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Junior Men

14.03.2026 Lung Wo Road Central HKG
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Junior & U23 Championships Hong Kong

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 88/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 73 früheren Rennen und 1464 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 43.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 76.5 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 91.2 % · 73 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.9
Mean swim error19.2 s
Mean bike-speed error2.12 km/h
Correct bike groups9/31
No history3
Within the 80% range38.2 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Ramazan Ainegov
KAZ
+38 s
+37 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:10
16:32
 44:07
Show details
Prediction details: Ramazan Ainegov

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 0.8 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 64 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:07
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:07
2 / 4 Nok Hei Wong
HKG
+33 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:22
16:51
 44:19
Show details
Prediction details: Nok Hei Wong

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 32.6 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 44:19
3 / 1 Konosuke Uchida
JPN
+29 s
+19 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:31
16:21
 44:28
Show details
Prediction details: Konosuke Uchida

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 9.7 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 44:28
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:11 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:28
4 / 12 Arseniy Shevchenko
KAZ
+30 s
+6 s
G1 / G2
 16:31
17:55
 44:28
Show details
Prediction details: Arseniy Shevchenko

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 23.9 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: −1:24 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 44:28
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:28
5 / 15 Wahyu Tri Utomo Sembiring
INA
+23 s
+48 s
G1 / G3
 17:00
17:21
 44:57
Show details
Prediction details: Wahyu Tri Utomo Sembiring

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -25.1 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.90 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:57
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: 44:57
6 / 2 Daiki Nishizaki
JPN
+24 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:02
16:25
 44:59
Show details
Prediction details: Daiki Nishizaki

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 1–11
Top-10 probability: 89 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 15.3 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:59
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Total: 44:59
7 / 26 Woohyeon Kang
KOR
+44 s
+71 s
G1 / G4
 17:13
19:03
 45:10
Show details
Prediction details: Woohyeon Kang

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–18
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: -26.6 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Error: −1:50 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 45:10
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Total: 45:10
8 / 21 Al Kautsar
INA
+10 s
+39 s
G1 / G3
 17:22
17:56
 45:19
Show details
Prediction details: Al Kautsar

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -28.9 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 8.7 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 45:19
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: 45:19
9 / 6 Hauqalah Fakhal Arvyello
INA
+32 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:27
17:18
 45:24
Show details
Prediction details: Hauqalah Fakhal Arvyello

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 7–12
Top-10 probability: 74 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 21.9 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Total: 45:24
10 / 27 Jaehoon Lee
KOR
+36 s
+70 s
G1 / G4
 17:33
19:03
 45:30
Show details
Prediction details: Jaehoon Lee

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–12
Top-10 probability: 76 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: -34.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Error: −1:30 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 45:30
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:18 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Total: 45:30
11 / 16 Alham Murat
KAZ
+21 s
+23 s
G1 / G2
 17:45
18:08
 45:42
Show details
Prediction details: Alham Murat

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 56 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -2.5 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 45:42
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Total: 45:42
12 / 25 Peter Sancho Del Rosario
PHI
+49 s
+72 s
G1 / G4
 17:52
18:36
 45:49
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Sancho Del Rosario

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 10–25
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:31
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: -23.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 1.08 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:49
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:31 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Total: 45:49
13 / 10 Park Sun Min
KOR
+50 s
+32 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:06
18:30
 46:03
Show details
Prediction details: Park Sun Min

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 13–20
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 18.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:03
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:32 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Total: 46:03
14 / 8 Pu Chak Yung
HKG
+33 s
+26 s
G1 / G2
 18:23
17:10
 46:20
Show details
Prediction details: Pu Chak Yung

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 85 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Error: +1:13 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 46:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Total: 46:20
15 / 7 Pak Yiu Anson Wong
HKG
+45 s
+31 s
G1 / G2
 18:26
16:57
 46:23
Show details
Prediction details: Pak Yiu Anson Wong

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 10–25
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 14.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 87 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Error: +1:29 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 46:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 46:23
16 / 17 Wt Dominic Carson
HKG
+33 s
+25 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:42
19:39
 46:39
Show details
Prediction details: Wt Dominic Carson

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 12–19
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 7.8 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 46:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Total: 46:39
17 / 19 Yongjin Gwon
KOR
+55 s
+64 s
G2 / G3
 17:42
17:56
 46:48
Show details
Prediction details: Yongjin Gwon

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 11–18
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -9.3 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 6.3 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:48
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:37 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:12 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Total: 46:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 4.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 18 Keannan Fathir Arrashy Rolland
INA
+10 s
+23 s
G1 / G2
 18:51
18:34
 46:48
Show details
Prediction details: Keannan Fathir Arrashy Rolland

