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Semifinal 2 Elite Men

13.06.2026 CHN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Super Sprint Elite, Youth, U15 Championship Xuzhou

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 86/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 21 früheren Rennen und 450 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 44.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 13.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 21 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.2
Mean swim error18.0 s
Mean bike-speed error2.69 km/h
Correct bike groups8/20
No history0
Within the 80% range85.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Kazushi Jozuka
JPN
+25 s
+23 s
G1 / G1
correct 		5:45
5:43
 20:05
Show details
Prediction details: Kazushi Jozuka

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 4:06
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 72 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 45.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 5:45 (2:52 / km)
Historical basis: 2:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 5:43 (2:52 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 20:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:06 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 13:55 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 5:45 (2:52 / km)
Total: 20:05
2 / 1 Mingxu Li
CHN
+24 s
+21 s
G1 / G1
correct 		5:46
5:42
 20:06
Show details
Prediction details: Mingxu Li

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–15
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 2.7 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 5:46 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 82 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 5:42 (2:51 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 20:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 13:55 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 5:46 (2:53 / km)
Total: 20:06
3 / 2 Xirui Zhang
CHN
+18 s
+16 s
G1 / G1
correct 		5:49
5:45
 20:09
Show details
Prediction details: Xirui Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 3:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 5:49 (2:54 / km)
Historical basis: 2:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:45 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 86 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 5:45 (2:53 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 20:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 13:55 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 5:49 (2:54 / km)
Total: 20:09
4 / 6 Takuto Oshima
JPN
+12 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		5:51
5:55
 20:11
Show details
Prediction details: Takuto Oshima

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 1–7
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 3:53
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 12.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 89 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 5.8 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 5:51 (2:56 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 5:55 (2:58 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 20:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:53 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 13:55 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 5:51 (2:56 / km)
Total: 20:11
5 / 13 Kenshin Mori
JPN
+25 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct 		5:57
6:04
 20:17
Show details
Prediction details: Kenshin Mori

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 4:06
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 13.3 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 4.8 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 5:57 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:04 (3:02 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 20:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:06 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 13:55 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 5:57 (2:59 / km)
Total: 20:17
6 / 9 Cheung Sing Nicholas Tsang
HKG
+19 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:19
6:00
 20:39
Show details
Prediction details: Cheung Sing Nicholas Tsang

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–12
Top-10 probability: 81 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 4:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 4.1 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 124 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:19 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 12
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 124 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:00 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 20:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 13:55 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 6:19 (3:10 / km)
Total: 20:39
7 / 10 Tzu I Pan
TPE
+22 s
+25 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:19
6:04
 20:39
Show details
Prediction details: Tzu I Pan

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–12
Top-10 probability: 78 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -2.8 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:19 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 12
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:04 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 20:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:03 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 13:55 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 6:19 (3:09 / km)
Total: 20:39
8 / 16 Sangmin Park
KOR
+10 s
+23 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:30
6:25
 20:50
Show details
Prediction details: Sangmin Park

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 3:51
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -13.4 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 45.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:30 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:25 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 20:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:51 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 13:55 (43.3 km/h)
Run: 6:30 (3:15 / km)
Total: 20:50
9 / 4 Daryn Konysbayev
KAZ
+49 s
+24 s
G2 / G1
 5:35
5:45
 20:52
Show details
Prediction details: Daryn Konysbayev

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 3–13
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 4:30
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 24.5 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 5:35 (2:47 / km)
Historical basis: 2:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:37 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 5:45 (2:53 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 20:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:30 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:28 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 5:35 (2:47 / km)
Total: 20:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
10 / 5 Yunxiang Ma
CHN
+46 s
+22 s
G2 / G1
 5:41
5:43
 20:58
Show details
Prediction details: Yunxiang Ma

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 2–14
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 4:27
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 23.5 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 5:41 (2:51 / km)
Historical basis: 2:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:45 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 5:43 (2:52 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 20:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:27 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:28 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 5:41 (2:51 / km)
Total: 20:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 16.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 8 Ayan Beisenbayev
KAZ
+39 s
+25 s
G2 / G1
 5:50
5:57
 21:07
Show details
Prediction details: Ayan Beisenbayev

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 3–16
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 13.9 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 5:50 (2:55 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:49 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 12
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 5:57 (2:59 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 21:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:20 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:28 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 5:50 (2:55 / km)
Total: 21:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
12 / 7 Yunfeng Teng
CHN
+40 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 5:50
5:48
 21:07
Show details
Prediction details: Yunfeng Teng

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 2–14
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 4:21
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 21.4 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 5:50 (2:55 / km)
Historical basis: 2:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 5:48 (2:54 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 21:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:21 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:28 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 5:50 (2:55 / km)
Total: 21:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 11.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 14 Taegi Kim
KOR
+44 s
+26 s
G2 / G1
 6:10
6:08
 21:27
Show details
Prediction details: Taegi Kim

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 11–17
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 4:25
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 18.3 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:10 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:08 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 21:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:25 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:28 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 6:10 (3:05 / km)
Total: 21:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
14 / 12 Temirlan Temirov
KAZ
+42 s
+23 s
G2 / G1
 6:11
6:03
 21:28
Show details
Prediction details: Temirlan Temirov

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 6–16
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 4:23
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 19.4 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:11 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.72 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:03 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 21:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:23 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:28 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 6:11 (3:06 / km)
Total: 21:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
15 / 17 Dayshaun Ramos
PHI
+48 s
+25 s
G2 / G1
 6:23
6:37
 21:40
Show details
Prediction details: Dayshaun Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–19
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 4:29
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 23.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:23 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 21:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:29 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:28 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 6:23 (3:12 / km)
Total: 21:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
16 / 19 Li Rong, Luke Chua
SGP
+36 s
+20 s
G2 / G1
 6:40
6:50
 21:57
Show details
Prediction details: Li Rong, Luke Chua

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 11–18
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 15.7 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:50 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 21:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:17 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:28 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 6:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 21:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
17 / 11 Arlan Zhanabay
KAZ
+56 s
+19 s
G3 / G1
 6:17
5:58
 22:20
Show details
Prediction details: Arlan Zhanabay

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 11–19
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 4:37
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 36.6 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 50.2 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 45.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:17 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 12
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 5:58 (2:59 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 22:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:37 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:08 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 6:17 (3:08 / km)
Total: 22:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
18 / 18 Wt Dominic Carson
HKG
+30 s
+20 s
G2 / G1
 7:23
6:40
 22:40
Show details
Prediction details: Wt Dominic Carson

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 13–19
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 10.1 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.8 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 45.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:23 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.79 %, Sicherheit 70 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:40 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 22:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:11 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 14:28 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 7:23 (3:41 / km)
Total: 22:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
19 / 15 Ruslan Karnilov
UZB
+53 s
+23 s
G3 / G1
 6:51
6:17
 22:54
Show details
Prediction details: Ruslan Karnilov

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 14–19
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 4:34
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 29.6 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 45.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:51 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:17 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 22:54
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:34 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:08 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 6:51 (3:25 / km)
Total: 22:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
20 / 20 Sultan Aliev
UZB
+106 s
+34 s
G4 / G2
 6:18
6:25
 23:46
Show details
Prediction details: Sultan Aliev

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 19–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +106 s
Time: 5:27
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 71.8 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 50.2 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:18 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 85 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:25 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 23:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:27 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:42 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 6:18 (3:09 / km)
Total: 23:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.