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Prediction comparison

Final Junior Men

08.02.2026 Kompleks Sukan Air Putrajaya Presint 6 MAS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Junior Cup Putrajaya

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 08.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 70/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.3
Mean swim error3.9 s
Mean bike-speed error3.11 km/h
Correct bike groups18/30
No history0
Within the 80% range73.3 %
Details
1 / 1 Yansong Li
CHN
+25 s
+24 s
G2 / G1
8:11
8:10
24:36
Show details
Prediction details: Yansong Li

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–9
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 4:12
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 0.9 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:11 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 8:10 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 24:36
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 4:12 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:48 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 8:11 (3:16 / km)
Total: 24:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:06
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 6.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 2 Hauqalah Fakhal Arvyello
INA
+2 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct
8:38
8:37
24:38
Show details
Prediction details: Hauqalah Fakhal Arvyello

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 3:49
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:38 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 8:37 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 24:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:49 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 8:38 (3:27 / km)
Total: 24:38
3 / 3 Lok Shi Lam
HKG
+17 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct
8:47
8:46
24:47
Show details
Prediction details: Lok Shi Lam

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 1–16
Top-10 probability: 68 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 4:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:47 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 8:46 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 24:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 8:47 (3:31 / km)
Total: 24:47
4 / 6 Al Kautsar
INA
+6 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct
8:54
8:54
24:54
Show details
Prediction details: Al Kautsar

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 3:53
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 5.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.83 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:54 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 8:54 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 24:54
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 3:53 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 8:54 (3:34 / km)
Total: 24:54
5 / 5 Pak Yiu Anson Wong
HKG
+12 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct
8:55
8:52
24:55
Show details
Prediction details: Pak Yiu Anson Wong

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 3:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:55 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 8:52 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 24:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 8:55 (3:34 / km)
Total: 24:55
6 / 4 Wahyu Tri Utomo Sembiring
INA
+17 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct
9:00
8:59
25:00
Show details
Prediction details: Wahyu Tri Utomo Sembiring

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 4:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:00 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 8:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:00
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 9:00 (3:36 / km)
Total: 25:00
7 / 7 Keannan Fathir Arrashy Rolland
INA
+9 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct
9:08
9:08
25:08
Show details
Prediction details: Keannan Fathir Arrashy Rolland

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 3:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: -1.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:08 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:08 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:08
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 3:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 9:08 (3:39 / km)
Total: 25:08
8 / 8 Pu Chak Yung
HKG
+2 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct
9:14
9:12
25:14
Show details
Prediction details: Pu Chak Yung

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 3:49
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:14 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:12 (3:41 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 25:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:49 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 9:14 (3:41 / km)
Total: 25:14
9 / 13 Hoi Fan Ma
HKG
+16 s
+17 s
G1 / G2
9:24
9:23
25:24
Show details
Prediction details: Hoi Fan Ma

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: -1.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s

Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:24 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:23 (3:45 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:24
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 4:03 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 9:24 (3:46 / km)
Total: 25:24
10 / 11 Chun Hei Wong
HKG
+15 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct
9:38
9:37
25:38
Show details
Prediction details: Chun Hei Wong

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 4–17
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 4:02
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:38 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:37 (3:51 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 25:38
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:02 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 9:38 (3:51 / km)
Total: 25:38
11 / 12 Leader Matthew Wisanggeni
INA
+28 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct
9:16
9:15
25:41
Show details
Prediction details: Leader Matthew Wisanggeni

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 6–20
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 4:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -7.1 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s

Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:16 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:15 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 25:41
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:15 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:48 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 9:16 (3:43 / km)
Total: 25:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 12 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 9 Auscar Tsang
HKG
+12 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct
9:41
9:31
25:41
Show details
Prediction details: Auscar Tsang

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 3:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 5.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:41 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:31 (3:48 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 25:41
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 9:41 (3:52 / km)
Total: 25:41
13 / 18 Yin Hang Chan
HKG
+4 s
+12 s
G1 / G2
9:52
9:51
25:52
Show details
Prediction details: Yin Hang Chan

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 9–14
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 3:51
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s

Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:52 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:51 (3:56 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:52
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 3:51 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 9:52 (3:57 / km)
Total: 25:52
14 / 14 Yan Tao Shum
HKG
+32 s
+32 s
G2 / G2
correct
9:28
9:28
25:53
Show details
Prediction details: Yan Tao Shum

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–19
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 4:19
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s

Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:28 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:28 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:53
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:19 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:48 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 9:28 (3:47 / km)
Total: 25:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 15.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 10 Euan Arrow Ramos
PHI
+26 s
+17 s
G2 / G1
9:34
9:34
25:59
Show details
Prediction details: Euan Arrow Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 11–18
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 4:13
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 8.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:34 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:34 (3:50 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:59
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:13 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:48 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 9:34 (3:49 / km)
Total: 25:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 9.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 16 Peter Sancho Del Rosario
PHI
+34 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct
9:39
9:40
26:04
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Sancho Del Rosario

