Prediction comparison
Semifinal 1 Junior Men
07.02.2026
Kompleks Sukan Air Putrajaya Presint 6
MAS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Junior Cup Putrajaya
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 07.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Prediction model used
Modell v14
Default values
Prediction quality
33/100
sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s
Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s
Gruppeneffekt 0.65
Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h
Datenabdeckung 26.1 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 65.2 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.3
Mean swim error34.4 s
Mean bike-speed error3.89 km/h
Correct bike groups3/15
No history8
Within the 80% range21.7 %
| Place Prediction / result |
Athlete | Swimming Prediction / result |
Bike group Prediction / result |
Run Prediction / result |
Overall prediction | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 1 |
INA
|
+17 s
+6 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
8:09
9:41
|
22:47 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 11.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur 2.04 %,
Sicherheit 9 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
8.5 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.48 km/h
Running and totalRun: 8:09 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.33 %,
Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:41 (3:52 / km)
Error: −1:32 / −0:37 / km
Overall prediction: 22:47
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
4:03
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
14:21
(41.8 km/h)
Run:
8:09
(3:15 / km)
Total:
22:47
|
| 2 / 4 |
INA
|
+31 s
+2 s
|
G2 / G1
|
8:41
9:40
|
24:00 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 2
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 28.6 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
7 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.01 %,
Sicherheit 4 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
7.2 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.32 km/h
Running and totalRun: 8:41 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
7 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.76 %,
Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:40 (3:52 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 24:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:17
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
14:48
(40.5 km/h)
Run:
8:41
(3:28 / km)
Total:
24:00
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 9.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 3 / 2 |
INA
|
+31 s
+17 s
|
G2 / G1
|
8:47
9:47
|
24:06 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 3
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 13.5 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.69 %,
Sicherheit 24 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
5.0 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: 8:47 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.27 %,
Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:47 (3:55 / km)
Error: −1:00 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 24:06
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
4:17
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
14:48
(40.5 km/h)
Run:
8:47
(3:31 / km)
Total:
24:06
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 9.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 4 / 5 |
HKG
|
+26 s
+0 s
|
G2 / G1
|
9:00
10:35
|
24:19 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 4
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 4:12
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 25.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
16 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.41 %,
Sicherheit 12 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
8.5 s
Gap behind:
5.0 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.49 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:00 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
16 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.12 %,
Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:35 (4:14 / km)
Error: −1:35 / −0:38 / km
Overall prediction: 24:19
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:12
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
14:48
(40.5 km/h)
Run:
9:00
(3:36 / km)
Total:
24:19
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 4.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 5 / 7 |
HKG
|
+39 s
+15 s
|
G3 / G1
|
8:45
10:58
|
24:49 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 5
80% range: 4–11
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 4:25
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 23.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
11 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.69 %,
Sicherheit 15 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.9 s
Gap behind:
1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.54 km/h
Running and totalRun: 8:45 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
11 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.65 %,
Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:58 (4:23 / km)
Error: −2:13 / −0:53 / km
Overall prediction: 24:49
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
4:25
(1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:23
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
8:45
(3:30 / km)
Total:
24:49
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 17.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 6 / 8 |
PHI
|
+41 s
+23 s
|
G3 / G2
|
8:54
10:04
|
24:58 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 6
80% range: 5–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 4:27
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 17.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.95 %,
Sicherheit 18 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.3 s
Gap behind:
13.6 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.95 km/h
Running and totalRun: 8:54 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.12 %,
Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:04 (4:02 / km)
Error: −1:10 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 24:58
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:27
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:23
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
8:54
(3:33 / km)
Total:
24:58
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 19.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 7 / 3 |
HKG
|
+41 s
+12 s
|
G3 / G1
|
8:55
9:38
|
24:59 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 7
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 4:27
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 28.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
16 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.06 %,
Sicherheit 13 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.8 s
Gap behind:
0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.54 km/h
Running and totalRun: 8:55 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
16 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.05 %,
Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:38 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 24:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
4:27
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:23
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
8:55
(3:34 / km)
Total:
24:59
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 19.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 8 / 6 |
KSA
|
+38 s
+40 s
|
G3 / G2
|
9:11
9:36
|
25:15 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 8
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 4:24
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -2.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.54 %,
Sicherheit 13 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
7.2 s
Gap behind:
0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.43 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:11 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.32 %,
Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:36 (3:50 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 25:15
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
4:24
(1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
15:23
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
