Prediction comparison
Elite Men
07.02.2026
Kompleks Sukan Air Putrajaya Presint 6
MAS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Cup and Southeast Asia Championships Putrajaya
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 07.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Prediction model used
Modell v14
Default values
Prediction quality
65/100
mittel
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s
Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s
Gruppeneffekt 0.65
Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h
Datenabdeckung 89.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 95.8 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.2
Mean swim error11.3 s
Mean bike-speed error2.87 km/h
Correct bike groups14/47
No history1
Within the 80% range52.1 %
| Place Prediction / result |
Athlete | Swimming Prediction / result |
Bike group Prediction / result |
Run Prediction / result |
Overall prediction | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 11 |
CHN
|
+10 s
+0 s
|
G1 / G2
|
15:22
15:47
|
44:24 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -10
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 10.1 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen,
162 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.07 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
8.1 s
Gap behind:
0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.47 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen,
162 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.09 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:15
(1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
15:22
(3:04 / km)
Total:
44:24
|
| 2 / 9 |
JPN
|
+19 s
+20 s
|
G1 / G2
|
15:35
15:34
|
44:37 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 2
80% range: 3–14
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen,
151 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.31 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.3 s
Gap behind:
1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.01 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen,
151 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.15 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 44:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:24
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
15:35
(3:07 / km)
Total:
44:37
|
| 3 / 6 |
JPN
|
+23 s
+35 s
|
G1 / G2
|
15:38
15:21
|
44:40 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 3
80% range: 4–11
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -11.9 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen,
194 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.25 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
2.1 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.31 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen,
192 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.47 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:28
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
15:38
(3:08 / km)
Total:
44:40
|
| 4 / 7 |
HKG
|
+23 s
+20 s
|
G1 / G2
|
15:41
15:25
|
44:43 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 4
80% range: 4–15
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen,
110 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.03 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.5 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.01 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen,
110 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.22 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:28
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
15:41
(3:08 / km)
Total:
44:43
|
| 5 / 2 |
JPN
|
+23 s
+15 s
|
G1 / G2
|
15:42
15:12
|
44:44 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 5
80% range: 3–18
Top-10 probability: 64 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 7.5 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
186 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.24 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.8 s
Gap behind:
0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.87 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
185 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.09 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:28
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
15:42
(3:08 / km)
Total:
44:44
|
| 6 / 3 |
JPN
|
+19 s
+23 s
|
G1 / G2
|
15:46
15:16
|
44:48 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 6
80% range: 4–12
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -3.9 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen,
236 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.21 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.0 s
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.12 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen,
236 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.21 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:16 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:24
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
15:46
(3:09 / km)
Total:
44:48
|
| 7 / 1 |
JPN
|
+10 s
+4 s
|
G1 / G2
|
15:54
15:04
|
44:56 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 7
80% range: 2–16
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen,
168 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.27 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 71 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.2 s
Gap behind:
5.2 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.63 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen,
169 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.38 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 44:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:15
(1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
15:54
(3:11 / km)
Total:
44:56
|
| 8 / 16 |
JPN
|
+16 s
+4 s
|
G1 / G2
|
15:59
16:43
|
45:01 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 8
80% range: 3–17
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -8
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 11.8 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen,
213 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.3 s
Gap behind:
0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.53 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen,
211 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.17 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:21
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
15:59
(3:12 / km)
Total:
45:01
|
| 9 / 14 |
JPN
|
+16 s
+12 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
16:07
16:22
|
45:09 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 9
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 3.5 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen,
230 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.03 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
5.2 s
Gap behind:
0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.12 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen,
230 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.20 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:21
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
16:07
(3:13 / km)
Total:
45:09
|
| 10 / 5 |
CHN
|
+29 s
+30 s
|
G1 / G2
|
16:15
15:12
|
45:17 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 10
80% range: 8–26
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -1.2 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
48 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.14 %,
Sicherheit 53 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.3 s
Gap behind:
1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.23 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
48 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.23 %,
Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 45:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:34
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
16:15
(3:15 / km)
Total:
45:17
|
| 11 / 25 |
IRL
|
+21 s
+36 s
|
G1 / G3
|
16:22
16:37
|
45:24 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 11
80% range: 9–18
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -14
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -15.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
40 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.45 %,
Sicherheit 67 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.2 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.02 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
40 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.65 %,
Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:26
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
16:22
(3:16 / km)
Total:
45:24
|
| 12 / 15 |
TPE
|
+26 s
+32 s
|
G1 / G2
|
16:40
16:33
|
45:42 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 12
80% range: 10–24
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -6.4 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen,
201 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.01 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
2.9 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.42 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen,
201 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.20 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:31
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
16:40
(3:20 / km)
Total:
45:42
|
| 13 / 8 |
JPN
|
+21 s
+26 s
|
G1 / G2
|
16:48
15:31
|
45:50 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 13
80% range: 6–24
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -5.3 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen,
163 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.07 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.20 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen,
