Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Elite Women

13.06.2026 CHN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Super Sprint Elite, Youth, U15 Championship Xuzhou

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 79/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 16 früheren Rennen und 316 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 28.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 13.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 93.1 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 16 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.6
Mean swim error8.5 s
Mean bike-speed error3.33 km/h
Correct bike groups15/29
No history0
Within the 80% range65.5 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Manami Hayashi
JPN
+8 s
+20 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:28
6:40
 22:14
Show details
Prediction details: Manami Hayashi

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -11.9 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 134 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:28 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 134 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 81 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:40 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 22:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:03 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 6:28 (3:14 / km)
Total: 22:14
2 / 2 Xinyu Lin
CHN
+12 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:28
6:35
 22:14
Show details
Prediction details: Xinyu Lin

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 4:07
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 3.2 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:28 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:35 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 22:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:07 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 6:28 (3:14 / km)
Total: 22:14
3 / 23 Hye Rang Kim
KOR
+11 s
+29 s
G1 / G2
 6:50
6:50
 22:36
Show details
Prediction details: Hye Rang Kim

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–11
Top-10 probability: 89 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 4:06
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -18.3 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:50 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:50 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 22:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:06 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 6:50 (3:25 / km)
Total: 22:36
4 / 1 Anqi Huang
CHN
+37 s
+35 s
G2 / G1
 6:23
6:20
 22:37
Show details
Prediction details: Anqi Huang

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–14
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 4:32
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:23 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:20 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 22:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:32 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 6:23 (3:12 / km)
Total: 22:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 15.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 8 Yifan Yang
CHN
+3 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:54
6:52
 22:40
Show details
Prediction details: Yifan Yang

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 3:58
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 0.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:54 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:52 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 22:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:58 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 6:54 (3:27 / km)
Total: 22:40
6 / 15 Sarika Nakayama
JPN
+8 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:58
7:05
 22:44
Show details
Prediction details: Sarika Nakayama

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: -3.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 78 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:58 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:05 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 22:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:03 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 6:58 (3:29 / km)
Total: 22:44
7 / 6 Miyu Sakai
JPN
+14 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:04
6:49
 22:50
Show details
Prediction details: Miyu Sakai

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–19
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 4:09
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 5.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 134 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:04 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 134 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:49 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 22:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:09 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 7:04 (3:32 / km)
Total: 22:50
8 / 18 Kanae Takenaka
JPN
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:06
7:29
 22:52
Show details
Prediction details: Kanae Takenaka

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 68 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:55
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:06 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:29 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 22:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:55 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 7:06 (3:33 / km)
Total: 22:52
9 / 5 Mako Hiraizumi
JPN
+30 s
+30 s
G2 / G1
 6:42
6:47
 22:56
Show details
Prediction details: Mako Hiraizumi

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 3–18
Top-10 probability: 64 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 4:25
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:42 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:47 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 22:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:25 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 6:42 (3:21 / km)
Total: 22:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 7.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 12 Hye Rim Jeong
KOR
+24 s
+11 s
G2 / G1
 6:45
7:00
 22:59
Show details
Prediction details: Hye Rim Jeong

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 3–19
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 4:19
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 12.6 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:45 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 47 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:00 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 22:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:19 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 6:45 (3:22 / km)
Total: 22:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 1.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 19 Ji Yeon Kim
KOR
+21 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:13
7:28
 22:59
Show details
Prediction details: Ji Yeon Kim

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 8–23
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 4:16
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 5.9 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:13 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:28 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 22:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:16 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 7:13 (3:36 / km)
Total: 22:59
12 / 17 Himeka Sato
JPN
+20 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:15
7:16
 23:01
Show details
Prediction details: Himeka Sato

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 10–21
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 4:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 5.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 176 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:15 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 176 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:16 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 23:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:15 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 7:15 (3:37 / km)
Total: 23:01
13 / 16 Tallulah Wright
HKG
+20 s
+17 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:20
7:11
 23:06
Show details
Prediction details: Tallulah Wright

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 12–23
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 4:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 3.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:20 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 12
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:11 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 23:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:15 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 7:20 (3:40 / km)
Total: 23:06
14 / 7 Martina Ayu Pratiwi
INA
+34 s
+21 s
G2 / G1
 7:00
6:50
 23:14
Show details
Prediction details: Martina Ayu Pratiwi

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 6–25
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 4:29
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 12.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:00 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:50 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 23:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:29 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 7:00 (3:30 / km)
Total: 23:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 11.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 21 Diana Biktimirova
UZB
+13 s
+21 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:28
7:47
 23:14
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Biktimirova

