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U23 Men

14.03.2026 Lung Wo Road Central HKG
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Junior & U23 Championships Hong Kong

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 98/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 73 früheren Rennen und 1464 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 43.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 97.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 73 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.4
Mean swim error10.2 s
Mean bike-speed error1.82 km/h
Correct bike groups11/33
No history0
Within the 80% range57.6 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Takuto Oshima
JPN
+9 s
+28 s
G1 / G2
 15:30
15:46
 40:58
Show details
Prediction details: Takuto Oshima

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -19.2 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 9.3 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 127 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 40:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 25:20 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Total: 40:58
2 / 11 Yegor Krupyakov
KAZ
+4 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:10
17:24
 41:38
Show details
Prediction details: Yegor Krupyakov

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: −1:14 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 41:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 25:20 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 41:38
3 / 3 Kazuna Asanuma
JPN
+24 s
+21 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:41
15:48
 42:18
Show details
Prediction details: Kazuna Asanuma

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–9
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 10.1 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 42:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:13 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Total: 42:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 11.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 10 Arlan Zhanabay
KAZ
+37 s
+32 s
G3 / G2
 15:39
17:07
 42:27
Show details
Prediction details: Arlan Zhanabay

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–9
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 4.9 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Error: −1:28 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 42:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 42:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 24.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 4 Yunkang Luo
CHN
+6 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:01
16:05
 42:29
Show details
Prediction details: Yunkang Luo

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 6.2 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 76 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:56 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 42:29
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 25:20 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Total: 42:29
6 / 5 Alexandr Ten
KAZ
+39 s
+43 s
G3 / G2
 15:47
16:02
 42:35
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandr Ten

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–12
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -4.3 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 42:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Total: 42:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 26 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 15 Maxim Shmulich
KAZ
+23 s
+38 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:08
17:50
 42:45
Show details
Prediction details: Maxim Shmulich

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–10
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -14.8 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: −1:42 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 42:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:13 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Total: 42:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 10.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 7 Rintaro Kuramoto
JPN
+44 s
+34 s
G3 / G2
 16:03
16:19
 42:51
Show details
Prediction details: Rintaro Kuramoto

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 4–19
Top-10 probability: 53 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 9.9 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 42:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 42:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 31.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 6 Tak Long Yip
HKG
+46 s
+32 s
G3 / G2
 16:10
16:06
 42:58
Show details
Prediction details: Tak Long Yip

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–17
Top-10 probability: 51 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 13.6 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 42:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 42:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 32.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 14 Yelmurat Kanay
KAZ
+41 s
+40 s
G3 / G2
 16:16
17:36
 43:04
Show details
Prediction details: Yelmurat Kanay

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–18
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 1.4 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 65 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 59 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Error: −1:20 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 43:04
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Total: 43:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 28.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 9 Kira Wakatake
JPN
+36 s
+31 s
G3 / G2
 16:28
16:50
 43:16
Show details
Prediction details: Kira Wakatake

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 8–14
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 4.9 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 43:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Total: 43:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 23.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 31 Can Su
CHN
+36 s
+47 s
G3 / G5
 16:28
19:15
 43:16
Show details
Prediction details: Can Su

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 4–18
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -10.6 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Error: −2:47 / −0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 43:16
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Total: 43:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 23.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 16 Wenlei Xie
CHN
+38 s
+41 s
G3 / G2
 16:47
18:10
 43:35
Show details
Prediction details: Wenlei Xie

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 8–16
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -3.3 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 1.09 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Error: −1:23 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 43:35
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: 43:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 25 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 12 Amu Omuro
JPN
+18 s
+32 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:17
17:25
 43:54
Show details
Prediction details: Amu Omuro

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 6–16
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -13.9 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 9.3 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 43:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:13 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Total: 43:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 5.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 22 Muhammad Noval Ashidiq
INA
+37 s
+26 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:13
18:27
 44:01
Show details
Prediction details: Muhammad Noval Ashidiq

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–18
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 11.2 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Error: −1:14 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 44:01
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Total: 44:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 24.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 17 Tien Yu Chiang
TPE
+40 s
+33 s
G3 / G2
 17:44
18:07
 44:32
Show details
Prediction details: Tien Yu Chiang

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 6.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Total: 44:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 27.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 2 Taegi Kim
KOR
+52 s
+45 s
G4 / G2
 16:18
15:43
 44:38
Show details
Prediction details: Taegi Kim

