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Prediction comparison

Elite Men

07.02.2026 Kompleks Sukan Air Putrajaya Presint 6 MAS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Cup and Southeast Asia Championships Putrajaya

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 07.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 65/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 89.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 95.8 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.2
Mean swim error11.3 s
Mean bike-speed error2.87 km/h
Correct bike groups14/47
No history1
Within the 80% range52.1 %
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
1 / 11 Junjie Fan
CHN
+10 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
15:22
15:47
44:24
Show details
Prediction details: Junjie Fan

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 10.1 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 162 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 162 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Total: 44:24
2 / 9 Ren Sato
JPN
+19 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
15:35
15:34
44:37
Show details
Prediction details: Ren Sato

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–14
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 151 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 151 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 44:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Total: 44:37
3 / 6 Kenshin Mori
JPN
+23 s
+35 s
G1 / G2
15:38
15:21
44:40
Show details
Prediction details: Kenshin Mori

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–11
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -11.9 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 194 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 192 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:40
4 / 7 Oscar Coggins
HKG
+23 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
15:41
15:25
44:43
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Coggins

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–15
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:43
5 / 2 Kazushi Jozuka
JPN
+23 s
+15 s
G1 / G2
15:42
15:12
44:44
Show details
Prediction details: Kazushi Jozuka

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–18
Top-10 probability: 64 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 7.5 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 186 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 185 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:44
6 / 3 Genta Uchida
JPN
+19 s
+23 s
G1 / G2
15:46
15:16
44:48
Show details
Prediction details: Genta Uchida

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–12
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -3.9 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 236 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 236 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:16 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:48
7 / 1 Takuto Oshima
JPN
+10 s
+4 s
G1 / G2
15:54
15:04
44:56
Show details
Prediction details: Takuto Oshima

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 2–16
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 168 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 71 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 5.2 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 169 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 44:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:56
8 / 16 Satoshi Iwamoto
JPN
+16 s
+4 s
G1 / G2
15:59
16:43
45:01
Show details
Prediction details: Satoshi Iwamoto

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 3–17
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 11.8 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 213 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 211 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Total: 45:01
9 / 14 Ryousuke Maeda
JPN
+16 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct
16:07
16:22
45:09
Show details
Prediction details: Ryousuke Maeda

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 3.5 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 230 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 230 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Total: 45:09
10 / 5 Rongheng Chen
CHN
+29 s
+30 s
G1 / G2
16:15
15:12
45:17
Show details
Prediction details: Rongheng Chen

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–26
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -1.2 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 45:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:17
11 / 25 Luke McCarron
IRL
+21 s
+36 s
G1 / G3
16:22
16:37
45:24
Show details
Prediction details: Luke McCarron

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 9–18
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -15.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 45:24
12 / 15 Tzu I Pan
TPE
+26 s
+32 s
G1 / G2
16:40
16:33
45:42
Show details
Prediction details: Tzu I Pan

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 10–24
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -6.4 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 201 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 201 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:42
13 / 8 Kazuna Asanuma
JPN
+21 s
+26 s
G1 / G2
16:48
15:31
45:50
Show details
Prediction details: Kazuna Asanuma

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 6–24
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -5.3 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 163 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 163 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Error: +1:17 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 45:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Total: 45:50
14 / 37 Joshua Neervoort
AUS
+19 s
+63 s
G1 / G3
16:55
19:51
45:57
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Neervoort

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -43.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Error: −2:56 / −0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 45:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:57
15 / 17 Cheung Sing Nicholas Tsang
HKG
+19 s
+26 s
G1 / G2
17:03
16:48
46:05
Show details
Prediction details: Cheung Sing Nicholas Tsang

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 13–26
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -6.9 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 249 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 249 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Total: 46:05
16 / 34 Shing Him Yu
HKG
+25 s
+18 s
G1 / G3
17:10
18:37
46:12
Show details
Prediction details: Shing Him Yu

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 11–27
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 7.2 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 166 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 166 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Error: −1:27 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 46:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Total: 46:12
17 / 12 Mitsuho Mochizuki
JPN
+2 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
17:16
15:56
46:18
Show details
Prediction details: Mitsuho Mochizuki

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 14–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 142 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 8.1 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 142 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +1:20 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 46:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:18
18 / 4 Yunfeng Teng
CHN
+30 s
+27 s
G2 / G2
correct
15:38
15:08
47:02
Show details
Prediction details: Yunfeng Teng

