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Junior Women

14.03.2026 Lung Wo Road Central HKG
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Junior & U23 Championships Hong Kong

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 85/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 69 früheren Rennen und 564 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 31.6 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 18 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 69.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 90.9 % · 69 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.0
Mean swim error25.4 s
Mean bike-speed error1.17 km/h
Correct bike groups7/30
No history3
Within the 80% range45.5 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Kanade Sugiura
JPN
+42 s
+42 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:19
18:56
 49:22
Show details
Prediction details: Kanade Sugiura

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–7
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -0.4 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.3 s
Gap behind: 6.3 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:37 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 49:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:40 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Total: 49:22
2 / 12 Kayla Nadia Shafa
INA
+36 s
+55 s
G1 / G3
 18:51
20:00
 49:54
Show details
Prediction details: Kayla Nadia Shafa

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 10:34
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -19.5 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 92 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.74 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:00 (4:00 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 49:54
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:34 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Total: 49:54
3 / 6 Tsubomi Yokokura
JPN
+24 s
+35 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:17
19:51
 50:20
Show details
Prediction details: Tsubomi Yokokura

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 10:22
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -10.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 50:20
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:22 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Total: 50:20
4 / 5 Yukiho Okuma
JPN
+37 s
+45 s
G1 / G2
 19:21
18:37
 50:24
Show details
Prediction details: Yukiho Okuma

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–10
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -7.9 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 50:24
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Total: 50:24
5 / 3 Seoeun Park
KOR
+27 s
+30 s
G1 / G1
correct 		20:02
19:22
 51:05
Show details
Prediction details: Seoeun Park

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -2.8 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:02 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 92 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:22 (3:52 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 51:05
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 20:02 (4:00 / km)
Total: 51:05
6 / 4 Diana Biktimirova
UZB
+22 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct 		20:18
19:35
 51:21
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Biktimirova

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–12
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 9.7 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 21.7 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 76 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 51:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Total: 51:21
7 / 14 Aira Martha Ardistri
INA
+34 s
+59 s
G1 / G3
 20:18
20:21
 51:21
Show details
Prediction details: Aira Martha Ardistri

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 3–14
Top-10 probability: 76 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -25.3 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:21 (4:04 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 51:21
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:32 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Total: 51:21
8 / 1 Diana Yerzhanova
KAZ
+52 s
+46 s
G2 / G1
 18:43
18:41
 51:38
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Yerzhanova

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 1–9
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 10:50
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 51:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:50 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:30 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Total: 51:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 12.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 10 Peiya Chen
CHN
+80 s
+34 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:44
19:49
 51:39
Show details
Prediction details: Peiya Chen

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–12
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 11:18
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 46.4 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:44 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 51:39
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:18 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:30 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 18:44 (3:45 / km)
Total: 51:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 38.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 19 Lok Tung Wong
HKG
+37 s
+59 s
G1 / G3
 20:58
20:50
 52:01
Show details
Prediction details: Lok Tung Wong

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 9–20
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -21.7 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 4.3 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:58 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 52:01
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 20:58 (4:12 / km)
Total: 52:01
11 / 9 Alua Nurmuhamet
KAZ
+34 s
+43 s
G1 / G2
 20:59
19:45
 52:02
Show details
Prediction details: Alua Nurmuhamet

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 4–22
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -9.4 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Error: +1:14 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 52:02
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:32 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Total: 52:02
12 / 16 Maurizka Nur Azizah
INA
+29 s
+87 s
G1 / G4
 21:12
19:47
 52:15
Show details
Prediction details: Maurizka Nur Azizah

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +87 s
Fehler: -58.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:12 (4:14 / km)
Historical basis: 4:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -1.11 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:47 (3:57 / km)
Error: +1:25 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 52:15
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 21:12 (4:14 / km)
Total: 52:15
13 / 7 Sarah Modiano
HKG
+79 s
+75 s
G2 / G3
 19:28
18:44
 52:23
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Modiano