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 10–17
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 6.7 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 5.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:27 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Total: 44:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 39 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 13 Jimin Hong
KOR
+22 s
+29 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:14
17:37
 44:51
Show details
Prediction details: Jimin Hong

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 16–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -7.2 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:51
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:13 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Total: 44:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 9.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 28 Wang Hin Ian Fok
HKG
+47 s
+44 s
G3 / G6
 18:33
18:38
 45:21
Show details
Prediction details: Wang Hin Ian Fok

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 17–29
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 2.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 5.1 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 45:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 33.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 18 Jaemin Kim
KOR
+34 s
+29 s
G3 / G2
 18:54
18:16
 45:42
Show details
Prediction details: Jaemin Kim

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 20–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 5.1 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 44 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 10.1 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:42
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:02 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Total: 45:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 21.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 19 Dayshaun Ramos
PHI
+59 s
+87 s
G5 / G4
 17:09
16:53
 46:01
Show details
Prediction details: Dayshaun Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 14–25
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +87 s
Fehler: -28.1 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 6.4 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:52 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Total: 46:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 46.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 8 Ruslan Karnilov
UZB
+68 s
+33 s
G6 / G2
 17:19
16:28
 46:11
Show details
Prediction details: Ruslan Karnilov

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 18–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 34.9 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 2 (16 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 46:11
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:38 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 55.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 25 Wen Chien Lan
TPE
+53 s
+53 s
G4 / G4
correct 		17:54
17:52
 46:14
Show details
Prediction details: Wen Chien Lan

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 19–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -0.5 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 6.4 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:14
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:27 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 46:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 39.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 24 Qi Yi Yap
MAS
+74 s
+60 s
G6 / G4
 17:25
17:43
 46:17
Show details
Prediction details: Qi Yi Yap

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 20–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +74 s
Time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: 13.5 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 5.5 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:38 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Total: 46:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 60.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 20 Tsz Hin Yip
HKG
+80 s
+75 s
G7 / G4
 17:08
17:07
 46:22
Show details
Prediction details: Tsz Hin Yip

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 19–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:48 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 46:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 67.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 21 Mohammed Al Gheilani
OMA
+86 s
+79 s
G7 / G4
 17:21
17:35
 46:35
Show details
Prediction details: Mohammed Al Gheilani

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 24–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +86 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 12.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:35
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:32 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:48 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 73.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 27 Auscar Tsang
HKG
+67 s
+77 s
G6 / G4
 17:57
18:23
 46:49
Show details
Prediction details: Auscar Tsang

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 19–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: -10.1 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 1.68 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:49
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:38 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Total: 46:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 54.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 30 Juan Miguel Tayag
PHI
+84 s
+97 s
G7 / G7
correct 		17:56
17:46
 47:10
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Miguel Tayag

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 27–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +84 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +97 s
Fehler: -13.2 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:10
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:48 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Total: 47:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 71.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 26 Benjamin John Hong Ren Chen
MAS
+60 s
+60 s
G5 / G4
 18:32
18:10
 47:24
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin John Hong Ren Chen

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 24–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -0.1 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:24
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:52 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Total: 47:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 47.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 29 Yan Tao Shum
HKG
+81 s
+117 s
G7 / G7
correct 		18:36
17:36
 47:50
Show details
Prediction details: Yan Tao Shum

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 26–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +81 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +117 s
Fehler: -35.9 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Error: +1:00 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:50
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:48 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Total: 47:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 68.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 33 Chon Ip Chan
MAC
+107 s
+126 s
G8 / G8
correct 		18:14
20:06
 48:39
Show details
Prediction details: Chon Ip Chan

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 30–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +107 s
Time: 10:53
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +126 s
Fehler: -19.1 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.9 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Error: −1:52 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 48:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:53 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:38 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Total: 48:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 94.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 23 Chi hsiang Hsieh
TPE
+79 s
+76 s
G7 / G4
 20:14
17:41
 49:28
Show details
Prediction details: Chi hsiang Hsieh

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 31–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.5 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:14 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.97 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: +2:33 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 49:28
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:48 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 20:14 (4:03 / km)
Total: 49:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 66.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 32 Cheok Hei Lao
MAC
+98 s
+86 s
G8 / G6
 19:41
19:21
 50:06
Show details
Prediction details: Cheok Hei Lao

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 32–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +98 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: 12.0 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.0 s
Gap behind: 8.9 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 50:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:44 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:38 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Total: 50:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 85.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.