Prediction comparison
Final Junior Men
08.02.2026
Kompleks Sukan Air Putrajaya Presint 6
MAS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Junior Cup Putrajaya
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 08.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Prediction model used
Modell v15
Default values
Prediction quality
70/100
mittel
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s
Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s
Gruppeneffekt 0.65
Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h
Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.3
Mean swim error3.9 s
Mean bike-speed error3.11 km/h
Correct bike groups18/30
No history0
Within the 80% range73.3 %
| Details | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 1 |
CHN
|
+25 s
+24 s
|
G2 / G1
|
8:11
8:10
|
24:36 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 1–9
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 4:12
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 0.9 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
47 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.12 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.7 s
Gap behind:
0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.86 km/h
Running and totalRun: 8:11 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
47 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.25 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:10 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 24:36
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
4:12
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:48
(38.0 km/h)
Run:
8:11
(3:16 / km)
Total:
24:36
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:06
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 6.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 2 / 2 |
INA
|
+2 s
+0 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
8:38
8:37
|
24:38 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 2
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 3:49
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
60 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.10 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.79 km/h
Running and totalRun: 8:38 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
60 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.26 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:37 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 24:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
3:49
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
8:38
(3:27 / km)
Total:
24:38
|
| 3 / 3 |
HKG
|
+17 s
+11 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
8:47
8:46
|
24:47 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 3
80% range: 1–16
Top-10 probability: 68 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 4:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
78 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.43 km/h
Running and totalRun: 8:47 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
78 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.27 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:46 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 24:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:04
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
8:47
(3:31 / km)
Total:
24:47
|
| 4 / 6 |
INA
|
+6 s
+1 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
8:54
8:54
|
24:54 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 4
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 3:53
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 5.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
49 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.83 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.2 s
Gap behind:
2.6 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.75 km/h
Running and totalRun: 8:54 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
49 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.02 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:54 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 24:54
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
3:53
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
8:54
(3:34 / km)
Total:
24:54
|
| 5 / 5 |
HKG
|
+12 s
+11 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
8:55
8:52
|
24:55 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 5
80% range: 3–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 3:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
75 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
3.0 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.36 km/h
Running and totalRun: 8:55 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
75 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:52 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 24:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
3:59
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
8:55
(3:34 / km)
Total:
24:55
|
| 6 / 4 |
INA
|
+17 s
+14 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
9:00
8:59
|
25:00 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 6
80% range: 3–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 4:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
68 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.08 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.3 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.29 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:00 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
68 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.14 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:00
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:04
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
9:00
(3:36 / km)
Total:
25:00
|
| 7 / 7 |
INA
|
+9 s
+10 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
9:08
9:08
|
25:08 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 7
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 3:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: -1.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
50 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.16 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.6 s
Gap behind:
2.8 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.40 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:08 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
50 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.08 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:08 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:08
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
3:56
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
9:08
(3:39 / km)
Total:
25:08
|
| 8 / 8 |
HKG
|
+2 s
+2 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
9:14
9:12
|
25:14 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 8
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 3:49
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
74 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.79 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:14 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
74 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.31 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:12 (3:41 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 25:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
3:49
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
9:14
(3:41 / km)
Total:
25:14
|
| 9 / 13 |
HKG
|
+16 s
+17 s
|
G1 / G2
|
9:24
9:23
|
25:24 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 9
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: -1.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.09 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.7 s
Gap behind:
1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.63 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:24 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.14 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:23 (3:45 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:24
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
4:03
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
9:24
(3:46 / km)
Total:
25:24
|
| 10 / 11 |
HKG
|
+15 s
+14 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
9:38
9:37
|
25:38 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 10
80% range: 4–17
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 4:02
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
66 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.02 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.0 s
Gap behind:
0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.40 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:38 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
66 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.26 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:37 (3:51 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 25:38
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:02
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
9:38
(3:51 / km)
Total:
25:38
|
| 11 / 12 |
INA
|
+28 s
+35 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
9:16
9:15
|
25:41 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 11
80% range: 6–20
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 4:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -7.1 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
50 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.16 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.3 s
