Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Regional Championships Men

21.03.2026 NEP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Cup and South Asian Championships Pokhara

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 21.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 85/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 73 früheren Rennen und 1464 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 43.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 69.2 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 84.6 % · 73 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.4
Mean swim error25.0 s
Mean bike-speed error1.75 km/h
Correct bike groups1/12
No history1
Within the 80% range30.8 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Yajat Kandanda Praveen
IND
+47 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
 17:04
16:02
 50:03
Show details
Prediction details: Yajat Kandanda Praveen

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:55
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 47.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.3 s
Gap behind: 6.4 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Error: +1:02 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 50:03
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:55 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:05 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Total: 50:03
2 / 3 Ankur Chahar
IND
+54 s
+62 s
G1 / G2
 19:20
17:15
 52:19
Show details
Prediction details: Ankur Chahar

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 11:02
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -8.1 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.97 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: +2:05 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 52:19
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:02 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:05 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Total: 52:19
3 / 8 Raj Kumar
IND
+59 s
+41 s
G2 / G4
 18:17
15:51
 52:39
Show details
Prediction details: Raj Kumar

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 11:07
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 17.9 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: +2:26 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 52:39
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:07 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:21 (35.1 km/h)
Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Total: 52:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 1.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 1 Khundrakpam Nganba Meitei
IND
+53 s
+1 s
G1 / G2
 19:54
15:15
 52:53
Show details
Prediction details: Khundrakpam Nganba Meitei

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 11:01
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 52.4 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.03 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:54 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.58 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Error: +4:39 / +0:56 / km
Overall prediction: 52:53
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:01 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:05 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 19:54 (3:59 / km)
Total: 52:53
5 / 10 Dev Ambokar
IND
+58 s
+26 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:48
20:57
 53:10
Show details
Prediction details: Dev Ambokar

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 32.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Error: −2:09 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 53:10
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:06 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:21 (35.1 km/h)
Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Total: 53:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 0.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 6 Kshetrimayum Kabidash Singh
IND
+91 s
+69 s
G3 / G2
 17:50
18:08
 53:34
Show details
Prediction details: Kshetrimayum Kabidash Singh

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +91 s
Time: 11:39
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 21.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.5 s
Gap behind: 10.3 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 53:34
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:39 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:03 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Total: 53:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 33 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 9 Parth Mirage
IND
+61 s
+21 s
G2 / G4
 19:19
16:21
 53:41
Show details
Prediction details: Parth Mirage

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 11:09
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 40.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 1.59 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 12.9 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Error: +2:58 / +0:36 / km
Overall prediction: 53:41
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:09 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:21 (35.1 km/h)
Run: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Total: 53:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 3.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 7 Aman Chahar
IND
+39 s
+40 s
G1 / G2
 20:57
18:53
 53:56
Show details
Prediction details: Aman Chahar

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -1.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 8.3 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: +2:04 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 53:56
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:47 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:05 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Total: 53:56
9 / 4 Sridath Sudheer
IND
+101 s
+79 s
G3 / G2
 19:03
17:31
 54:47
Show details
Prediction details: Sridath Sudheer

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 9–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +101 s
Time: 11:49
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: 22.1 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.3 s
Gap behind: 145.7 s
Result: Group 2 (7 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:32 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 54:47
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:49 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:03 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Total: 54:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 43.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 5 Angad Ingalekar
IND
+74 s
+46 s
G3 / G1
 19:25
18:05
 55:09
Show details
Prediction details: Angad Ingalekar

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +74 s
Time: 11:22
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 27.9 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.13 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.9 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:25 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Error: +1:20 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 55:09
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:22 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:03 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 19:25 (3:53 / km)
Total: 55:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 16.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 11 Jay Lawate
IND
+75 s
+59 s
G3 / G4
 20:03
19:30
 55:47
Show details
Prediction details: Jay Lawate

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 10–11
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +75 s
Time: 11:23
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 16.3 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 15.5 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 55:47
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:23 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:03 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Total: 55:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 17.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 13 Moulik Maharjan
NEP
+247 s
+260 s
G4 / G5
 21:58
22:10
 1:00:58
Show details
Prediction details: Moulik Maharjan

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +247 s
Time: 14:15
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +260 s
Fehler: -13.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 145.7 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 31.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:58 (4:24 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:10 (4:26 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:58
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:15 (1:54 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:53 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 21:58 (4:24 / km)
Total: 1:00:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 189 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Aditya Desai
IND
+0 s
+27 s
G0 / G1
28:35
Show details
Prediction details: Aditya Desai

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:35 (5:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.