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 12–21
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 4:21
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -0.9 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:39 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:40 (3:52 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 26:04
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:21 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:48 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 9:39 (3:52 / km)
Total: 26:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 18.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 19 Jasper Ho
HKG
+34 s
+35 s
G2 / G3
9:44
9:43
26:09
Show details
Prediction details: Jasper Ho

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 15–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 4:21
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:44 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:43 (3:53 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 26:09
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 4:21 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:48 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 9:44 (3:53 / km)
Total: 26:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 18.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 15 Ee Hann Kan
MAS
+36 s
+37 s
G2 / G2
correct
9:45
9:45
26:10
Show details
Prediction details: Ee Hann Kan

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 15–23
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 4:23
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s

Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:45 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:45 (3:54 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 26:10
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:23 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:48 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 9:45 (3:54 / km)
Total: 26:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 20.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 20 Aman Chahar
IND
+35 s
+36 s
G2 / G3
10:04
10:03
26:29
Show details
Prediction details: Aman Chahar

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 18–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 4:22
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:04 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:03 (4:01 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 26:29
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 4:22 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:48 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 10:04 (4:02 / km)
Total: 26:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 19.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 22 Giro Don Rafael Gito
PHI
+18 s
+19 s
G1 / G3
11:02
10:08
27:02
Show details
Prediction details: Giro Don Rafael Gito

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 15–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 4.8 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:02 (4:25 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -1.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:08 (4:03 / km)
Error: +0:54 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 27:02
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 11:02 (4:25 / km)
Total: 27:02
21 / 26 Cheuk Long Chun
HKG
+23 s
+33 s
G2 / G3
11:06
11:12
27:31
Show details
Prediction details: Cheuk Long Chun

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 16–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -9.8 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.8 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:06 (4:26 / km)
Historical basis: 4:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:12 (4:29 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 27:31
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 4:10 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:48 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 11:06 (4:26 / km)
Total: 27:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 7.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 24 Zhi Xiang Ooi
MAS
+56 s
+56 s
G4 / G4
correct
9:09
9:10
27:43
Show details
Prediction details: Zhi Xiang Ooi

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 18–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 4:43
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 6.7 s

Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:09 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:10 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 27:43
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:43 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:38 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 9:09 (3:40 / km)
Total: 27:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 40.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 17 Feher Moussa
KSA
+40 s
+54 s
G3 / G3
correct
9:19
9:19
27:51
Show details
Prediction details: Feher Moussa

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 12–23
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 4:27
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -13.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 7.6 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:19 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:19 (3:44 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 27:51
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:27 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:52 (33.6 km/h)
Run: 9:19 (3:44 / km)
Total: 27:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 24.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 27 Ethan Chi-Onn Chang
SGP
+53 s
+55 s
G4 / G4
correct
9:47
9:53
28:21
Show details
Prediction details: Ethan Chi-Onn Chang

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 23–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 4:40
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -2.4 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s

Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 31.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:47 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:53 (3:57 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 28:21
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:40 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:38 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 9:47 (3:55 / km)
Total: 28:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 36.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 21 Wei Da Chan
MAS
+49 s
+50 s
G4 / G3
10:00
9:59
28:34
Show details
Prediction details: Wei Da Chan

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 22–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 4:36
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:00 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:59 (4:00 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:34
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:36 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:38 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 10:00 (4:00 / km)
Total: 28:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 33.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 30 Po Shun Yemi Yick
HKG
+48 s
+38 s
G4 / G5
10:13
10:08
28:47
Show details
Prediction details: Po Shun Yemi Yick

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 20–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 4:35
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 9.9 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.6 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s

Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 24.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:13 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:08 (4:03 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 28:47
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:35 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:38 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 10:13 (4:05 / km)
Total: 28:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 32 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 28 Yin Kei
HKG
+39 s
+53 s
G3 / G4
10:26
10:26
28:58
Show details
Prediction details: Yin Kei

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 21–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 4:26
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -13.8 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s

Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:26 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:26 (4:10 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:58
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 4:26 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:52 (33.6 km/h)
Run: 10:26 (4:10 / km)
Total: 28:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 23.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 29 Shaheen Abdulla Al-Kaabi
QAT
+55 s
+54 s
G4 / G4
correct
10:44
10:51
29:18
Show details
Prediction details: Shaheen Abdulla Al-Kaabi

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 28–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 4:42
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s

Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:44 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:51 (4:20 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 29:18
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:42 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:38 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 10:44 (4:18 / km)
Total: 29:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 39.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 25 Lucas Wong
HKG
+38 s
+39 s
G3 / G3
correct
11:00
11:01
29:32
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Wong

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 23–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 4:25
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:00 (4:24 / km)
Historical basis: 4:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:01 (4:24 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 29:32
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 4:25 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:52 (33.6 km/h)
Run: 11:00 (4:24 / km)
Total: 29:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 22.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 23 Mansour Alqashouti
QAT
+63 s
+54 s
G5 / G3
10:39
10:27
29:38
Show details
Prediction details: Mansour Alqashouti

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 28–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 4:50
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 8.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.7 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:39 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:27 (4:11 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 29:38
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:50 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:57 (33.4 km/h)
Run: 10:39 (4:15 / km)
Total: 29:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 46.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.