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Elite Women

07.02.2026 Kompleks Sukan Air Putrajaya Presint 6 MAS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Cup and Southeast Asia Championships Putrajaya

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 07.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 65/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 90.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.3
Mean swim error13.3 s
Mean bike-speed error2.24 km/h
Correct bike groups4/20
No history0
Within the 80% range90.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Xinyu Lin
CHN
+8 s
+23 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:36
17:47
 50:16
Show details
Prediction details: Xinyu Lin

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -14.7 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:30 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Total: 50:16
2 / 18 Siyu Wang
CHN
+29 s
+65 s
G2 / G3
 17:36
21:11
 50:20
Show details
Prediction details: Siyu Wang

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:34
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: -36.3 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:11 (4:14 / km)
Error: −3:35 / −0:43 / km
Overall prediction: 50:20
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:34 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Total: 50:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 15.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 4 Bailee Brown
HKG
+31 s
+32 s
G2 / G1
 17:42
18:11
 50:26
Show details
Prediction details: Bailee Brown

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–9
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 10:36
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -0.8 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 6.8 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 50:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:36 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Total: 50:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 18.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 3 Mako Hiraizumi
JPN
+38 s
+38 s
G2 / G1
 17:43
18:12
 50:27
Show details
Prediction details: Mako Hiraizumi

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 10:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.8 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 50:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:43 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Total: 50:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 17.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 5 Yuki Sugihara
JPN
+39 s
+34 s
G2 / G1
 18:27
18:46
 51:11
Show details
Prediction details: Yuki Sugihara

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–13
Top-10 probability: 78 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 4.5 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 51:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:44 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Total: 51:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 25.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 9 Himeka Sato
JPN
+29 s
+23 s
G2 / G1
 18:33
19:48
 51:17
Show details
Prediction details: Himeka Sato

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–12
Top-10 probability: 89 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:34
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 6.1 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Error: −1:15 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 51:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:34 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 51:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 6 Martina Ayu Pratiwi
INA
+30 s
+45 s
G2 / G1
 18:50
18:57
 51:34
Show details
Prediction details: Martina Ayu Pratiwi

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–14
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -15.5 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 51:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Total: 51:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 14.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 8 Ziqing Lu
CHN
+27 s
+40 s
G2 / G1
 18:56
19:31
 51:40
Show details
Prediction details: Ziqing Lu

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–17
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -12.9 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 51:40
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:32 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Total: 51:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 14.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 2 Meiyi Lu
CHN
+55 s
+59 s
G3 / G1
 17:25
17:47
 51:45
Show details
Prediction details: Meiyi Lu

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 2–13
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 11:00
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -4.4 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.1 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 51:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:00 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (36.2 km/h)
Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Total: 51:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 35 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 10 Yan Yin Hilda Choi
HKG
+42 s
+47 s
G2 / G1
 19:02
19:51
 51:46
Show details
Prediction details: Yan Yin Hilda Choi

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–15
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -5.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 13.1 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 51:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:47 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Total: 51:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 28.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 12 Amara Rae
NZL
+62 s
+61 s
G3 / G2
 17:50
18:26
 52:10
Show details
Prediction details: Amara Rae

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 6–14
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 11:07
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: 1.4 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 7.1 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Error: −0:36 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 52:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:07 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (36.2 km/h)
Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Total: 52:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 42.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 11 Jirong Dong
CHN
+57 s
+39 s
G3 / G1
 18:01
19:52
 52:21
Show details
Prediction details: Jirong Dong

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 7–14
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 11:02
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 18.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Error: −1:51 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 52:21
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:02 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (36.2 km/h)
Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Total: 52:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 44.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 14 Minori Ikeno
JPN
+9 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:43
20:48
 52:23
Show details
Prediction details: Minori Ikeno

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 5–17
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 5.1 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 15.1 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:48 (4:10 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 52:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:30 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Total: 52:23
14 / 15 Binta Erlen Salsabela
INA
+24 s
+36 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:42
19:47
 52:26
Show details
Prediction details: Binta Erlen Salsabela

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 7–17
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -11.8 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.1 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:47 (3:57 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 52:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km)
Total: 52:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 11.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 13 Saki Yanagihara
JPN
+6 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:53
20:12
 52:33
Show details
Prediction details: Saki Yanagihara

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 10–16
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:12 (4:02 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 52:33
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:11 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:30 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Total: 52:33
16 / 7 Kaiye Mai
CHN
+70 s
+47 s
G4 / G1
 18:23
19:29
 53:24
Show details
Prediction details: Kaiye Mai

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 10–17
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 11:15
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 22.5 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.1 s
Gap behind: 6.7 s
Result: Group 1 (13 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 86 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:29 (3:54 / km)
Error: −1:06 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 53:24
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:15 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:52 (35.4 km/h)
Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Total: 53:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 56.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 16 Long Hoi
MAC
+62 s
+64 s
G3 / G2
 19:06
20:24
 53:26
Show details
Prediction details: Long Hoi

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 10–18
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 11:07
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -2.1 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:24 (4:05 / km)
Error: −1:18 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 53:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:07 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (36.2 km/h)
Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Total: 53:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 48.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 17 Yu-Ting Pan
TPE
+76 s
+109 s
G5 / G4
 18:44
19:33
 55:30
Show details
Prediction details: Yu-Ting Pan

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 13–18
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +76 s
Time: 11:21
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +109 s
Fehler: -32.8 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.7 s
Gap behind: 12.5 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:44 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 55:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:21 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:30 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 18:44 (3:45 / km)
Total: 55:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 63.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 19 Wan U Cheng
MAC
+89 s
+68 s
G6 / G4
 20:42
21:25
 57:40
Show details
Prediction details: Wan U Cheng

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +89 s
Time: 11:34
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: 20.7 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.5 s
Gap behind: 211.9 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:42 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:09 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:25 (4:17 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 57:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:34 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 20:42 (4:08 / km)
Total: 57:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 75.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 20 Un Ian Ng
MAC
+301 s
+346 s
G7 / G5
 22:16
24:35
 1:04:26
Show details
Prediction details: Un Ian Ng

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +301 s
Time: 15:06
Pace: 2:01 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +346 s
Fehler: -45.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 211.9 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:16 (4:27 / km)
Historical basis: 4:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:35 (4:55 / km)
Error: −2:19 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 1:04:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:06 (2:01 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:10 (32.3 km/h)
Run: 22:16 (4:27 / km)
Total: 1:04:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 287.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.