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 8–16
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 11:17
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.7 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:28 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:44 (3:45 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 52:23
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:17 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:30 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 19:28 (3:54 / km)
Total: 52:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 39.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 13 Zijia Bian
CHN
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G3
 21:58
20:12
 53:01
Show details
Prediction details: Zijia Bian

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–16
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 21.7 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:58 (4:24 / km)
Historical basis: 4:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -1.41 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:12 (4:02 / km)
Error: +1:46 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 53:01
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 21:58 (4:24 / km)
Total: 53:01
15 / 20 Jeanette Abigail Martino
INA
+35 s
+91 s
G1 / G4
 22:30
20:03
 53:33
Show details
Prediction details: Jeanette Abigail Martino

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 15–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +91 s
Fehler: -56.5 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:30 (4:30 / km)
Historical basis: 4:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -1.30 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Error: +2:27 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 53:33
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 22:30 (4:30 / km)
Total: 53:33
16 / 25 Ssu Hui Wu
TPE
+80 s
+132 s
G2 / G5
 20:48
20:24
 53:43
Show details
Prediction details: Ssu Hui Wu

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 15–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 11:18
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +132 s
Fehler: -51.7 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:48 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:24 (4:05 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 53:43
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:18 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:30 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 20:48 (4:10 / km)
Total: 53:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 40.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 23 Eunsol Bae
KOR
+71 s
+8 s
G2 / G2
correct 		20:49
22:35
 53:44
Show details
Prediction details: Eunsol Bae

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 15–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 11:09
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 63.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 57 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:49 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:35 (4:31 / km)
Error: −1:46 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 53:44
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:09 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:30 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 20:49 (4:10 / km)
Total: 53:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 31.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 24 Hanna Yoshizaki
JPN
+71 s
+95 s
G2 / G4
 20:51
21:17
 53:46
Show details
Prediction details: Hanna Yoshizaki

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 9–25
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 11:09
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +95 s
Fehler: -23.7 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 7.7 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:51 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:17 (4:15 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 53:46
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:09 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:30 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 20:51 (4:10 / km)
Total: 53:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 29.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 17 Jio Hong
KOR
+65 s
+105 s
G2 / G4
 21:04
19:54
 53:59
Show details
Prediction details: Jio Hong

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 17–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 11:03
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +105 s
Fehler: -40.5 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.79 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.2 s
Gap behind: 6.5 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:04 (4:13 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 85 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:54 (3:59 / km)
Error: +1:10 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 53:59
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:03 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:30 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 21:04 (4:13 / km)
Total: 53:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 24.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 8 Lai Ki Nicole Man
HKG
+58 s
+46 s
G2 / G2
correct 		21:16
19:30
 54:11
Show details
Prediction details: Lai Ki Nicole Man

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 10–23
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:56
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 12.3 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 93 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.8 s
Gap behind: 6.2 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:16 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Error: +1:46 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 54:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:56 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:30 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 21:16 (4:15 / km)
Total: 54:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 18.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 18 Yuet Hei Ng
HKG
+48 s
+94 s
G2 / G4
 21:25
19:50
 54:20
Show details
Prediction details: Yuet Hei Ng

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 13–23
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +94 s
Fehler: -46.1 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.3 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:25 (4:17 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:50 (3:58 / km)
Error: +1:35 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 54:20
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:46 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:30 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 21:25 (4:17 / km)
Total: 54:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 8.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 26 Jeewoo Hong
KOR
+115 s
+93 s
G3 / G4
 20:27
23:38
 55:12
Show details
Prediction details: Jeewoo Hong

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 18–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +115 s
Time: 11:53
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +93 s
Fehler: 21.7 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:27 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:38 (4:44 / km)
Error: −3:11 / −0:38 / km
Overall prediction: 55:12
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:53 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:49 (32.9 km/h)
Run: 20:27 (4:05 / km)
Total: 55:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 75.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 22 Tatiana Andreevna Kokina
KGZ
+85 s
+92 s
G2 / G4
 22:24
20:51
 55:19
Show details
Prediction details: Tatiana Andreevna Kokina