Gap behind:
3.8 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.91 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:16 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
50 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.24 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:15 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 25:41
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
4:15
(1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:48
(38.0 km/h)
Run:
9:16
(3:43 / km)
Total:
25:41
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 12 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 12 / 9 |
HKG
|
+12 s
+6 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
9:41
9:31
|
25:41 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 12
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 3:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 5.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
76 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.33 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.8 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.68 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:41 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
76 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.03 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:31 (3:48 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 25:41
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
3:59
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
9:41
(3:52 / km)
Total:
25:41
|
| 13 / 18 |
HKG
|
+4 s
+12 s
|
G1 / G2
|
9:52
9:51
|
25:52 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 13
80% range: 9–14
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 3:51
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
42 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.39 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.0 s
Gap behind:
2.2 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.79 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:52 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
42 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.18 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:51 (3:56 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:52
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
3:51
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
9:52
(3:57 / km)
Total:
25:52
|
| 14 / 14 |
HKG
|
+32 s
+32 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
9:28
9:28
|
25:53 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 14
80% range: 12–19
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 4:19
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
73 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.05 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.8 s
Gap behind:
2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.94 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:28 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
73 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.05 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:28 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:53
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:19
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:48
(38.0 km/h)
Run:
9:28
(3:47 / km)
Total:
25:53
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 15.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 15 / 10 |
PHI
|
+26 s
+17 s
|
G2 / G1
|
9:34
9:34
|
25:59 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 15
80% range: 11–18
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 4:13
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 8.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
67 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.45 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.7 s
Gap behind:
2.3 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.15 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:34 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
67 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.08 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:34 (3:50 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:59
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:13
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:48
(38.0 km/h)
Run:
9:34
(3:49 / km)
Total:
25:59
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 9.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 16 / 16 |
PHI
|
+34 s
+35 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
9:39
9:40
|
26:04 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 16
80% range: 12–21
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 4:21
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -0.9 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
69 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.20 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.4 s
Gap behind:
0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.84 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:39 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
69 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.09 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:40 (3:52 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 26:04
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:21
(1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:48
(38.0 km/h)
Run:
9:39
(3:52 / km)
Total:
26:04
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 18.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 17 / 19 |
HKG
|
+34 s
+35 s
|
G2 / G3
|
9:44
9:43
|
26:09 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 17
80% range: 15–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 4:21
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.19 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.3 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.82 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:44 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.11 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:43 (3:53 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 26:09
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
4:21
(1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:48
(38.0 km/h)
Run:
9:44
(3:53 / km)
Total:
26:09
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 18.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 18 / 15 |
MAS
|
+36 s
+37 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
9:45
9:45
|
26:10 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 18
80% range: 15–23
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 4:23
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
61 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.05 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.78 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:45 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
61 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.04 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:45 (3:54 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 26:10
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:23
(1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:48
(38.0 km/h)
Run:
9:45
(3:54 / km)
Total:
26:10
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 20.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 19 / 20 |
IND
|
+35 s
+36 s
|
G2 / G3
|
10:04
10:03
|
26:29 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 19
80% range: 18–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 4:22
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
42 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.05 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.79 km/h
Running and totalRun: 10:04 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
42 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.15 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:03 (4:01 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 26:29
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
4:22
(1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:48
(38.0 km/h)
Run:
10:04
(4:02 / km)
Total:
26:29
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 19.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 20 / 22 |
PHI
|
+18 s
+19 s
|
G1 / G3
|
11:02
10:08
|
27:02 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 20
80% range: 15–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
55 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.05 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
4.8 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.30 km/h
Running and totalRun: 11:02 (4:25 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
55 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.29 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:08 (4:03 / km)
Error: +0:54 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 27:02
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
4:05
(1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:42
(38.1 km/h)
Run:
11:02
(4:25 / km)
Total:
27:02
|
| 21 / 26 |
HKG
|
+23 s
+33 s
|
G2 / G3
|
11:06
11:12
|
27:31 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 21
80% range: 16–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -9.8 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
42 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.32 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
4.8 s
Gap behind:
1.7 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.91 km/h
Running and totalRun: 11:06 (4:26 / km)