163 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.69 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Error: +1:17 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 45:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:26
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
16:48
(3:22 / km)
Total:
45:50
|
| 14 / 37 |
AUS
|
+19 s
+63 s
|
G1 / G3
|
16:55
19:51
|
45:57 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 14
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -23
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -43.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.38 %,
Sicherheit 29 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.80 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.65 %,
Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Error: −2:56 / −0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 45:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:24
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
16:55
(3:23 / km)
Total:
45:57
|
| 15 / 17 |
HKG
|
+19 s
+26 s
|
G1 / G2
|
17:03
16:48
|
46:05 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 15
80% range: 13–26
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -6.9 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen,
249 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.26 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.20 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen,
249 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.30 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:24
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
17:03
(3:25 / km)
Total:
46:05
|
| 16 / 34 |
HKG
|
+25 s
+18 s
|
G1 / G3
|
17:10
18:37
|
46:12 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 16
80% range: 11–27
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -18
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 7.2 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
166 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.05 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.1 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.32 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
166 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.49 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Error: −1:27 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 46:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:30
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
17:10
(3:26 / km)
Total:
46:12
|
| 17 / 12 |
JPN
|
+2 s
+0 s
|
G1 / G2
|
17:16
15:56
|
46:18 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 17
80% range: 14–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen,
142 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
8.1 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.50 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen,
142 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.63 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +1:20 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 46:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:07
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
17:16
(3:27 / km)
Total:
46:18
|
| 18 / 4 |
CHN
|
+30 s
+27 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
15:38
15:08
|
47:02 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 18
80% range: 5–19
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 14
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 3.4 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen,
135 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.25 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.6 s
Gap behind:
3.0 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.14 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen,
135 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.13 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:08 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:35
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:42
(39.1 km/h)
Run:
15:38
(3:08 / km)
Total:
47:02
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 19 / 23 |
AUS
|
+49 s
+59 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
15:49
16:22
|
47:32 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 19
80% range: 16–29
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -10.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.28 %,
Sicherheit 98 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.9 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.04 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen,
45 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.61 %,
Sicherheit 88 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:54
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:54
(38.8 km/h)
Run:
15:49
(3:10 / km)
Total:
47:32
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 19.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 20 / 20 |
INA
|
+35 s
+32 s
|
G2 / G3
|
16:16
15:55
|
47:40 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 20
80% range: 10–27
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 2.9 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen,
175 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.28 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.5 s
Gap behind:
3.1 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.02 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen,
175 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.21 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:40
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:42
(39.1 km/h)
Run:
16:16
(3:15 / km)
Total:
47:40
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 5.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 21 / 46 |
SGP
|
+29 s
+52 s
|
G1 / G8
|
18:48
20:55
|
47:50 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 21
80% range: 24–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -25
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -23.5 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
48 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.22 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.9 s
Gap behind:
0.3 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.47 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
47 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.18 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:55 (4:11 / km)
Error: −2:07 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 47:50
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:34
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
18:48
(3:46 / km)
Total:
47:50
|
| 22 / 10 |
JPN
|
+38 s
+33 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
16:27
15:38
|
47:51 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 22
80% range: 15–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 12
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen,
173 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.05 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.1 s
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.31 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen,
173 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:43
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:42
(39.1 km/h)
Run:
16:27
(3:17 / km)
Total:
47:51
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 8.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 23 / 30 |
JPN
|
+33 s
+35 s
|
G2 / G3
|
16:30
18:01
|
47:54 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 23
80% range: 13–26
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -1.6 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen,
40 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.03 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.0 s
Gap behind:
1.5 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.02 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen,
40 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.13 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: −1:31 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 47:54
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:38
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:42
(39.1 km/h)
Run:
16:30
(3:18 / km)
Total:
47:54
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 24 / 13 |
JPN
|
+48 s
+28 s
|
G3 / G2
|
16:17
15:50
|
48:00 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 24
80% range: 17–33
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 11
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 19.8 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
107 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.11 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.57 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
107 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.30 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:53
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:54
(38.8 km/h)
Run:
16:17
(3:15 / km)
Total:
48:00
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 18.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 25 / 21 |
HKG
|
+45 s
+54 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
16:23
16:08
|
48:06 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 25
80% range: 15–29
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -8.7 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen,
243 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.07 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
2.4 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.79 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen,
243 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.13 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:50
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:54
(38.8 km/h)
Run:
16:23
(3:17 / km)
Total:
48:06
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 15.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 26 / 22 |
JPN
|
+49 s
+50 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