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 5–19
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 3.4 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 135 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 135 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:08 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:42 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Total: 47:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 23 Samuel Mileham
AUS
+49 s
+59 s
G3 / G3
correct
15:49
16:22
47:32
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Mileham

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 16–29
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -10.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:54 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 47:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 19.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 20 Rashif Amila Yaqin
INA
+35 s
+32 s
G2 / G3
16:16
15:55
47:40
Show details
Prediction details: Rashif Amila Yaqin

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 10–27
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 2.9 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 175 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 175 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:42 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Total: 47:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 5.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 46 Cheng Yu Lim
SGP
+29 s
+52 s
G1 / G8
18:48
20:55
47:50
Show details
Prediction details: Cheng Yu Lim

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 24–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -23.5 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:55 (4:11 / km)
Error: −2:07 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 47:50
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Total: 47:50
22 / 10 Kanta Ando
JPN
+38 s
+33 s
G2 / G2
correct
16:27
15:38
47:51
Show details
Prediction details: Kanta Ando

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 15–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 173 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 173 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:42 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Total: 47:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 8.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 30 Daiki Nishizaki
JPN
+33 s
+35 s
G2 / G3
16:30
18:01
47:54
Show details
Prediction details: Daiki Nishizaki

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 13–26
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -1.6 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: −1:31 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 47:54
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:42 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: 47:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 13 Rintaro Kuramoto
JPN
+48 s
+28 s
G3 / G2
16:17
15:50
48:00
Show details
Prediction details: Rintaro Kuramoto

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 17–33
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 19.8 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:54 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Total: 48:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 18.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 21 Tak Long Yip
HKG
+45 s
+54 s
G3 / G3
correct
16:23
16:08
48:06
Show details
Prediction details: Tak Long Yip

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 15–29
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -8.7 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 243 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 243 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:54 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Total: 48:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 15.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 22 Ryoya Tamazaki
JPN
+49 s
+50 s
G3 / G3
correct
16:31
16:06
48:14
Show details
Prediction details: Ryoya Tamazaki

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 12–34
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -0.9 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 141 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 141 Duelle, Korrektur -0.94 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:54 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Total: 48:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 19.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 24 Nok Hei Wong
HKG
+40 s
+48 s
G2 / G3
16:52
16:31
48:16
Show details
Prediction details: Nok Hei Wong

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 19–30
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -8.2 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:16
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:42 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Total: 48:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 10.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 26 Omar Abdulla Hamza Ali
BRN
+48 s
+58 s
G3 / G3
correct
17:00
16:45
48:43
Show details
Prediction details: Omar Abdulla Hamza Ali

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 18–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -10.3 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:54 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: 48:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 18.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 28 Muhammad Noval Ashidiq
INA
+42 s
+33 s
G2 / G3
17:21
17:30
48:45
Show details
Prediction details: Muhammad Noval Ashidiq

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 17–36
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 97 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:45
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:42 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Total: 48:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 12.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 19 Isaac Tan
MAS
+38 s
+27 s
G2 / G2
correct
18:20
17:22
49:44
Show details
Prediction details: Isaac Tan

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 26–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 11.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 125 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:58 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 49:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:42 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Total: 49:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 8.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 44 Wang Hin Ian Fok
HKG
+45 s
+49 s
G3 / G7
18:17
19:49
50:00
Show details
Prediction details: Wang Hin Ian Fok

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 26–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -3.8 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 130 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Result: Group 7 (5 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 122 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Error: −1:32 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 50:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:54 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Total: 50:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 15.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 33 Nathan F. Cohen
USA
+55 s
+84 s
G4 / G5
17:16
17:22
50:12
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan F. Cohen

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 28–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: -29.3 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Total: 50:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 25.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 32 Dayshaun Ramos
PHI
+56 s
+84 s
G4 / G5
17:32
17:10
50:28
Show details
Prediction details: Dayshaun Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 26–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: -27.7 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 50:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Total: 50:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 26.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 31 Joshua Ramos
PHI
+53 s
+60 s
G4 / G3
17:38
18:15
50:34
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 28–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -6.8 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 143 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 144 Duelle, Korrektur 0.89 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:37 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 50:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Total: 50:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 23.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 39 Abdelrahman Tantish
PLE
+62 s
+82 s
G5 / G6
17:04
18:11
51:02
Show details
Prediction details: Abdelrahman Tantish

