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Elite Women

11.04.2026 CHN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Cup Dexing

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 11.04.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 94/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 76 früheren Rennen und 1573 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 42.4 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 11.04.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 88.2 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 76 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.9
Mean swim error21.6 s
Mean bike-speed error0.94 km/h
Correct bike groups11/17
No history0
Within the 80% range58.8 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Yifan Yang
CHN
+2 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		38:27
38:02
 1:39:59
Show details
Prediction details: Yifan Yang

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 19:56
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: -1.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 15.7 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:27 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:02 (3:48 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:39:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:56 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:01:30 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 38:27 (3:51 / km)
Total: 1:39:59
2 / 4 Mako Hiraizumi
JPN
+38 s
+59 s
G2 / G2
correct 		37:36
37:04
 1:42:05
Show details
Prediction details: Mako Hiraizumi

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 20:32
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -21.5 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:36 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:04 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:42:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:32 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:51 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 37:36 (3:46 / km)
Total: 1:42:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 29.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 10 Xinyi Xu
CHN
+38 s
+57 s
G2 / G2
correct 		37:57
38:59
 1:42:26
Show details
Prediction details: Xinyi Xu

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 1–7
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 20:32
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -18.9 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 6.8 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:57 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:59 (3:54 / km)
Error: −1:02 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:42:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:32 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:51 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 37:57 (3:48 / km)
Total: 1:42:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 30.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 3 Hye Rim Jeong
KOR
+24 s
+64 s
G2 / G2
correct 		38:01
36:38
 1:42:30
Show details
Prediction details: Hye Rim Jeong

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 20:18
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -39.9 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:01 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:38 (3:40 / km)
Error: +1:23 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 1:42:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:18 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:51 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 38:01 (3:48 / km)
Total: 1:42:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 19.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 2 Sarika Nakayama
JPN
+25 s
+7 s
G2 / G1
 38:49
38:41
 1:43:18
Show details
Prediction details: Sarika Nakayama

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 20:19
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 18.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:49 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:41 (3:52 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:43:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:19 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:51 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 38:49 (3:53 / km)
Total: 1:43:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 17.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 9 Miyu Sakai
JPN
+30 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		39:31
38:20
 1:44:00
Show details
Prediction details: Miyu Sakai

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 20:24
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 2.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 39:31 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:20 (3:50 / km)
Error: +1:11 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 1:44:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:24 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:51 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 39:31 (3:57 / km)
Total: 1:44:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 22.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 6 Hye Rang Kim
KOR
+23 s
+24 s
G2 / G2
correct 		40:31
37:09
 1:45:00
Show details
Prediction details: Hye Rang Kim

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 20:17
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -1.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 5.1 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 40:31 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:09 (3:43 / km)
Error: +3:22 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 1:45:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:17 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:51 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 40:31 (4:03 / km)
Total: 1:45:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 14.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 11 Ji Yeon Kim
KOR
+33 s
+58 s
G2 / G2
correct 		41:18
39:05
 1:45:47
Show details
Prediction details: Ji Yeon Kim

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–12
Top-10 probability: 66 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 20:27
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -24.6 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 41:18 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:05 (3:55 / km)
Error: +2:13 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 1:45:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:27 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:51 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 41:18 (4:08 / km)
Total: 1:45:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 25.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 15 Minori Ikeno
JPN
+18 s
+26 s
G2 / G2
correct 		41:23
43:20
 1:45:52
Show details
Prediction details: Minori Ikeno

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 76 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 20:12
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -8.3 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 15.7 s
Gap behind: 5.1 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 41:23 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 85 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 43:20 (4:20 / km)
Error: −1:57 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 1:45:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:12 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:51 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 41:23 (4:08 / km)
Total: 1:45:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 9.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 7 Martina Ayu Pratiwi
INA
+60 s
+97 s
G3 / G3
correct 		40:59
37:17
 1:47:01
Show details
Prediction details: Martina Ayu Pratiwi

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 20:54
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +97 s
Fehler: -37.2 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.6 s
Gap behind: 9.8 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 40:59 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:17 (3:44 / km)
Error: +3:42 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 1:47:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:54 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:02 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 40:59 (4:06 / km)
Total: 1:47:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 51.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 12 Himeka Sato
JPN
+45 s
+56 s
G3 / G2
 41:13
40:43
 1:47:15
Show details
Prediction details: Himeka Sato

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 45 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 20:39
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: -11.1 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.8 s
Gap behind: 8.3 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 41:13 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:43 (4:04 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:47:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:39 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:02 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 41:13 (4:07 / km)
Total: 1:47:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 37 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 14 Alina Khakimova
UZB
+120 s
+169 s
G4 / G4
correct 		39:26
37:19
 1:48:15
Show details
Prediction details: Alina Khakimova

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +120 s
Time: 21:54
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +169 s
Fehler: -48.9 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.96 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 50.5 s
Gap behind: 12.6 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 39:26 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:19 (3:44 / km)
Error: +2:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 1:48:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 21:54 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:06:49 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 39:26 (3:57 / km)
Total: 1:48:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 112.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 8 Ziye Liu
CHN
+70 s
+61 s
G4 / G2
 39:48
37:59
 1:48:37
Show details
Prediction details: Ziye Liu

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 6–13
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 21:04
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: 8.6 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.8 s
Gap behind: 50.5 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 39:48 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:59 (3:48 / km)
Error: +1:49 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 1:48:37
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 21:04 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:06:49 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 39:48 (3:59 / km)
Total: 1:48:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 61.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 13 Gihyeon Nam
KOR
+53 s
+60 s
G3 / G2
 46:46
41:25
 1:52:48
Show details
Prediction details: Gihyeon Nam

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 14–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 20:47
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -6.8 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.3 s
Gap behind: 6.6 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 46:46 (4:41 / km)
Historical basis: 4:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:25 (4:09 / km)
Error: +5:21 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 1:52:48
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:47 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:02 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 46:46 (4:41 / km)
Total: 1:52:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 45.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 16 Menghan Hao
CHN
+28 s
+23 s
G2 / G2
correct 		49:10
48:21
 1:53:39
Show details
Prediction details: Menghan Hao

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 15–17
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 20:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 4.7 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 49:10 (4:55 / km)
Historical basis: 5:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:44 / km
Trend: −0:06 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 48:21 (4:50 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:53:39
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:51 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 49:10 (4:55 / km)
Total: 1:53:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 19.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 5 Kaiye Mai
CHN
+142 s
+66 s
G5 / G2
 41:47
37:16
 1:54:04
Show details
Prediction details: Kaiye Mai

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 13–16
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +142 s
Time: 22:16
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: 75.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.2 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (13 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 41:47 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:16 (3:44 / km)
Error: +4:31 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 1:54:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 22:16 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:55 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 41:47 (4:11 / km)
Total: 1:54:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 134 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 17 Taeyoung Kim
KOR
+133 s
+171 s
G5 / G4
 43:05
44:00
 1:55:22
Show details
Prediction details: Taeyoung Kim

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 15–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +133 s
Time: 22:07
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +171 s
Fehler: -38.3 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.6 s
Gap behind: 9.2 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 43:05 (4:19 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 44:00 (4:24 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:55:22
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 22:07 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:55 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 43:05 (4:19 / km)
Total: 1:55:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 124.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.