16:31
16:06
|
48:14 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 26
80% range: 12–34
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -0.9 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen,
141 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.31 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
4.1 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.66 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen,
141 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.94 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:54
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:54
(38.8 km/h)
Run:
16:31
(3:18 / km)
Total:
48:14
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 19.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 27 / 24 |
HKG
|
+40 s
+48 s
|
G2 / G3
|
16:52
16:31
|
48:16 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 27
80% range: 19–30
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -8.2 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen,
64 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.07 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.7 s
Gap behind:
1.7 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.32 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen,
63 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.66 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:16
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:45
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:42
(39.1 km/h)
Run:
16:52
(3:22 / km)
Total:
48:16
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 10.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 28 / 26 |
BRN
|
+48 s
+58 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
17:00
16:45
|
48:43 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 28
80% range: 18–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -10.3 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen,
48 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.49 %,
Sicherheit 52 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.4 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.01 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen,
48 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.35 %,
Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:53
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:54
(38.8 km/h)
Run:
17:00
(3:24 / km)
Total:
48:43
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 18.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 29 / 28 |
INA
|
+42 s
+33 s
|
G2 / G3
|
17:21
17:30
|
48:45 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 29
80% range: 17–36
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
45 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.16 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.7 s
Gap behind:
3.7 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.05 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
45 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.28 %,
Sicherheit 97 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:45
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:47
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:42
(39.1 km/h)
Run:
17:21
(3:28 / km)
Total:
48:45
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 12.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 30 / 19 |
MAS
|
+38 s
+27 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
18:20
17:22
|
49:44 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 30
80% range: 26–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 11
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 11.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen,
126 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.03 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.23 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen,
125 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.28 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:58 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 49:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:43
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:42
(39.1 km/h)
Run:
18:20
(3:40 / km)
Total:
49:44
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 8.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 31 / 44 |
HKG
|
+45 s
+49 s
|
G3 / G7
|
18:17
19:49
|
50:00 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 31
80% range: 26–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -13
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -3.8 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen,
130 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.21 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.7 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 7 (5 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.71 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen,
122 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.32 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Error: −1:32 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 50:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:50
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:54
(38.8 km/h)
Run:
18:17
(3:39 / km)
Total:
50:00
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 15.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 32 / 33 |
USA
|
+55 s
+84 s
|
G4 / G5
|
17:16
17:22
|
50:12 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 32
80% range: 28–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: -29.3 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
26 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.46 %,
Sicherheit 42 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.5 s
Gap behind:
1.6 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.90 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
26 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.39 %,
Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:00
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:59
(37.5 km/h)
Run:
17:16
(3:27 / km)
Total:
50:12
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 25.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 33 / 32 |
PHI
|
+56 s
+84 s
|
G4 / G5
|
17:32
17:10
|
50:28 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 33
80% range: 26–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: -27.7 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
107 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.03 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.6 s
Gap behind:
1.2 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.78 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
106 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.21 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 50:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:01
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:59
(37.5 km/h)
Run:
17:32
(3:30 / km)
Total:
50:28
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 26.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 34 / 31 |
PHI
|
+53 s
+60 s
|
G4 / G3
|
17:38
18:15
|
50:34 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 34
80% range: 28–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -6.8 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen,
143 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.04 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
4.1 s
Gap behind:
1.5 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.28 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen,
144 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.89 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:37 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 50:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:58
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:59
(37.5 km/h)
Run:
17:38
(3:32 / km)
Total:
50:34
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 23.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 35 / 39 |
PLE
|
+62 s
+82 s
|
G5 / G6
|
17:04
18:11
|
51:02 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 35
80% range: 27–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -20.4 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
9 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.19 %,
Sicherheit 47 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
4.1 s
Gap behind:
9.0 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.43 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
9 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.37 %,
Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 51:02
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
32:45
(36.7 km/h)
Run:
17:04
(3:25 / km)
Total:
51:02
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 32.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 36 / 35 |
HKG
|
+38 s
+46 s
|
G2 / G3
|
19:38
18:56
|
51:02 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 36
80% range: 27–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen,
104 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.07 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.45 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen,
104 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.16 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 51:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:43
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:42
(39.1 km/h)
Run:
19:38
(3:56 / km)
Total:
51:02
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 8.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 37 / 29 |
MAS
|
+71 s
+69 s
|
G5 / G3
|
17:31
17:43
|
51:29 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 37
80% range: 33–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 8
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 1.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen,
97 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.11 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
