Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Elite Women

16.05.2026 Tam Chuc Pagoda VIE
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Cup Tam Chuc

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 90/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 72 früheren Rennen und 1324 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 39.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 5 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 80.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 96.7 % · 72 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.6
Mean swim error16.9 s
Mean bike-speed error2.29 km/h
Correct bike groups10/29
No history1
Within the 80% range63.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Ayame Hayashi
JPN
+19 s
+20 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:43
17:55
 48:37
Show details
Prediction details: Ayame Hayashi

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:24 (39.4 km/h)
Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:37
2 / 3 Hollie Elliott
IRL
+19 s
+23 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:58
18:40
 48:52
Show details
Prediction details: Hollie Elliott

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.73 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:24 (39.4 km/h)
Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:52
3 / 4 Margot Garabedian
CAM
+28 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:05
18:47
 48:59
Show details
Prediction details: Margot Garabedian

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 20.1 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:24 (39.4 km/h)
Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Total: 48:59
4 / 8 Hinaka Masuda
JPN
+30 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:51
19:46
 49:45
Show details
Prediction details: Hinaka Masuda

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 12.1 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 49:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:18 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:24 (39.4 km/h)
Run: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Total: 49:45
5 / 6 Isla Watson
AUS
+26 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:56
19:15
 49:50
Show details
Prediction details: Isla Watson

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 10.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:24 (39.4 km/h)
Run: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Total: 49:50
6 / 2 Briana Mow
AUS
+51 s
+45 s
G2 / G1
 17:48
18:38
 50:14
Show details
Prediction details: Briana Mow

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 2–17
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 1.23 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 50:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Total: 50:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 16.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 11 Gabrielle Lemes
BRA
+60 s
+73 s
G2 / G3
 18:17
18:57
 50:43
Show details
Prediction details: Gabrielle Lemes

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–17
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: -12.6 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 4.9 s
Result: Group 3 (7 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 50:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:48 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Total: 50:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
8 / 10 Saki Yanagihara
JPN
+9 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:52
20:49
 50:46
Show details
Prediction details: Saki Yanagihara

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 50 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 10.0 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:49 (4:10 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 50:46
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:24 (39.4 km/h)
Run: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Total: 50:46
9 / 7 Kanade Sugiura
JPN
+42 s
+33 s
G2 / G1
 18:25
19:24
 50:51
Show details
Prediction details: Kanade Sugiura

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 4–15
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 9.1 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:24 (3:53 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 50:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Total: 50:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 7.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 19 Herlene Natasha Yu
SGP
+20 s
+39 s
G1 / G2
 20:13
22:51
 51:07
Show details
Prediction details: Herlene Natasha Yu

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 10–16
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -18.8 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:13 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:51 (4:34 / km)
Error: −2:38 / −0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 51:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:24 (39.4 km/h)
Run: 20:13 (4:03 / km)
Total: 51:07
11 / 9 Yuki Sugihara
JPN
+43 s
+23 s
G2 / G1
 18:43
20:08
 51:09
Show details
Prediction details: Yuki Sugihara

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 6–14
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 10:31
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 19.7 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 51:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:31 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Total: 51:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 7.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 5 Sofiya Pryyma
UKR
+65 s
+48 s
G3 / G1
 17:55
19:05
 51:31
Show details
Prediction details: Sofiya Pryyma

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 5–15
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 10:53
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 17.3 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Error: −1:10 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 51:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:53 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:26 (37.0 km/h)
Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Total: 51:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 30.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 14 Ikumi Seto
JPN
+70 s
+76 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:04
19:35
 51:40
Show details
Prediction details: Ikumi Seto

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 8–18
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:58
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: -6.4 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 7.4 s
Result: Group 3 (7 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Error: −1:31 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 51:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:58 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:26 (37.0 km/h)
Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Total: 51:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 34.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 12 Jamie Harker
CAN
+24 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		20:54
21:26
 51:48
Show details
Prediction details: Jamie Harker

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–18
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 20.3 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:54 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 92 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:26 (4:17 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 51:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:24 (39.4 km/h)
Run: 20:54 (4:11 / km)
Total: 51:48
15 / 13 Yen Ling Kathlyn Yeo
SGP
+47 s
+41 s
G2 / G1
 19:30
21:26
 51:56
Show details
Prediction details: Yen Ling Kathlyn Yeo

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 8–19
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 87 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:26 (4:17 / km)
Error: −1:56 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 51:56
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Total: 51:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 12.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 15 Yeonu Choi
KOR
+58 s
+55 s
G2 / G3
 20:00
20:06
 52:26
Show details
Prediction details: Yeonu Choi

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 2.9 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 3 (7 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:00 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 52:26
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:46 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 20:00 (4:00 / km)
Total: 52:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 23 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 20 Solji Om
KOR
+56 s
+80 s
G2 / G3
 20:09
21:51
 52:35
Show details
Prediction details: Solji Om

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 13–21
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +80 s
Fehler: -24.3 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.3 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 3 (7 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:09 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:51 (4:22 / km)
Error: −1:42 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 52:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:44 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 20:09 (4:02 / km)
Total: 52:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 20.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 17 Saya Aoyama
JPN
+47 s
+42 s
G2 / G4
 20:25
20:43
 52:51
Show details
Prediction details: Saya Aoyama