Historical basis: 4:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
42 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.13 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:12 (4:29 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 27:31
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
4:10
(1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:48
(38.0 km/h)
Run:
11:06
(4:26 / km)
Total:
27:31
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 7.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 22 / 24 |
MAS
|
+56 s
+56 s
|
G4 / G4
correct
|
9:09
9:10
|
27:43 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 22
80% range: 18–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 4:43
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
47 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.01 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.8 s
Gap behind:
6.7 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.73 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:09 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
47 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.15 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:10 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 27:43
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:43
(1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
17:38
(34.0 km/h)
Run:
9:09
(3:40 / km)
Total:
27:43
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 40.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 23 / 17 |
KSA
|
+40 s
+54 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
9:19
9:19
|
27:51 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 23
80% range: 12–23
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 4:27
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -13.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
52 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.55 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.1 s
Gap behind:
7.6 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.08 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:19 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
52 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.04 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:19 (3:44 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 27:51
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
4:27
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
17:52
(33.6 km/h)
Run:
9:19
(3:44 / km)
Total:
27:51
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 24.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 24 / 27 |
SGP
|
+53 s
+55 s
|
G4 / G4
correct
|
9:47
9:53
|
28:21 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 24
80% range: 23–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 4:40
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -2.4 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
56 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.2 s
Gap behind:
2.6 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 31.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:47 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
56 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.14 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:53 (3:57 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 28:21
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:40
(1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
17:38
(34.0 km/h)
Run:
9:47
(3:55 / km)
Total:
28:21
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 36.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 25 / 21 |
MAS
|
+49 s
+50 s
|
G4 / G3
|
10:00
9:59
|
28:34 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 25
80% range: 22–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 4:36
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
46 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.01 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.5 s
Gap behind:
3.2 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.77 km/h
Running and totalRun: 10:00 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
46 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.09 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:59 (4:00 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:34
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
4:36
(1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
17:38
(34.0 km/h)
Run:
10:00
(4:00 / km)
Total:
28:34
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 33.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 26 / 30 |
HKG
|
+48 s
+38 s
|
G4 / G5
|
10:13
10:08
|
28:47 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 26
80% range: 20–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 4:35
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 9.9 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
64 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.14 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
7.6 s
Gap behind:
1.5 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 24.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.50 km/h
Running and totalRun: 10:13 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
64 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:08 (4:03 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 28:47
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:35
(1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
17:38
(34.0 km/h)
Run:
10:13
(4:05 / km)
Total:
28:47
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 32 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 27 / 28 |
HKG
|
+39 s
+53 s
|
G3 / G4
|
10:26
10:26
|
28:58 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 27
80% range: 21–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 4:26
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -13.8 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
42 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.47 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.8 s
Gap behind:
1.1 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.43 km/h
Running and totalRun: 10:26 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
42 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.07 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:26 (4:10 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:58
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
4:26
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
17:52
(33.6 km/h)
Run:
10:26
(4:10 / km)
Total:
28:58
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 23.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 28 / 29 |
QAT
|
+55 s
+54 s
|
G4 / G4
correct
|
10:44
10:51
|
29:18 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 28
80% range: 28–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 4:42
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
61 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.18 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.6 s
Gap behind:
0.8 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.73 km/h
Running and totalRun: 10:44 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
61 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.12 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:51 (4:20 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 29:18
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:42
(1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
17:38
(34.0 km/h)
Run:
10:44
(4:18 / km)
Total:
29:18
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 39.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 29 / 25 |
HKG
|
+38 s
+39 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
11:00
11:01
|
29:32 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 29
80% range: 23–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 4:25
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.18 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.0 s
Gap behind:
0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.48 km/h
Running and totalRun: 11:00 (4:24 / km)
Historical basis: 4:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.19 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:01 (4:24 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 29:32
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
4:25
(1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
17:52
(33.6 km/h)
Run:
11:00
(4:24 / km)
Total:
29:32
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 22.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 30 / 23 |
QAT
|
+63 s
+54 s
|
G5 / G3
|
10:39
10:27
|
29:38 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 30
80% range: 28–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 4:50
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 8.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
46 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.34 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
6.7 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.08 km/h
Running and totalRun: 10:39 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
46 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.21 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:27 (4:11 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 29:38
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:50
(1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
17:57
(33.4 km/h)
Run:
10:39
(4:15 / km)
Total:
29:38
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 46.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|