9:11
(3:41 / km)
Total:
25:15
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 16.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 9 / 15 |
QAT
|
+54 s
+58 s
|
G4 / G4
correct
|
9:49
10:45
|
27:24 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 9
80% range: 10–12
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 4:40
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -3.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.31 %,
Sicherheit 18 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
13.6 s
Gap behind:
21.5 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.33 km/h
Running and totalRun: 9:49 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.03 %,
Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:45 (4:18 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 27:24
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
4:40
(1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
16:41
(36.0 km/h)
Run:
9:49
(3:56 / km)
Total:
27:24
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 33.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 10 / 13 |
HKG
|
+76 s
+50 s
|
G5 / G4
|
10:04
10:59
|
27:55 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 10
80% range: 11–12
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +76 s
Time: 5:02
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 25.9 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.33 %,
Sicherheit 12 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
21.5 s
Gap behind:
12.5 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.78 km/h
Running and totalRun: 10:04 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.42 %,
Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:59 (4:24 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 27:55
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
5:02
(1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
16:35
(36.2 km/h)
Run:
10:04
(4:02 / km)
Total:
27:55
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 55 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 11 / 16 |
QAT
|
+88 s
+63 s
|
G6 / G4
|
10:40
11:24
|
30:05 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 11
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 5:14
Pace: 1:45 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 25.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.41 %,
Sicherheit 2 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
12.5 s
Gap behind:
11.5 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.96 km/h
Running and totalRun: 10:40 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:24 (4:34 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 30:05
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
5:14
(1:45 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
17:56
(33.4 km/h)
Run:
10:40
(4:16 / km)
Total:
30:05
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 67.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 12 / 18 |
KEN
|
+100 s
+73 s
|
G7 / G5
|
10:40
10:02
|
31:43 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 12
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 5:26
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: 26.9 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.77 %,
Sicherheit 5 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
11.5 s
Gap behind:
52.3 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 29.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.14 km/h
Running and totalRun: 10:40 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.85 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:02 (4:01 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 31:43
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
5:26
(1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
18:02
(31.4 km/h)
Run:
10:40
(4:16 / km)
Total:
31:43
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 79 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 13 / 22 |
KEN
|
+152 s
+193 s
|
G7 / G7
correct
|
12:45
13:32
|
33:48 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 13
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -9
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +152 s
Time: 6:18
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +193 s
Fehler: -40.8 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
6 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.28 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
52.3 s
Gap behind:
10.4 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 25.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.58 km/h
Running and totalRun: 12:45 (5:06 / km)
Historical basis: 5:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
7 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.70 %,
Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:32 (5:25 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 33:48
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
6:18
(2:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
18:02
(31.4 km/h)
Run:
12:45
(5:06 / km)
Total:
33:48
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 131.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 0 / 9 |
MAS
|
+163 s
+56 s
|
G7 / G4
|
9:17
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +163 s
Time: 6:29
Pace: 2:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 106.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.53 %,
Sicherheit 3 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
10.4 s
Gap behind:
18.5 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.10 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:17 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
6:29
(2:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
18:02
(31.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 141.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 10 |
HKG
|
+0 s
+16 s
|
G0 / G3
|
10:17
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:17 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
3:46
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 11 |
HKG
|
+0 s
+39 s
|
G0 / G4
|
10:33
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:33 (4:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
3:46
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 12 |
MAS
|
+181 s
+45 s
|
G7 / G4
|
10:47
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +181 s
Time: 6:47
Pace: 2:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 136.1 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.56 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
18.5 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.73 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:47 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
6:47
(2:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
18:02
(31.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 160.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 14 |
HKG
|
+0 s
+43 s
|
G0 / G4
|
11:05
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:05 (4:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
3:46
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 17 |
THA
|
+0 s
+55 s
|
G0 / G4
|
12:18
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:18 (4:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
3:46
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 19 |
MAS
|
+0 s
+72 s
|
G0 / G5
|
11:06
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 28.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:06 (4:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
3:46
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 20 |
THA
|
+0 s
+57 s
|
G0 / G5
|
12:46
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 28.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:46 (5:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
3:46
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 21 |
KEN
|
+0 s
+91 s
|
G0 / G6
|
13:11
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +91 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 25.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:11 (5:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
3:46
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 23 |
KEN
|
+0 s
+111 s
|
G0 / G7
|
15:41
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +111 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 24.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:41 (6:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
3:46
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|