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 14–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 4.5 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:43 (4:09 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 52:51
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Total: 52:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 11.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 16 Long Hoi
MAC
+69 s
+71 s
G3 / G3
correct 		19:43
20:22
 53:19
Show details
Prediction details: Long Hoi

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 13–21
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 10:57
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: -2.5 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (7 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:22 (4:04 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 53:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:57 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:26 (37.0 km/h)
Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Total: 53:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 33.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 28 Khanh Ly Trinh
VIE
+48 s
+139 s
G2 / G7
 21:02
24:03
 53:28
Show details
Prediction details: Khanh Ly Trinh

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 17–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:36
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +139 s
Fehler: -91.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 31.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:02 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.39 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:03 (4:49 / km)
Error: −3:01 / −0:36 / km
Overall prediction: 53:28
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:36 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 21:02 (4:12 / km)
Total: 53:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 10.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 29 Thi Thanh Thao Do
VIE
+68 s
+119 s
G3 / G7
 21:10
24:59
 54:46
Show details
Prediction details: Thi Thanh Thao Do

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 22–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 10:56
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +119 s
Fehler: -50.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:10 (4:14 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:59 (5:00 / km)
Error: −3:49 / −0:46 / km
Overall prediction: 54:46
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:56 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:26 (37.0 km/h)
Run: 21:10 (4:14 / km)
Total: 54:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 33.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 22 Sara Joy Hong Mae Chen
MAS
+51 s
+77 s
G2 / G3
 23:03
22:53
 55:29
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Joy Hong Mae Chen

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 19–25
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: -25.6 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 4.3 s
Result: Group 3 (7 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:03 (4:37 / km)
Historical basis: 4:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:53 (4:35 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 55:29
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 23:03 (4:37 / km)
Total: 55:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 16.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 18 Wan U Cheng
MAC
+77 s
+78 s
G4 / G3
 20:38
21:29
 56:00
Show details
Prediction details: Wan U Cheng

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 20–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 11:05
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +78 s
Fehler: -1.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.4 s
Gap behind: 8.0 s
Result: Group 3 (7 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:38 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:09 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 55 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:29 (4:18 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 56:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:05 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:05 (35.2 km/h)
Run: 20:38 (4:08 / km)
Total: 56:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 42.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 21 Samantha Corpuz
PHI
+85 s
+83 s
G5 / G4
 20:55
22:21
 57:26
Show details
Prediction details: Samantha Corpuz

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 22–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 11:13
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.0 s
Gap behind: 32.0 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:55 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:21 (4:28 / km)
Error: −1:26 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 57:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:13 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:06 (34.2 km/h)
Run: 20:55 (4:11 / km)
Total: 57:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 50.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 25 Mikele Katerina Jopson
PHI
+117 s
+140 s
G7 / G6
 20:23
22:16
 59:03
Show details
Prediction details: Mikele Katerina Jopson

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 25–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +117 s
Time: 11:45
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +140 s
Fehler: -23.0 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 32.0 s
Gap behind: 10.9 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:23 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 92 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:16 (4:27 / km)
Error: −1:53 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 59:03
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:45 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:43 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 20:23 (4:05 / km)
Total: 59:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 82.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 23 Thi Kim Cuong Nguyen
VIE
+136 s
+158 s
G6 / G5
 22:00
21:04
 1:00:32
Show details
Prediction details: Thi Kim Cuong Nguyen

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +136 s
Time: 12:04
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +158 s
Fehler: -22.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.1 s
Gap behind: 37.3 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:00 (4:24 / km)
Historical basis: 4:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:04 (4:13 / km)
Error: +0:56 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:32
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 12:04 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:16 (33.0 km/h)
Run: 22:00 (4:24 / km)
Total: 1:00:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 101.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 27 Dhana Victoria Seda Lomboy
PHI
+173 s
+141 s
G8 / G5
 22:04
23:34
 1:02:04
Show details
Prediction details: Dhana Victoria Seda Lomboy

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +173 s
Time: 12:41
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +141 s
Fehler: 32.3 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -1.08 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 37.3 s
Gap behind: 142.8 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:04 (4:25 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 76 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:34 (4:43 / km)
Error: −1:30 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:04
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:41 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:07 (32.3 km/h)
Run: 22:04 (4:25 / km)
Total: 1:02:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 138.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 30 Un Ian Ng
MAC
+316 s
+316 s
G9 / G9
correct 		24:06
24:49
 1:05:17
Show details
Prediction details: Un Ian Ng

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +316 s
Time: 15:04
Pace: 2:01 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +316 s
Fehler: 0.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 142.8 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 30.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:06 (4:49 / km)
Historical basis: 4:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:26 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:49 (4:58 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 1:05:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:04 (2:01 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:54 (33.4 km/h)
Run: 24:06 (4:49 / km)
Total: 1:05:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 281.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 24 Tra My Nguyen Thi
VIE
+128 s
+158 s
G6 / G5
22:42
Show details
Prediction details: Tra My Nguyen Thi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +128 s
Time: 11:56
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +158 s
Fehler: -30.1 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.90 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.9 s
Gap behind: 8.1 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:42 (4:32 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:56 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:16 (33.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 93 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 26 Thi Hong Hanh Nguyen
VIE
+0 s
+308 s
G0 / G8
20:48
Show details
Prediction details: Thi Hong Hanh Nguyen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +308 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:48 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.