 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:27 (36.1 km/h)
Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Total: 52:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
20 / 25 Dev Ambokar
IND
+75 s
+72 s
G6 / G6
correct 		18:46
20:57
 53:13
Show details
Prediction details: Dev Ambokar

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 17–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +75 s
Time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: 2.5 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Error: −2:11 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 53:13
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:28 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:04 (35.3 km/h)
Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Total: 53:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
21 / 15 Khundrakpam Nganba Meitei
IND
+68 s
+47 s
G5 / G6
 19:49
15:15
 53:26
Show details
Prediction details: Khundrakpam Nganba Meitei

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 17–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 21.4 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.6 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -1.95 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Error: +4:34 / +0:55 / km
Overall prediction: 53:26
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:27 (36.1 km/h)
Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Total: 53:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
22 / 24 Parth Mirage
IND
+76 s
+67 s
G6 / G9
 19:16
16:21
 53:43
Show details
Prediction details: Parth Mirage

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 18–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +76 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: 8.7 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 7.2 s
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:16 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Error: +2:55 / +0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 53:43
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:04 (35.3 km/h)
Run: 19:16 (3:51 / km)
Total: 53:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
23 / 21 Kshetrimayum Kabidash Singh
IND
+108 s
+115 s
G7 / G6
 17:51
18:08
 53:51
Show details
Prediction details: Kshetrimayum Kabidash Singh

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 18–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +108 s
Time: 11:01
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +115 s
Fehler: -7.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 1.01 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.8 s
Gap behind: 9.1 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 53:51
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:01 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:03 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Total: 53:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
24 / 18 Sridath Sudheer
IND
+117 s
+125 s
G7 / G6
 19:01
17:31
 55:01
Show details
Prediction details: Sridath Sudheer

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 24–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +117 s
Time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +125 s
Fehler: -8.3 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.1 s
Gap behind: 146.6 s
Result: Group 6 (7 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:01 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:30 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 55:01
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:10 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:03 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 19:01 (3:48 / km)
Total: 55:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
25 / 20 Angad Ingalekar
IND
+91 s
+92 s
G7 / G5
 19:22
18:05
 55:22
Show details
Prediction details: Angad Ingalekar

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 22–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +91 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +92 s
Fehler: -1.3 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.98 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.8 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:22 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Error: +1:17 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 55:22
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:44 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:03 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 19:22 (3:52 / km)
Total: 55:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
26 / 26 Jay Lawate
IND
+92 s
+105 s
G7 / G9
 20:03
19:30
 56:03
Show details
Prediction details: Jay Lawate

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 25–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +92 s
Time: 10:45
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +105 s
Fehler: -13.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 15.8 s
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 56:03
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:45 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:03 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Total: 56:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
27 / 28 Moulik Maharjan
NEP
+263 s
+306 s
G8 / G10
 21:54
22:10
 1:01:10
Show details
Prediction details: Moulik Maharjan

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +263 s
Time: 13:36
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +306 s
Fehler: -42.7 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 146.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 31.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.67 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:10 (4:26 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:10
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:36 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:53 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Total: 1:01:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Aditya Desai
IND
+0 s
+73 s
G0 / G4
28:35
Show details
Prediction details: Aditya Desai

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:35 (5:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.