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–20
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 4:08
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:28 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 96 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:47 (3:54 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 23:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:08 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 7:28 (3:44 / km)
Total: 23:14
16 / 11 Cade Wright
HKG
+38 s
+33 s
G2 / G1
 7:01
7:02
 23:15
Show details
Prediction details: Cade Wright

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 7–26
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 4:33
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 4.7 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:01 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:02 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 23:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:33 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 7:01 (3:30 / km)
Total: 23:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 15.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 13 Siyi Zhang
CHN
+26 s
+21 s
G2 / G1
 7:03
7:03
 23:17
Show details
Prediction details: Siyi Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 5–20
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 4:21
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 5.1 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:03 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:03 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 23:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:21 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 7:03 (3:31 / km)
Total: 23:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 4.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 9 Ziqing Lu
CHN
+33 s
+32 s
G2 / G1
 7:08
6:54
 23:22
Show details
Prediction details: Ziqing Lu

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 11–23
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 4:28
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 0.5 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:08 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:54 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 23:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:28 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 7:08 (3:34 / km)
Total: 23:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 10.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 26 Diana Yerzhanova
KAZ
+42 s
+36 s
G2 / G2
correct 		7:09
7:27
 23:23
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Yerzhanova

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 12–28
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 4:37
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 7.6 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:09 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:27 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 23:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:37 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 7:09 (3:35 / km)
Total: 23:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 20.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 20 Raven Alcoseba
PHI
+16 s
+25 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:38
7:44
 23:24
Show details
Prediction details: Raven Alcoseba

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 12–24
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -8.9 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:38 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:44 (3:52 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 23:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:11 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 7:38 (3:49 / km)
Total: 23:24
21 / 10 Yan Yin Hilda Choi
HKG
+40 s
+22 s
G2 / G1
 7:11
6:56
 23:25
Show details
Prediction details: Yan Yin Hilda Choi

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 14–25
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 4:35
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 17.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:11 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 12
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:56 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 23:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:35 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 7:11 (3:36 / km)
Total: 23:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 17.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 14 Chi Wen Chang
TPE
+31 s
+32 s
G2 / G1
 7:15
7:05
 23:29
Show details
Prediction details: Chi Wen Chang

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 8–25
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 4:26
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -1.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:15 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:05 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 23:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:26 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 7:15 (3:37 / km)
Total: 23:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 8.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 4 Meiyi Lu
CHN
+50 s
+25 s
G3 / G1
 6:44
6:37
 23:33
Show details
Prediction details: Meiyi Lu

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 8–26
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 4:45
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 25.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 89 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 7.6 s
Gap behind: 9.3 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:44 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 23:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:45 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:59 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 6:44 (3:22 / km)
Total: 23:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 28.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 22 Lydia Musleh
JOR
+14 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:51
8:00
 23:37
Show details
Prediction details: Lydia Musleh

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 16–26
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 4:09
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 3.8 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (22 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:51 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:00 (4:00 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 23:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:09 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:25 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 7:51 (3:56 / km)
Total: 23:37
25 / 29 Lai Ki Nicole Man
HKG
+32 s
+32 s
G2 / G3
 7:37
8:20
 23:51
Show details
Prediction details: Lai Ki Nicole Man

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 17–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 4:27
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -0.1 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:37 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:20 (4:10 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 23:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:27 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 7:37 (3:49 / km)
Total: 23:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 10 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 27 Herlene Natasha Yu
SGP
+31 s
+30 s
G2 / G2
correct 		7:46
7:44
 24:00
Show details
Prediction details: Herlene Natasha Yu

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 20–28
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 4:26
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 0.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 78 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:46 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:44 (3:52 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 24:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:26 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 7:46 (3:53 / km)
Total: 24:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 8.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 28 Wan Ting Lim
SGP
+35 s
+31 s
G2 / G2
correct 		7:53
7:54
 24:07
Show details
Prediction details: Wan Ting Lim

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 20–28
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 4:30
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 4.4 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 72 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:53 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 93 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:54 (3:57 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 24:07
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:30 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 7:53 (3:56 / km)
Total: 24:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 13.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 24 Alina Khakimova
UZB
+59 s
+34 s
G4 / G2
 6:54
7:06
 24:30
Show details
Prediction details: Alina Khakimova

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 15–28
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 4:54
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 25.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 9.3 s
Gap behind: 27.6 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:54 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:06 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 24:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:54 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:37 (36.1 km/h)
Run: 6:54 (3:27 / km)
Total: 24:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 37.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 25 Yu-Ting Pan
TPE
+87 s
+38 s
G5 / G2
 7:23
7:13
 26:20
Show details
Prediction details: Yu-Ting Pan

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 28–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +87 s
Time: 5:22
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 48.9 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 27.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:23 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 12
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:13 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 26:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:22 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:30 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 7:23 (3:41 / km)
Total: 26:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 65 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.