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Junior Men

13.06.2026 Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman (UTAR) MAS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Junior Cup Kampar

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 81/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 56 früheren Rennen und 1651 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 49.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 13.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 61.9 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 95.2 % · 56 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.2
Mean swim error16.6 s
Mean bike-speed error1.69 km/h
Correct bike groups0/21
No history0
Within the 80% range19.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 10 Azizillo Kuchkarov
UZB
+13 s
+27 s
G1 / G2
 18:34
20:35
 50:48
Show details
Prediction details: Azizillo Kuchkarov

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -14.3 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 10.3 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.75 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Error: −2:01 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 50:48
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Total: 50:48
2 / 4 Telheiba Soram
IND
+116 s
+81 s
G5 / G2
 16:58
18:22
 51:26
Show details
Prediction details: Telheiba Soram

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +116 s
Time: 11:48
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +81 s
Fehler: 34.5 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.0 s
Gap behind: 32.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Error: −1:24 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 51:26
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:48 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Total: 51:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 99.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 20 Makar Pinimasov
RUS
+48 s
+82 s
G4 / G3
 17:05
23:51
 51:28
Show details
Prediction details: Makar Pinimasov

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -33.9 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.73 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 1.74 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:51 (4:46 / km)
Error: −6:46 / −1:21 / km
Overall prediction: 51:28
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:40 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 51:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 32.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 1 Keannan Fathir Arrashy Rolland
INA
+23 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 18:32
18:28
 51:36
Show details
Prediction details: Keannan Fathir Arrashy Rolland

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 23.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 10.3 s
Gap behind: 14.5 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 51:36
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:41 (36.7 km/h)
Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Total: 51:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 7.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 15 Mikhail Kiselev
RUS
+49 s
+83 s
G4 / G3
 18:11
20:30
 52:34
Show details
Prediction details: Mikhail Kiselev

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: -33.9 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 12.7 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 2.38 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:30 (4:06 / km)
Error: −2:19 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 52:34
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:41 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Total: 52:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 33.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 2 Darell Bada
PHI
+85 s
+83 s
G5 / G2
 18:18
17:19
 52:46
Show details
Prediction details: Darell Bada

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 11:17
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 2.3 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 93 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 87 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:59 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 52:46
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:17 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Total: 52:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 69.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 3 Feher Moussa
KSA
+64 s
+89 s
G4 / G2
 18:26
17:18
 52:49
Show details
Prediction details: Feher Moussa

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 10:56
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +89 s
Fehler: -24.8 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 1.01 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: +1:08 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 52:49
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:56 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 52:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 48.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 5 Peter Sancho Del Rosario
PHI
+77 s
+66 s
G5 / G2
 18:32
18:30
 53:00
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Sancho Del Rosario

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 11:09
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: 11.1 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.1 s
Gap behind: 8.2 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 53:00
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:09 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Total: 53:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 61.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 11 Euan Arrow Ramos
PHI
+66 s
+78 s
G4 / G2
 19:06
21:28
 53:29
Show details
Prediction details: Euan Arrow Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–13
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:58
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +78 s
Fehler: -11.9 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 4.9 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:28 (4:18 / km)
Error: −2:22 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 53:29
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:58 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Total: 53:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 50.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 12 Mukhammadyusuf Abdukhalilov
UZB
+41 s
+78 s
G3 / G2
 19:55
21:32
 54:04
Show details
Prediction details: Mukhammadyusuf Abdukhalilov

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–13
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +78 s
Fehler: -37.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 7.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:55 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:32 (4:18 / km)
Error: −1:37 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 54:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:28 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 19:55 (3:59 / km)
Total: 54:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 25.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 17 Salamatov Adamkhan
KGZ
+88 s
+86 s
G5 / G3
 19:40
21:21
 54:08
Show details
Prediction details: Salamatov Adamkhan