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 27–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -20.4 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 9.0 s

Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 51:02
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Total: 51:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 32.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 35 Wt Dominic Carson
HKG
+38 s
+46 s
G2 / G3
19:38
18:56
51:02
Show details
Prediction details: Wt Dominic Carson

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 27–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 51:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:42 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Total: 51:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 8.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 29 Qi Yi Yap
MAS
+71 s
+69 s
G5 / G3
17:31
17:43
51:29
Show details
Prediction details: Qi Yi Yap

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 33–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 1.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.0 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 51:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 51:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 41.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 38 Benjamin John Hong Ren Chen
MAS
+58 s
+56 s
G4 / G4
correct
18:48
18:50
51:44
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin John Hong Ren Chen

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 35–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 1.5 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s

Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 51:44
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Total: 51:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 28.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 40 Seezar Alshoumari
SYR
+78 s
+86 s
G6 / G6
correct
17:50
18:39
52:29
Show details
Prediction details: Seezar Alshoumari

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 38–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: -8.4 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 20.4 s

Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 52:29
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:23 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:59 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Total: 52:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 48.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 36 Aryandra Fauzi Mauludin
INA
+73 s
+72 s
G5 / G5
correct
18:59
17:34
52:57
Show details
Prediction details: Aryandra Fauzi Mauludin

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 40–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: +1:25 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 52:57
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:18 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Total: 52:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 43.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 42 Yousuf Yaaqoub Alhanaee
UAE
+100 s
+94 s
G6 / G7
18:25
19:48
53:04
Show details
Prediction details: Yousuf Yaaqoub Alhanaee

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 39–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 10:45
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +94 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s

Result: Group 7 (5 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 1.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Error: −1:23 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 53:04
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:45 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:59 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Total: 53:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 71 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 41 Chon Ip Chan
MAC
+105 s
+113 s
G7 / G7
correct
18:38
18:31
53:28
Show details
Prediction details: Chon Ip Chan

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 41–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +105 s
Time: 10:50
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +113 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 28.3 s

Result: Group 7 (5 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 53:28
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:50 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:05 (36.3 km/h)
Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Total: 53:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 75.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 43 Cheok Hei Lao
MAC
+98 s
+95 s
G6 / G7
19:41
19:42
54:20
Show details
Prediction details: Cheok Hei Lao

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 43–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +98 s
Time: 10:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +95 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 20.4 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s

Result: Group 7 (5 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:42 (3:56 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 54:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:43 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:59 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Total: 54:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 68.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 47 Sridath Sudheer
IND
+171 s
+114 s
G9 / G9
correct
19:26
18:57
57:02
Show details
Prediction details: Sridath Sudheer

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +171 s
Time: 11:56
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +114 s
Fehler: 57.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 38.1 s
Gap behind: 18.2 s

Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:26 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 57:02
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:56 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:45 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 19:26 (3:53 / km)
Total: 57:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 142 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 45 Jie Sheng Tan
MAS
+133 s
+88 s
G8 / G7
21:42
19:51
57:47
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Prediction details: Jie Sheng Tan

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +133 s
Time: 11:18
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +88 s
Fehler: 45.3 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 28.3 s
Gap behind: 38.1 s

Result: Group 7 (5 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:42 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Error: +1:51 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 57:47
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:18 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:52 (35.4 km/h)
Run: 21:42 (4:20 / km)
Total: 57:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 103.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 48 Muhammad Aiman Mohd Azizi
MAS
+190 s
+181 s
G10 / G10
correct
20:32
19:09
59:25
Show details
Prediction details: Muhammad Aiman Mohd Azizi

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +190 s
Time: 12:15
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +181 s
Fehler: 8.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.18 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 10 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 18.2 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Error: +1:23 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 59:25
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:15 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:43 (33.6 km/h)
Run: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Total: 59:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 160.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 18 Yunkang Luo
CHN
+0 s
+2 s
G0 / G2
17:02
Show details
Prediction details: Yunkang Luo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 48–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Yajat Kandanda Praveen
IND
+16 s
+47 s
G1 / G3
17:04
Show details
Prediction details: Yajat Kandanda Praveen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -30.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s

Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:34 (42.1 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable