Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Prediction comparison

Semifinal 1 Junior Men

07.02.2026 Kompleks Sukan Air Putrajaya Presint 6 MAS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Junior Cup Putrajaya

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 07.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 33/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 26.1 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 65.2 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.3
Mean swim error34.4 s
Mean bike-speed error3.89 km/h
Correct bike groups3/15
No history8
Within the 80% range21.7 %
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Keannan Fathir Arrashy Rolland
INA
+17 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct
8:09
9:41
22:47
Show details
Prediction details: Keannan Fathir Arrashy Rolland

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 11.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 2.04 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 8.5 s

Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:09 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.33 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:41 (3:52 / km)
Error: −1:32 / −0:37 / km
Overall prediction: 22:47
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:03 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:21 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 8:09 (3:15 / km)
Total: 22:47
2 / 4 Hauqalah Fakhal Arvyello
INA
+31 s
+2 s
G2 / G1
8:41
9:40
24:00
Show details
Prediction details: Hauqalah Fakhal Arvyello

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 28.6 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 7.2 s

Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:41 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:40 (3:52 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 24:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:17 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:48 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 8:41 (3:28 / km)
Total: 24:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 9.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 2 Wahyu Tri Utomo Sembiring
INA
+31 s
+17 s
G2 / G1
8:47
9:47
24:06
Show details
Prediction details: Wahyu Tri Utomo Sembiring

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 13.5 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:47 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:47 (3:55 / km)
Error: −1:00 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 24:06
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:17 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:48 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 8:47 (3:31 / km)
Total: 24:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 9.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 5 Pu Chak Yung
HKG
+26 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
9:00
10:35
24:19
Show details
Prediction details: Pu Chak Yung

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 4:12
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 25.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.5 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s

Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:00 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:35 (4:14 / km)
Error: −1:35 / −0:38 / km
Overall prediction: 24:19
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:12 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:48 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 9:00 (3:36 / km)
Total: 24:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 4.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 7 Chun Hei Wong
HKG
+39 s
+15 s
G3 / G1
8:45
10:58
24:49
Show details
Prediction details: Chun Hei Wong

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–11
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 4:25
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 23.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s

Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:45 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:58 (4:23 / km)
Error: −2:13 / −0:53 / km
Overall prediction: 24:49
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:25 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 8:45 (3:30 / km)
Total: 24:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 17.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 8 Peter Sancho Del Rosario
PHI
+41 s
+23 s
G3 / G2
8:54
10:04
24:58
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Sancho Del Rosario

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 4:27
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 17.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.95 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 13.6 s

Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:54 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:04 (4:02 / km)
Error: −1:10 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 24:58
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:27 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 8:54 (3:33 / km)
Total: 24:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 19.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 3 Pak Yiu Anson Wong
HKG
+41 s
+12 s
G3 / G1
8:55
9:38
24:59
Show details
Prediction details: Pak Yiu Anson Wong

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 4:27
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 28.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:55 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:38 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 24:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:27 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 8:55 (3:34 / km)
Total: 24:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 19.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 6 Feher Moussa
KSA
+38 s
+40 s
G3 / G2
9:11
9:36
25:15
Show details
Prediction details: Feher Moussa

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 4:24
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -2.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.54 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.2 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s

Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:11 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:36 (3:50 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 25:15
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 4:24 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 9:11 (3:41 / km)
Total: 25:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 16.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 15 Shaheen Abdulla Al-Kaabi
QAT
+54 s
+58 s
G4 / G4
correct
9:49
10:45
27:24
Show details
Prediction details: Shaheen Abdulla Al-Kaabi

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 10–12
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 4:40
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -3.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.6 s
Gap behind: 21.5 s

Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:49 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 1.03 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:45 (4:18 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 27:24
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:40 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:41 (36.0 km/h)
Run: 9:49 (3:56 / km)
Total: 27:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 33.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 13 Po Shun Yemi Yick
HKG
+76 s
+50 s
G5 / G4
10:04
10:59
27:55
Show details
Prediction details: Po Shun Yemi Yick

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 11–12
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +76 s
Time: 5:02
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 25.9 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 21.5 s
Gap behind: 12.5 s

Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:04 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.42 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:59 (4:24 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 27:55
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:02 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:35 (36.2 km/h)
Run: 10:04 (4:02 / km)
Total: 27:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 55 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 16 Mansour Alqashouti
QAT
+88 s
+63 s
G6 / G4
10:40
11:24
30:05
Show details
Prediction details: Mansour Alqashouti

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 5:14
Pace: 1:45 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 25.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.41 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.5 s
Gap behind: 11.5 s

Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:40 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:24 (4:34 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 30:05
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 5:14 (1:45 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:56 (33.4 km/h)
Run: 10:40 (4:16 / km)
Total: 30:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 67.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 18 Robert Robin
KEN
+100 s
+73 s
G7 / G5
10:40
10:02
31:43
Show details
Prediction details: Robert Robin

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 5:26
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: 26.9 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.5 s
Gap behind: 52.3 s

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 29.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:40 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.85 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:02 (4:01 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 31:43
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:26 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:02 (31.4 km/h)
Run: 10:40 (4:16 / km)
Total: 31:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 79 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 22 Gavin Ojal
KEN
+152 s
+193 s
G7 / G7
correct
12:45
13:32
33:48
Show details
Prediction details: Gavin Ojal

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +152 s
Time: 6:18
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +193 s
Fehler: -40.8 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.28 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 52.3 s
Gap behind: 10.4 s

Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 25.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:45 (5:06 / km)
Historical basis: 5:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 13:32 (5:25 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 33:48
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:18 (2:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:02 (31.4 km/h)
Run: 12:45 (5:06 / km)
Total: 33:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 131.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 9 Zhi Xiang Ooi
MAS
+163 s
+56 s
G7 / G4
9:17
Show details
Prediction details: Zhi Xiang Ooi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +163 s
Time: 6:29
Pace: 2:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 106.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.4 s
Gap behind: 18.5 s

Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 9:17 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 6:29 (2:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:02 (31.4 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 141.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 10 Hoi Fan Ma
HKG
+0 s
+16 s
G0 / G3
10:17
Show details
Prediction details: Hoi Fan Ma

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:17 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:46 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Jasper Ho
HKG
+0 s
+39 s
G0 / G4
10:33
Show details
Prediction details: Jasper Ho

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:33 (4:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:46 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Wei Da Chan
MAS
+181 s
+45 s
G7 / G4
10:47
Show details
Prediction details: Wei Da Chan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +181 s
Time: 6:47
Pace: 2:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 136.1 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 18.5 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:47 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:47 (2:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:02 (31.4 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 160.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Lucas Wong
HKG
+0 s
+43 s
G0 / G4
11:05
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Wong

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:05 (4:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:46 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Paphangkorn Lakkanakarn
THA
+0 s
+55 s
G0 / G4
12:18
Show details
Prediction details: Paphangkorn Lakkanakarn

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 12:18 (4:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:46 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Xu Wei Wong
MAS
+0 s
+72 s
G0 / G5
11:06
Show details
Prediction details: Xu Wei Wong

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 28.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:06 (4:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:46 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Thanakrit Mansuwan
THA
+0 s
+57 s
G0 / G5
12:46
Show details
Prediction details: Thanakrit Mansuwan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 28.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 12:46 (5:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:46 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Richard Muthumbi
KEN
+0 s
+91 s
G0 / G6
13:11
Show details
Prediction details: Richard Muthumbi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +91 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 25.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 13:11 (5:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:46 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Adam Oyier
KEN
+0 s
+111 s
G0 / G7
15:41
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Oyier

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +111 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 24.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:41 (6:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:46 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.