9.0 s
Gap behind:
2.4 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.17 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen,
96 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.60 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 51:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:16
(1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
32:45
(36.7 km/h)
Run:
17:31
(3:30 / km)
Total:
51:29
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 41.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 38 / 38 |
MAS
|
+58 s
+56 s
|
G4 / G4
correct
|
18:48
18:50
|
51:44 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 38
80% range: 35–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 1.5 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen,
66 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.19 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.2 s
Gap behind:
4.1 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.61 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen,
65 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.32 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 51:44
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:03
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:59
(37.5 km/h)
Run:
18:48
(3:46 / km)
Total:
51:44
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 28.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 39 / 40 |
SYR
|
+78 s
+86 s
|
G6 / G6
correct
|
17:50
18:39
|
52:29 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 39
80% range: 38–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: -8.4 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen,
14 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.18 %,
Sicherheit 52 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
4.6 s
Gap behind:
20.4 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.75 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen,
14 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.03 %,
Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 52:29
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:23
(1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
32:59
(36.4 km/h)
Run:
17:50
(3:34 / km)
Total:
52:29
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 48.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 40 / 36 |
INA
|
+73 s
+72 s
|
G5 / G5
correct
|
18:59
17:34
|
52:57 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 40
80% range: 40–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
28 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.11 %,
Sicherheit 67 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.4 s
Gap behind:
4.6 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.58 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
28 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.27 %,
Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: +1:25 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 52:57
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
10:18
(1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
32:45
(36.7 km/h)
Run:
18:59
(3:48 / km)
Total:
52:57
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 43.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 41 / 42 |
UAE
|
+100 s
+94 s
|
G6 / G7
|
18:25
19:48
|
53:04 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 41
80% range: 39–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 10:45
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +94 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen,
40 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.07 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.4 s
Gap behind:
4.6 s
Result: Group 7 (5 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.63 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen,
40 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.07 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Error: −1:23 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 53:04
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:45
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
32:59
(36.4 km/h)
Run:
18:25
(3:41 / km)
Total:
53:04
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 71 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 42 / 41 |
MAC
|
+105 s
+113 s
|
G7 / G7
correct
|
18:38
18:31
|
53:28 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 42
80% range: 41–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +105 s
Time: 10:50
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +113 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
70 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.13 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
4.6 s
Gap behind:
28.3 s
Result: Group 7 (5 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.13 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
69 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.23 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 53:28
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:50
(1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
33:05
(36.3 km/h)
Run:
18:38
(3:44 / km)
Total:
53:28
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 75.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 43 / 43 |
MAC
|
+98 s
+95 s
|
G6 / G7
|
19:41
19:42
|
54:20 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 43
80% range: 43–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +98 s
Time: 10:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +95 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen,
109 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.26 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
20.4 s
Gap behind:
2.4 s
Result: Group 7 (5 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.71 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen,
108 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.14 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:42 (3:56 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 54:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:43
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
32:59
(36.4 km/h)
Run:
19:41
(3:56 / km)
Total:
54:20
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 68.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 44 / 47 |
IND
|
+171 s
+114 s
|
G9 / G9
correct
|
19:26
18:57
|
57:02 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 44
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +171 s
Time: 11:56
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +114 s
Fehler: 57.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.64 %,
Sicherheit 4 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 9 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
38.1 s
Gap behind:
18.2 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.17 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:26 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 57:02
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
11:56
(1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
34:45
(34.5 km/h)
Run:
19:26
(3:53 / km)
Total:
57:02
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 142 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 45 / 45 |
MAS
|
+133 s
+88 s
|
G8 / G7
|
21:42
19:51
|
57:47 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 45
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +133 s
Time: 11:18
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +88 s
Fehler: 45.3 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
25 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.02 %,
Sicherheit 77 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
28.3 s
Gap behind:
38.1 s
Result: Group 7 (5 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.70 km/h
Running and totalRun: 21:42 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
25 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.12 %,
Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Error: +1:51 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 57:47
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
11:18
(1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
33:52
(35.4 km/h)
Run:
21:42
(4:20 / km)
Total:
57:47
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 103.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 46 / 48 |
MAS
|
+190 s
+181 s
|
G10 / G10
correct
|
20:32
19:09
|
59:25 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 46
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +190 s
Time: 12:15
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +181 s
Fehler: 8.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.18 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 10 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
18.2 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.87 km/h
Running and totalRun: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.22 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Error: +1:23 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 59:25
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
12:15
(1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:43
(33.6 km/h)
Run:
20:32
(4:06 / km)
Total:
59:25
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 160.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 0 / 18 |
CHN
|
+0 s
+2 s
|
G0 / G2
|
17:02
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 48–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:05
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 27 |
IND
|
+16 s
+47 s
|
G1 / G3
|
17:04
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -30.9 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.3 s
Gap behind:
3.0 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.40 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
9:21
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:34
(42.1 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|