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 13–19
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -13.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.72 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -1.04 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:48
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Total: 46:48
19 / 14 Leader Matthew Wisanggeni
INA
+41 s
+68 s
G1 / G3
 18:53
17:13
 46:50
Show details
Prediction details: Leader Matthew Wisanggeni

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 6–27
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: -27.5 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Error: +1:40 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 46:50
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:23 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Total: 46:50
20 / 11 Matvei Shevnin
KAZ
+61 s
+36 s
G3 / G2
 17:29
17:49
 47:16
Show details
Prediction details: Matvei Shevnin

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 11–20
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 25.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.3 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:16
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:43 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:35 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 10.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 31 Mukhammadyusuf Abdukhalilov
UZB
+40 s
+50 s
G1 / G5
 19:39
20:16
 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Mukhammadyusuf Abdukhalilov

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 19–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 10:22
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -10.5 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Error: −0:37 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:22 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Total: 47:36
22 / 13 Lok Shi Lam
HKG
+65 s
+44 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:54
17:13
 47:41
Show details
Prediction details: Lok Shi Lam

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 15–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 20.9 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:47 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:35 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 47:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 14.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 20 Euan Arrow Ramos
PHI
+44 s
+67 s
G1 / G3
 19:52
18:01
 47:49
Show details
Prediction details: Euan Arrow Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 20–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: -23.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 92 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: +1:51 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 47:49
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Total: 47:49
24 / 22 Yi-Hsiu Yung
TPE
+66 s
+68 s
G3 / G4
 18:07
17:53
 47:54
Show details
Prediction details: Yi-Hsiu Yung

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 19–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: -1.8 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:54
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:48 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:35 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Total: 47:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 15.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 32 Yujun Jang
KOR
+19 s
+19 s
G1 / G2
 20:16
25:13
 48:13
Show details
Prediction details: Yujun Jang

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 21–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: -0.2 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.7 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -1.54 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:13 (5:03 / km)
Error: −4:57 / −0:59 / km
Overall prediction: 48:13
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Total: 48:13
26 / 33 Ching-Chi Huang
TPE
+70 s
+64 s
G3 / G7
 18:58
20:19
 48:45
Show details
Prediction details: Ching-Chi Huang

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 25–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:52
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 5.5 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 32.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 70 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Error: −1:21 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 48:45
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:52 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:35 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Total: 48:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 18.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 24 Chun Hei Wong
HKG
+72 s
+64 s
G3 / G4
 19:26
18:26
 49:13
Show details
Prediction details: Chun Hei Wong

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 22–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 10:54
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 7.9 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 5.1 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:26 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Error: +1:00 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 49:13
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:54 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:35 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 19:26 (3:53 / km)
Total: 49:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 21.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 29 Orinbasarov Abilaykhan
UZB
+77 s
+45 s
G4 / G3
 18:10
21:05
 49:17
Show details
Prediction details: Orinbasarov Abilaykhan

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 22–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 10:59
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 32.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.1 s
Gap behind: 11.0 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:05 (4:13 / km)
Error: −2:55 / −0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 49:17
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:59 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (36.2 km/h)
Run: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Total: 49:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 26.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 34 Pongkun Nuttala
THA
+49 s
+133 s
G1 / G6
 24:07
22:37
 52:04
Show details
Prediction details: Pongkun Nuttala

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 29–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:31
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +133 s
Fehler: -84.3 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (22 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:07 (4:49 / km)
Historical basis: 4:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.82 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:37 (4:31 / km)
Error: +1:30 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 52:04
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:31 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:07 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 24:07 (4:49 / km)
Total: 52:04
30 / 30 Darell Bada
PHI
+88 s
+69 s
G5 / G5
correct 		18:27
17:59
 52:51
Show details
Prediction details: Darell Bada

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 27–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 19.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.0 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 52:51
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:10 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:53 (32.8 km/h)
Run: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Total: 52:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 37.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 28 David Plete Mora
PHI
+91 s
+67 s
G5 / G4
 20:23
19:31
 54:47
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Prediction details: David Plete Mora

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 30–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +91 s
Time: 11:13
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: 23.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.22 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:23 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Error: +0:52 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 54:47
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:13 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:53 (32.8 km/h)
Run: 20:23 (4:05 / km)
Total: 54:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 40.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 5 Kaixin Zhang
CHN
+0 s
+25 s
G0 / G1
17:02
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Prediction details: Kaixin Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Yuanchen Guan
CHN
+0 s
+18 s
G0 / G2
17:13
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Prediction details: Yuanchen Guan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Yanxin Yang
CHN
+0 s
+38 s
G0 / G3
18:33
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Prediction details: Yanxin Yang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 34–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.