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 23–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 11:23
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +92 s
Fehler: -6.9 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 9.8 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:24 (4:29 / km)
Historical basis: 4:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:51 (4:10 / km)
Error: +1:33 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 55:19
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:23 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:30 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 22:24 (4:29 / km)
Total: 55:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 45.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 11 Aida Kim
KAZ
+112 s
+96 s
G3 / G4
 20:42
18:47
 55:27
Show details
Prediction details: Aida Kim

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 14–27
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +112 s
Time: 11:50
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +96 s
Fehler: 15.5 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:42 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Error: +1:55 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 55:27
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:50 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:49 (32.9 km/h)
Run: 20:42 (4:08 / km)
Total: 55:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 71.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 15 Dayana Lukienko
UZB
+135 s
+112 s
G5 / G4
 20:35
19:35
 55:58
Show details
Prediction details: Dayana Lukienko

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 22–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +135 s
Time: 12:13
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +112 s
Fehler: 23.1 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.1 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Error: +1:00 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 55:58
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:13 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:08 (32.6 km/h)
Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Total: 55:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 95.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 31 Ralina Artykkhodzhaeva
KGZ
+123 s
+169 s
G4 / G8
 21:15
23:27
 56:02
Show details
Prediction details: Ralina Artykkhodzhaeva

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 23–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +123 s
Time: 12:01
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +169 s
Fehler: -46.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.3 s
Gap behind: 12.1 s
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 30.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:15 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:27 (4:41 / km)
Error: −2:12 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 56:02
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:01 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:44 (33.0 km/h)
Run: 21:15 (4:15 / km)
Total: 56:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 83.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 33 Anson Lun
HKG
+95 s
+112 s
G3 / G5
 21:18
29:04
 56:03
Show details
Prediction details: Anson Lun

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 16–27
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +95 s
Time: 11:33
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +112 s
Fehler: -17.1 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.8 s
Gap behind: 12.7 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:04 (5:49 / km)
Error: −7:46 / −1:33 / km
Overall prediction: 56:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:33 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:49 (32.9 km/h)
Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Total: 56:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 55.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 32 Esther Yang
KOR
+116 s
+111 s
G3 / G6
 22:41
25:07
 57:26
Show details
Prediction details: Esther Yang

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 27–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +116 s
Time: 11:54
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +111 s
Fehler: 4.7 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 7.3 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:41 (4:32 / km)
Historical basis: 4:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:07 (5:01 / km)
Error: −2:26 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 57:26
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:54 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:49 (32.9 km/h)
Run: 22:41 (4:32 / km)
Total: 57:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 76.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 21 Keerthi Sakthivel
IND
+108 s
+112 s
G3 / G4
 23:02
20:45
 57:47
Show details
Prediction details: Keerthi Sakthivel

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 28–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +108 s
Time: 11:46
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +112 s
Fehler: -4.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.7 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:02 (4:36 / km)
Historical basis: 4:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:45 (4:09 / km)
Error: +2:17 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 57:47
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:46 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:49 (32.9 km/h)
Run: 23:02 (4:36 / km)
Total: 57:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 68 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 29 Chung Ning Shum
HKG
+54 s
+159 s
G2 / G8
 25:07
22:41
 58:02
Show details
Prediction details: Chung Ning Shum

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 28–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 10:52
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +159 s
Fehler: -105.5 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 4.8 s
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:07 (5:01 / km)
Historical basis: 5:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.11 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:41 (4:32 / km)
Error: +2:26 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 58:02
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:52 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:30 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 25:07 (5:01 / km)
Total: 58:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 13.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 27 Lanxin Zhao
CHN
+0 s
+136 s
G0 / G7
21:54
Show details
Prediction details: Lanxin Zhao

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +136 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 31.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Anisha Eunice Caluya
PHI
+0 s
+149 s
G0 / G8
21:52
Show details
Prediction details: Anisha Eunice Caluya

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +149 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 31.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:52 (4:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30 Christy Ann Perez
PHI
+0 s
+168 s
G0 / G8
22:52
Show details
Prediction details: Christy Ann Perez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +168 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 31.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:52 (4:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.