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 11:20
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -1.16 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:21 (4:16 / km)
Error: −1:41 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 54:08
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:20 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Total: 54:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 72.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 6 Han Yang Ng
MAS
+62 s
+82 s
G4 / G2
 19:57
18:39
 54:20
Show details
Prediction details: Han Yang Ng

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 10:54
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -20.2 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.7 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 54:20
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:54 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Total: 54:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 46.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 21 Atai Almazovich Kymbatov
KGZ
+38 s
+80 s
G3 / G5
 20:30
23:03
 54:39
Show details
Prediction details: Atai Almazovich Kymbatov

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 12–15
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +80 s
Fehler: -42.5 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.5 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:30 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:03 (4:37 / km)
Error: −2:33 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 54:39
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:28 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 20:30 (4:06 / km)
Total: 54:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 21.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 8 David Plete Mora
PHI
+90 s
+70 s
G5 / G2
 20:20
20:08
 54:48
Show details
Prediction details: David Plete Mora

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 14–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +90 s
Time: 11:22
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 20.2 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -1.28 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 54:48
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:22 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Total: 54:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 74.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 13 Ilim Sadykov
KGZ
+93 s
+97 s
G5 / G3
 21:13
19:15
 55:41
Show details
Prediction details: Ilim Sadykov

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 15–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 11:25
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +97 s
Fehler: -3.6 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.89 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:13 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Error: +1:58 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 55:41
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:25 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 21:13 (4:15 / km)
Total: 55:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 77.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 18 Hou Lam Wong
MAC
+88 s
+88 s
G5 / G4
 22:25
21:53
 56:53
Show details
Prediction details: Hou Lam Wong

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 17–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 11:20
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +88 s
Fehler: 0.2 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.74 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:25 (4:29 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:53 (4:23 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 56:53
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:20 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 22:25 (4:29 / km)
Total: 56:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 72.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 9 Pattarapoom Onsuwan
THA
+97 s
+83 s
G5 / G2
 23:11
20:17
 57:39
Show details
Prediction details: Pattarapoom Onsuwan

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 17–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +97 s
Time: 11:29
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 13.5 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.11 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 19.0 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:11 (4:38 / km)
Historical basis: 4:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.06 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:17 (4:03 / km)
Error: +2:54 / +0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 57:39
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:29 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 23:11 (4:38 / km)
Total: 57:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 80.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 14 Ju Quan Thye
MAS
+86 s
+85 s
G5 / G2
 23:18
22:37
 57:46
Show details
Prediction details: Ju Quan Thye

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 18–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +86 s
Time: 11:18
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +85 s
Fehler: 0.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.62 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:18 (4:40 / km)
Historical basis: 4:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:37 (4:31 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 57:46
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:18 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 23:18 (4:40 / km)
Total: 57:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 69.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 16 Zhi Xiang Ooi
MAS
+160 s
+146 s
G6 / G4
 18:56
19:22
 59:24
Show details
Prediction details: Zhi Xiang Ooi

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 19–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +160 s
Time: 12:32
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +146 s
Fehler: 14.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.4 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.89 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:22 (3:52 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 59:24
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:32 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:48 (31.6 km/h)
Run: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Total: 59:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 144.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 19 Jun Han Goh
MAS
+148 s
+144 s
G6 / G4
 26:00
22:25
 1:06:28
Show details
Prediction details: Jun Han Goh

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +148 s
Time: 12:20
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +144 s
Fehler: 3.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.62 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 32.1 s
Gap behind: 12.4 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:00 (5:12 / km)
Historical basis: 5:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:25 (4:29 / km)
Error: +3:35 / +0:43 / km
Overall prediction: 1:06:28
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:20 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:48 (31.6 km/h)
Run: 26:00 (5:12 / km)
Total: 1:06:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 132 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 7 Mark Knabe
CZE
+71 s
+73 s
G5 / G2
19:11
Show details
Prediction details: Mark Knabe

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 11:03
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: -2.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 6.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:03 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (36.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 55.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.